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we can argue what really happened but everything is just speculation and of little importance poltically.
the effect on the campaign, as covered by the large mainstream media (cnn, washington post, NYT, LA Times, and so forth) is clear: This has reflected negativey on the bush adminstration when he needs to seal the deal with the few waivering and undecided voters. I'm sure Bush did not want to discuss this topic in the waning days of his campaign.
Whatever the facts are, if they are ever made clear, will probably be forgotten by the time the election is over. It's good strategy: through up a charge that can't be disproved for days until after the election. That's the way things go.
I wonder if anything else similar will come up that puts kerry on the defensive and he won't be able to disprove.
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| Originally posted by Q5echo it's called selective reasoning. |

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| you think photographs from one of the many, many bunkers represents the entire 370 tons |
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| i just listened to David Kay, just now on News Night with Aaron Brown, look at those same photographs and say "yes, looks like HDX, but that was just one bunker and what i just saw was maybe 1 ton." (paraphrasing) |
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| Aaron Brown: We saw at the top of the program there is new information to factor in. Pretty conclusive to our eye. So we'll sort through this now. Take the politics out of it and try and deal with facts with former head UN weapons inspector, US weapons inspector, David Kay. David, it�s nice to see you. David Kay: Good to be with you, Aaron. AB: I don't know how better to do this than to show you some pictures have you explain to me what they are or are not. Okay? First what I�ll just call the seal. And tell me if this is an IAEA seal on that bunker at that munitions dump? DK: Aaron, about as certain as I can be looking at a picture, not physically holding it which, obviously, I would have preferred to have been there, that is an IAEA seal. I've never seen anything else in Iraq in about 15 years of being in Iraq and around Iraq that was other than an IAEA seal of that shape. AB: Was there anything else at the facility that would have been under IAEA seal? DK: Absolutely nothing. It was the HMX, RDX, the two high explosives. AB: OK now, I�ll take a look at barrels here for a second. You can tell me what they tell you. They, obviously, to us just show us a bunch of barrels. You'll see it somewhat differently. DK: Well, it's interesting. There were three foreign suppliers to Iraq of this explosive in the 1980s. One of them used barrels like this, and inside the barrels a bag. HMX is in powder form because you actually use it to shape a spherical lens that is used to create the triggering device for nuclear weapons. And particularly on the videotape, which is actually better than the still photos, as the soldier dips into it, that's either HMX or RDX. I don't know of anything else in al Qaqaa that was in that form. AB: Let me ask you then, David, the question I asked Jamie. In regard to the dispute about whether that stuff was there when the Americans arrived, is it game, set, match? Is that part of the argument now over? DK: Well, at least with regard to this one bunker, and the film shows one seal, one bunker, one group of soldiers going through, and there were others there that were sealed. With this one, I think it is game, set, and match. There was HMX, RDX in there. The seal was broken. And quite frankly, to me the most frightening thing is not only was the seal broken, lock broken, but the soldiers left after opening it up. I mean, to rephrase the so-called pottery barn rule. If you open an arms bunker, you own it. You have to provide security. AB: I'm -- that raises a number of questions. Let me throw out one. It suggests that maybe they just didn't know what they had? DK: I think you're quite likely they didn't know they had HMX, which speaks to lack of intelligence given troops moving through that area, but they certainly knew they had explosives. And to put this in context, I think it's important, this loss of 360 tons, but Iraq is awash with tens of thousands of tons of explosives right now in the hands of insurgents because we did not provide the security when we took over the country. AB: Could you -- I�m trying to stay out of the realm of politics. I'm not sure you can. DK: So am I. AB: I know. It's a little tricky here. But, is there any -- is there any reason not to have anticipated the fact that there would be bunkers like this, explosives like this, and a need to secure them? DK: Absolutely not. For example, al Qaqaa was a site of Gerald Bull's super gun project. It was a team of mine that discovered the HMX originally in 1991. That was one of the most well-documented explosive sites in all of Iraq. The other 80 or so major ammunition storage points were also well documented. Iraq had, and it's a frightening number, two-thirds of the total conventional explosives that the US has in its entire inventory. The country was an armed camp. AB: David, as quickly as you can, because this just came up in the last hour, as dangerous as this stuff is, this would not be described as a WMD, correct? DK: Oh absolutely not. AB: Thank you. DK: And, in fact, the loss of it is not a proliferation issue. AB: Okay. It's just dangerous and its out there and by your thinking it should have been secured. DK: Well look, it was used to bring the Pan Am flight down. It's a very dangerous explosive, particularly in the hands of terrorists. AB: David, thank you for walking me through this. I appreciate it, David Kay the former head US weapons inspector in Iraq. |
