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| quote: | Originally posted by RichieV
the economy crashed this year. I'm talking about the last 2-3 years. The advances seem almost linear unlike the exponential growth before hand. |
Moore's Law is still very much in effect. It's just that over the past few years, most of the advances have been made in parallelism as opposed to clock speeds. And storage is included - not only have the capacities of both magnetic and chip-based (flash) storage gone up, but new technologies like SSDs are starting to gain traction.
One aspect of Moore's Law that's often overlooked is that the exponential "growth" is not always in the same dimension. Sometimes it comes from a fundamental change in the technological landscape. You can see the same kind of acceleration dating back to the industrial revolution, looking at things like transportation; it may seem like that leveled off many years ago, but you could argue that the internet today has made many instances of travel/transport unnecessary or irrelevant.
Often it's hard to understand these phenomena while they're happening, and the rate of change almost always looks linear at any given moment, much like a very small slice of an exponential curve will look like a straight line; it's much easier to see the big picture with the benefit of hindsight.
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