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Posted by Izzy on Dec-31-2002 00:51:

North Korea

north korea has kicked out of its country all international observers of its nuclear program. in about a week N.K. well be dispatching its fuel cells from its nuclear reactors, something it has never done before, which would then be able to be used for getting plutonium for use in nuclear weapons.

if you were G.W.Bush what would you do?
if you were the head of state of your own generic country what would you do?
what should the UN do?


Posted by Trance Plant on Dec-31-2002 01:04:

I think they're bluffing. Why would they be so blatant about it?
N.K. is dangling a BIG carrot at the moment. They're taunting the US, as if saying "we dare you guys to interfere like you are doing in Iraq's case". It's a political show imo. I hope GWB is smarter than that and won't bite the bait. It's one thing to build a WOMD, and another to use it.

The US claims that Iraq has them, while they altogether deny it.
In N.K.'s case, the US would know about it, and they won't deny it.

So if i'm G UU Bush, i choose a wait and see approach.


Posted by DrUg_Tit0 on Dec-31-2002 02:29:

But do you know why NK did that? They already probably have nuclear weapons, they're not making a breakthrough here, maybe only more weapons. But Bush offered them a proposal which said that if they stop their nuclear program, the US will build them nuclear reactors. NK agreed, and US didn't get started on it for a year. That's why NK reactivated its program.
quote:
if you were the head of state of your own generic country what would you do?

I'd send a serious diplomatic warning to NK and say that if they continue, we will impose an embargo on them which will cost tme at least 10000$/year.


Posted by Yoepus on Dec-31-2002 03:16:

quote:
Originally posted by DrUg_Tit0
But do you know why NK did that? They already probably have nuclear weapons, they're not making a breakthrough here, maybe only more weapons. But Bush offered them a proposal which said that if they stop their nuclear program, the US will build them nuclear reactors. NK agreed, and US didn't get started on it for a year. That's why NK reactivated its program.


Thats balony. First, NK only has up to two nuclear devices according to the USA. Second, it was Clinton that said they will build them the reactors.

And believe me, NK did not all of a sudden say we want to build nukes cause you aren't building them for us..

quote:
I'd send a serious diplomatic warning to NK and say that if they continue, we will impose an embargo on them which will cost tme at least 10000$/year.


Third, NK already has an embargo on them. Bush cut off the oil as well, which NK agreed to recieve so long as it won't develop or sell nukes.

IMHO NK is evil, and should be part of the axis. If they don't stop what they are doing soon, I can't but see either a failure of deterance and a weakening on the part of the USA, or war.


Posted by Izzy on Dec-31-2002 06:37:

haha i was watching CNN (dumb channel i know) and there was this one guy who said he belives we should do everything possible to isolate NK... ROFL... NK is like the most isolated countries in the world, how more isolated can you get, and how much is that really going to hurt them, hahahahahaha, oh well dont mind me, some people i just fund so blind .....


Posted by Verona^My on Dec-31-2002 07:57:

Thank god for the missile defense program, if any reason was good enough for a missile defense, what North Korea is doing is as good as any. I think of missile defense like this, the cost of losing a major city to a missile attack will probably be greater than the cost of the defense. (not to mention the loss of human life)


Posted by Verona^My on Dec-31-2002 08:00:

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
IMHO NK is evil, and should be part of the axis. If they don't stop what they are doing soon, I can't but see either a failure of deterance and a weakening on the part of the USA, or war.


I dont see a war with North Korea on the horizon, just lots of talk. When North Korean troops march into South Korea, then you'll see a war.


Posted by malek on Dec-31-2002 08:04:

i was reading an involved diplomat story about this (forgot to bookmark ) basically it was saying that North Korea and some western countries (mostly UK and US) had agreed on good terms on stopping the dev. of nukes. but the US had become so arrogant and aggressive toward NK that these guys gave up and warned that they would restart all over again, i mean look guys its been a while since NK says it will restart and did any of you hear of a diplomatic mission to NK to discuss this... its like if we're saying, go ahead do your stuff, we'll bomb you either way

seriously, maybe there's some discussion, we don't know about and would never know about. all that matters is that NK will get bombed some day, no? the US is just waiting to see if the war on iraq will be enough to restart the american economy... if not, here we come NK!


