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-- The most pressing problem
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov I have to run to class, but here are a few examples of structural facets of poverty: Capital Traps Lack of credit. Many poor lack the resources to become microentrepreneurs, and those that make the effort usually do so with inferior inventories. For instance, someone with no marketable skills may try to open up a car repair shop, but without the capital to purchase the necessary tools and parts, they'll be limited in the types of services they can provide, losing more business than they gain. Though Mohammed Yunus won the Nobel Peace Prize for creating a microfinance model in the developing world, no such thing really exists in the US. |
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| Originally posted by atbell Oh, no fun, I'm in the middle of this one. I'm quite warry of a workers' revolution except that I'd call it an unemployed educated youth revolution. It is all the more likely in a country where guns, and stock piles of guns, are so available. But at the same time I agree with Capitalizt that there is always going to be 'poverty'. There has to be, some people want to work harder then others, some people are smarter then others, some people are lucky, some peoples risks don't pay off. IMO, once that is accepted then the real work can start which is to make sure that 'poverty' isn't crushing. The slums of Mumbai or Rio are good examples of pressing poverty issues, many of the 'poor' in North America are good examples of poor that have some amount of opertunity. From the people that I went to high school with many of them had the chances to raise thier social status siginficantly and some took the opertunity. By the same token, some of those who could have gone on to climb the social status lader chose to move down a notch to live with fewer complications. I'm also a beleiver in the concept of 'nobless obliger', the notion that the highest social classes have a responsibility to help those in need once they have enough. In this case clearing slums would be a good example of where money is needed, or possibly the social support organizations such as women's shelters / childeren's shelters. |
I'm going to recommend a book to you krypt (and you too lebez!)
It is highly relevant to this discussion and addresses the point of view both of you seem to have:
http://www.amazon.com/Quest-Cosmic-...l/dp/0684864622
I know Sowell has become a shill for the neocons in recent years..but this is an older book of his and he really nails this issue down in my opinion. You two seem to favor the idea of "social" (or "cosmic") justice, rather than traditional justice. He goes to great lengths in this book to point out the differences between the two ideas..and costs and risks of adopting the cosmic justice philosophy. I highly recommend you check it out from your local library when you find time. Here are a few excerpts from his own summary.
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| Traditional concepts of justice or fairness, at least within the American tradition, boil down to applying the same rules and standards to everyone. This is what is meant by a "level playing field"-- at least within that tradition, though the very same words mean something radically different within a framework that calls itself "social justice." Words like "fairness," "advantage" and "disadvantage" likewise have radically different meanings within the very different frameworks of traditional justice and "social justice." John Rawls perhaps best summarized the differences when he distinguished "fair" equality of opportunity from merely "formal" equality of opportunity. Traditional justice, fairness, or equality of opportunity are merely formal in Professor Rawls' view and in the view of his many followers and comrades. For those with this view, "genuine equality of opportunity" cannot be achieved by the application of the same rules and standards to all, but requires specific interventions to equalize either prospects or results. As Rawls puts it, "undeserved inequalities call for redress." A fight in which both boxers observe the Marquis of Queensberry rules would be a fair fight, according to traditional standards of fairness, irrespective of whether the contestants were of equal skill, strength, experience or other factors likely to affect the outcome-- and irrespective of whether that outcome was a hard-fought draw or a completely one-sided beating. This would not, however, be a fair fight within the framework of those seeking "social justice," if the competing fighters came into the ring with very different prospects of success-- especially if these differences were due to factors beyond their control. Presumably, the vast ranges of undeserved inequalities found everywhere are the fault of "society" and so the redressing of those inequalities is called social justice, going beyond the traditional justice of presenting each individual with the same rules and standards. However, even those who argue this way often recognize that some undeserved inequalities may arise from cultural differences, family genes, or from historical confluences of events not controlled by anybody or by any given society at any given time. |
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| In a sense, proponents of "social justice" are unduly modest. They are not trying to destroy the rule of law. They are not trying to undermine the American republic. They are simply trying to produce "gender equity," institutions that "look like America" or a thousand other goals that are incompatible with the rule of law, but corollaries of cosmic justice. What they are seeking to correct are not merely the deficiencies of society, but of the cosmos. What they call social justice encompasses far more than any given society is causally responsible for. Crusaders for social justice seek to correct not merely the sins of man but the oversights of God or the accidents of history. What they are really seeking is a universe tailor-made to their vision of equality. |
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| The argument here is not against real justice or real equality. Both of these things are desirable in themselves, just as immortality may be considered desirable in itself. The only arguments against any of these things is that they are impossible-- and the cost of pursuing impossible dreams are not negligible. Socially counterproductive policies are just one of the many costs of the quest for cosmic justice. The rule of law, on which a free society depends, is inherently incompatible with cosmic justice. Laws exist in all kinds of societies, from the freest to the most totalitarian. But the rule of law-- a government of laws and not of men, as it used to be called-- is rare and vulnerable. You cannot redress the myriad inequalities which pervade human life by applying the same rules to all or by applying any rules other than the arbitrary dispensations of those in power. |
