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-- the Iraki war is inevitable...
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Originally posted by Az thats exactly what I'm saying, it's not rocket science. You shouldn't have double standards for people who aren't receptive to western influences, and people that are...... then again North Korea also break as many (if not more) UN resolutions, they actually have nuclear weapons, and actively attack south korea regularly, yet nothing of note is happening to counteract the threat they pose to all human life on this planet....... with any luck 12 cents is all you'll need to get the clue, and realise the war with Hussein is for nothing as noble as the Iraqi people, because when Hussein is toppled, the majority of people in Iraq still won't be represented, a member of the same clan as Hussein will be appointed, only he'll be more receptive to the west, and there big fat petrol guzzling SUV's. Is that it? I fucking hope so.......

Saddam's his surname (family name). I just wanted to bring that up for those who think that the whole world uses the same personal naming convention. I capitolise the surname when the full naem is given to indicate the surname, as follows: George WASHINGTON
SADDAM Hussein
Fidel CASTRO Ruz

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That in my opinion would be disastrous to the economy and that he should pump more money into the economy through fiscal policy in general. Yes that could include government spending but it could also include tax cuts which DO in a way pump more money into the economy. Economically speaking, a tax cut will increase consumer and business spending which is what our economy needs. One of the reasons government spending was so successful during the depression was because the unemployment rate was so high. The massive new deal programs created a ton of jobs that stimulated the economy, which was exactly what the economy needed back then.

It amazes me how people cant see the obvious. The most critical thing for the american government to do is make sure that investor confidence is restored. Tax cuts do not help this, geopolitical stability, corporate governance and social justice for the poor will.

To be blunt economic issues are far more important than Al-queda and Iraq, north Korea, Israel, the Palestinians- put together. The economy must go on irrespective of what happens in third world countries.

I have most of my money invested in the stock market and I will not invest in the United States. Comparing now to the Great Depression is fundamentally flawed because in the 1920's and 1930's capital was largely static whereas now it is globalized. Here are some of the reasons I wont invest in the USA.

1) the US dollar has lost its safe haven status amongst investors, meaning it has fallen and in the long term will continue to fall meaning the real value of american assets has fallen.

2) the US equity market is still overpriced. It will take a long time to wrinkle out the excesses of the 90's. The so-called boom economy of the 90's was largely an illusion funded by debt and short-term greedy management practices.

3) the spiralling US debt. Who do you think buys the federal bonds that pay for the debt. Foreigners do. You cant keep buying Stealth Bombers on the global credit card.

4) so with a falling US dollar how are you going to keep those foreigners buying federal bonds. There is only one way. Put up interest rates. This will be dire for the US economy which is already saddled by very large debt.

5) going into debt during a downturn may be of some help, but you cant get out of a rut just by fiscal policy, the system has to iron out the wrinkles that occured in the boom time, this takes time. So it would be sensible to go into debt to build bridges, spend money on research and development, hospitals because these things are investments. The golden rules of capitalism are "you have to spend money in order to make money", and "never throw good money after bad". But no what does the USA spend its money on? worthless weapons programs like missile defence shields, Israel, wars on Iraq.

6) And now the war. Markets crave one thing, not tax cuts, not regime change. One simple word - STABILITY. If you want economic growth, create stability not uncertainty. Otherwise the money you cut in taxes is just going down the drain, all the rich people who will be the main beneficiaries will just spend it somewhere other than america or they wont spend it at all.

7) The oil price. This I admit is speculation, but it is a fairly safe bet. The war will force the oil price sky high and this will negatively impact on the economy INFINITELY more than tax cuts will. In the long run this war will be an utter disaster for the USA with higher oil prices, an arms race in the middle east and the astronomical cost of the occupation of a hostile country. Uncles Sam will be bogged down in the Middle East for years costing billions upon billions which could be spent on the economy. Meanwhile all americas rivals, EU, China, Japan, who admittedly have economic problems of their own are able to focus on their economies, they will come out of the current economic downturn in better shape than the USA.

8) its time americans realise the world doesnt revolve around them. The USA is in serious trouble. It is the worlds largest debtor, has spiralling local government debt, runs the largest trade deficits, has declining (in real terms) expenditures on welfare, education and health care, an enormous gap between the rich and poor, and from recollection the largest per capita prison population in the world.

All I can say is americans have nothing to be smug about and the amazing thing is the people who run the country are making things worse.

Of course I am sure, that this will be dismissed as just the ravings of another anti-american propagandist. Fair enough. I make no apologies. I utterly HATE everything that the United States, its born to rule leadership and its foreign policy stand for.