Posted by malek on Dec-31-2002 08:11:

Re: North Korea

quote:
Originally posted by Izzy
if you were G.W.Bush what would you do?
if you were the head of state of your own generic country what would you do?
what should the UN do?


if I were GW Bush i would destroy my weapons of mass destruction to show a good example. Then ask _every_ country on the earth to do the same... or bomb them


Posted by malek on Dec-31-2002 09:55:

even South Korea president is denouncing the US attitude...
I'm trying to find this same text in english, i'm still looking. basically he's saying: "we have to keep in mind that a failure in the american foreign policies is a life or death question for south koreans, but not for americans. South Koreas intrests should be placed first instead of american ones." hahahaha keep dreaming buddy

Le pr�sident sud-cor�en critique la politique am�ricaine sur le Nord

Agence France-Presse
S�oul

Le pr�sident �lu de Cor�e du Sud, Roh Moo-hyun, a critiqu� mardi la politique am�ricaine de sanctions contre la Cor�e du nord pour la punir de relancer son programme nucl�aire, r�clamant que les int�r�ts de son pays soient davantage pris en consid�ration.

Arriv�e en Chine des derniers inspecteurs de l'AIEA en Cor�e du Nord

�On doit garder � l'esprit qu'un ratage de la politique am�ricaine envers le Nord serait une question de vie ou de mort pour les Sud-cor�ens mais pas pour les Am�ricains�, a-t-il dit � la presse.

�En cons�quence, toute action des �tats-Unis doit donner priorit� � la position sud-cor�enne�, a dit M. Roh qui succ�de dans deux mois au pr�sident Kim Dae-Jung.

Le pr�sident Kim s'�tait d�clar� lundi oppos� � des sanctions �conomiques que pourraient r�clamer les �tats-Unis contre la Cor�e du Nord, estimant qu'elles ne r�ussiraient pas � faire renoncer le r�gime � ses ambitions nucl�aires.

Il a ajout� que sa politique de r�conciliation avec Pyongyang repr�sentait une mani�re �efficace� d'�viter un affrontement avec le r�gime nord-cor�en sur ses ambitions nucl�aires.

Ces commentaires r�pondent � des informations de la presse am�ricaine sur une s�rie de mesures politiques et �conomiques pr�par�es par la Maison-Blanche dans la crise d�clench�e par la relance du programme nucl�aire nord-cor�en.

M. Roh a �t� �lu le 19 d�cembre sur un programme r�clamant un r��quilibrage de l'alliance avec les �tats-Unis et d�fendant la coop�ration avec le Nord comme le meilleur moyen d'�viter un nouveau conflit d�vastateur dans la p�ninsule.

�Je suis sceptique quant � l'efficacit� de la politique am�ricaine d'endiguement sur mesure pour contenir le Nord ou le forcer � se rendre�, a dit M. Roh.

�Elle ne constituerait pas une authentique coordination politique si les �tats-Unis devaient la d�cider de mani�re unilat�rale et le gouvernement sud-cor�en l'accepter�, a dit le prochain pr�sident sud-cor�en.

http://www.cyberpresse.ca/reseau/mo...2120175497.html


Posted by Izzy on Dec-31-2002 18:33:

honestly, this is a tough one to decide what to do... im not sure what the best thing to do is but if i were the US i would ironically do something i generally appose. i'd take the isolationist way and stay bunkered in nice and peacefully in my country guarded by an advanced missle defense program as Verona^My said, after all NK wouldnt be a direct threat then (they wouldnt be dumb enough to invade US). however they are indirectly threatening the world as a whole (ill get to that later). thats why i think the UN (even though i hate them) or the world in general (each counrties ambassadors) especially those that are close such as SK, china, russia and japan, should deal with it. i think people fail to realize what a grave danger this could become. firstly this would be the first time in history where NK could have a nuclear program that is unmonitered (even the US is monitered by the UN agencies) and be left with, in a matter of days, everything needed to make more bombs. the reason i see this as a threat is because based on history i dont trust NK to keep that technology to itself only (otherwise i wouldnt care). seeing as it has sold scuds to yemen recently and many other weaponary is sold by NK to factions all over the world. NK is such an isolated state that basicly the only thing it can export is black market stuff. who's to say NK wouldnt sell them to the same orginizations that bombed the resort in bali, who's to say they wont sell them to saddam, who's to say he wont sell them to the orginizations who bombed the hotels and embassies in kenya. NK would have the power to build and sell nuke missles, nuke suitcase bombs, depleted ammunition, etc. with no monitoring what so ever quite frankly im scared for the safety of the world.


Posted by malek on Dec-31-2002 20:23:

selling scud missiles isn't black market, they are conventional missiles. its very legal, thats why spain and the US gave them back to Yemen, cause they can't do anything about it.


