| _Nut_ |
Since we are at the peak timing for hurricanes, I thought I would post some information and keep you all informed about the 3 tropical storm system that may come to effect the southeastern US.
Tropical Storm Ivan is located east-southeast of the Lesser Antilles.
Ivan is moving toward the west near 18 MPH.
...30 Km/Hr...and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.
maximum sustained winds are near 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 145 Miles
...230 KM from the center.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 997 MB...29.44 inches, and dropping slowly.
Here is a 5 day projected path
Here is a 4 panel plot with a visible sat image, Infrared image, 850 hpa temperature's and radar composite. Note the lack of a well defined eye.
Lastly, for anyone that knows what helps tropical storm system (such as Ivan) grow and maintain its strength is warm surface temperature and weak upper level winds/shear (ie. non ENSO years) As you can see from this next graphic there is plenty of warm water where Ivan is projected to track.
The last key to keeping a tropical storm alive is the weak upper level winds/shear. And sadly there is not much shear where Ivan is and will go currently:
Just wanted to give the TA's that worry about this a heads up. It is still too early to tell what will happen with Ivan, but it will need to keep an eye on and I will update this every so often if it does appear to be making PR/US landfall. |
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