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-- Does Religion Create A More Moral Society? Not According to This Study
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Posted by occrider on Sep-27-2005 17:42:

Does Religion Create A More Moral Society? Not According to This Study

First off, ignore the assumptions and poor inferences from the article and stick with the statistical findings. The author tends to confuse correlation with causation. With that caveat in mind, it is interesting to note that there appears to be a definite correlation between amoral behavior and religion. Thus while we can�t say that religion causes this behavior ( yet ? ), we can most certainly say that more religion does little to improve society.

quote:
The Times

Societies worse off 'when they have God on their side'
By Ruth Gledhill, Religion Correspondent



RELIGIOUS belief can cause damage to a society, contributing towards high murder rates, abortion, sexual promiscuity and suicide, according to research published today.



According to the study, belief in and worship of God are not only unnecessary for a healthy society but may actually contribute to social problems.

The study counters the view of believers that religion is necessary to provide the moral and ethical foundations of a healthy society.

It compares the social peformance of relatively secular countries, such as Britain, with the US, where the majority believes in a creator rather than the theory of evolution. Many conservative evangelicals in the US consider Darwinism to be a social evil, believing that it inspires atheism and amorality.

Many liberal Christians and believers of other faiths hold that religious belief is socially beneficial, believing that it helps to lower rates of violent crime, murder, suicide, sexual promiscuity and abortion. The benefits of religious belief to a society have been described as its �spiritual capital�. But the study claims that the devotion of many in the US may actually contribute to its ills.

The paper, published in the Journal of Religion and Society, a US academic journal, reports: �Many Americans agree that their churchgoing nation is an exceptional, God-blessed, shining city on the hill that stands as an impressive example for an increasingly sceptical world.

�In general, higher rates of belief in and worship of a creator correlate with higher rates of homicide, juvenile and early adult mortality, STD infection rates, teen pregnancy and abortion in the prosperous democracies.

�The United States is almost always the most dysfunctional of the developing democracies, sometimes spectacularly so.�

Gregory Paul, the author of the study and a social scientist, used data from the International Social Survey Programme, Gallup and other research bodies to reach his conclusions.

He compared social indicators such as murder rates, abortion, suicide and teenage pregnancy.

The study concluded that the US was the world�s only prosperous democracy where murder rates were still high, and that the least devout nations were the least dysfunctional. Mr Paul said that rates of gonorrhoea in adolescents in the US were up to 300 times higher than in less devout democratic countries. The US also suffered from � uniquely high� adolescent and adult syphilis infection rates, and adolescent abortion rates, the study suggested.

Mr Paul said: �The study shows that England, despite the social ills it has, is actually performing a good deal better than the USA in most indicators, even though it is now a much less religious nation than America.�

He said that the disparity was even greater when the US was compared with other countries, including France, Japan and the Scandinavian countries. These nations had been the most successful in reducing murder rates, early mortality, sexually transmitted diseases and abortion, he added.

Mr Paul delayed releasing the study until now because of Hurricane Katrina. He said that the evidence accumulated by a number of different studies suggested that religion might actually contribute to social ills. �I suspect that Europeans are increasingly repelled by the poor societal performance of the Christian states,� he added.

He said that most Western nations would become more religious only if the theory of evolution could be overturned and the existence of God scientifically proven. Likewise, the theory of evolution would not enjoy majority support in the US unless there was a marked decline in religious belief, Mr Paul said.

�The non-religious, proevolution democracies contradict the dictum that a society cannot enjoy good conditions unless most citizens ardently believe in a moral creator.

�The widely held fear that a Godless citizenry must experience societal disaster is therefore refuted.�
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/articl...troberstonrules


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-27-2005 18:14:

Hey,

Very interesting article, although you failed to mention another important difference b/w the US and all the other Western countries: that the other countries are all socialist, while the US staunchly anti-socialist. This also has significant repercussions.

What would happen if you had a very religious, but socialist country, such as Portugal and Ireland? Do you have any stats on those countries?

And conversely, what would happen in a secular, but highly capitalist country: like Singapore?


Posted by Yoepus on Sep-27-2005 18:40:

Pure bullocks.


How about comparing non-Christian countries?

i.e. Turkey, Morocco, Japan, India, etc.