Posted by Verona^My on Jan-01-2003 00:36:

quote:
Originally posted by Izzy
honestly, this is a tough one to decide what to do... im not sure what the best thing to do is but if i were the US i would ironically do something i generally appose. i'd take the isolationist way and stay bunkered in nice and peacefully in my country guarded by an advanced missle defense program as Verona^My said,


Actually I believe in a world wide nuclear missile defense program. No country on Earth should have to suffer a nuclear attack, and every country together should do their best to develop a world wide program to counter any nuclear attack by anyone against anyone. Unfortunately no one thinks beyond their own borders anymore, let alone about national defense against potential trillion dollar losses, and millions dead. National missile defense is one issue I cant agree with liberals on.


Posted by gOOD-tRiP on Jan-01-2003 04:41:

im not even suprised of what NK is doing. First of all if they were even thinking about making nukes who is US to tell them they cant. There are many other countries that have nukes and have leaders that will use them or sell them to countries that will do us harm, so NK would feel like they are being pushed around. Also, they have no reason to be scared of the US because if the US does something about it with military action China will intervene. It's funny how i heard on news when bushed replied "We do not have to solve this militarily, it can be solved politically", he said that because he knows if he puts in military action China would kick our ass on their turf. I think Bush needs to stop trying to be the super power.


Posted by Nadi on Jan-01-2003 04:48:

I don't think that the timming of North Korea's attempt to build a nuke is by accident. I'm betting they feel that georgey is too busy warmongering with iraq, to deal with them now. And while the U.S says it can fight 2 wars at once, in 2 diffrent area's, many experts believe they can't, and there just bluffing.


Posted by Izzy on Jan-01-2003 18:54:

quote:
Originally posted by gOOD-tRiP
im not even suprised of what NK is doing. First of all if they were even thinking about making nukes who is US to tell them they cant. There are many other countries that have nukes and have leaders that will use them or sell them to countries that will do us harm, so NK would feel like they are being pushed around.


sorry buddy but this just goes to show that there's a few other things you need to know. have you heard of the Non-Proliferation Treaty? it basicly answers all your questions. basicly this treaty, which was signed by most the world's countries (including that of the US and NK), was intent on just putting a 'freeze' on all nuclear programs and keeping the status quo as long as possible. techincally it a signatory would not be allowed to build more nukes, only maintain those it has. the treaty bans selling of nukes and its technology. also non-nuke countries would not seek the technology and in case of attack by a nuclear powered country would have the defense of the world behind it (1968, UN Security Council Resolution 255). now NK has just backed out of the treaty (the very first one to do so) and the UN is being slow to react agian, damn i hate the UN....


edit:
and i forgot to mention about the treaty signed soley between the US and NK, it was signed in 1994 under clinton's presidency. the NK's agreed to not continue their nuclear military technology and in return the US would supply them with two nuclear energy reactors and cheaper oil.... NK just broke off that treaty too, meaning to me they can NOT be trusted to hold true to their word and are just 'using' people to get what they want.


Posted by Renegade on Jan-01-2003 20:11:

Still recovering from NYE, but I think I can still add a thing or two.

quote:
now NK has just backed out of the treaty (the very first one to do so) and the UN is being slow to react agian, damn i hate the UN....


I agree that the UN is often slow to resolve diplomatic issues like this one, but you have to appreciate why. When you have a look at the countries that have veto power in the SC, and how different the ideologies are, the UN is in a very difficult situation. The UK and US tend to side with each other, as do Russia and China (not sure why though to be honest?) and France tends to sit somewhere in the middle, but either way, it's difficult for the UN to unite the globe when the super-powers tend to eschew the need for a more "united" globe, and instead tend to follow their own interests, largely ignoring the international community. This applies more to the US and China than the other three though.

George Bush's war mongering in the past few months, in complete defiance of the UN, has made the entire organisation look farcical, not necessarily through any fault of its own. Both China and the US have ignored human rights treaties established by the UN, and voided many of the international treaties they have instigated, much less merely signed. The fault is not so much with the UN as with the super-powers who wish to take it upon themselves to usurp it's authority. The UN and the methodolgy behind it has the potential to do more for this globe (in its entrity rather than just small pockets within it) than any other initiative before it, but so long as the nations so integral to it are not able to agree with each other on seemingly basic issues of global morality, then the UN is hand-tied. It's not the fault of the organisation, but the autonomous, incompatible components within it who abuse it for their own personal benefit, but then do their best to subvert it when some element of sacrifice is called for to make it work properly.

