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Posted by DrUg_Tit0 on Jun-16-2005 15:38:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
No offense - I do completely disagree with xxxtacy - but there is something to be said about killing people because of their political beliefs/associations and killing people simply because of their ethnic background.

Whereas one you can change, the other you can not and is the ultimate form of racism (because you are born like A you must be B...)


I agree with my friend from the commie quadrant here. The reason why Hitler was so much worse than all the other dictators is because you never had the option to adopt his ideals and be left unharmed. Even if you became an antisemitic jew, you'd still end up in a concentration camp.


Posted by TheNobleEu on Jun-16-2005 16:04:

quote:
Originally posted by DrUg_Tit0
I agree with my friend from the commie quadrant here. The reason why Hitler was so much worse than all the other dictators is because you never had the option to adopt his ideals and be left unharmed. Even if you became an antisemitic jew, you'd still end up in a concentration camp.


Not always.

Jews willing to inform on the political activities of their fellow Jews were elevated to special status and placed as a sort of 'special police' in charge of ghettoes. Their main job was to serve as accountable middle-men between the Jews and the Germans.

Such 'police' were later found at concentration camps as well, where they could or may not also find themselves part of the German Sonderkommando, a unit of slave labourers (not necessarily only Jews) who were kept alive to basically assist in processing other inmates for extermination (Jews, Communists, Socialists, other political-intellectual opponents of Nazism, Homosexuals, Gypsies, all manner of Slavs, sometimes Allied POWs belonging to the categories mentioned above, certainly Russian POWs, members of the German military and government that fell out of favour with Hitler, etc.)

Also, Jews considered "skilled labour" (this even includes professional maids, butlers, cooks, tailors, etc.) by the Reich were also segregated and forced to work for high ranking officers and/or the industrial German war effort -- they were better treated, but not by much. This category probably accounts for the largest volume of Holocaust survivors.

-Noble


Posted by TheNobleEu on Jun-16-2005 16:58:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
How has the media been downplaying the economic circumstances of the EU?


Didn't you see the article in this forum that stated Europe was dead? lol

What follows is the short version of what I lost:



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
The worst of the wear is Italy which is plagued by recession in the past 2 quarters. Its unit/labor costs have risen by 20% since adopting the Euro making its exports uncompetitive, and its public debt is over 100% of GDP.


This was the plight of Italy before there was an EEC.

Italy as a litmus test of the economic strength of the EU is a laughable suggestion (but I think this is the Economist speaking here, not you necessarily).



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Then there's Germany which has been stagnating for the past several years at under 2% growth with minimal domestic demand. Unfortunately its labor market woes are only going to get worse due to the absence of much needed social reform.


Article in the recent Economist might interest you about a merger of Italy's largest bank, UniCredit, and Germany's second largest, HVB Group (4 June, p. 69 -- the article at Economist.com is pay-access only).


quote:
Originally posted by occrider
The best off of the biggest 3 eurozone economies is France and even they are suffering from near double digit unemployment.


The high unemployment in the Euro-area is the result of the extremely plump safety net provided by the social model, which promotes laziness (especially in the North).

Analysis of the Euro economies within the context of the social model is a problem senior economists don't know how to deal with yet.

I think the social model is a grand thing, but needs some serious attention.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Raise interest rates and Italy/Germany suffers. Lower interest rates and Ireland/Spain suffers. That's why the ECB has kept rates constant for the past 2 years...


The EU *doesn't need* to raise interest rates because it knows it doesn't need to in order to be competitive and still nonetheless outvalue the Dollar at a time when the Dollar is strong and the Euro is weak! That ought to tell you something about its "stength." Article in recent Economist about that too, more below.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Already you have grumblings from many of the member states about the whole deal. The Germans are certainly pissed off.


...But won't complain too loudly because it's largely their fault. They were the chief proponent of such rapid expansion, and they're the ones that wanted the former Soviet satellites in so badly. Makes you wonder how France and Germany sleep together at night.

Makes no sense to belliache after getting what one said one wanted, but Germany will.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
The Stern magazine did a poll which resulted in 56% of Germans saying they want to bring back the DM:
--
The Italians followed this up by grumbling from some of their ministers with discussions of backing out of the Euro.


This has been happening indeed, but this is the stuff of the Comedy Channel within the context of the above. Even moreso for Italy!

The EU is a product of the governments, not the people. I really think the biggest obstacle with the EU is the endemic apathy of the populace, which in Germany at least isn't going to make it's voice heard until the German election.





quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Now granted it is extremely unlikely that the Eurozone is going to be abandoned anytime soon, but it�s nowhere near an economic counterbalance to the US in the state that it is in.
--
This is reflected in the financial markets with currency traders pushing the US�s current account deficit to the back of their mind and selling the Euro down to $1.22.


Rubbish. The Euro has been steadily declining lately because the polls virtually guaranteed the Constitutional ratification would fail in France.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
As for the Microsoft decision, what�s so special about that? European firms are forced to comply with the SEC and US anti-trust laws and vice-versa for the European counterparties. That has always been the case.


Come now. I doubt I need to spell this out...

It's "special" because for the first time, American corporations are actually bound by meaningful antitrust, not the American rubber-stamp policy which previously allowed mega corporations to do almost anything they pleased. Things happily passed along in the US immediately raised red flags in the EU, much to my delight.

Now the US has to prevent monopolization at home if it cares to sell anything outside the US (which it has to since EU countries own most big brand names and trademarks in the US, making the EU the US's main market).

Kinda got them by the balls (or rather the pocketbook) now, eh?

And the EU being "forced to comply with the SEC and US anti-trust laws" is quote an amusing sentence on your part. This is like suggesting a player in the NHL would "be forced" to deal with "the competition" when playing in the Pee-Wee leagues.

I don't know about you, but I'm following the Boeing-Airbus issue and interested in seeing what's going to be the verdict there.

As a side note, I haven't been enjoying the Economist lately. As is the fate of all things that become trendy and popular, it's starting to get trashy -- it was much better a couple years back. I've cancelled my subscription and only pick up issues when it prints several articles on some recent event. I much prefer Foreign Affairs, now.

BTW: do you think the Economist is pro or anti EU?



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
How is there deception in the public media about the capabilities of the DPRK nuke program and capabilities? I just quoted you an article where Tenet himself is telling the public that N. Korea has a missile capable of hitting the west coast. They�ve also been saying that N. Korea, has had nukes since early 2000.


If you have acutally read said think-tanks, and not just googled them, you'll know the operational capacity of the missiles were withheld for quite some time before they hit "CNN."



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Ah yes, except delays in food shipments and the KEDO project were tied to N. Korean provocations and aggressive acts against S. Korea and Japan. One such example is when the S. Koreans called for a delay due to submarine and spy excursions across the DMZ or the N. Korean testing of missiles over Japan.