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| Because ordinary Americans have not yet abandoned traditional justice, those who seek cosmic justice must try to justify it politically as meeting traditional concepts of justice. A failure to achieve the new vision of justice must be represented to the public and to the courts as "discrimination." Tests that register the results of innumerable inequalities must be represented as being the cause of those inequalities or as deliberate efforts to perpetuate those inequalities by erecting arbitrary barriers to the advancement of the less fortunate. In short, to promote cosmic justice, they must misrepresent what is happening as violations of traditional justice-- as understood by others who do not share their vision. Nor do those who make such claims necessarily believe them themselves. As Joseph Schumpeter once said: "The first thing a man will do for his ideals is lie." The next thing the idealist will do is character assassination. All those who disagree with the great vision must be shown to have malign intentions, if not deep-seated character flaws. They must be depicted as having some personal "obsessions" if they carry out the duties they swore to carry out as a special prosecutor. In short, demonization is one of the costs of the quest for cosmic justice. The victims of this process are not limited to those targeted. The society as a whole loses when its decisions are made by character assassination, rather than by rational discussion, and when its pool of those eligible for leadership is drained by the exodus of those who are not prepared to sacrifice their good name or subject their family to humiliations for the sake of grasping the levers of power. This loss is not merely quantitative, for those who are willing to endure any personal or family humiliations for the sake of power are the most dangerous people to trust with power. In a sense, those caught up in the vision of cosmic justice are also among its victims. Having committed themselves to a vision and demonized all who oppose it, how are they to turn around and subject that vision to searching empirical scrutiny, much less repudiate it as evidence of its counterproductive results mount up? Ironically, the quest for greater economic and social equality is promoted through a far greater inequality of political power. If rules cannot produce cosmic justice, only raw power is left as the way to produce the kinds of results being sought. In a democracy, where power must gain public acquiescence, not only must the rule of law be violated or circumvented, so must the rule of truth. However noble the vision of cosmic justice, arbitrary power and shameless lies are the only paths that even seem to lead in its direction. As noted at the outset, the devastating costs and social dangers which go with these attempts to achieve the impossible should be taken into account. |
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt I'm not disputing the fact that inequality exists. I'm disputing the idea that it is a "problem" to be solved politically. The world is unequal. People will always live in different circumstances and have unequal skills and ambitions..so naturally inequality will exist. |
I agree with everything you said Clovis.. The part where we probably disagree is on methods. What is the best way to improve the living standards of the poor? I would argue for removing artificial barriers wherever possible..for removing government from the equation. I think we should abolish all taxation on those earning below the poverty line and have a 0% corporate tax rate on everyone trying to start a small business. We should encourage entrepreneurship and job creation by reducing the penalties for success as much as possible. The other side tends to favor penalizing success and redistributing income with a variety of social programs.. That approach seems both unfair and counterproductive to me. I've never believed it ok to pull people up by dragging others down, and it doesn't really work in the end anyway. We can't correct every cosmic injustice and get everyone in the country on precisely even footing while still living in a free society. If you want to help poor people, the best we can do is to focus on improving the education system, then get government out of their way.
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt I agree with everything you said Clovis.. The part where we probably disagree is on tactics and methods. What is the best way to improve the living standards of the poor? I would argue for removing artificial barriers wherever possible..for removing government from the equation. I think we should abolish all taxation on those earning below the poverty line and have a 0% corporate tax rate on everyone trying to start a small business. We should encourage entrepreneurship and job creation by reducing the penalties for success as much as possible. The other side tends to favor penalizing success and redistributing income with a variety of social programs.. That approach seems both unfair and counterproductive to me. I've never believed it ok to pull people up by dragging others down, and it doesn't really work in the end anyway. If you want to help poor people, focus on improving the education system, then get government out of their way. |
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| Originally posted by pkcRAISTLIN your answer to everything is less government. |
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt You say that like it's a bad thing. |
just as bad as the person that thinks more government is always the answer. life is complicated and i find anyone that thinks their chosen "ism" has all the answers to be a little bit on the blind side.| quote: |
| Originally posted by Capitalizt But more often than not throughout history government has stood in the way economic progress..so yes, I take the de facto position that reducing it's power and increasing individual liberty is a good thing. |
Thank you for pointing those out. you certainly raise real issues for the extremely poor. And, it is important that your clarified that you meant people in extreme poverty can't climb the ladder (i agree that it is much more difficult for them than it is for a working class kids, of which I was one).