With regards to the North Korea situation, it smells of shit-stirring to me. I think that the decision made by North Korea to announce the re-opening of their nuclear program was timed quite well to coincide with Bush's push for a war on Iraq. It poignantly identifies the hypocracy in Bush's foreign policy, and calls into question his real motive for a war on Iraq. Both countries are a part of the "axis of evil", both house governments antithetical to the American cause, yet only one has nuclear weapons and the potential to cause a lot of damage should they stupidly decide to attack the US unprovoked. Similarly, only one country has a lot of oil and only one country sustains a president who severely pissed off another certain president's father. Why attack Iraq and not North Korea? Why attack either at all?

Without wanting to seem as though I'm once again jumping on the "US are the real evil" bandwagon, the foreign policy coming from this country seems confused, suspiciously clandestine and woefully inconsistent. If anyone thinks they can, I would very much like this to be clarified. :-/


Posted by Cyrus King on Jan-01-2003 21:43:

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade
Still recovering from NYE, but I think I can still add a thing or two.



I agree that the UN is often slow to resolve diplomatic issues like this one, but you have to appreciate why. When you have a look at the countries that have veto power in the SC, and how different the ideologies are, the UN is in a very difficult situation. The UK and US tend to side with each other, as do Russia and China (not sure why though to be honest?) and France tends to sit somewhere in the middle, but either way, it's difficult for the UN to unite the globe when the super-powers tend to eschew the need for a more "united" globe, and instead tend to follow their own interests, largely ignoring the international community. This applies more to the US and China than the other three though.

George Bush's war mongering in the past few months, in complete defiance of the UN, has made the entire organisation look farcical, not necessarily through any fault of its own. Both China and the US have ignored human rights treaties established by the UN, and voided many of the international treaties they have instigated, much less merely signed. The fault is not so much with the UN as with the super-powers who wish to take it upon themselves to usurp it's authority. The UN and the methodolgy behind it has the potential to do more for this globe (in its entrity rather than just small pockets within it) than any other initiative before it, but so long as the nations so integral to it are not able to agree with each other on seemingly basic issues of global morality, then the UN is hand-tied. It's not the fault of the organisation, but the autonomous, incompatible components within it who abuse it for their own personal benefit, but then do their best to subvert it when some element of sacrifice is called for to make it work properly.

With regards to the North Korea situation, it smells of shit-stirring to me. I think that the decision made by North Korea to announce the re-opening of their nuclear program was timed quite well to coincide with Bush's push for a war on Iraq. It poignantly identifies the hypocracy in Bush's foreign policy, and calls into question his real motive for a war on Iraq. Both countries are a part of the "axis of evil", both house governments antithetical to the American cause, yet only one has nuclear weapons and the potential to cause a lot of damage should they stupidly decide to attack the US unprovoked. Similarly, only one country has a lot of oil and only one country sustains a president who severely pissed off another certain president's father. Why attack Iraq and not North Korea? Why attack either at all?

Without wanting to seem as though I'm once again jumping on the "US are the real evil" bandwagon, the foreign policy coming from this country seems confused, suspiciously clandestine and woefully inconsistent. If anyone thinks they can, I would very much like this to be clarified. :-/


Your posts are very well written, true, and articulate.... i always enjoy reading them Renegade.


Posted by Yoepus on Jan-02-2003 01:51:

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade
blH BLAH BLAh UN sux... but its not their fault..

Without wanting to seem as though I'm once again jumping on the "US are the real evil" bandwagon, the foreign policy coming from this country seems confused, suspiciously clandestine and woefully inconsistent. If anyone thinks they can, I would very much like this to be clarified. :-/


Ok a few points:

First give the USA time, it might after all go to war with NK. Who knows? Then they won't be hypocritical or inconsident.

Second, just because the USA can't do something against ONE bad nation, does not justify it in doing nothing if it can against another bad nation.

This would be saying, you can't attack one country in the axis of evil unless you attack them all. In the case of Iraq, the USA can acutally do something. If it does go after Iraq now it can stop it from possessing or obtaining in the future WOMD and detering a very horrible future scenario.

In Korea it is more complicated. An artilery shell from the north DMZ takes 53 seconds to travel to downtown Seoul. And NK has 1000 of barteries right above the DMZ line ready for such an opprotunity. As you can see, acting in this type of scenario is considerbaly much harder. Something you can't do much about. Altough they may find a work around in future, or in the end decide the sacrifise is worth the for the greater good of the world.

Anyway. My point was your using a flawed argument by saying that since the US isn't presistent with the approach to all members of evil, it has no right to exert force on one evil without the same right of force on another evil. But you have to understand each scenario is unique, and so is america's approach. I believe, just because you fail to stop one criminal, does not mean you should give up hope and stop trying to stop criminals.

bah.... anwyay hope you got it.