--
quote:
Originally posted by occrider
The N. Koreans themselves provoked the delays with their continued aggression, non-compliance, and brinkmanship diplomacy. Furthermore, the US was correct in assuming that they had already violated the accords because they restarted their weapons programs in the late 90�s. Long before they officially broke from the agreement citing the delays in KEDO.


Didn't suspicions also boil over that the DPRK were recycling spent fuel rods? I think this is around the time the better-part of the US force in S. Korea was withdrawn.

This is all hindsight on your part, operant word "assume" in your text above. This is the source of the reneg, not a dispute on whether the reneg in fact occurred (and without proof -- do I hear a mob outside shouting "Iraq" and "WMD?")

Seriously tho, basically, both parties pointing the finger back at each other for diplomatic failure on both parts.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
I�ve never heard any historian put forth the argument that the Crimean or Boer war had any significant impact whatsoever on Britain�s industrial revolution. If you have detailed analyses demonstrating such a cause and effect relationship, I would be very interested in reading it.


I don't know anything about it at all actually, but you would think it would factor considering these were two of the most costly campaigns the Brits ever undertook. I doubt much has been done on it yet.

Cheers,
-Noble


Posted by Fir3start3r on Jun-16-2005 19:17:

quote:
Originally posted by xxxtasy
I want to ask, how reputable is The Telegraph?

There are soo many flaws in this guy's opinion.

1. Yes Mao accidently killed a lot of people but it was a mistake, it was wrong communist ideals. Hitler slaughtered people with intention.


How exactly does one 'accidently' kill millions of people??

quote:

2. North Korea's nuke problem is a card Beijing can play in the political arena. So does USA uses Taiwan as a leverage. It is politics.

The difference being that Taiwan is actually still under the banner of China while North Korea is only a commie comrade...
As far as I know, Korea doesn't have that much love for China for China to be playing any cards on N.Korea's behalf...

quote:

3. Political freedom is supressed, doesnt' mean technoligical creativity is supressed. China has been luring foreign research centers, increased the salaries of all universitie's professors so that they don't work in US. What has recent Microsoft's censorship of their China blogs got to stiffling advancement in science?

While true, China technological gains have been mostly "acquired" via devious appropriation...
Microsoft's (and the blogsphere's) censorship only proves the lack of freedom of expression that the Chinese people endure.
Unfortunately once the majority of people get a wiff of what they're really missing, all hell is going to break loose; much like what Perestroika did to the U.S.S.R.
The Chinese were wise to change their business practises back in '78 but the personal rewards just aren't there for those that really want to achieve...


Posted by DrUg_Tit0 on Jun-16-2005 19:49:

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
Not always.

Jews willing to inform on the political activities of their fellow Jews were elevated to special status and placed as a sort of 'special police' in charge of ghettoes. Their main job was to serve as accountable middle-men between the Jews and the Germans.

Such 'police' were later found at concentration camps as well, where they could or may not also find themselves part of the German Sonderkommando, a unit of slave labourers (not necessarily only Jews) who were kept alive to basically assist in processing other inmates for extermination (Jews, Communists, Socialists, other political-intellectual opponents of Nazism, Homosexuals, Gypsies, all manner of Slavs, sometimes Allied POWs belonging to the categories mentioned above, certainly Russian POWs, members of the German military and government that fell out of favour with Hitler, etc.)

Also, Jews considered "skilled labour" (this even includes professional maids, butlers, cooks, tailors, etc.) by the Reich were also segregated and forced to work for high ranking officers and/or the industrial German war effort -- they were better treated, but not by much. This category probably accounts for the largest volume of Holocaust survivors.

-Noble


Yes, but those jews couldn't really hope for anything more than a gas chamber in the future. They were just buying time.


Posted by occrider on Jun-16-2005 20:16:

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
Didn't you see the article in this forum that stated Europe was dead? lol

What follows is the short version of what I lost:





This was the plight of Italy before there was an EEC.


Right, and the Italian escape from their predicament would be to devalue their currency in order to make exports more competitive, a tool that it no longer has at its disposal and now Italian economy must deal with the brunt of tight monetary policy head-on.

quote:

Italy as a litmus test of the economic strength of the EU is a laughable suggestion (but I think this is the Economist speaking here, not you necessarily).


It�s not a litmus test of the strength of the EU. If every other economy were doing fine, it would likely be immaterial. However, when the three largest economies of the Eurozone are facing some severe economic woes, that says something about the state of the Eurozone.

quote:

Article in the recent Economist might interest you about a merger of Italy's largest bank, UniCredit, and Germany's second largest, HVB Group (4 June, p. 69 -- the article at Economist.com is pay-access only).


Yea I read that article. One M&A of a bank hardly salvages the overall welfare of the German and Italian economy however (nor does it address the structural issues at play). Economic forecasters have pegged their GDP estimates at 1.1% and .3% respectively.

quote:

The high unemployment in the Euro-area is the result of the extremely plump safety net provided by the social model, which promotes laziness (especially in the North).

Analysis of the Euro economies within the context of the social model is a problem senior economists don't know how to deal with yet.

I think the social model is a grand thing, but needs some serious attention.


The problem isn�t that the Eurozone�s social model leads to a different level of full employment than the US (although Norway and Sweden have liberal social laws yet retain relatively low unemployment compared to the rest of Europe � however we shall ignore that in this discussion), the problem is that even taking this into account, the trend of unemployment has been consistently deteriorating to the point that Germany is at its highest level of unemployment in 6 years:

http://www.destatis.de/indicators/e/lrarb01ae.htm

And all German economic indicators that have come out so far this year seem to paint a picture that things are going to get a lot worse before they get better ... at least France has some nominal growth, Germany on the other hand is up a creek without a paddle with a weak labor market and weak growth. French unemployment has been trending upwards to the point that it is at its highest unemployment rate in 5 years:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dy...5061600391.html

Hardly a rosy picture of the Eurozone given the fact that these are the two largest economies, and the third largest, italy, is in a mess as we all know.

quote:

The EU *doesn't need* to raise interest rates because it knows it doesn't need to in order to be competitive and still nonetheless outvalue the Dollar at a time when the Dollar is strong and the Euro is weak! That ought to tell you something about its "stength." Article in recent Economist about that too, more below.


Why would the ECB raise interest rates to affect currency markets? That doesn�t make any sense � you would raise interest rates to combat inflation and preserve price stability. If anything, Germany and Italy would want the ECB to lower interest rates in an effort to stimulate their economies. However, the ECB won�t do so because several other Eurozone economies are overheated such as Ireland. My point is that the ECB has no monetary policy tool at its disposal with the exception of controlling price stability. As for the dollar vs. the Euro, the dollar is hardly strong. With twin deficits, the dollar is probably is at its weakest. And that should say something now that currency traders are starting to short the Euro. As for the Euro still �outvalue� ing the dollar, the actual value of the currency in most cases means nothing. After all, there are a ton of currencies that peg their currency to the dollar � does that mean their currency is in parity with the dollar? Hardly � what matters is the purchasing power of the currency.

quote:

...But won't complain too loudly because it's largely their fault. They were the chief proponent of such rapid expansion, and they're the ones that wanted the former Soviet satellites in so badly. Makes you wonder how France and Germany sleep together at night.