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov I have to run to class, but here are a few examples of structural facets of poverty: Capital Traps Lack of credit. Many poor lack the resources to become microentrepreneurs, and those that make the effort usually do so with inferior inventories. For instance, someone with no marketable skills may try to open up a car repair shop, but without the capital to purchase the necessary tools and parts, they'll be limited in the types of services they can provide, losing more business than they gain. Though Mohammed Yunus won the Nobel Peace Prize for creating a microfinance model in the developing world, no such thing really exists in the US. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Un-insurable Risks Property, nutrition, healthcare. Most poor people can't afford or don't have access to many of these necessities. Instead, their lives orient around minimizing risk of catastrophe - not upward mobility. The maintenance of the status quo is safer than taking risks to build assets that will lift them out of poverty (see above). For instance, poor people are largely disempowered in terms of decreasing risks - instead they engage in informal risk-sharing behaviors that lead to distortions of local job markets and economies of scale. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Debt Bondage This one can be generational. Unscrupulous money-lenders are regulated in the US, but they still exist (anyone else see commercials for CashPoint, etc.?) - terms of debt are designed to be a trap. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Family-Child Labor Traps Though child labor laws exist in the US, they are often subverted by families that wouldn't be able to survive without children contributing to the household and earning some income. When this is the case, children aren't going to school and they aren't learning the skills (like literacy) needed for upward mobility. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Fertility Traps Ever wonder why so many poor families have many children? It isn't related to contraception as most believe. It's related to a bargain made by the parents. The more children, the greater the odds that one of them succeeds enough to care for the parents as they age. Hope you draw a lucky straw at birth. This can overload the resources used to help poor families, resulting in an over-saturation that leaves future poor generations larger and more destitute than those before. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Health Trap If you're poor and chronically ill or disabled, game over. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Collective Action Trap This is where community organizers (like Obama) have done great work. Mobilizing the voiceless to lobby for better low-income housing and service provision. Also, joint community projects have been shown to raise standards of living as well as local employment rates. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Criminality Traps For youths, they can help their families most by joining gangs or organized crime groups/drug rings that offer more money than they could ever hope to make with their minimal skills on the legitimate job market. |
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| Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov Anyway, those are just a few. There are many more. Also, I should be clear that I'm not talking about lower middle-class. I'm talking about the 30 million Americans that actually live in abject poverty. That isn't synonymous with ghetto - in fact, many of them are rural. |
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| Originally posted by pkcRAISTLIN yeah, kinda like how we increased the liberty of financial institutions so they could give us all the economic progress we're enjoying right now? |
i wont continue this discussion until you learn what "socialism" means and can use it correctly in a sentence.
capitalism = free markets and non-intervention. Anything outside of that qualifies as socialistic in nature. How is that for you pk?
Man..I love how the traditional roles in this debate have changed over the past year.. Isn't it amazing that the evil fatcat-loving corporate apologist capitalist pigs like me are AGAINST bailouts...that we want to protect taxpayers and let failed companies go down and not to prop them up, while on the other hand the traditionally compassionate, anti-corporate, pro union, pro "little guy" leftist position is to support raping the middle class to pay for endless amounts of corporate welfare?
We live in interesting times indeed.
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt capitalism = free markets and non-intervention. Anything outside of that qualifies as socialistic in nature. How is that for you pk? |
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt Man..I love how the traditional roles in this debate have changed over the past year.. Isn't it amazing that the evil fatcat-loving corporate apologist capitalist pigs like me are AGAINST bailouts...that we want to protect taxpayers and let failed companies go down and not to prop them up, while on the other hand the traditionally compassionate, anti-corporate, pro union, pro "little guy" leftist position is to support raping the middle class to pay for endless amounts of corporate welfare? We live in interesting times indeed. |
Remember my thesis from the other thread pk..Within 5 years the dollar (and all paper currencies) are going to crash as countries are forced to devalue their money because of what they are doing today. Massive global inflation is coming as a result of the Bernanke/Paulson policies and things are going to be pretty bad, but if the sh!t hasn't completely hit the fan and we still transatlantic internet access, I shall be willing to accept your concession that I was right. 
