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-- America's Debt = "We're Screwed!"
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Just to bad your government can not take over certain large corporations like Exxon and who else makes huge profits a year.
To bad not everyone can pay $60,000 at once to pay off the huge amount of debt.
One way... seeing there is about 8.3 million millionaires that live in the USA now.
Have them pay $240,000, and give them a nice tax break for 4 years.
8,300,000 x 240,000$ = 2,988,000,000,000$
Plus have some corporations give the rest of the 6,000,000,000,000$.
Start of at 0$ debt.
Re: America's Debt = "We're Screwed!"
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| Originally posted by zookeeper . We are seeing individuals purchasing large homes, of which they are not qualified, taking on 30 year and now even 40 year "interest only" monster loans, with disturbing regularity. |
Re: Re: America's Debt = "We're Screwed!"
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| Originally posted by juzfugen Really? Well then help me out see Im a mortgage broker and have been for the past 7 years and I come across people everyday who dont qualifiy for loans. so if you can point me in the the direction of these lenders who loan out money to people who dont qualify it would really help me out. |

You say I'm biased, I say I know whats actually going on versus someone who read an article in Forbes magizine, I deal with this everyday.
rofl sub 700 ficos... you realize thats 80% of america, look Im 33 years old I did auto finance for BMW and Lexus 6 years and now Im in the mortgage industry and sub 700 is NOT bad or risky whatsoever.
Risky is near 620-630 but you also have to actually look at their report and see why its low, is it debt to income or is it late/slow pays.
I bet you didnt know that if you have never max out your cards and pay off your credit cards every month your fico score goes down. Lenders are in this business to make money and if you pay off every month they dont make interest they penelize you by lowering your rating.
The higher the LTV the better the persons credit has to be, no doc/low doc loans have been around since before you were born and are extremely difficult to get approved for those should be the least of your worries. The people who got into neg am loans and didnt refinance once rates started going will either be selling their homes VERY soon or getting forclosed on but this wont be a prevailent issue because the majority of neg am loans were issued in cali and florida because of the crazy market they have had over the past 4 years. This effect will help foster a slow down in the housing market due to the influx of home availibilty and current over building taking place. While most Americans rack up debt, home ownership is the last real bastion of tax relief they have.
Yes this country has a problem with keeping up with Jones but dont place too much into an article you read about defaulting home loans.
As for the companies you mentioned, if youre uncomfortable with them then dont invest in them, thast the only reason I can think of you brining them up...
And for each lenders guidlines, ALL A paper lenders guidlines are pretty much verbatum of each other, youll have slight fluctuations but this market has become so competitive in the last 5 years they all offer the same loan, the same guidlines and it boils down to funding time and customer service
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| Originally posted by juzfugen You say I'm biased, I say I know whats actually going on versus someone who read an article in Forbes magizine, I deal with this everyday. rofl sub 700 ficos... you realize thats 80% of america, look Im 33 years old I did auto finance for BMW and Lexus 6 years and now Im in the mortgage industry and sub 700 is NOT bad or risky whatsoever. Risky is near 620-630 but you also have to actually look at their report and see why its low, is it debt to income or is it late/slow pays. I bet you didnt know that if you have never max out your cards and pay off your credit cards every month your fico score goes down. Lenders are in this business to make money and if you pay off every month they dont make interest they penelize you by lowering your rating. The higher the LTV the better the persons credit has to be, no doc/low doc loans have been around since before you were born and are extremely difficult to get approved for those should be the least of your worries. The people who got into neg am loans and didnt refinance once rates started going will either be selling their homes VERY soon or getting forclosed on but this wont be a prevailent issue because the majority of neg am loans were issued in cali and florida because of the crazy market they have had over the past 4 years. This effect will help foster a slow down in the housing market due to the influx of home availibilty and current over building taking place. While most Americans rack up debt, home ownership is the last real bastion of tax relief they have. Yes this country has a problem with keeping up with Jones but dont place too much into an article you read about defaulting home loans. As for the companies you mentioned, if youre uncomfortable with them then dont invest in them, thast the only reason I can think of you brining them up... And for each lenders guidlines, ALL A paper lenders guidlines are pretty much verbatum of each other, youll have slight fluctuations but this market has become so competitive in the last 5 years they all offer the same loan, the same guidlines and it boils down to funding time and customer service |
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: America's Debt = "We're Screwed!"
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| Originally posted by occrider Well I'm afraid you're taking extremes in the sub-prime market and trying to apply it across the entire mortgage industry. |
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I'm not sure this trend is as pervasive as you imply. |
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disposable income? |
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| Originally posted by Shakka And with the economy on already shaky footing with all time record levels of consumer debt, I'd think twice before hastily giving out the next loan just to keep your sales numbers growing. |
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: America's Debt = "We're Screwed!"