Makes no sense to belliache after getting what one said one wanted, but Germany will.


This has been happening indeed, but this is the stuff of the Comedy Channel within the context of the above. Even moreso for Italy!

The EU is a product of the governments, not the people. I really think the biggest obstacle with the EU is the endemic apathy of the populace, which in Germany at least isn't going to make it's voice heard until the German election.


And governments are the product of the people. Look I�m not saying that because 56% of the Germans want a return to the DM and now that Italian ministers are putting the re-adoption of the Lira back on the table that it�s going to happen tomorrow. I thought that I put the �unlikely� disclaimer in my text. What I�m doing is describing the environment that the Euro is viewed upon by these two countries. It�s not good which goes to characterize the cohesiveness, or success if you will, of the Eurozone.

quote:

Rubbish. The Euro has been steadily declining lately because the polls virtually guaranteed the Constitutional ratification would fail in France.


Umm so you�re saying that financial markets are shorting the Euro for completely non-economic reasons??? Look, if financial markets act on a political event it is because that political event has economic ramifications. In other words, if I start shorting the dollar because the US went to war in Iraq, it�s not because I think Bush is evil and that it�s morally incorrect, a trader would have a very short career if he made stupid decisions like that. I start shorting the dollar because of uncertainty about the cost of the war, success of the war, and all other factors that could economically affect the value of the dollar. The fact that financial markets are shorting the Euro is because there is some kind of perceived weakness with the currency which may or may not translate to a perceived weakness with the Eurozone.

quote:

Come now. I doubt I need to spell this out...

It's "special" because for the first time, American corporations are actually bound by meaningful antitrust, not the American rubber-stamp policy which previously allowed mega corporations to do almost anything they pleased. Things happily passed along in the US immediately raised red flags in the EU, much to my delight.

Now the US has to prevent monopolization at home if it cares to sell anything outside the US (which it has to since EU countries own most big brand names and trademarks in the US). Kinda got them by the balls (or rather the pocketbook) now, eh?

And the EU being "forced to comply with the SEC and US anti-trust laws" is quote an amusing sentence on your part. This is like suggesting a player in the NHL is being forced "to deal with the competition" when playing in the Pee-Wee leagues.


I do seem to remember a US anti-trust case against Microsoft that more or less expressed the same concerns. As for the EU owning most big brand names and trademarks in the US � huh?

http://www.forbes.com/lists/results...olumnClick=true

Hmmm actually maybe you�re right. I don�t think the US has to worry about monopolistic non-compliance from any EU companies any time soon .

quote:

As a side note, I haven't been enjoying the Economist lately. As is the fate of all things that become trendy and popular, it's starting to get trashy -- it was much better a couple years back. I've cancelled my subscription and only pick up issues when it prints several articles on some recent event. I much prefer Foreign Affairs, now.

BTW: do you think the Economist is pro or anti EU?


I enjoy the economist. I don�t particularly think it has a pro or anti EU agenda at all. I think it is simply reporting on the economic situation of Europe and some of the failures of the EU. It rails on the US all the time about its twin deficits, it�s not like I�m going to suddenly accuse it of having an anti-US agenda for telling it like it is.

I�ve read a number of similar assessments in other business journals. Take businessweek for example:

quote:

Squeezed By The Euro
Europe's single currency has not promoted growth. It has also failed to spark needed reforms and fiscal discipline

Were the skeptics right? In early 1998, University of Bonn Professor Manfred J.M. Neumann mobilized 155 fellow economists to protest the coming introduction of the European common currency. The euro was dangerously premature, they argued in open letters published in major newspapers. Big countries such as Germany and France lacked the flexible labor markets they needed to compensate for losing control over monetary policy as a tool to promote growth. Needless to say, the protests had little effect. The euro blasted off on Jan. 1, 1999, as planned.

Six years later, Neumann's warning seems ominously prescient. Far from becoming a powerhouse to compete with the U.S. and Asia, Europe in the past four years has been nearly stagnant, with average annual growth in the euro zone of of 1.2% since 2002. Meanwhile, it's hard to overlook the superior economic performance of European Union members that stayed clear of the common currency. Britain and Sweden have enjoyed healthy expansions and lower unemployment. Britain's jobless rate is 4.7%, compared with 8.9% for the euro zone.

Even common currency champions such as European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet see little chance of a euroland boom anytime soon. Just as Neumann predicted, overregulated labor markets in much of the euro zone prevent pay scales from reacting fast enough to competitive pressure from abroad. And individual countries can no longer compensate for these rigidities by devaluing their currencies to boost exports, usually through the swift downward movement of interest rates. "Unfortunately," says Professor Neumann ruefully, "we were right."

That raises a larger question: Was the euro a mistake? Not even euro-skeptics such as Neumann argue that the currency should be scrapped now that euro coins and notes have become a fact of life from Finland to Greece. "It would be insane to give up the euro. We have to make the most of it," Neumann says.

IMPATIENCE ON THE RISE
Still, the question hangs in the air, especially amid evidence of growing popular discontent over core Europe's dreadful economic performance. A dramatic expression of that discontent came on May 22 when German Chancellor Gerhard Schr�der's Social Democratic Party (SPD) was booted from power in North Rhine-Westphalia, an economically battered industrial state that had been ruled by the party for four decades. Schr�der, in what amounts to an admission that his tepid economic reforms have failed, has called for national elections in September, a year early. In addition, French and Dutch voters may reject the proposed European constitution in referendums May 29 and June 1. If so, the votes will surely be interpreted as protests against a European system that seems ever more powerful yet ever more unable to deliver jobs and prosperity. The euro is integral to that system.

Stagnation and political upheaval were obviously not part of the plan when the currency was launched six years ago. At the time, euro-optimism was running high. The idea was this: Before they could adopt the currency, countries like France, Germany, Italy, and others would rein in their budget deficits, and afterwards keep public spending in check to support monetary union. The existence of one currency, backed by fiscal discipline across the board, would then turn the half-fiction of a common market into reality. As Europe's various economies melded together into one, internal barriers to competition would tumble and the best-managed countries and companies would pull ahead. Countries that lagged would respond by loosening labor rules and cutting taxes to boost competitiveness. Like the Bundesbank, which had made Germany a beacon of monetary stability, the ECB would squash any hint of inflation with a rate hike. If countries wanted to grow, they would have to deregulate their economies and keep wage hikes in line with productivity.

Now check out what happened. First, the benefits. Currency risk within the euro zone is gone: no need to hedge the lira against the franc, for example. Finnish mobile-phone company Nokia Corp. (NOK ) estimates that it saves at least $6 million a year in transaction costs within the euro zone, and that doesn't count savings by suppliers that ultimately benefit Nokia. "It makes the whole supply chain more efficient," says Nokia Chief Financial Officer Rick Simonson.

