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Computer stale mate

Maye this isn't the write place but is it just me or have computer advances sort of reached a plateau.

I remember computer speeds doubling every year but it seems that all the advances are very small and just taking current technology just a little bit further. Is there some new technology in the works that will take a few years ? It has taken almost 4 years for 64 bit to catch on and it doesn't look like universal 64 bit will happen until a few more years.

It is nice to not worry about getting a new computer every year however but I am still curious to know when my computer will act more like a robot friend than a machine for productivity.

I heard that technology is moving so fast that they are deliberately staggering the release of new things in order to maximise the profit. the marketing cant keep up with the advances. I think the technology is a lot further on than everyone thinks.

basically they are inventing the next big thing before haviogn a chance to sell the last 10 'big' things.

The plans trusted computing has for the PC world cannot be implimented over night.

what about hardrives

they haven't really improved in years it seems.
I feel like i've had the 7200 rpm and same seek time as I did 4 years ago.

I just remember things getting alot quicker alot faster.

The worlds economy damn near crashed, and there is a major power shift going on... its no surprise that the computing world has slowed down some.

quote:

Originally posted by RichieV what about hardrives they haven't really improved in years it seems. I feel like i've had the 7200 rpm and same seek time as I did 4 years ago.

Yeah, no kidding. At least the price:storage size ratio has shifted by a few orders of magnitude.

quote:

Originally posted by sixofour.604 The worlds economy damn near crashed, and there is a major power shift going on... its no surprise that the computing world has slowed down some.

the economy crashed this year. I'm talking about the last 2-3 years. The advances seem almost linear unlike the exponential growth before hand.

quote:

Originally posted by RichieV the economy crashed this year. I'm talking about the last 2-3 years. The advances seem almost linear unlike the exponential growth before hand.

Moore's Law is still very much in effect. It's just that over the past few years, most of the advances have been made in parallelism as opposed to clock speeds. And storage is included - not only have the capacities of both magnetic and chip-based (flash) storage gone up, but new technologies like SSDs are starting to gain traction.

One aspect of Moore's Law that's often overlooked is that the exponential "growth" is not always in the same dimension. Sometimes it comes from a fundamental change in the technological landscape. You can see the same kind of acceleration dating back to the industrial revolution, looking at things like transportation; it may seem like that leveled off many years ago, but you could argue that the internet today has made many instances of travel/transport unnecessary or irrelevant.

Often it's hard to understand these phenomena while they're happening, and the rate of change almost always looks linear at any given moment, much like a very small slice of an exponential curve will look like a straight line; it's much easier to see the big picture with the benefit of hindsight.

damn. that is an impressive answer.

quote:

Originally posted by RichieV damn. that is an impressive answer.

+1...very impresive!

Shhh. Digi has a weak ego, it gets boosted very easily. We don't want to give the kid a complex.

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