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| Originally posted by zookeeper Living in the area you do, you must have some! |
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| Originally posted by Shakka Like I said, you're biased. Your job is on the line and you're defending your industry. Nothing wrong with that. The facts are the facts. Just because you "actually know what's going on" doesn't mean you're not biased. I'm sure you've done quite well for yourself in the last few years since you made the switch to the mortgage industry. I am biased too, but I also try to see the facts and the data for what they are. That's why my hedge fund has made a substantial amount of money shorting risky mortgage finance companies and homebuilders (FBC, FMT, DRL, SAX, IMH, etc, etc, etc...). Did you know that WalMart wants to enter the banking industry and that H&R Block has been in the mortgage business for several years? Everybody wants a piece. It's a frenzy if not a bubble. |

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| Originally posted by Shakka And with the economy on already shaky footing with all time record levels of consumer debt, I'd think twice before hastily giving out the next loan just to keep your sales numbers growing. It's a fact that more and more people have been buying speculative second and third homes for investment, flipping condos as prices rose, hoping to pass off the liability to an even bigger fool, profiting on the mania. It's no secret that record low interest rates have been the major fuel to the homebuying fire. And it's no secret that somebody ultimately will be left holding the bag. Rates have gone back up and are still rising. Alls I'm sayin' is you might want to be careful before waving your home team flags and doing your next touchdown dance. |
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| Originally posted by juzfugen famaily owns this business and has for 30+ years and TBH I really dont have to work a day in my life but I went that route through my early 20's and found myself quite bored with life. |


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| Originally posted by juzfugen Heres a little hint for ya real estate ALWAYS appreciates. |
) and, once again, values now.... ****sound of a flush****Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: America's Debt = "We're Screwed!"
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| Originally posted by occrider My debt to disposable income ratio? Yea it's huge. I can't afford to buy a parking lot in dupont circle. |
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| Originally posted by juzfugen /sigh ignorance is bliss I guess.. First off my job is not online, my famaily owns this business and has for 30+ years and TBH I really dont have to work a day in my life but I went that route through my early 20's and found myself quite bored with life. |
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| People are ALWAYS going to buy house and the vast majority of them will never be able to pay cash for them so my industry or my job arent going anywhere. |
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| You seem to have some misconception that loan officer/mortgage brokers actually have any say on whenther or not a loan gets approved, sorry to burst your bubble but we dont. So your little snide comments can stop right there it clear youre uneducated on this subject matter. |
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| There are guidlines set by the secondary market we have to follow, I take youve never heard of underwriters.. You have to make a certain amount of money You have to show job stability minimum 2 years at the same place Your debt to income can not exceede 36%(this includes the proposed p&i payment) You have to show cash reserves anywhere from 4 to 6 months and it can not be gifted. And your credit score has meet guidelines ( this is going to dictate your rate) If you have less then steller credit yes you can get a loan but you will have to pony up a minimum of 20% of the purchase price plus closing cost. On a 200k house that 40k down plus closing which will be 7k plus reserves which is roughly another 5k. How many people with bad credit do you know who can gather up 50k+ in cash to purchase a house? Not too many, if they had that kind of cash their credit wouldnt be that bad, you can adjust the purchase price to whatever area but the formula wont change. |
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So you run a hedgefund? by your ignorance on this subject, I'll think I'll pass on investing. Glad to see you've read the front page of just about every financial magazine and newspaper for the last years stating how rates are going up and housing will start slowing down, good job on those shorts I think I hear Gordon Gecko knocking on your door. ![]() |
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| What does Walmart getting in the financial field have to do with any of this and yes I knew about it, it was announced over a year ago. But let me return the favor, did you know Target,GM and Nordstrom along with atleast half a dozen other wll known companies are banks, thrift charters and run ILCS? What effect does any of this have on the mortgage business......... NOTHING! H&R Block along with EVERY MAJOR financial institution is in the mortgage business, Chase (ala JP Morgan), Merryl Lynch, Goldman Sachs. |
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| Stop with this did you know bullshit ok I already told you Ive been in finance in one form or another for damn near 14 years and you arent impressing anyone. |
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| How is the economy on shaky footing, debt is high doesnt = shaky economy. I cant give out loans to who ever I want the business doesnt work that way. |
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| No one flipped properties in hopes of passing off liabilities, they were flipped for profit |