Financial markets in Europe, meanwhile, have gotten a huge boost. Companies in countries whose national currency had been weak, such as Italy and Portugal, almost overnight saw their credit ratings improve. Italian companies were able to raise $82 billion on capital markets in 2003, more than double the amount they raised in 1999, says the ECB. Governments have saved billions by refinancing the national debt at lower interest rates. The euro, bolstered by initially high rates, has also ushered in an era of unprecedented low inflation in Europe.

That's the bright side. But the costs have been enormous. Europeans remain skeptical about the euro, which they see as a project driven by politicians with little regard for ordinary people. Huge majorities are convinced that shops and restaurants used the introduction of euro notes and coins in 2002 to raise prices, which in fact was often the case, even if overall inflation remained steady. These resentments have increased doubts about the whole European project. "Prices rocketed. Now we can't buy as much," says Catherine Dumont, 47, a secretary who spoke as she shopped at a Monoprix supermarket in Paris. "It will have an impact on my opinion on referendum day," she adds, leaving little doubt she will vote "no" on the constitution.

More important, the virtuous circle of competition and reform that the euro was supposed to kick off never materialized. The ECB, sworn to fight inflation, cut rates gradually from a high of 4.75% in 2000 to the current benchmark rate of 2% in June, 2003. That kind of monetary discipline was tough for Italy, which is having a hard time adjusting to a world where it can't devalue its way out of trouble, says Domenico Siniscalco, Italy's Finance and Economy Minister. "It's like taking a tiger and trying to make it turn vegetarian," he says. Germany would also benefit from a weaker currency, which would make its exports cheaper. "Things would have been better with the Deutschemark," says Joachim Preissl, owner and president of BING Power Systems, a Nuremberg-based maker of engine parts for customers including Porsche and BMW. Preissl says the strong euro makes it harder to compete with Mexican and Chinese rivals.

To compensate for the loss of currency flexibility, both Italy and Germany could opt to reform much faster. But not even the harangues of the ECB can get the Italians, French, and Germans to confront politically explosive tasks, whether it's changing rules in France that make it difficult and costly to fire workers, or getting Germany to allow Dutch plumbers to compete for business in Dusseldorf. "None of the big countries is fighting to create a European market," says Rafael Pampill�n, an economics professor at Madrid business school Instituto de Empresa.

THE POLICY PITFALL
Even the fiscal discipline imposed as a precondition to monetary union is going by the board. Germany's budget deficit has exceeded the limit of 3% of gross domestic product since 2002. Now Italy and Portugal are also overdrawn. Rather than reining in spending, euro-zone countries earlier this year agreed to loosen the deficit restrictions.

While Germany, Italy, and France would suffer if rates rose, other countries in the zone could use tighter money. Spain has an inflation rate of 3.5%, vs. 2% for the ECB's benchmark interest rate. That means Spain effectively has negative interest rates.


The divergence makes it almost impossible for the ECB to formulate an economic policy that fits all the countries. Derek Scott, former economic adviser to British Prime Minister Tony Blair and a leading euro-skeptic, says the ECB can't risk hurting German growth by tightening the money supply, even if that means higher inflation in countries such as Spain. That in turn could undermine the ECB's reputation as a stern inflation-fighter. "With a single currency, you exchange the apparent stability of nominal exchange rates for greater instability of the things that matter: output, jobs, and inflation," Scott says.

Of course, European central bankers dispute such theories. "One size does fit all!" insisted Otmar Issing, a member of the ECB's executive board, in a speech to a Frankfurt audience on May 20. The divergence in member-country growth rates is below the historical average, he said, an indication that the euro is not pushing countries to move at different speeds. Likewise, ECB President Trichet was at pains to point out the euro's benefits to an Italian business audience recently. But in a sign of growing nervousness within the bank, he also warned political leaders to step up the pace of reform. "Many countries have not adapted their economic, social, and legal frameworks in order to face the new challenges," Trichet said.

Some governments have pulled off those changes, cutting taxes, rolling back job regulations, and eliminating barriers to competition. That's true of countries in the euro, like Ireland, and outside it, like Britain, Denmark, and Sweden, which focused on deep structural reforms after experiencing wrenching economic crises. Now, Germany may get a reformist government in September led by Christian Democrat Angela Merkel. A stronger dollar would also do wonders for Europe by making its exports cheaper abroad.

But the euro countries will enter uncharted territory if, say, Italy and Portugal continue to deteriorate or Germany proves unable to return to health. Some economists speculate that in the worst case, a country such as Italy might get into such trouble that it would seek to pull out of the currency union. Patrick Minford, an economist at Cardiff Business School in Britain, thinks it more likely that one of the weak countries will run into budget problems and seek a bailout from its neighbors -- provoking a political backlash in Germany, where the euro was never popular. That could strain the currency union to the point of collapse. "The weakest point is Germany," says Minford, a member of the EMU Monitor, a group of university economists from around Europe who issue periodic reports on European monetary policy. Minford considers the possibility of a euro meltdown remote but adds: "It could be a very uncomfortable decade."

Can the euro survive? That's a question no one wants to contemplate. The pressure is on European leaders to make sure they never have to. Zz
http://www.businessweek.com/magazin...36068_mz054.htm



quote:

If you have acutally read said think-tanks, and not just googled them, you'll know the operational capacity of the missiles were withheld for quite some time before they hit "CNN."


I have read the reports of think tanks. And the true operational capacity of the Taep'o-dong-2 is still conjecture on the basis that they have not completed a single reported test firing of the missile. As a matter of fact, Tenet saying that the N. Koreans had a missile capable of hitting the United States back in 2003, was an overestimation of N. Korean capabilities imo. The N. Koreans have only completed a test firing of the engine of the first stage rocket. And that was reported in the media: (Gertz, Bill, "N. Korea tests its missile engine", The Washington Times, 3, July 2001, pp. 1 and 7.)

The North Koreans have had trouble adapting the 3rd stage to the 2 stage rocket:

quote:

North Korea has probably had considerable troubles with adapting the structurally heavy No-dong second stage to their new Taep'o-dong-2 first stage. It reflects on poor engineering design decisions both in its structural design and imposed performance penalties verses the PRC Chinese DF-4/CSS-3 design.
http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/dprk/td-2.htm


And the Defense Intelligence Agency finally said that the missiles may be ready for testing in 2005! So once again, if the White House is trying to hide such information, why go out of their way to say that the N. Koreans have a missile capable of hitting the west coast when the N. Koreans have never even test fired it? And furthermore, what �panic� was elicited when Tenet made his statement?

quote:

Didn't suspicions also boil over that the DPRK were recycling spent fuel rods? I think this is around the time the better-part of the US force in S. Korea was withdrawn.

This is all hindsight on your part, operant word "assume" in your text above. This is the source of the reneg, not a dispute that the reneg didn't occur without proof (do I hear a mob outside shouting "Iraq?")

Basically, both pointing the finger back at each other for diplomatic failure on both parts.


