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| Originally posted by DigiNut So, off that topic: why the hell are coal traders worried about swine flu, and how the hell did GM manage to claw its way back to $2 on such a brutal day? |
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| Originally posted by Nrg2Nfinit on another note check out novavax http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3ANVAX they're geared towards having a vaccine for this swine flu. Their stocks opened today at near 4 dollars from 1. |

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| Originally posted by slingshot It's a traders market dude....any chance there is for the street to play on volatility they're going to take it and use it to push things up or down. Any sort of news, be it good or bad is going to start a chain reaction. There aren't too many opportunities right now....as soon as the market gets a hold of one it's going to be pushed either too high or too low....which seems to be the theme of the last year and a bit pretty much. The only way to make money right now is basically to get in on these trades. Finding steady cash flow streams to be able to asses things from a fundamental perspective is pretty challenging right now. |
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| Originally posted by DigiNut Funny, I saw some spam about them a week ago and figured it was another pump-and-dump (it probably was, at the time). Wish I'd looked again this morning. ![]() At this point I'd be pretty afraid to touch it, after a 2-day rally of over 200%. But, then again, they did this a few years ago with the Avian Flu panic and it went up about 700% to $8. Decisions... Actually, most of the REITs and other income trusts and dividend funds have been doing incredibly well. Likely because shares were beaten up so badly but they managed to keep their dividends. But at my age I'm not going to be satisfied with a lame-o 15-20% annual return. That's retirement income, not growth. If I can swing just 5% per week, I'll be laughing. And you're right, this is not a long-term investor friendly market for the most part, it's extremely panicky and trading on hype, and I basically have been just following the hype. It worked with SIRI, RIM, and FAS (day of WFC announcement), but also failed miserably with FAZ a week later and GE... guess you can't win 'em all. |

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| Originally posted by DigiNut Actually, most of the REITs and other income trusts and dividend funds have been doing incredibly well. Likely because shares were beaten up so badly but they managed to keep their dividends. But at my age I'm not going to be satisfied with a lame-o 15-20% annual return. That's retirement income, not growth. If I can swing just 5% per week, I'll be laughing. |
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| Originally posted by slingshot I personally think that being this young and investing in low-beta, high yield equities is preeeeeeeetty boring and a waste of time. |
any thoughts on gold? I'm a believer of massive inflation in the future due to all the new money entering the system, but when?
I made some money on HBU on the tsx
also have been enjoying YLO.un with a 20% avg yield.
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| Originally posted by simms327 also have been enjoying YLO.un with a 20% avg yield. |
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| Originally posted by Skipper Do you really think that's sustainable though? |
Also remember to open a tfsa account with your broker. I opened mine in the first week of Janurary,deposited the max of $5,000 and double my initial deposit.
TFSAs are the best thing government has done in a long time, it wont be until they screw it up again.
And if you lose money in your tfsa than your fucked.
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| Originally posted by DigiNut Why not? It's just a dividend, been steady for at least 4 months despite the drop. P/E is good. That is the one nice thing about dividend funds - doesn't matter how much the share price gets beat up, your earnings are always based on the original purchase price. As long as the dividend doesn't get cut, that is - but that's rare. And let's say they do cut it to say, 0.07 instead of 0.10, who cares? That's still a 14% return which is better than any mutual fund. If this is about the whole income trust taxation thing, traders are far too paranoid about that. |
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| Originally posted by Skipper Companies will go a long way to prop up a dividend, what I'm asking is if it's being supported by actual, sustainable operating cash flow. |
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| Originally posted by DigiNut And the answer is... yes. They still have over $100M in net income, unless I read their statement wrong. Can you give a specific example of one of these prime picks for dividend cuts? I'm just curious... |
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| Originally posted by Skipper Net income is not a measure of cash by any stretch of the imagination. Distributable cash is a non-GAAP measure but is generally looked at by the street to determine how sustainable a divvie is. Doing sensitivities around the distributable cash figure will give you a better sense of what the chances are for a cut. But generally if the stock price is low enough to give you a yield of 15+%, the market has already priced in the cut as if it's a sure thing. On top of that, when the yield is over 15% a company's cost of capital goes through the roof and you can pretty much bet that they won't be raising equity with a yield that high - and if they're tapped out on their debt then they're screwed if they need money. No one comes to the market for money when it costs 15%. |
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| Originally posted by slingshot In this case rather bleak given the demise of essentially anything in print form. |
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| Originally posted by slingshot Not necessarily, it depends on how the trust decides the metrics to which their distributions are based. It's going to vary between industries. Boston Pizza for example distributes based on a percentage of sales so that cash flow could be easily predicted by modeling sssg as well as new restaurant openings. Issuing new units in this case wouldn't necessarily be a problem due to what their distribution is tied to. With sound expansion plans it may actually be relatively easy because any increase in overall sales would benefit the distribution. In something like Yellow Pages, it seems as if they distribute based on what's leftover so the state of their distribution is pretty much tied to the state of their future cash flow projections. In this case rather bleak given the demise of essentially anything in print form. |
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| Originally posted by Skipper But generally if the stock price is low enough to give you a yield of 15+%, the market has already priced in the cut as if it's a sure thing. |
I'm pretty new to all of this Trading Stuff...
But can someone just give me a better explanation of VTSO?
Thanks!
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| Originally posted by DigiNut Typical. Not even a nod to the fundamentals or the company itself, just a bunch of technical ifs and buts. |
just dumped some tfsa money into rim.. a good stock thats slightly volatile and liquid. Im hoping it can come up to 90 or 100 (wishful thinking).
Usually it defy's the market when the markets down. Rogers' low q1 and RIM hiring during a mobile slump sent rim down today.
My winnars for today: PCX, DXO, HOU, made 5-10% on all of those. These babies have been super reliable over the past month; every time they go down by more than about 10% they bounce back up.
Also picked up GMR the other day when I saw it bottom out at 8.41. It didn't do shit today but AH it's suddenly up to 9.61! No idea what happened, and I know AH doesn't mean dick, but I hope it holds, because that's a tidy 14% on a 2-day trade.
So far my strategy's just been to buy whatever got seriously beaten up at the end of the day (obviously not arbitrarily - looking for ones with high market cap that dropped for silly reasons or no reason at all), and set a 3-5% stop or just keep a close eye on it. Cut and run at a 5-10% profit depending on momentum.
I don't know if this would work for everyone, but it's been working very well for me, even doing it over and over again for the same stocks. I'm still new, and maybe I've just been lucky, but I don't understand why people say that most active traders lose money; they must be referring to folks who buy on rallies and hold on despite losses, and then start trying to pump them up on Yahoo/Google as if that could possibly have any effect. Sunk costs fallacy, getting hung up on the "recovering losses" notion, etc.
Aaaanyhoo, to extasie:
I think VTSO is the technical term for what I just call a trailing stop (even though I suppose that's incorrect because there are several kinds of trailing stops). You set a percent limit, say 10%, and every time the share price goes up, the actual "stop" price is updated to be 10% of the new share price, but if the share price goes down, nothing happens. It's called "virtual" because it's not a real stop order, it's more like several successive stop orders.
A typical scenario would be:
- Buy XYZ for $10 and set a 10% trailing stop.
- If XYZ drops below $9 on the first day, it gets sold.
- If XYZ closes at $12, your new stop price is $10.80 on the next day. If it goes below $10.80 it gets sold.
- If XYZ drops to $11, your stop is not changed. It is still at $10.80.
- XYZ drops to $10.50 the day after that. Your trailing stop gets executed at $10.80. You've made an 8% profit without having to really watch it or do any work.
Make sense? It's basically a lazy way of locking in profits, if you're confident that the price will go up but are worried about volatility.
Thanks Digit.
I was reading up on it and was a little confused, but that explains it a bit.
The only part i'm still confused is when i'm placing an order. From what i've read, and what you stated, I put in a % as my limit, but on my Trading Account, it never gave me that option. Only a Stop Limit $..unless it assumes that what ever you put in the Stop Limit $ is actually the %.
I found this which also helps explain it and makes sense.