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| what you call mania is the samething that happened in the 90's with the tech boom. Every decade there is a flourishing industry that get heavily invested in - tech, oil, realestate, and money. Heres a little hint for ya real estate ALWAYS appreciates. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka the rapid growth of emerging markets like China, India, Russia, Brazil, etc. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka My God, how tacky. The fact that you even felt it was necessary to mention that speaks volumes about your character. I doubt anybody is impressed that you're sponging off mommy and daddy's success. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka Right. Assuming they can afford it and the alternatives such as rental or living with their parents (as you probably do) aren't that much more attractive. That doesn't mean prices won't fluctuate or that people won't default on their loans. Nevermind increasing default rates and slowing home sales. Remember, it's the change at the margin, not the absolute level that determines a trend.. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka I apologize. I just assumed by your comments about how successful you are that you actually had more clout. It would appear that you're just a pencil pusher, not a decision maker. .. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka Were we not talking about low-doc/no-doc, stated-income loans? I am the first person to admit that I got a much more buyer-friendly mortgage than I probably otherwise would've gotten at any other time in recent history. I put all of $6K down (though it was not required and ultimately went more towards my closing costs than anything else). While I have no problem paying my monthly mortgage, my adjustable portion of the loan has already increased a couple of times as rates have risen. At the margin, my monthly payments have gone up about $150, which in isolation isn't a big deal. However, coupled with a lot of other structural issues going on like persistently high energy costs, record levels of consumer debt, record levels of cash-our refinancings, etc...that $150 becomes a little more than just a blip on the radar and for a lot of people on the lower end of the credit spectrum who are already stretched, it's a big deal. Choose to turn a blind eye to it if you like (as many in your industry seem to be doing), but there is plenty of tangible evidence out there that all is not rosy in oompa-loompa land... |
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| Originally posted by Shakka Don't run one, I work with 2 other guys managing one. That was more for full disclosure (as I stated my biased position) than to engage in a pissing contest. If you had been on this forum longer, you would probably know that by now anyway. I'm not boasting about my overall performance, but the part about making money on risky mortage finance companies is true. We initally lost money on them by being early, but we ultimately have profitted handsomely on the trades because we (like many) have been right.... |
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| Originally posted by Shakka It illustrates the point of frenzy/bubble. The fact that it doesn't concern you that everybody and their brother is jumping into the finance business is, in and of itself, concerning. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka I guess you're just albert fucking einstein swinging a 12" dick. How dare anyone question your words of wisdom. I could care less whether you're impressed or not. That wasn't the point. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka I thought you were well read. Guess you've been drinking more kool-aid than I thought. |
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| Originally posted by Shakka Well that's just retarded. On an infinite timeline, the survival rate for anything goes to zero. What a useless statistic you've just provided us. Nobody in the history of the world has ever sold property at a loss. Riiiiiight. . |
Blah Blah Blah, my daddy can beat up your daddy...
Come on guys, seriously...
You both work in different parts of the finance world, that's nice.
Is all this public justification really required?
Regardless of chosen field of career, everything posted is still opinion anyways, so why all the ruffled feathers?
Bah, why am I even posting this?? GAH!
go get a room or somethin' 
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| Originally posted by Fir3start3r Blah Blah Blah, my daddy can beat up your daddy... Come on guys, seriously... You both work in different parts of the finance world, that's nice. Is all this public justification really required? Regardless of chosen field of career, everything posted is still opinion anyways, so why all the ruffled feathers? Bah, why am I even posting this?? GAH! go get a room or somethin' |
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| Originally posted by Shakka lol. Guess I let that one get under my skin a bit. That's why there's 2 sides to the market (if not more). Wanna see some funny market banter take a look at the Doral Financial message board on Yahoo Finance. I guess we'll just re-visit this topic over the next 12-18 months to see how things pan out and then we can pass judgement on the validity of our lively debate. I predict juzfukkin still have a job and millions of dollars, but I also predict that his industry will have changed materially, and probably not for the better. I choose to bet that the risks are getting much more heavily weighted to the downside. Cheers and best of luck you, juzfukkin. I'm gonna go jerk-off on my Mercedes. Seriously. |
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| Originally posted by metalgearsolid Hey? What ever happened I thought we were going to pm one each other and such? |
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| Originally posted by Shakka I sent you a reply. |
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| Originally posted by metalgearsolid Just one |
Did you have anymore questions?
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| Originally posted by Shakka uh... Did you have anymore questions? |
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| Originally posted by metalgearsolid yea, aren't you forty? |
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| Originally posted by Shakka I guess we'll just re-visit this topic over the next 12-18 months to see how things pan out |
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| Originally posted by Fir3start3r Is all this public justification really required? |
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