I don�t understand what you are saying here. Perhaps you can clarify? The US discovered that the N. Koreans had restarted their nuclear weapons program back in the 90�s. When the US approached N. Korea with their evidence, the N. Koreans admitted to it and then dropped out of the NPT. That wasn�t the reason for the delay in the fuel shipments/KEDO project however. Those delays stemmed from the fact that N. Korea was conducting aggressive activities against its neighbors and the fact that they were non-compliant with IAEA regulations for the KEDO project in accordance with the 1994 framework agreement. Therefore, N. Korea itself provoked the delays that were the �justification� for it�s reactivation of its weapons program.

quote:

I don't anything about it at all actually, but you would think it would factor considering these were two of the most costly campaigns the Brits ever engaged in. I doubt much has been done on it yet.

Cheers,
-Noble


Well given the fact that the industrial revolution roughly began in the 1830s and that the Crimean war didn�t begin until 1856 and that the Boer war didn�t begin until the 1890s, I�m skeptical as to them being major players in causing the industrial revolution.


Posted by St_Andrew on Jun-16-2005 21:05:

quote:
Originally posted by DrUg_Tit0
I agree with my friend from the commie quadrant here. The reason why Hitler was so much worse than all the other dictators is because you never had the option to adopt his ideals and be left unharmed. Even if you became an antisemitic jew, you'd still end up in a concentration camp.


yes, but he thought he did it for mankind - to improve the genes of our genepool. Of course it was seriously flawed, but that was still his arguments, and i would say mao's arguments were flawed too!


Posted by TheNobleEu on Jun-17-2005 00:09:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Right, and the Italian escape from their predicament would be to devalue their currency in order to make exports more competitive, a tool that it no longer has at its disposal and now Italian economy must deal with the brunt of tight monetary policy head-on.


Do you think this is the motive behind the idea of bringing back the Lira?



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
It�s not a litmus test of the strength of the EU. If every other economy were doing fine, it would likely be immaterial. However, when the three largest economies of the Eurozone are facing some severe economic woes, that says something about the state of the Eurozone.


I'm just not sure of the fairness of measuring the EU on the basis of problems inherent to member countries before the EU was formed -- neither are the economists.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Yea I read that article. One M&A of a bank hardly salvages the overall welfare of the German and Italian economy however (nor does it address the structural issues at play). Economic forecasters have pegged their GDP estimates at 1.1% and .3% respectively.


Haven't the German banks been doing well lately? I seem to recall reading a few Economist articles to this effect in the last few months (but you obviously know more about it than I do).



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
The problem isn�t that the Eurozone�s social model leads to a different level of full employment than the US (although Norway and Sweden have liberal social laws yet retain relatively low unemployment compared to the rest of Europe � however we shall ignore that in this discussion), the problem is that even taking this into account, the trend of unemployment has been consistently deteriorating to the point that Germany is at its highest level of unemployment in 6 years:


True, but I understand this to be a fact of life in Europe since the EEC.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
And governments are the product of the people. Look I�m not saying that because 56% of the Germans want a return to the DM and now that Italian ministers are putting the re-adoption of the Lira back on the table that it�s going to happen tomorrow. I thought that I put the �unlikely� disclaimer in my text. What I�m doing is describing the environment that the Euro is viewed upon by these two countries.


Fair enough, I think I misunderstood you initially and that we're basically agreeing here (I'm usually pressed for time when I can post).



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Umm so you�re saying that financial markets are shorting the Euro for completely non-economic reasons??? Look, if financial markets act on a political event it is because that political event has economic ramifications.


Agreed, as this most certainly does.


quote:
Originally posted by occrider
I do seem to remember a US anti-trust case against Microsoft that more or less expressed the same concerns. As for the EU owning most big brand names and trademarks in the US � huh?


Oh gee, like me to name some?

Stop & Shop, Dunkin Donuts, Slim Fast, 7UP, Hawaiian Punch, Baby Ruth, Snapple, Dr. Pepper, Miller beer, A&W Root Beer, Taster's Choice Coffee, Captain Morgan's Rum, Ben & Jerry's Ice Cream, Archway Cookies, Power Bars, Bazooka Joe Gum, Hellmann's, Lean Cuisine, Mazola, Kool and Lucky Strike and Kent cigarettes, Penguin Books, Random House Books, The Financial Times, Chicago Sun Times, New York Post, First Boston National Bank, Ray Band sunglasses, Dial Soap, Britney Spear's label, Plymouth, Dodge, Chrysler, Case, Jeep-Wrangler, the LA Dodgers, the American Heritage Dictionary...

None of these are American -- my point was that many household products one thinks of as typically "American" are owned by Europeans. The primary market for the US and the EU are each other.





quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Well given the fact that the industrial revolution roughly began in the 1830s and that the Crimean war didn�t begin until 1856 and that the Boer war didn�t begin until the 1890s, I�m skeptical as to them being major players in causing the industrial revolution.


Never said they caused industrial revolution...

Sigh,
-Noble


Posted by DrUg_Tit0 on Jun-17-2005 20:53:

quote:
Originally posted by St_Andrew
yes, but he thought he did it for mankind - to improve the genes of our genepool. Of course it was seriously flawed, but that was still his arguments, and i would say mao's arguments were flawed too!


I know he did it because he wanted to improve mankind, I didn't say anything about his intentions. But the general concensus pretty much is that it's worse to kill people for something they didn't have power to change than to kill people for something that they could but didn't want to change.


Posted by St_Andrew on Jun-17-2005 21:08:

quote:
Originally posted by DrUg_Tit0
I know he did it because he wanted to improve mankind, I didn't say anything about his intentions. But the general concensus pretty much is that it's worse to kill people for something they didn't have power to change than to kill people for something that they could but didn't want to change.


I think both are discusting, but i dont know if i would say that one was a lot worse than the other. And since mao killed so many more, i think he should take the more evil spot in front of hitler!


Posted by Yoepus on Jun-17-2005 22:05:

quote:
Originally posted by St_Andrew
I think both are discusting, but i dont know if i would say that one was a lot worse than the other. And since mao killed so many more, i think he should take the more evil spot in front of hitler!


Yea Hitler has defintely lost his "arch-Evil" status these days. I think its mostly due to the dumbing down of the phrase "hitler" by associating almost everything that you disagree to with Hitler, i.e. "Blair is like Hitler, Sharon is like Hitler, Osama is like Hitler" when you compare such lesser evils and equalize them what can you expect?!

I mean if those characters are like Hitler than Hitler wasn't such a bad guy now was he?... So the automatic thinking of our brain goes anyway and if you repeate it 1000x it becomes true.



But defintely I would say that Mao is equvilant of the "Chinese Hitler".

The thing with Hitler is that again it was one of the most advance societies in the world (recall under Bismark they were the leading great power of the world) and it happened in Europe - a western civilized nation. For us (being Westerners) this automatically has more impact for us then say if Hitler were to have been in power in Africa or China.