Man, you've made so many fallacious predictions lately its damned hard to keep up. If not in 5, you'll be blaming it in 10 or 15 years or the next time you think inflation is out of control. No matter the actual cause, you'll pin it on the TARP and other government interventions even if it has nothing to do with them. But don�t you worry, ill be here in 5/10/15 years wearing my "not surprised" face when you go on your latest rant.
5 years pk.
My predictions haven't changed. With the amount of money printed/spent/borrowed over the past year, competitive currency devaluation is inevitable. There is simply no way for countries to remain solvent at the rate we've been going. We can't pay down these massive debts with a strong/stable currency. Our only option is to print new paper to pay off the old debt. More supply = less value per unit..and since all commodities are priced in paper, they should soar. I expect oil and gas to at least double and gold/silver to triple within 5 years as people rush into them for protection. Other commodities (food, lumber, etc) should follow suit..meaning much higher prices for everything we buy.
According to www.Kitco.com: Gold is at $889.30 and silver is at $12.68
According to www.Bloomberg.com: Nymex Crude Future 49.37
NATURAL GAS ($/MMBtu) Nymex Henry Hub Future 3.68
GSCI Commodity-Index, GSG is at $25.60: http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/qu...ymb=gsg&x=0&y=0
Paper money down, commodities way up...at least a double within 5 years. I'm on the record with predictions now.

like occrider pointed out: you pick and choose which pieces of economic data you pay attention to, while ignoring anything else. I don�t expect that fact to change. So it'll be more 'ho hum' from me next time you're beating your chest and crying about the sky falling.
I'm not crying about the sky falling pk..just trying to give fair warning. We are on an unsustainable path. Inflation may be the least of our worries now, but it's baked into the cake for the future. I hope you take steps to prepare.

($11.2 trillion..off the chart, lol)

i invest in property, i fear not the inflation
inflation could well be the inevitable outcome of present government action, but the point is that there was no alternative.
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We are on an unsustainable path. |

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US Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke says the latest figures on US housing and consumer spending suggest a rapid contraction in the economy could be easing. "Recently we have seen tentative signs that the sharp decline in economic activity may be slowing, for example, in data on home sales, homebuilding and consumer spending, including sales of new motor vehicles," Bernanke said in remarks at Morehouse College. Some recent reports have suggested a moderating of the economy's downturn but data Tuesday was less encouraging, with the Commerce Department reporting retail sales fell 1.1% in March where economists had foreseen a 0.3% rise. The Fed has cut interest rates effectively to zero and has created a broad range of lending facilities to ensure that banks can remain above water despite massive losses from mortgages and other consumer loans. Bernanke said the US central bank will definitely reverse its monetary policy at some stage to prevent inflation. The Fed will "make sure we do raise rates at an appropriate time and make sure we don't leave rates too low for too long, because it can have adverse effects, at least on inflation," Bernanke said in response to questions. Likewise, said some of the Fed's programmes aimed at boosting lending may one day have to be removed in order to prevent the stimulus from building into an outright threat of inflation. "We have a number of effective tools that will allow us to drain excess liquidity and begin to raise rates at the appropriate time," Bernanke said. "That said, unwinding or scaling down some of our special lending programmes will almost certainly have to be part of our strategy for removing policy stimulus once the recovery is under way." In the meantime, Bernanke said the Fed was exploring an expansion of the types of credit made available through its programme to restart securitisation markets, the Term Asset-Backed Securities Lending Facility, or TALF. Bernanke did not specify what areas were under consideration, but authorities have said the programme may expand to include commercial mortgage-backed securities and older securities, rather than only recently issued ones. Response to TALF so far has been lukewarm. While the central bank had allotted $200 billion in loans, only about $US6.4 billion in deals have emerged in two auctions thus far. Bernanke soothes Bernanke took pains to justify actions taken to save insurance giant American International Group , which has been embroiled in a controversy over lavish bonuses paid after the firm had already received $US180 billion in taxpayer aid. He argued that the firm's collapse would have compromised the entire global financial system. Nonetheless, he argued that direct support to financial institutions and loans to investors would not compromise the taxpayer, or lead to the threat of inflation. "I can assure you that monetary policy-makers are fully committed to acting as needed to withdraw on a timely basis the extraordinary support now being provided to the economy, and we are confident in our ability to do so," Bernanke said. He also said the US dollar remains the main currency of reserve holding and international transactions. "The dollar remains the dominant currency in terms of reserve holdings and in terms of international transactions. That situation has not changed and I really don't see any prospects of it changing in the foreseeable future," Bernanke said in response to a question. "But it is important for us to make sure that the dollar stays strong and the best way to make the dollar strong is to take policy actions that will allow the US economy to have a strong recovery." |
I don't think there's any way to overstate what's already been done. The US alone has already implemented more than $12.8 Trillion in stimulus. Even if we're completely done with bailouts, I don't think that amount of stimulus can be unwound in a reasonable amount of time to prevent inflation. I'm rootin for Bernanke though. Hopefully he will have the balls to choke off the cocaine supply before the party gets out of control.