If he did so he would find an amazing revelation that brings a correlation between democracy and judeo-Christian beliefs of 1!



Posted by LiquidX on Sep-27-2005 18:50:

It depends on how religion is taught and used. People tend to hide behind the mask of religion.. which is a common problem on today's society. You can not enforce it, but with good examples society would definetly change.

My theory is.. IF you are born and raised in a religious environment, where everything is censored to you, once you are exposed to all the things you never saw or what-not.. that will make you a rebel.. why?!?!.. Temptetion will be stronger then if you were to be tested all along while applying your own religious beliefs to whats right or wrong.


Posted by occrider on Sep-27-2005 19:09:

quote:
Originally posted by HardTranceProd
Hey,

Very interesting article, although you failed to mention another important difference b/w the US and all the other Western countries: that the other countries are all socialist, while the US staunchly anti-socialist. This also has significant repercussions.

What would happen if you had a very religious, but socialist country, such as Portugal and Ireland? Do you have any stats on those countries?

And conversely, what would happen in a secular, but highly capitalist country: like Singapore?


Interesting theory. There is data on Portugal and Ireland as well, and interestingly enough, despite Portugal's socialism, it seems to be an outlier, much like the US, for amoral behavior. I'm not sure how well your theory pans out, however, because first, not all European countries are �socialist�. They may be more liberal than say the US, however, that�s not the same thing. Great Britain and Australia are economically somewhat closely aligned with the US. I would say Great Britain is economically closer to the US system than it is to Scandinavia, France, or Germany with respect to attitudes about business and social reform. Yet, I�m not seeing that kind of correlation with the data at all:

Legend

A = Australia
C = Canada
D = Denmark
E = Great Britain
F = France
G = Germany
H = Holland
I = Ireland
J = Japan
L = Switzerland
N = Norway
P = Portugal
R = Austria
S = Spain
T = Italy
U = United States
W = Sweden
Z = New Zealand








Posted by occrider on Sep-27-2005 19:15:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
Pure bullocks.


How about comparing non-Christian countries?

i.e. Turkey, Morocco, Japan, India, etc.


If he did so he would find an amazing revelation that brings a correlation between democracy and judeo-Christian beliefs of 1!




Well Japan is in there. It wouldn't quite do to compare others because they would be 2nd or 3rd world countries. But Turkey and Japan would make that correlation less than 1.


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-27-2005 19:43:

There is one other crucial factor you're forgetting...

CLIMATE.

I argue that people in the Northern regions have more moderate personalities compared with the hot, flaring tempers that prevail in the Southern ones where temperatures soar and the climate is more tropical.

You can see this dichotomy even in the US, where states in New England have less crime and social problems than ones in the South (and Canada consequently even less crime). And even in Europe, the cultures with a Southern (Mediterranean) climate are marred by Mafia (e.g. Sicily) and staunch religiosity.

BTW Occrider, we really should get together for a beer sometime, since we both live in DC: I get the feeling we think alike on many topics.


Posted by Yoepus on Sep-27-2005 20:04:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Well Japan is in there.


Well perhaps next time you should cite the study in addition to a bad news article about the study

In addition notes like "take bible literaly" and "absolutely believe in God" (as opposed to Gods) bring bias against all non-Judeau-Christian religions.

quote:

It wouldn't quite do to compare others because they would be 2nd or 3rd world countries.


Why not? If the argument is that religion causes social amorality then you have to accommodate for all other factors, government being one.

quote:

But Turkey and Japan would make that correlation less than 1.


No, I am saying all Christian (and Jewish) nations are democracies. Therefore Christanity must cause democracy...

Like I said earlier: this study is bullocks.


Posted by occrider on Sep-27-2005 20:54:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
Well perhaps next time you should cite the study in addition to a bad news article about the study


Well I was unaware of the location of the article until someone requested more info ... but here you go:

http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2005/2005-11.html

quote:

In addition notes like "take bible literaly" and "absolutely believe in God" (as opposed to Gods) bring bias against all non-Judeau-Christian religions.


Well that would only seemingly impact Japan with respect to the first question. They are monotheistic so the second question would still be applicable.

quote:

Why not? If the argument is that religion causes social amorality then you have to accommodate for all other factors, government being one.