It was a Western nation (I mean assume UK had a real Hitler today, or USA had a real Hitler today - someone who would setup a hidden/quiet extermination of a substaintial ethnic group of its society or just Jews. If you can imagine of something like that happening today, you'll get that grotesgouly outrageous feeling, that's about as much as we can do to feel how horrible what Germany did back then was to the world).


Lastly as I've already made the argument its also in the way/method Hitler did the killing, the criteria for who would be killed, and the circumstances under the killing. People have been massacred for thousands of years during "revolutions" if they were on the wrong side. In the last century China and Russia serve this example best. However a nation massacring its own populace (and a select ethnic populace of countries it occupies) during a time of external war... I think its just unheard of in our history books.


Posted by occrider on Jun-21-2005 05:07:

I apologize for my late reply. Work has been a fucking drag as of late.

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
Do you think this is the motive behind the idea of bringing back the Lira?


Definitely.

quote:

I'm just not sure of the fairness of measuring the EU on the basis of problems inherent to member countries before the EU was formed -- neither are the economists.


Some of these problems weren�t inherent. They are deteriorating. And the fact that these countries don�t have any control over monetary policy means that they have one less tool to stimulate the economy and pull them out of a rut. This doesn�t mean economic collapse. It simply means stagnated growth. The Eurozone could be an effective economy if all the economies were more cohesive and interlinked. But instead of a dozen very similar economies with similar rules and regulations, you have a dozen very different economies with rigid labor markets and controls. This makes things very difficult for the ECB to manage. And as a result you have a situation such as this where half the Eurozone is doing well and the other half is doing poorly, and either the status quo is maintained or someone gets shafted.

quote:

Haven't the German banks been doing well lately? I seem to recall reading a few Economist articles to this effect in the last few months (but you obviously know more about it than I do).


Well if they have been, they aren�t having a tangible effect on the German economy as a whole. Just look at all the articles if you do a search for �germany economy� in bbc:

http://newssearch.bbc.co.uk/cgi-bin...DHcgABAA%40%40=

The slump has been going on for years.


quote:

True, but I understand this to be a fact of life in Europe since the EEC.


Heh, if this had been an ongoing trend since 1958, nobody would be employed in Germany and France. This has largely been a cyclical downard trend since around 2000 or so.

quote:

Oh gee, like me to name some?

Stop & Shop, Dunkin Donuts, Slim Fast, 7UP, Hawaiian Punch, Baby Ruth, Snapple, Dr. Pepper, Miller beer, A&W Root Beer, Taster's Choice Coffee, Captain Morgan's Rum, Ben & Jerry's Ice Cream, Archway Cookies, Power Bars, Bazooka Joe Gum, Hellmann's, Lean Cuisine, Mazola, Kool and Lucky Strike and Kent cigarettes, Penguin Books, Random House Books, The Financial Times, Chicago Sun Times, New York Post, First Boston National Bank, Ray Band sunglasses, Dial Soap, Britney Spear's label, Plymouth, Dodge, Chrysler, Case, Jeep-Wrangler, the LA Dodgers, the American Heritage Dictionary...

None of these are American -- my point was that many household products one thinks of as typically "American" are owned by Europeans. The primary market for the US and the EU are each other.





Yes you are correct that the primary market for the US and the EU are each other. The primary market for the US and the EU is the rest of the world. I'm glad you realise that since it saves me the time from listing the countless number of European products and subsidiaries owned by American companies. Back to your original point, this hardly constitutes having anything by the "balls" so to speak since every company is a profit maximizer and thus won't do anything stupid to screw up sales. This goes for American companies too. Thus parity is a more accurate description. Some say China has us by the balls with their fixed currency which allows the US to finance its deficits, however, once again it's a parity relationship. China is doing what it's doing for a reason ... for its own benefit. If it tried to seriously fuck up the US, it would be disastrous for China and the global economy as a whole. In this day and age, mutual success has replaced competitive malignment as the new mantra. This is why the markets in Europe react negatively to bad US economic data and vice-versa.

quote:

Never said they caused industrial revolution...

Sigh,
-Noble


Well you haven't said how exactly they've aided the industrial revolution with any tangible evidence soooo without any weight behind the alternative hypothesis, I revert back to the null hypothesis that them from playing a major role.


Posted by TheNobleEu on Jun-21-2005 15:03:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Back to your original point, this hardly constitutes having anything by the "balls" so to speak since every company is a profit maximizer and thus won't do anything stupid to screw up sales. This goes for American companies too. Thus parity is a more accurate description.


No, it really isn't -- I think you're still missing the point:

The EU regulations are five times as stringent as the US's; the laws that shackle the US in the EU, simply not being present in the States, gives the EU free reign to dominate the US market while the US cannot do the same in the EU.

The EU can and already has slapped the US with billions in fines and corporate loses.

This is why I chuckled at the notion that 'the EU has to observe US antitrust equally,' quite true in theory, a farsical notion in practice. That's like going from the MLB to the minor A and then asserting one can compare the two on equal footing.

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Some say China has us by the balls with their fixed currency which allows the US to finance its deficits, however, once again it's a parity relationship. China is doing what it's doing for a reason ... for its own benefit. If it tried to seriously fuck up the US, it would be disastrous for China and the global economy as a whole.


Wait for it:

http://www.economist.com/displaysto...25%23P%23%3C%0A



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Well you haven't said how exactly they've aided the industrial revolution with any tangible evidence soooo without any weight behind the alternative hypothesis, I revert back to the null hypothesis that them from playing a major role.


Sigh. You're catching the disinformation bug.

Never mind.

Cheers,
-Noble


Posted by TheNobleEu on Jun-21-2005 15:05:

whups!


Posted by Yoepus on Jun-21-2005 16:14:

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.


EU 'anti-trust' law (but I'd say the commission really) is one of the most farsical, corrupt, purely anti-anything-European, despicable, money-grubbing institutions I have ever encountered.

But thats just me


Posted by shaolin_Z on Jun-21-2005 16:16:

hey Noble, check your PM


Posted by occrider on Jun-21-2005 16:26:

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
No, it really isn't -- I think you're still missing the point:

The EU regulations are five times as stringent as the US's; the laws that shackle the US in the EU, simply not being present in the States, gives the EU free reign to dominate the US market while the US cannot do the same in the EU.

The EU can and already has slapped the US with billions in fines and corporate loses.

This is why I chuckled at the notion that 'the EU has to observe US antitrust equally,' quite true in theory, a farsical notion in practice. That's like going from the MLB to the minor A and then asserting one can compare the two on equal footing.

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.


Huh? Ok point to some tangible losses US companies are facing in the EU asides from Microsoft (which both the US and EU prosecuted and fined mind you). What other US companies are withering away in the face of such disparity? You think that strict regulatory controls are aiding EU companies? Hmmm yea that might explain why 7 of the 10 largest companies in the world are US based:

http://www.forbes.com/lists/results...olumnClick=true

Yup, these companies will be going down now .