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt I'm not crying about the sky falling pk..just trying to give fair warning. We are on an unsustainable path. Inflation may be the least of our worries now, but it's baked into the cake for the future. I hope you take steps to prepare. |

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| Originally posted by jerZ07002 Thank you for pointing those out. you certainly raise real issues for the extremely poor. And, it is important that your clarified that you meant people in extreme poverty can't climb the ladder (i agree that it is much more difficult for them than it is for a working class kids, of which I was one). |
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| I get the structural aspect of this argument, but there really isn't a way to avoid this other than direct government funding. A private enterprise is not going to lend money to an un-creditworthy borrower just to satisfy a social goal. |
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| i read a good article on this. Unlike some of the other arguments, this is much less structural than a consequence of poor choices by people utilizing these services. |
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| i agree in concept, but i would like to see support with solid numbers. i'm not asking you to provide it, i'm just saying that i'm uncertain of the extent to which this goes on and whether it could actually be a structural element holding down a large portion of the population. It very well could be a real part of the rural culture that i'm unfamiliar with. |
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| i dispute that this is a structural issue. this is simply poor personal choices that have economic consequences. |
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| what's the trap? Did you mean to say that historically the poor have been voiceless? If so, I see this as a consequence of personal choices not to mobilize. |
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| again, this is only a structural issue if you disregard the fact that it is entirely dictated by personal choices. With other issues, like the health care trap, families aren't consciously decided to forgo health care. |
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt I'm going to recommend a book to you krypt (and you too lebez!) It is highly relevant to this discussion and addresses the point of view both of you seem to have:http://www.amazon.com/Quest-Cosmic-...l/dp/0684864622 I know Sowell has become a shill for the neocons in recent years..but this is an older book of his and he really nails this issue down in my opinion. You two seem to favor the idea of "social" (or "cosmic") justice, rather than traditional justice. He goes to great lengths in this book to point out the differences between the two ideas..and costs and risks of adopting the cosmic justice philosophy. I highly recommend you check it out from your local library when you find time. Here are a few excerpts from his own summary. [/b] [/b] |
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| GDP growth seems to track money reserves pretty well... ooooooh inflation! |
Unfortunately money supply is growing much faster than the private (productive) area of the economy right now. Government spending is one of the main parts of GDP though so it must be considered.. Obama's new budget is $3.6 trillion with a $1.75 trillion deficit this year.. The money supply and national debt is obviously being increased to pay for it. Thanks to this the GDP will likely grow this year instead of shrinking...but is that necessarily a good thing? Is growth without regard to cost really a good thing? Should we continue borrowing and printing trillions to keep things on an upward trajectory? I don't think so.. Unfortunately our leaders have convinced themselves that we should, and that there isn't a cost involved in all this..or that the cost isn't a big concern because they can pass the bill down to future generations. The day of reckoning won't come until they are comfortably retired so yippee for fiscal insanity in 2009.
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| Originally posted by Capitalizt booga booga booga! Unfortunately money supply is growing much faster than the private (productive) area of the economy right now. Government spending is one of the main parts of GDP though so it must be considered.. Obama's new budget is $3.6 trillion with a $1.75 trillion deficit this year.. The money supply and national debt is obviously being increased to pay for it. Thanks to this the GDP will likely grow this year instead of shrinking...but is that necessarily a good thing? Is growth without regard to cost really a good thing? Should we continue borrowing and printing trillions to keep things on an upward trajectory? I don't think so.. Unfortunately our leaders have convinced themselves that we should, and that there isn't a cost involved in all this..or that the cost isn't a big concern because they can pass the bill down to future generations. The day of reckoning won't come until they are comfortably retired so yippee for fiscal insanity in 2009. P.S. Seriously, just check out the book..lol You're at a college aren't you? It's probably in the library there..You should be open to new ideas. It contains 4 essays that can be finished in an hour or so. I'd like to hear your thoughts on it. |
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