Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

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-- Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"
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Posted by Sushipunk on May-29-2010 00:38:

quote:
Originally posted by Amduscias
YOU BITCH

Calm the fuck down.

Posted by Ted Promo on May-29-2010 00:38:

quote:
Originally posted by _Nut_
me?

You thar.

Posted by Amduscias on May-29-2010 00:40:

quote:
Originally posted by Sushipunk
Calm the fuck down.
NO!

You cheater!

Posted by _Nut_ on May-29-2010 00:47:

quote:
Originally posted by Ted Promo
You thar.

Why, hello.

Posted by tubularbills on May-29-2010 01:45:

Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by _Nut_
SCIENCE!!!

But in reality... anomalously warm SST's in the Atlantic and weakening El Nino point to a higher than normal value. People should realize that it is impossible to predict the exact number of hurricanes (unless you are accuweather and will beat your chest of you are right and fade into the distance, if like usual, you are completely wrong)...but trends towards signalling higher than normal. It boils down to climatological statistics... probabilistic trends...but really...weak el nino and warm sst's that will give way for much more favorable dynamic and thermodynamic conditions in the atmosphere for hurricane development.

whatev, i could have looked at sst's and said, "oh yeah, 10-25 storms this year"

whatever i'm a captain now!

Posted by Ang ' ela_ie on May-29-2010 02:09:

Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by tubularbills
whatev, i could have looked at sst's and said, "oh yeah, 10-25 storms this year"

Its about a dozen or so variables that they compare to previous seasons (back to 1979) and do a fit to the current conditions. It's just climatology. Last time we had a May that looks like X we had Y number of storms.

Posted by _Nut_ on May-29-2010 03:43:

Re: Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by Ang ' ela_ie
Its about a dozen or so variables that they compare to previous seasons (back to 1979) and do a fit to the current conditions. It's just climatology. Last time we had a May that looks like X we had Y number of storms.

Snap! To pull a ted promo... you're back?!

Posted by tubularbills on May-29-2010 03:52:

Re: Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by Ang ' ela_ie
It's just climatology.

BOOOURNS

Posted by FuzzQi on May-29-2010 04:01:

quote:
Originally posted by butterfly
i hope the hurricane forecast is wrong (it wouldn't be a first). my brother is getting ready to sail to the carribean to live there for a year.

Buckle your sphincters everyone!

Posted by Sushipunk on May-29-2010 06:46:

quote:
Originally posted by tubularbills
yes, stuart is right (scary, i know).

Haha, yes!

Suck my balls, Tasmanian

Posted by Ang ' ela_ie on May-29-2010 15:49:

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by _Nut_
Snap! To pull a ted promo... you're back?!

PSH - I aint ever left.

Posted by Lira on May-30-2010 05:44:

So, what happens if a windy storm hits the equator line? A hurriclone?

And if a hurricane spins to one direction and a cyclone spins to the other, what does a tornado do? And if tropical cyclones create tornadoes, what to tropical hurricanes produce?

We demand answers Captain... and _nut_... and Angela

Posted by Sushipunk on May-30-2010 05:52:

quote:
Originally posted by Lira
So, what happens if a windy storm hits the equator line? A hurriclone?

No, silly. Hurricane + cyclone = black hole, and imminent destruction.

Posted by Lira on May-30-2010 06:43:

quote:
Originally posted by Sushipunk
No, silly. Hurricane + cyclone = black hole, and imminent destruction.

So that's why they accelerate particles? Cool!

Posted by Sushipunk on May-30-2010 06:51:

quote:
Originally posted by Lira
So that's why they accelerate particles? Cool!

Exactly!

Posted by Arbiter on May-30-2010 19:42:

Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by tubularbills
honestly, WTF is up w/ the 14-23 named storms range???

In case that didn't give them enough latitude, they also made sure to mention that they are only projecting a 70% chance of falling into that range.

Posted by _Nut_ on May-30-2010 23:14:

Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by Arbiter
In case that didn't give them enough latitude, they also made sure to mention that they are only projecting a 70% chance of falling into that range.

Fudge factor. Meteorology is not an exact science.

Posted by Lira on May-30-2010 23:30:

Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by _Nut_
Fudge factor. Meteorology is not an exact science.

So it's like astrology and economics?

Posted by _Nut_ on May-30-2010 23:57:

Re: Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by Lira
So it's like astrology and economics?

What about theology and politics?

Posted by Lira on May-31-2010 01:14:

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Atlantic Hurricane Season to be "record breaking"

quote:
Originally posted by _Nut_
What about theology and politics?

Aren't they like astrology and economics, respectively?

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