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-- Hurricane for the Met people
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[[[[AT 8 AM EDT....1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 75 MILES
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.]]]]

Alright so Sam must be busy with his own work right now, Ill give an update. This is from the 9am advisory. Ill show the stuff that is relevant/what people are interested in:

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE TODAY AS CHARLEY APPROACHES
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

SAND KEY NEAR KEY WEST REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 50 MPH DURING THE
LAST HOUR.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE
WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.


I doubt the surge will reach 10-13 feet, though.

Latest visible:



(sorry so big)

Sams right, warm water + weak shear = strengthening. Right now Charley is a strong Cat2, and will probably increase to a Cat3 before/as it hits Tampa later this evening.

I wish I could be there to see this.

For the folk in Tampa, here is a wonderful radar mosaic for you. It will auto update:

2 days ago we had Hurricane Alex leftovers here, about 140mm of rain in 12 hours, but the winds were all gone by then.

said it might reach Cat 4 soon,...

luckly Tampa will be spared,.. Ft. Myers on the other hand looks like it will get hit hard

I dont think its going to hit 4.

quote:

Originally posted by Zewad said it might reach Cat 4 soon,... luckly Tampa will be spared,.. Ft. Myers on the other hand looks like it will get hit hard

Im gunna have to say a big negatory on the cat 4. The main area of the storm is already making landfall... and land cannot support a hurricane..

Nice sig change. Real sly, Sam.

quote:

Originally posted by Ang ' ela_ie Nice sig change. Real sly, Sam.

Heh. The whole alliance thing was kinda a ghey idear, so I changed it up some.

It's a category 4


NBC, MSNBC and news services

Updated: 1:58 p.m. ET Aug. 13, 2004 TAMPA, Fla. -

A "scary, scary" Hurricane Charley strengthened Friday to sustained winds of 145 mph, making it a category 4 hurricane, which can cause severe damage, capable of damaging buildings and flooding coastal areas with 18-foot storm surges. As Charley pushed toward the southwest coast of Florida, forecasters said they expected it to make landfall Friday afternoon south of Tampa and just north of Fort Myers.

Forecasters moved the hurricane's projected track slightly to the south, indicating the eye of the storm could move over the Sarasota-Charlotte county area, about 120 miles south of the more heavily populated Tampa Bay. That area includes low-lying islands that have become popular retirement and tourist destinations in recent years.

By noon, Charley�s outer bands were already dropping rain on southwestern Florida.

Charley was upgraded from a category 2 to a 4 within just 90 minutes. Only category 5, with winds greater than 155 mph and causing catastrophic damage, is higher on the scale used by the National Hurricane Center.

If it remains at its current strength, Charley would be the strongest hurricane since category 5 Andrew hit south of Miami in 1992.

Florida officials urged about 2 million people to evacuate coastal areas and avoid the path of a storm that could then sweep through central Florida with hurricane-force winds.


In Tampa, many streets there were deserted Friday morning as workers were told to stay home.

By 8 a.m. ET, a shelter at Sickles High School in northwestern Tampa was full to its capacity of 500. Windows had been reinforced with screens and tarps to prepare for the storm.

�I�m scared that we�re going to go home and nothing is going to be there,� 20-year-old Amanda Kellogg said as she played blackjack with four friends, their suitcases, bedding and other possessions piled beside them.

Once it makes landfall, Charley was expected to head through central Florida with hurricane-force winds for up to 12 hours, Ed Rappaport, deputy director of the National Hurricane Center, told MSNBC.

I would just get the fuck out of there.

An 18ft storm surge will flood a two story house.

Winds are up to 145 mph.


Hope everyone stays safe!



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...ml/131716.shtml

000
WTNT61 KNHC 131716
TCUAT
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
115 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

AT 115 PM EDT...1715Z...A U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT MEASURED 10000 FT FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF 162 MPH AT A
DISTANCE OF 8 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE. THIS GIVES
AN ESTIMATED SURFACE WIND OF 145 MPH...CATEGORY FOUR ON THE SAFFIR
SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL FOLLOW SHORTLY.

LAWRENCE

NHC is still seeing 125mph winds. We'll see what their next discussion says.
edit: Winds are approximated on the surface when measured by aircraft.

who or what are the "met?" Is it metropolitan Tampa and Clearwater?

Meteorology.

Please tell me you were joking with that post.

The hurricane is a category four now... We're going to be about 40-50 miles outside of the eye of the hurricane, the most dangerous place of them all. They're saying that we're going to be hit worst than any other place as of right now.

question to the FLTA's: would you rather have snow like us or hurricanes?

quote:

Originally posted by _Nut_ Heh. The whole alliance thing was kinda a ghey idear, so I changed it up some.

quote:

Originally posted by Ang ' ela_ie Meteorology. Please tell me you were joking with that post.

yuo don't see us going around starting an alliance

quote:

Originally posted by anuneventrade The hurricane is a category four now... We're going to be about 40-50 miles outside of the eye of the hurricane, the most dangerous place of them all. They're saying that we're going to be hit worst than any other place as of right now.

Don't worry Sara, just be safe and you'll do good

quote:

Originally posted by Ang ' ela_ie I dont think its going to hit 4.

So much for womens intuition.

quote:

Originally posted by Ripped Bag So much for womens intuition.

so much for friendly Texans

quote:

Originally posted by ShadoWolf so much for friendly Texans

What does cracking a joke have to do with being friendly? Tard.

Youre right, I had no intuition on it. I feel stupid but I cant explain why it got stronger... Im going to go home after work and look at data (which I cant do right now) until I figure it out.

The unborn gay baby wales blood spilled in to the gulf and warmed the waters outside Florida.

quote:

Originally posted by Ripped Bag What does cracking a joke have to do with being friendly? Tard.

oh that was a joke? I couldn't tell because it wasn't funny at all

quote:

Originally posted by ShadoWolf oh that was a joke? I couldn't tell because it wasn't funny at all

Aww.. so sad you have a shite sense of humor

yay, flame war in a hurricane thread.

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