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| now your doubting a Hi-Res D.O.D. satellite image. |
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| Originally posted by Spacey Orange we can argue what really happened but everything is just speculation and of little importance poltically. the effect on the campaign, as covered by the large mainstream media (cnn, washington post, NYT, LA Times, and so forth) is clear: This has reflected negativey on the bush adminstration when he needs to seal the deal with the few waivering and undecided voters. I'm sure Bush did not want to discuss this topic in the waning days of his campaign. |
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| Originally posted by speedracer_mec I agree. In fact CBS 60 minutes planned to air this as their main story on Sunday night before the election. Therefore it would allow an entire Monday to beat on the Bush adminstration and influence votes for Tuesday. Hate to say it but Thanks to the NYtimes for releasing this story about 1 week ahead...it might cool down. I hope. |
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| Originally posted by speedracer_mec Until you prove those were the same type of explosives then all you really can do is just stand by one theory while we stand by ours which is an actual Pentagon Satellite Photo. |
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| Using GPS technology and talking with members of the 101st Airborne Division, 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS has determined the crew embedded with the troops may have been on the southern edge of the Al Qaqaa installation, where the ammunition disappeared. The news crew was based just south of Al Qaqaa, and drove two or three miles north of there with soldiers on April 18, 2003. |
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| Let's see: trucks and heavy equipment massing around a specific site known to contain the exotic explosives. |
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| The Pentagon also declassified and released a single image, taken by reconnaissance aircraft or satellite just days before the war, showing two trucks outside one of the dozens of storage bunkers at the Al-Qaqaa munitions base. The particular bunker is not one known to have contained any of the missing explosives, and Pentagon spokesman Larry Di Rita said the image only shows that there was some Iraqi activity at the base when it was taken, on March 17. Di Rita said the image says nothing about what happened to the explosives. |
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| Or a video from hometown news showing some sorta things that may go boom. |
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Our deals with Russia would never be blown into the public especially with the election on tuesday.My2cents .![]() |
More proof:
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| Oct. 28, 2004 � The strongest evidence to date indicates that conventional explosives missing from Iraq's Al-Qaqaa installation disappeared after the United States had taken control of Iraq. Barrels inside the Al-Qaqaa facility appear on videotape shot by ABC television affiliate KSTP of St. Paul, Minn., which had a crew embedded with the 101st Airborne Division when it passed through Al-Qaqaa on April 18, 2003 � nine days after Baghdad fell. Experts who have studied the images say the barrels on the tape contain the high explosive HMX, and the U.N. markings on the barrels are clear. "I talked to a former inspector who's a colleague of mine, and he confirmed that, indeed, these pictures look just like what he remembers seeing inside those bunkers," said David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security in Washington. The barrels were found inside sealed bunkers, which American soldiers are seen on the videotape cutting through. Inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency sealed the bunkers where the explosives were kept just before the war began. "The seal's critical," Albright said. "The fact that there's a photo of what looks like an IAEA seal means that what's behind those doors is HMX. They only sealed bunkers that had HMX in them." After the bunkers were opened, the 101st was not ordered to secure the facility. A senior officer told ABC News the division would not have had nearly enough soldiers to do so. It remains unclear how much HMX was at the facility, but what does seem clear is that the U.S. military opened the bunkers at Al-Qaqaa and left them unguarded. Since then, the material has disappeared. |
Soooo let's get this straight. There's video proof of soldiers breaking an IAEA seal on a bunker, sifting through powder in boxes marked by the UN as RMX or HMX explosives, and this is confirmed not only by the UN inspectors who recollect the the scenes depicted by the video but by David Kay as well?