But when conservate newspapers like the Australian Financial Review (Australias equivalent of the Wall Street Journal) and former senior politicians on the Australian conservative side of politics express their utter dismay at the insanity of american economic and foreign policy then all the right wingers who post here should think very long and hard about where your country is headed.

Well if you read all of what I wrote, I did say one of the main things we needed to do was stimulate consumer confidence. And having more money in my pocket makes me more confident to buy things.

are all of you poli-sci majors or are all of your statements coming from what you read on CNN and what you learn in history class. A lot of you sound like you know all the answers.

quote:

Originally posted by Busy Child are all of you poli-sci majors or are all of your statements coming from what you read on CNN and what you learn in history class. A lot of you sound like you know all the answers.

Close ... Economics and BA major. Would have been a history major cept I came to the realization that I would be poor and unable to support my beer habit ... took a lot of classes and read a lot of books though.

quote:

Originally posted by occrider Well if you read all of what I wrote, I did say one of the main things we needed to do was stimulate consumer confidence. And having more money in my pocket makes me more confident to buy things.

I understand where you're saying man, but is another $600 check really going to make you more confident? I just don't see the logic behind another seemingly useless tax-cut (hey I didn't get any money back from the last one!) while the government massively cuts back on social programs and continues to excessively spend on the military as if it were supporting a coke habit.

oh if you (or anyone else) have the chance could you briefly summarize Reaganomics and the US economic policies of the 80's for me. Did it really turn the US from a creditor into a debtor? With my VERY limited background in economics, continually lowering taxes while increasing defense budget at the same time just does not seem like a very sound fiscal policy.

time out
here. have a laugh

http://idleworm.wolffelaar.nl/nws/2002/11/swf/iraq2.swf

quote:

Originally posted by JudgeJulez I understand where you're saying man, but is another $600 check really going to make you more confident? I just don't see the logic behind another seemingly useless tax-cut (hey I didn't get any money back from the last one!) while the government massively cuts back on social programs and continues to excessively spend on the military as if it were supporting a coke habit. oh if you (or anyone else) have the chance could you briefly summarize Reaganomics and the US economic policies of the 80's for me. Did it really turn the US from a creditor into a debtor? With my VERY limited background in economics, continually lowering taxes while increasing defense budget at the same time just does not seem like a very sound fiscal policy.

It's deceptive to think that another $600 is not going to make any kind of impact on the economy at all. But what you're missing is the big picture. If every person in America gets $600 back in extra taxes and lets say spends $400 of that, multiply that number by 250 MILLION and that's how much new money you have circulating around in the economy. It's difficult to predict what kind of effect this will have on the economy as a whole but economic theory stipulates that it is one way to help stimulate it. Of course there are a number of factors that influence how much a person actually spends but if I got a half grand back that I wasn't expecting before, I know that I'm gonna go out and buy that audigy 2 sound card I've had my eye on and a bunch of other stuff. Again, I'm not claiming that it will have significant success, I'm just saying you can't rule out tax cuts as being completely unaffective. So would social programs have more of an impact? Possibly ... but like I said I thinnk that the problem resides in consumer and business confidence. Tax cuts among corporations and businesses might actually be more effective if that sets off demand for capital. Of course, supply side economics has been tried before without much resounding success. At any rate gotta get my oil change ... I'll fill you in on reagonomics when I get back!

quote:

Originally posted by SNAFU_man time out here. have a laugh http://idleworm.wolffelaar.nl/nws/2002/11/swf/iraq2.swf

LOL! Hilarious! Thanks for the great link.

Though it's funny, it also has a strong and valid message.

quote:

Originally posted by SNAFU_man time out here. have a laugh http://idleworm.wolffelaar.nl/nws/2002/11/swf/iraq2.swf

hahaha exactly what i expect to happen but i really hope the Arabs/Muslims will wake up this time and really 1 billion ppl will be eating the U.S/U.K troops...now that would be a scene and ofcourse best scene ever bomb over tel aviv ....paranoia paranoia paranoia Jews are all out paranoid now HEEEEEEEEEEELP

OK KIDS, LISTEN UP!!!
THERE IS NOT GOING TO BE A WAR!!! Bush is not going to attack Iraw by himself, and there's no way he's doin it with UN backing. The Uk dropped out of the alliance, and the US doesn' have anyone left. Bush is using scare tactics against Iraq. If you've been watching the news, you'll know that Iraq started to destroy its Al-Samud 2 missiles around the time when US troops were being deployed to the Gulf. C'mon guys, everyone knows there won't be a war!!!

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