Posted by Izzy on Jan-02-2003 02:14:

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade
Still recovering from NYE

happy new year renegade

quote:

I agree that the UN is often slow to resolve diplomatic issues like this one

you're right. i wasnt asking for a quick resolution, i was just saying i feel it is very important that some sort of action be taken asap, or as i orginally said at least a reaction of any kind, because this whole NK thing is or could be a very serious incedent. maybe a call for an emergency session. or at least some way to conviene and let all the countries have an outlet to express thier views so that sometime in the future one can more accurately decide what resolution needs to happen.

i too agree with you about the UN as an ideal. i agree with everything it strives to achieve in a global sense and the values it stands for. however in reality, as based on its current state, it is not doing a good job of attaining it, maybe even hurting it. this is caused by a plethora of reasons, but that being probably a topic for another thread.


Posted by Renegade on Jan-02-2003 15:39:

quote:
My point was your using a flawed argument by saying that since the US isn't presistent with the approach to all members of evil, it has no right to exert force on one evil without the same right of force on another evil.


Yep I understand completely, and agree to a point. I never said that they should bomb North Korea if they bomb Iraq (or not bomb Iraq if they don't bomb North Korea), I was merely asking why Iraq are perceived as such a threat (to the extent that it is worth a war over) but North Korea aren't, when you have a look at what a similar "threat" they each pose.

To go back to your "criminal" analogy, you have two people in the docks: one is guilty of committing a crime (and freely admits to it), the other is accused of committing the same crime desipte a notable absense of quality evidence supporting this accusation, to the point where he is really only being accused of "planning" to commit this crime. One criminal gets the book thrown at him, the other doesn't. Now there is an undeniable inconsistency here, and one can only wonder what the real reasons for this are.

I'm not saying that neither should be condemned (and certainly not that they should both be condemned) I'm simply pointing out that an inconsistency does exist, and that there is presumably some reason why the same law is applied so differently to two different states. All I'm asking for is some possible ideas as to what this reason may be.

quote:
happy new year renegade


You too mate.

quote:
i wasnt asking for a quick resolution, i was just saying i feel it is very important that some sort of action be taken asap, or as i orginally said at least a reaction of any kind, because this whole NK thing is or could be a very serious incedent.


But at the same time a hasty reaction may only inflame the situation. That's why I rarely agree with the principle that states any action is always better than none at all. Just because we are often compelled to believe that we must do something when faced with a situation like this, it doesn't necessarily mean that we should.

And I can only hope that this doesn't make me sound like a stereotypically incorrigible pacifist.


Posted by Yoepus on Jan-03-2003 00:47:

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade
..yatta yatta yatta...

I'm not saying that neither should be condemned (and certainly not that they should both be condemned) I'm simply pointing out that an inconsistency does exist, and that there is presumably some reason why the same law is applied so differently to two different states. All I'm asking for is some possible ideas as to what this reason may be.


Well a few possible reasons other then conspiracy theories:

1) It takes NK artillery shells 53 seconds to land in downtown Seoul. NK has 100s, even 1000s of these artillery batteries right above to the north of the DMZ. Iraq has no comparable situation
2) The USA believe Iraq might be an a) easier or b) more important target strategically in its war on terror, and therefore decided it would wage war against it to take advantage of its defeat. As opposed to addressing the NK issue before the Iraqi one.
3) World pressure would be up in flames if the USA would actually try and not be hypocritical by going to war in both theatres.

These are just a few reasons. Honestly I don't think the USA is soley attacking Iraq for its oil as your theory alludes to. Using the same logic we can conspire that the USA then made up the NK crises so it could stop valuable oil shipments to NK.


Posted by Blik on Jan-03-2003 11:25:

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade
The UK and US tend to side with each other, as do Russia and China (not sure why though to be honest?)


Russia and China are both former Communist countries, that's all I can think of right now


Posted by malek on Jan-03-2003 11:34:

nah, they used to hate each other in the Soviet era.

Now they have many common things, for example rebelling minorities and they are both emerging powers, thats why they tend to stick together.


Posted by DrUg_Tit0 on Jan-05-2003 15:31:

quote:
basicly this treaty, which was signed by most the world's countries (including that of the US and NK), was intent on just putting a 'freeze' on all nuclear programs and keeping the status quo as long as possible. techincally it a signatory would not be allowed to build more nukes, only maintain those it has. the treaty bans selling of nukes and its technology. also non-nuke countries would not seek the technology and in case of attack by a nuclear powered country would have the defense of the world behind it (1968, UN Security Council Resolution 255). now NK has just backed out of the treaty (the very first one to do so) and the UN is being slow to react agian, damn i hate the UN....

So India and Pakistan built their own nukes, and US said almost nothing about it.


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