Furthermore we KNOW the Pentagon was monitoring the site with satellites, as evidenced by the single satellite photo they released in an attempt to shift blame, and those two trucks are supposed to account for the 200-400 tons of missing explosives? Wow those Russian special forces sure are efficient ....
As a side note, is there any point to me finishing up my research on Kerry's gun control voting record? I know speedracer isn't going to take note of the facts so I don't want to waste my time.
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| Originally posted by occrider Soooo let's get this straight. There's video proof of soldiers breaking an IAEA seal on a bunker, sifting through powder in boxes marked by the UN as RMX or HMX explosives, and this is confirmed not only by the UN inspectors who recollect the the scenes depicted by the video but by David Kay as well? Furthermore we KNOW the Pentagon was monitoring the site with satellites, as evidenced by the single satellite photo they released in an attempt to shift blame, and those two trucks are supposed to account for the 200-400 tons of missing explosives? Wow those Russian special forces sure are efficient .... As a side note, is there any point to me finishing up my research on Kerry's gun control voting record? I know speedracer isn't going to take note of the facts so I don't want to waste my time. |
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| Originally posted by speedracer_mec Ill give a response early this afternoon ..im driving 2 hours to houston to my parents. I havent forgot and will acknowledge your thought out post. |
Guys guys guys:
SEMMER DOWN NOW
Go to your fabled Eyewintess Five News website: http://kstp.com/article/stories/S3723.html?cat=1
watch the video.
And make up your own mind.
All I can say is that I can't understand why it is a big suprise to some of you that ammo was found at an ammo depot

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| Originally posted by Yoepus Guys guys guys: SEMMER DOWN NOW Go to your fabled Eyewintess Five News website: http://kstp.com/article/stories/S3723.html?cat=1 watch the video. And make up your own mind. All I can say is that I can't understand why it is a big suprise to some of you that ammo was found at an ammo depot ![]() |
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320 tons only a fraction of missing weapons U.S. official says "ample evidence" exists that looted arms are being used to attack troops. By Jonathan S. Landay Knight Ridder Washington � The more than 320 tons of missing Iraqi high explosives at center stage in the U.S. presidential election are only a fraction of the weapons-related material that's disappeared in Iraq since the U.S.-led invasion last year. Huge amounts of arms and ammunition were stolen from military sites, and there's "ample evidence" that Iraqi insurgents are firing looted weapons at U.S. troops and using some of them in car bombs and improvised explosive devices, said a senior U.S. intelligence official, speaking on condition of anonymity. U.N. officials also are concerned about the disappearance of sensitive equipment and controlled materials that could be used to develop nuclear, biological or chemical weapons. "If this equipment is finding itself on the open market, then anybody with money can buy it," said Dimitri Perricos, acting head of the U.N. Monitoring and Verification Commission, the U.N. weapons inspection agency. The CIA has convened a "mini task force" of experts to assess precisely what equipment is gone and what threat it could pose if it fell into the wrong hands, said two U.S. officials. In a new disclosure, the senior U.S. military officer and another U.S. official, who also spoke on condition he not be identified because of the sensitivity of the matter, said that an Iraqi working for U.S. intelligence alerted U.S. troops stationed near the al Qaqaa weapons facility that the installation was being looted shortly after the fall of Baghdad on April 9, 2003. But, they said, the troops took no action to halt the pillaging. "That was one of numerous times when Iraqis warned us that ammo dumps and other places were being looted and we weren't able to respond because we didn't have anyone to send," said a senior U.S. military officer who served in Iraq. An ABC television station in Minnesota reported that one of its camera crews embedded with the 101st Airborne Division might have filmed some of the high explosives after arriving on al Qaqaa's perimeter on April 18. Experts at the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. agency that was monitoring al Qaqaa because the missing explosives could have been used to trigger a nuclear weapon, are examining the videotape. The disclosure contradicted the Bush administration's suggestion that Saddam's regime may have removed the high explosives between the last U.N. inspection of al Qaqaa on March 15 and the arrival of 3rd Infantry Division troops on April 3. The U.S.-backed interim Iraqi government contends that the high explosives disappeared sometime after the fall of Baghdad on April 9. The Defense Department on Thursday released a satellite photograph taken on March 17 that shows two trucks parked at the al Qaqaa complex, and Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld said U.S. reconnaissance would have detected any effort to loot the complex. Many U.S. officials and experts blame the massive disappearance of Iraqi weapons materials on the Pentagon's failure to anticipate the waves of lawlessness after Saddam's ouster. http://www.news-leader.com/today/1029-320tonsonl-214035.html |
pentagon news conference in progress now explaining the photo
will the local ABC news network/Kerry Campaign hold a news conference of their own to explain the video?