Because that would introduce sampling bias in that there are too many discrepenancies within the sampling group. Be focusing the study on prosperous democracies you isolate out some of the causal factors in amoral behavior such as third world conditions, dictatorial governments, corruption, etc. The idea is to make the sampling size as similar as possible in every respect except for the hypothesis being studied ... in this case secularism. However, considering how 3rd world countries are predominantly religious as well, I think it would only hurt your cause.

quote:

No, I am saying all Christian (and Jewish) nations are democracies. Therefore Christanity must cause democracy...


Well that's simply a strawman. If one wanted to study whether that were true or not, one would expand the sampling size beyond prosperous democracies to include non-democracies as well. Perhaps a better way to conduct a study investigating that would be to sample 2nd and 3rd world countries (as they have commonality) and compare type of religion to democratic freedoms. There are plenty of Christian Eastern European countries that probably fail in that regard as much as non-Christian countries.

quote:

Like I said earlier: this study is bullocks.


The study isn't bollocks, the assumptions asserted in the article are, and I pointed that out myself. The statistical findings are valid, and my thread title points out a valid statistical inference from the study, that religiosity does not make society more moral, and the absense of religion does not result in amoral behavior much to the chagrin of televangelist's I'm certain.


Posted by shaolin_Z on Sep-27-2005 21:32:

I have to agree with Yoepus on this one. Plus the study contradicts itself. In order for a society to be religious, they need to actually follow the teaching of that religion. If they don't, it's not a religious society. (Perhaps religious is a poor choice of terms to use here, what I mean by religious is practicing.) Just going to church/temple/mosque and believing in God doesn't make you religious. Practicing your faith does.


Posted by LiquidX on Sep-27-2005 23:46:

quote:
Originally posted by shaolin_Z
I have to agree with Yoepus on this one. Plus the study contradicts itself. In order for a society to be religious, they need to actually follow the teaching of that religion. If they don't, it's not a religious society. (Perhaps religious is a poor choice of terms to use here, what I mean by religious is practicing.) Just going to church/temple/mosque and believing in God doesn't make you religious. Practicing your faith does.


Exactly.


Posted by MrSquirrel on Sep-27-2005 23:54:

Let's let the more religious take over more than they have so the disease and murder and rampant debauchery they are being a part of will kill them off for us.

How bout that?



MrS


Posted by St_Andrew on Sep-28-2005 09:23:

quote:
Originally posted by shaolin_Z
I have to agree with Yoepus on this one. Plus the study contradicts itself. In order for a society to be religious, they need to actually follow the teaching of that religion. If they don't, it's not a religious society. (Perhaps religious is a poor choice of terms to use here, what I mean by religious is practicing.) Just going to church/temple/mosque and believing in God doesn't make you religious. Practicing your faith does.


It still proves that a country can have "morals" without being religious. Just take my own country there, top scorer in almost every graph when it comes to being as litle religious as possible, also follows the book the least. How come we can still have such a low crime rate then? No one here is saying that religions creates crime, but ppl are saying that you can have perfectly fine "morals" without being religious.


Posted by shaolin_Z on Sep-28-2005 11:19:

quote:
Originally posted by St_Andrew
It still proves that a country can have "morals" without being religious. Just take my own country there, top scorer in almost every graph when it comes to being as litle religious as possible, also follows the book the least. How come we can still have such a low crime rate then? No one here is saying that religions creates crime, but ppl are saying that you can have perfectly fine "morals" without being religious.


I didn't intend to imply that a society/people cannot be moral without religion, sorry if it came across that way. I was just pointing out that the guys study was flawed as his statistical data contradicts his assumption of the society being religious (for lack of a better term).


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-28-2005 14:06:

Did anyone read what I wrote in my second post?


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-28-2005 19:49:

Occrider one more question for you

The communist regime in Soviet Russia was the most secular, godless culture you can imagine. Yet was it "moral"? Well, human life didn't count for shit, people were killed by the thousands.

If we consider one of your statistics -- the # of abortions -- Soviet Russia had an extremely high rate of abortions, which were completely socially acceptable and looked upon favorably. Same in China, abortions are popular and common, while the society is secular.