As a matter of fact, the biggest complaining about adhereing to regulatory requirements comes from the EU over the Sarbanes-Oxley requirements:

quote:

Europeans complain over Sarbanes Oxley costs and to SEC over U.S. listing requirements
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted by London on Feb 12, 2004, 20:24


European companies, worried about the costs and restrictions of complying with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, are mounting a drive to make it easier for them to stop complying with U.S. securities laws.

In a letter to William Donaldson, the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, 11 organizations of companies - saying they represented 100,000 European companies including more than 100 whose securities are traded in the United States, asked for changes that would make it easier for them to stop being registered with the SEC. The letter was made public Wednesday.

.
While some European companies are "quite satisfied with their experience in the U.S. market," others have concluded that the costs are not worth the benefits, said the letter, signed by business leaders including Alain Joly, the president of the European Association for Listed Companies and the chairman of the supervisory board of Air Liquide.
.
"There is a feeling of, 'Why do you want to have a U.S. listing,'" said Edward Greene, a partner in the London office of Cleary, Gottlieb, Steen Hamilton, who prepared a proposal for changes in U.S. rules for the European companies. "The costs of Sarbanes-Oxley have been substantial. The hidden sleeper has been the upcoming attestation of internal controls. It really is a substantial effect on costs and audit fees."

The rule he referred to, whose implementation was delayed until 2005 for foreign companies, requires corporate executives to certify that internal financial controls are adequate, and requires outside auditors to certify that the management's conclusions are accurate. Companies have complained that will raise audit fees substantially.

Greene, a former SEC general counsel, said many companies were also concerned about bars on company loans to executives. They were included in Sarbanes-Oxley when it was passed in 2001, in the aftermath of the Enron and WorldCom scandals, both of which involved loans to executives.

Under current law, a company that wants to sell securities to the public in the United States, or to list securities on a U.S. market, must reconcile its financial statements to U.S. accounting rules and comply with American securities laws, including Sarbanes-Oxley.

A company that no longer values a U.S. listing can easily delist from the exchange, Greene said. But it remains subject to the securities laws unless it can show that it has fewer than 300 American investors. To do that, it must conduct research to determine its actual shareholders, regardless of whether those holders bought the shares in America or overseas. That is a difficult standard to meet, and even if it is met the company might have to resume complying with the U.S. rules in a later year if the number goes back above 300.
.
The companies proposed that European concerns should be able to drop their registration if they delisted and showed that less than 5 percent of their share volume was in the United States. That would cover many prominent companies, including some that trade in substantial volume in New York. For example, hundreds of thousands of shares of Deutsche Telekom, the German telephone company, are traded each day on the Big Board. But that volume is dwarfed by its volume in Germany.
.
The European companies' proposal would not apply to Japanese or other overseas companies because it assumes the European companies would follow new International Accounting standards, as they are expected to do beginning in 2005, although some European companies are resisting the international rule on accounting for derivatives.
.
An SEC spokesman in Washington declined to comment on the letter. But the proposal is likely to run into some opposition in America, since it would be seen as a step on the road to acceptance of international standards as being equivalent to American ones.
.
European companies that listed in the United States did so in some cases to be able to use stock to acquire U.S. companies, or to gain access to American capital markets. But many have found that American institutional investors are willing to buy shares overseas, wherever the most liquidity is. And companies that are not listed in the United States can sell securities there in private offerings, under an SEC rule known as 144A, so long as the buyers are institutional investors.
.
"As a result," said the letter, "many of our member companies with U.S. listed securities find that they have no greater access to the U.S. market than other companies whose securities are listed only in Europe."
http://www.srimedia.com/artman/publish/article_753.shtml


quote:

Wait for it:

http://www.economist.com/displaysto...25%23P%23%3C%0A


Wait for what? That article didn�t address any of my points. The US is the largest net importer of Chinese goods. Where else do you think those goods are going to go? For christ�s sake, did you get any higher level education in economics? Do you not understand how markets work?? How the global economy works??

quote:

Sigh. You're catching the disinformation bug.

Never mind.

Cheers,
-Noble


No let�s not never mind. You�ve been cherry picking which arguments you respond to after I come back with evidence to support my claims, and that�s fine. But it�s utterly fucking ridiculous for you to accuse me of being misinformed when you�ve provided no evidence whatsoever to support your claims other than baseless, hypothetical conjecture on your part. My original claim was this:

quote:

occrider: Did Great Britain undergo its industrial revolution due to a war? No it was fueled by resources, technology, labor, etc., the same as America.

to which you replied this:

quote:

Noble: Hmm, and the Crimean and Boer Wars?


Clearly indicating that Great Britain underwent the industrial revolution due to the Crimean and Boer War, obtuse to the fact that both these wars occurred 30 and 50 years after the industrial revolution started. So now you�re arguing that both these had a major influence on the industrial revolution ... fine. Well, what influence did they have??? Would the industrial revolution sputtered out and died without these wars? Would output have been twice as less? Would Great Britain be playing American football without these wars? You clearly haven�t done any research into this at all so far, because you haven�t provided any evidence whatsoever to support your [b]baseless[./b] claims. And then you accuse me of being guilty of being misinformed because you haven�t provided any iota of evidence to convince me that you know anything about what you�re talking about???


Posted by Yoepus on Jun-21-2005 16:59:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Huh? Ok point to some tangible losses US companies are facing in the EU asides from Microsoft (which both the US and EU prosecuted and fined mind you). What other US companies are withering away in the face of such disparity? You think that strict regulatory controls are aiding EU companies? Hmmm yea that might explain why 7 of the 10 largest companies in the world are US based:

http://www.forbes.com/lists/results...olumnClick=true

Yup, these companies will be going down now .


Actually its more then just Microsoft (and the case regarding Microsoft was regarding Windows Media player -- which you can uninstall if you want - not IE. Aside from the fact that the 'punishment' for including media player in Windows was rididiclous).

But there are several other notable ones:
GE / Honeywell (probably the most rididiclous decission by the commission)
Timewarner / AOL
Vivendi / Universal

And undoubtedly I'm forgetting a couple.


Posted by occrider on Jun-21-2005 17:28:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
Actually its more then just Microsoft (and the case regarding Microsoft was regarding Windows Media player -- which you can uninstall if you want - not IE. Aside from the fact that the 'punishment' for including media player in Windows was rididiclous).

But there are several other notable ones:
GE / Honeywell (probably the most rididiclous decission by the commission)
Timewarner / AOL
Vivendi / Universal

And undoubtedly I'm forgetting a couple.


Ok, these are rejections of mergers and acquisitions. Not anti-trust fines. Therefore, in what way are US companies being disadvantaged such that there is arbitrage for European companies?


Posted by TheNobleEu on Jun-21-2005 18:10:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Huh? Ok point to some tangible losses US companies are facing in the EU...


LOL Go ask Jack Welch.

EDIT: You would probably be very interested in this: Winning by Jack Welch. He speaks with quite conciliatory, but grudging, tone about the EU's blocking the merger of GE and Honeywell (a multi-billion dollar loss, with some 15 million in [futile] legal fees alone).