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| Originally posted by speedracer_mec pentagon news conference in progress now explaining the photo |
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| Originally posted by Spacey Orange ...and they are doing a terrible job. The first person to speack was rambling, nervous, and unfocused. The second speaker, Major Austin Pearson, is a poor public speaker, even theough he might have been credible because looks like hey may have been there. Their message so far seems convoluted. The adminstration is totally off their game sending these two amateurs. Like i wrote before, the admin is just keeping this issue alive by responding like this. They can only offer speculation and not real answers, and are unlikely to quite any criticism or media attention. If Bush loses by the slimest of margins, i think this may a be a factor. This is totally inept spin management and i'm totally surprised. Karen Hughes must be fuming. |
what does eveyone think the poltical impact will be of this whole story and the handling by the administration, and the use by the kerry campaign. in my view that's what really matters here, politically, in these waning days of the campaign
EDIT
the pentagon press core is having a field day with these amateurs. why did the admin send these guys? what were they thinking? the presidency is hanging in the balance and they send in these two chumps? this is insane
Heh Bush is getting hammered from all sides. Looks like we have not so good econ data this week. Lower than forecasted GDP, high claims for unemployment, and low consumer confidence. I'll have to update the econ thread when I get home tonight ...
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| Originally posted by Spacey Orange what does eveyone think the poltical impact will be of this whole story and the handling by the administration, and the use by the kerry campaign. in my view that's what really matters here, politically, in these waning days of the campaign |
i agree. i'm sure this is not the last impression the adminstration wanted to leave on the minds of the very few undecided voters. the weekend is here, attentions will drift away from the campaign. the weekend news coverage will still cover this as evidence of adminstration ineptitude in the iraq campaign.
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| Originally posted by Spacey Orange i agree. i'm sure this is not the last impression the adminstration wanted to leave on the minds of the very few undecided voters. the weekend is here, attentions will drift away from the campaign. the weekend news coverage will still cover this as evidence of adminstration ineptitude in the iraq campaign. |
Hehe ok so what I gather from the press conference is:
The weapons that were stolen, that we said were stolen before we got there, that the Russians helped ship to Syria, that were shown on tape as being there after our soldiers were there, that were really only 3 tons not 300, were really 200 tons that we destroyed, but seemed to have forgotten doing so until now.
Riiiiigghhht. This reminds me of the apprentice where everyone is trying to come up with excuses for how they're not retarded.