And yeah, I funded my account yesterday to buy some HOU this morning, but for some reason my account didn't get funded! ARGHHHHH
PS. What's everyone's thoughts on ETFs? I got some ETFs in my portfolio mainly for longterm growth and dividend payout...
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| Originally posted by exstasie The only part i'm still confused is when i'm placing an order. From what i've read, and what you stated, I put in a % as my limit, but on my Trading Account, it never gave me that option. Only a Stop Limit $..unless it assumes that what ever you put in the Stop Limit $ is actually the %. |
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| And yeah, I funded my account yesterday to buy some HOU this morning, but for some reason my account didn't get funded! ARGHHHHH |

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| What's everyone's thoughts on ETFs? I got some ETFs in my portfolio mainly for longterm growth and dividend payout... |
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| Originally posted by DigiNut Is it TD WebBroker? Because they don't have trailing stops, just plain vanilla stops. That was my complaint about them earlier in the thread. Some other brokerages may also consider that an "advanced" or "active trader" type feature. I don't know, I guess it's a little trickier to implement, system-wise. |
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| Originally posted by DigiNut I wouldn't worry, you missed the boat anyway if you were going to buy this morning. It opened high today but didn't go up very much. I guess it's possible it might open higher tomorrow, but Monday was the day to buy (5.25). Today was the day to sell. ![]() |
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[FONT=Tahoma][COLOR=#99CCEE]Which ETFs pay dividends? I know there are a few, but I'm not used to seeing that. Anyway, I love 'em - HOU is an ETF, DXO is an ETN, I know some people who bought the PowerShares water ETF as a medium-term investment and made a bundle, and FAS/FAZ are great if you can keep your wits about you or are willing to play with options - although they seem to be running out of steam lately. Plus, Powershares has a wind power ETF called PWND, and you just can't get more l33t than that. Just make sure you understand that leveraged (2X or 3X) ETFs do generally shrink over time, so you probably don't want to hold them as "investments" - they are trading tools. And make sure you understand what the ETFs are actually tracking. Crude oil ETFs for example do not track the spot price, they track futures and/or moving averages. I see a lot of confusion over that type of thing. |
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| Originally posted by exstasie Yeah, I know lol. It's just the perception that I COULD have bought in when it was 5.5% cheaper..you know lol. At least i'm not one of those who had it when it was valued at $240 in July..you know there are a few of them out there! |
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| Most of the iShare ETFs pay dividends. I have a REIT ETF with iShares that pays decent dividends. |
don't forget to file your taxes everyone if you haven't already. April 30th is the deadline (if you owe).
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