So at least one of the "results" of this "study" -- that secularism implies fewer abortions -- doesn't hold.

BTW, Soviet Russia was a fully industrialized and developed nation, with superb education and 100% literacy.


Posted by St_Andrew on Sep-28-2005 20:22:

quote:
Originally posted by HardTranceProd
Occrider one more question for you

The communist regime in Soviet Russia was the most secular, godless culture you can imagine. Yet was it "moral"? Well, human life didn't count for shit, people were killed by the thousands.

If we consider one of your statistics -- the # of abortions -- Soviet Russia had an extremely high rate of abortions, which were completely socially acceptable and looked upon favorably. Same in China, abortions are popular and common, while the society is secular.

So at least one of the "results" of this "study" -- that secularism implies fewer abortions -- doesn't hold.

BTW, Soviet Russia was a fully industrialized and developed nation, with superb education and 100% literacy.


Again, occrider clearly said that the conclusions in the study were obviously not very good, HOWEVER, you can conclude that religion is NOT a nessesity for "morals". So there is no relation between a country's religion and their crime rate. So it works both ways! What is it that's so hard to understand?!


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-28-2005 20:42:

I see what you're saying, it's more of a satisfiability thing for the converse, rather than establishing a 'rule' per se for the orig. statement, I see


Posted by Yoepus on Sep-29-2005 01:46:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Well I was unaware of the location of the article until someone requested more info ... but here you go:

http://moses.creighton.edu/JRS/2005/2005-11.html


pfff. like I'm gonna read that!



quote:

Well that would only seemingly impact Japan with respect to the first question. They are monotheistic so the second question would still be applicable.


Hmm i thought Japanese believed in many gods... Shintoism and all where "powers" live in nature. I guess I could actually read this: http://www.hope.edu/academic/religion/reader/japan.html if I actually care some more...




quote:

Because that would introduce sampling bias in that there are too many discrepenancies within the sampling group. Be focusing the study on prosperous democracies you isolate out some of the causal factors in amoral behavior such as third world conditions, dictatorial governments, corruption, etc. The idea is to make the sampling size as similar as possible in every respect except for the hypothesis being studied ... in this case secularism. However, considering how 3rd world countries are predominantly religious as well, I think it would only hurt your cause.


Then the author should have examined:
A) Counties with in a state of the union and compare and contrast those. i.e. the 254 counties of Texas, etc.
B) The USA states against each other
C) Canadian Proviences
D) French Proviences
E)... you get the idea. Compare each society to itself and then find it there is a common thread or not... of course even this could have many other factors that you can't account for but it would defintely repersent a better attempt.

quote:
Well that's simply a strawman.


I know it is, I made it to paradoy the conclusion made by the author of this research,

quote:

The study isn't bollocks, the assumptions asserted in the article are, and I pointed that out myself. The statistical findings are valid, and my thread title points out a valid statistical inference from the study, that religiosity does not make society more moral, and the absense of religion does not result in amoral behavior much to the chagrin of televangelist's I'm certain.


Again the sampling size is so small and the possibility of so many other accountable and unaccountable factors could effect the results in this study. If you are to make the statement that you hav edone in the title of this thread, then a study similar to one I outlined above would either validate or refute it. But comparing 20 something different western societies to try and find if religious participation effects morality without mitigating key factors such as GDP per cap., income disparity, culture, and so on is well, bullock.


Posted by occrider on Sep-29-2005 06:25:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
pfff. like I'm gonna read that!




Well you don't have to read it, I'll highlight the more salient statistical results:

quote:

[13] Among the developing democracies absolute belief in God, attendance of religious services and Bible literalism vary over a dozenfold, atheists and agnostics five fold, prayer rates fourfold, and acceptance of evolution almost twofold. Japan, Scandinavia, and France are the most secular nations in the west, the United States is the only prosperous first world nation to retain rates of religiosity otherwise limited to the second and third worlds (Bishop; PEW). Prosperous democracies where religiosity is low (which excludes the U.S.) are referred to below as secular developing democracies.

[14] Correlations between popular acceptance of human evolution and belief in and worship of a creator and Bible literalism are negative (Figure 1). The least religious nation, Japan, exhibits the highest agreement with the scientific theory, the lowest level of acceptance is found in the most religious developing democracy, the U.S.