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| Originally posted by occrider Well lookey lookey ... what do we have here? ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() I love it when I hit jackpot. |
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| Originally posted by Yoepus what's wrong Occrider? Not so confident anymore. From the press conference: "We've destoryed 400,000 TONS of ammunition in Iraq" "We've destroyed approximately 250 tons at the ammo depot" - this was done on April 13th. "Its taking us a little time to gather all the details to find out exactly what happened to less than 1/1000 of the ammunition we have destoryed in Iraq" "There have been other taskforces that were given orders to secure the ammo depot after the 3rd ID was ordered to destroy all easily accessable ammo at the site" No seals were found at site by the 3rd ID when they destoryed the 250 tons of ammo. I'm sorry, but I can't see where the ball exactly was dropped here? At what time exactly should the military have done what they had not done? |
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A U.S. Army officer came forward Friday and said a team from the 3rd Infantry Division took about 250 tons of munititions and military material from the Al-Qaqaa (search) munitions base soon after Saddam Hussein's regime fell last year. Explosives were included in the load taken by the team but Major Austin Pearson said he was unable to say what percentage it accounted for. http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,137017,00.html |
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| Originally posted by occrider How am any less confident? |

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So basically they rounded up someone who destroyed 250 tons of munitions at the camp not necessarily the explosives in question. |
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| Never mind the other 120 tons of the explosives in question that the Pentagon does not take into account. |
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| Furthermore, you've been unable to dispute the pattern of looting due to insufficient troop levels as evidenced by the knightridder article I posted before. |
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| Originally posted by Yoepus You've gone on the defensive again, not the offense. Don't pretend you don't know what I mean ![]() |

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Not just somebody - somebody who destoryed 250 tons of ammo the day after the 101st arrived there. It was also made quiet clear in the press conference that the 101st was incharge of securing the facility and that many other forces followed after the 101st and 3rd ID to secure and destory remaing ammunitions. What other 120 tons? The 250 tons of ammo destory was clearly not part of the 350 alleged missing ammo of the IAEA. The Major quiet poniantely noted if some of the ammo was destroyed of the 350 alleged in the 250 he destroyed it reperesented only a small precent, and it was unbeknownst to them. |
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Which article? Repost link. Theres to many can't keep track. Obviously there will be loading in a country with so much ammo. With 400,000 tons of ammo destroyed to present (assuming there is more and that some was used during the war itself) that means even at the high manpower levels of 500,000 that were requested. It would be about 1 soldier guarding 1 ton of ammunition. Still insufficient to prevent all looting. All I am saying is that under the circumstance the military followed procedure and did the best job possible. What we do know is that Iraqis have been moving ammo from ammo depots pre-war. And that American planes have bombed many Iraqi ammo sites during the war. It is not hard to understand how a small percentage of ammo that is unaccounted for should be known to us. I don't know how anyone can make the claim that it was looted, or that it was not looted, and if it was looted how much at this point and time. Thats just ridicilous. |
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| 320 tons only a fraction of missing weapons U.S. official says "ample evidence" exists that looted arms are being used to attack troops. By Jonathan S. Landay Knight Ridder . . . In a new disclosure, the senior U.S. military officer and another U.S. official, who also spoke on condition he not be identified because of the sensitivity of the matter, said that an Iraqi working for U.S. intelligence alerted U.S. troops stationed near the al Qaqaa weapons facility that the installation was being looted shortly after the fall of Baghdad on April 9, 2003. But, they said, the troops took no action to halt the pillaging. "That was one of numerous times when Iraqis warned us that ammo dumps and other places were being looted and we weren't able to respond because we didn't have anyone to send," said a senior U.S. military officer who served in Iraq. http://www.news-leader.com/today/10...onl-214035.html |
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What's even sillier is pinning this down as Bush's fault for some reason. Like the guy should be playing "soldiers" with the military and telling his 5 stars how to run Iraq. |
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| Originally posted by occrider It appears we're rolling several arguments into one. First, the main issue is the 370 tons of extra-dangerous explosives the IAEA warned us about. |
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It seems pretty clear that the evidence that the Pentagon presented does not absolve themselves from guilt for the missing explosives. |
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| These 250 tons however, �were not located under the seal of the International Atomic Energy Agency - as the missing high-grade explosives had been.� |
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So essentially the Pentagon is trying to deflect blame by saying they blew some some stuff up, when in fact they did not destroy the explosives in question. |
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| Even if the entire 250 tons were the explosives in question, there still is the missing 120 tons to take into account. |
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Oh, I�m not entirely blaming the military for this. I think they are doing as good of a job they can with the resources they have been provided. |

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And if they had been given more resources, perhaps they might not have been able to prevent all the looting, but they most certainly could have responded to situations such as the Al Qaqaa incident and similar situations going on across the country: |
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Clearly part of the problem is that there simply aren�t enough troops to do a proper job. |
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Ahhh but the Bush administration is the origin of the problem. You say that Bush shouldn�t be playing �soldier� with the military and telling his generals how to run Iraq, but that�s EXACTLY what Rumsfeld did. |
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Not only did he fight with his generals to lower the amount of troops sent, but the Bush administration only assigned a general to do the post war planning a mere month before the invasion. You can read all about the ridiculous clusterfuck in this report: http://www.realcities.com/mld/krwashington/9927782.htm |
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