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Wait for what? That article didn�t address any of my points.


Then you obviously didn't read it.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
No let�s not never mind. You�ve been cherry picking which arguments you respond to after I come back with evidence to support my claims, and that�s fine. But it�s utterly fucking ridiculous for you to accuse me of being misinformed


Ok, let's not.

And to think you've been the most rational so far...

I never claimed you were misinformed about this. I claimed you "were catching the disinformation bug," i.e., you were misrepresenting what I said, and you still are.

My asking you your opinion on *how* the Crimean and Boer campaigns contributed to industrialization (especially the peak of the 1890s in the case of the latter) *in no way* = a claim on my part that these conflicts *started an event 50 years previous!*

That's called an anachronism, and it was you that pointed out that it would be. It was *you* that assumed there was a connection there, where none was stated -- observe your own citations!



Re: cherry picking, I refer you back to the statements made earlier that I usually won't respond when you or anyone else are having a conversation with yourself by forcing words into my mouth, e.g., the above.

If you're going to do that, why do you need me?


EDIT: you're obviously a smart guy, and you'll note that I've admitted when I don't know something and have asked your opinion. When I'm unsure what you mean, you'll also note in several instances I've asked clarification. Just don't assume, misrepresent, and then fly off the handle, ok? It's not worth getting annoyed over. I'm don't mean to come off as condescending, but I refuse to take up some opinion thrust upon me as my own, and neither will I get upset or dwell over a forum.

Shaolin: check your PMs.

Bibi,
-Noble


Posted by Yoepus on Jun-21-2005 18:58:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Ok, these are rejections of mergers and acquisitions. Not anti-trust fines. Therefore, in what way are US companies being disadvantaged such that there is arbitrage for European companies?


The above stated rejection of mergers were all based (rejected) on anti-trust grounds.


Posted by occrider on Jun-21-2005 19:16:

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
LOL Go ask Jack Welch.


Yes and as I mentioned to Yoepus, it prevented a merger. It didn�t create an arbitrage opportunity for European companies. I could use similar fallacious reasoning to argue that the US has EU businesses �by the balls� with Sarbanes-Oxley and other SEC regulatory compliance laws � except for the fact that it doesn�t create arbitrage for US companies.

quote:

Then you obviously didn't read it.


Oh ok. Then please point out the salient points of the article that addresses or refutes my statement:

Some say China has us by the balls with their fixed currency which allows the US to finance its deficits, however, once again it's a parity relationship. China is doing what it's doing for a reason ... for its own benefit. If it tried to seriously fuck up the US, it would be disastrous for China and the global economy as a whole.

quote:

Ok, let's not.

And to think you've been the most rational so far...

I never claimed you were misinformed about this. I claimed you "were catching the disinformation bug," i.e., you were misrepresenting what I said, and you still are.


Ok well here�s a rational thought � did you ever think that the reason why this �disinformation bug� seems to be following you around so prevalently is because you may be vaguely communicating your arguments such that it easily allows for an interpretation that is inconsistent with your intent? For example:

quote:

My asking you your opinion on *how* the Crimean and Boer campaigns contributed to industrialization (especially the peak of the 1890s in the case of the latter) *in no way* = a claim on my part that these conflicts *started an event 50 years previous!*

That's called an anachronism, and it was you that pointed out that it would be. It was *you* that assumed there was a connection there, where none was stated -- observe your own citations!




If you re-read my original post, I stated that the Britain did not undergo the industrial revolution due to war. To which you replied with: �Hmm, and the Crimean and Boer Wars?� Now that you are clarifying that you posed a question for my opinion, it looks to be that. But it is vague enough such that it could just as easily pass for a rebuttal. For example:

Me: The US has never pre-emptively gone to war.
You: Hmmm, and the war in Iraq?

It certainly seemed like a rebuttal question since your original argument was that the US achieved its wealth/power status due to wars. Which I disagreed with, and pointed to the US industrial revolution as my point of reference. However, I concede that I may have misrepresented your argument because the nature of the forum is argumentative and debate � a response to a quoted text is typically a rebuttal.

quote:


EDIT: you're obviously a smart guy, and you'll note that I've admitted when I don't know something and have asked your opinion. When I'm unsure what you mean, you'll also note in several instances I've asked clarification. Just don't assume, misrepresent, and then get mad, ok? It's not worth getting annoyed over. I'm don't mean to come off as condescending, but I refuse to take up some opion thrust at me, and neither will I get upset or dwell over a forum.



Well it doesn�t help when you make condescending statements such as:

quote:

Are you being deliberately obtuse?


Or make assumptions such as:

quote:

If you have acutally read said think-tanks, and not just googled them,


Or

quote:
Then you obviously didn't read it.


Or accuse me of suffering from disinformation without expounding on all your points.


Posted by St_Andrew on Jun-21-2005 20:18:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
The above stated rejection of mergers were all based (rejected) on anti-trust grounds.


and the bad things is?


Posted by NYCTrancefan on Jun-21-2005 20:31:

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
No, it really isn't -- I think you're still missing the point:

The EU regulations are five times as stringent as the US's; the laws that shackle the US in the EU, simply not being present in the States, gives the EU free reign to dominate the US market while the US cannot do the same in the EU.

The EU can and already has slapped the US with billions in fines and corporate loses.

This is why I chuckled at the notion that 'the EU has to observe US antitrust equally,' quite true in theory, a farsical notion in practice. That's like going from the MLB to the minor A and then asserting one can compare the two on equal footing.

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.


Cheers,
-Noble


Noble you are drawing a lot of analogous comparisons in your attempts to argue. First off what is your representation of the US companies being shackled in the EU, Microsoft? There goes their bank account. I have seen only this case that even delves into the relm of anti-trust and fines coming from the EU for a US company. Microsoft remove WMP, give the competition better access to your underlying technology, which ammounted to the same case Microsoft faced here in the US. Careful in painting too broad a stroke with one brush.

Why would the US even want to catch up with EU anti-trust law. Capitalism baby is the US way, don't have to tell you that.The U.S. has been at this anti-trust thing for a while you know, like since the 1900's thus the forerunners of it as a matter of fact. In fact many in the EU, Germany for example are worried about the US businesses buying up failing German companies and downsizing or relocating within or out of the country. Unlike Europe that insists on trying to keep afloat companies that are uncompetitive and having to pay the enormous social benefits, U.S companies don't even bother with that.

So while the EU regulates the fertilizer you use, the amount of toothpaste in your tube and whatever else from Brussels and Nice, the U.S. businesses carry on.


Posted by Fir3start3r on Jun-21-2005 23:13:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
EU 'anti-trust' law (but I'd say the commission really) is one of the most farsical, corrupt, purely anti-anything-European, despicable, money-grubbing institutions I have ever encountered.

But thats just me


That wouldn't be surprising since a lot of Socialist countries are involved...

I'd have to say that the U.S. better built for flourishing businesses.


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