[15] A few hundred years ago rates of homicide were astronomical in Christian Europe and the American colonies (Beeghley; R. Lane). In all secular developing democracies a centuries long-term trend has seen homicide rates drop to historical lows (Figure 2). The especially low rates in the more Catholic European states are statistical noise due to yearly fluctuations incidental to this sample, and are not consistently present in other similar tabulations (Barcley and Tavares). Despite a significant decline from a recent peak in the 1980s (Rosenfeld), the U.S. is the only prosperous democracy that retains high homicide rates, making it a strong outlier in this regard (Beeghley; Doyle, 2000). Similarly, theistic Portugal also has rates of homicides well above the secular developing democracy norm. Mass student murders in schools are rare, and have subsided somewhat since the 1990s, but the U.S. has experienced many more (National School Safety Center) than all the secular developing democracies combined. Other prosperous democracies do not significantly exceed the U.S. in rates of nonviolent and in non-lethal violent crime (Beeghley; Farrington and Langan; Neapoletan), and are often lower in this regard. The United States exhibits typical rates of youth suicide (WHO), which show little if any correlation with theistic factors in the prosperous democracies (Figure 3). The positive correlation between pro-theistic factors and juvenile mortality is remarkable, especially regarding absolute belief, and even prayer (Figure 4). Life spans tend to decrease as rates of religiosity rise (Figure 5), especially as a function of absolute belief. Denmark is the only exception. Unlike questionable small-scale epidemiological studies by Harris et al. and Koenig and Larson, higher rates of religious affiliation, attendance, and prayer do not result in lower juvenile-adult mortality rates on a cross-national basis.<6>

[16] Although the late twentieth century STD epidemic has been curtailed in all prosperous democracies (Aral and Holmes; Panchaud et al.), rates of adolescent gonorrhea infection remain six to three hundred times higher in the U.S. than in less theistic, pro-evolution secular developing democracies (Figure 6). At all ages levels are higher in the U.S., albeit by less dramatic amounts. The U.S. also suffers from uniquely high adolescent and adult syphilis infection rates, which are starting to rise again as the microbe�s resistance increases (Figure 7). The two main curable STDs have been nearly eliminated in strongly secular Scandinavia. Increasing adolescent abortion rates show positive correlation with increasing belief and worship of a creator, and negative correlation with increasing non-theism and acceptance of evolution; again rates are uniquely high in the U.S. (Figure 8). Claims that secular cultures aggravate abortion rates (John Paul II) are therefore contradicted by the quantitative data. Early adolescent pregnancy and birth have dropped in the developing democracies (Abma et al.; Singh and Darroch), but rates are two to dozens of times higher in the U.S. where the decline has been more modest (Figure 9). Broad correlations between decreasing theism and increasing pregnancy and birth are present, with Austria and especially Ireland being partial exceptions. Darroch et al. found that age of first intercourse, number of sexual partners and similar issues among teens do not exhibit wide disparity or a consistent pattern among the prosperous democracies they sampled, including the U.S. A detailed comparison of sexual practices in France and the U.S. observed little difference except that the French tend - contrary to common impression - to be somewhat more conservative (Gagnon et al.).


quote:

Hmm i thought Japanese believed in many gods... Shintoism and all where "powers" live in nature. I guess I could actually read this: http://www.hope.edu/academic/religion/reader/japan.html if I actually care some more...


Well, traditionally, I think the Japanese were largely monothestic in their beliefs that their emperor was God. In contemporary times, I think it is a rather secular state, and in the study, according to figure 1 it appears to be the most secular society.

quote:

Then the author should have examined:
A) Counties with in a state of the union and compare and contrast those. i.e. the 254 counties of Texas, etc.
B) The USA states against each other
C) Canadian Proviences
D) French Proviences
E)... you get the idea. Compare each society to itself and then find it there is a common thread or not... of course even this could have many other factors that you can't account for but it would defintely repersent a better attempt.


