|
| quote: | Originally posted by SYSTEM-J
Bookies don't make odds based purely on probability. Some odds are artifically short because of betting patterns, to guard against the bookmaker doesn't lose too much money. That's why England always get short odds to win international tournaments, even though we never realistically come close. Intense speculations is driving the odds on Pep down. Pretty sure the odds on Mourinho going back to Chelsea were really low at one point, but that had no basis in fact.
Realistically, I don't think he'll go back into management this summer. Top clubs tend to approach top managers months before making an appointment (Mourinho was approached by Inter four months before they actually signed him, for example), and what I gather from this quote is that Pep will actually start to think about his next move once the season gets underway. I personally don't think he'll ever go to Chelsea unless something drastically changes there. |
What you are trying to say is speculation influences odds. Sure, nobody denies that. Speculation influences stocks and currency as well. In fact, you can argue that odds are purely and solely based on speculation. But to be fair, objectivity is nothing more than collective perception, right?
|