Yes I agree that would be an excellent follow-up study.

quote:

I know it is, I made it to paradoy the conclusion made by the author of this research,


How many times do I have to point out what I said in my first sentence? I said ignore the author's assumptions and conclusions. I said, pay attention to the statistics.

quote:

Again the sampling size is so small and the possibility of so many other accountable and unaccountable factors could effect the results in this study. If you are to make the statement that you hav edone in the title of this thread, then a study similar to one I outlined above would either validate or refute it. But comparing 20 something different western societies to try and find if religious participation effects morality without mitigating key factors such as GDP per cap., income disparity, culture, and so on is well, bullock.


Teehee, the sample size is too small? You would be correct if we were making conclusions about a general population from a simple random sample ... we would need a population of about 30. However, in this case, the sample was the entire population. Which means that it has no standard deviation of error, as a matter of fact, it's not even a statistic ... it's a parameter for the population. I wasn't aware that you wanted to get so technical, however, I would be willing to rephrase my thread title to make it as accurate as possible: "It is a matter of fact that when comparing prosperous democratic nations, or societies if you will, on the planet Earth, there is a positive correlation between religiosity and amoral behavior."

Now, take that however you would like, but it's a parameter. The study didn't simply look at the US vs. everyone else. In most instances the US was considered an outlier. The study analyzed the degree to which each prosperous democracy had faith in god, faith in creationism, attended religous services, prayed regularly, were agnostic/atheist, and statistically compared these metrics to amoral behavior such as homicide, STDs, abortion rates, etc., and what resulted was that there was a statistical correlation between the degree of religiosity in comparing most of these countries, except when noted, and amoral behavior ... not JUST the US vs. all of these countries. Now perhaps there is some ancillary explanation for why there is a correlation. However, I feel comfortable stating that religiosity does NOT make a country more moral on the sole basis that even among the relative secular countries, there are no negative correlations between religion and amoral behavior.

Notice I never implied causuality in any way whatsoever. Perhaps amoral behavior begets religiosity instead of the other way around as the author contends. Makes sense to me ... however I have an unsupported belief that it is a circular relationship in that eventually religion begets amoral behavior .


Posted by Moongoose on Sep-29-2005 14:44:

Just a quick thought. I think that a religious person would be more likely to behave in an amoral way, due to a simple fact that the only person he feels he has to answer to is god, and since god has a tendancy to forgive, the consequences of that persons actions for that person at least stop after he leaves the confession booth, free of the burden of his amoral behavior.


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-29-2005 15:04:

That's an interesting thought but I don't think it's the right explanation.

Simply put, religion = hipocrisy = CORRUPTION. That's probably a much better explanation for the results.

By the way people, do you realize that the (ignorant) Americans who put "Got Jesus" bumperstickers on their cars, are not necessarily good examples of religious people? That is, people in other countries approach religion as something much deeper and more complicated than praying that your team wins in the NFL?

I still claim that a country's climate has a lot to do with it, no matter how silly this sounds. Countries with a northern climate are more moderate and secular and have less crime/social problems.


Posted by St_Andrew on Sep-29-2005 15:09:

quote:
Originally posted by HardTranceProd
I still claim that a country's climate has a lot to do with it, no matter how silly this sounds. Countries with a northern climate are more moderate and secular and have less crime/social problems.


I think you have a point, but there are many countries that dissaproves your point too. Russia is a very immoral country, with lots of crime, and so are lots of other former sovjet states. Also some warm countries like australia is quite secular, and has a lower crime rate too.


Posted by HardTranceProd on Sep-29-2005 15:12:

quote:
Originally posted by St_Andrew
I think you have a point, but there are many countries that dissaproves your point too. Russia is a very immoral country, with lots of crime, and so are lots of other former sovjet states.

HOWEVER... it's secular. Extremely secular even now.

And BTW the former Soviet states with a lot of crime/religion are in the Southern parts.

quote:

Also some warm countries like australia is quite secular, and has a lower crime rate too.

Yes. That would be just about the only exception though.


Posted by St_Andrew on Sep-29-2005 15:18:

quote:
Originally posted by HardTranceProd
HOWEVER... it's secular. Extremely secular even now.

And BTW the former Soviet states with a lot of crime/religion are in the Southern parts.


They are still colder climate wise tho than for example Scandinavia. And states like Chechnya (sp?) is obviously REALLY religious.


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