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Now I know nobody forgot that the rationale for the invasion were the massive stockpiles of chemical weapons in addition to the facilities that were constantly pumping out new stockpiles, not to mention the that they were ready to fire in 45 minutes, but let us presume for an instant that this briefcase is indeed sarin gas and therefore lo and behold we found the wmds we were looking for all along ... mission accomplished. Let’s take a step back and use some common sense to rationally look at a cost benefit analysis of the situation:
Cost
$200 billion (Going by CBO estimates of what the war will cost)
1,197 American lives
Benefit
A suitcase of Sarin Gas
Assurances that no new weapons program will be developed in Iraq
I only included benefits pertaining to WMD since every other justification was after the fact, and was not used as a primary justification for invasion prior to the actual invasion. Now as for the cost, I’ll ignore the cost of lives since one cannot so easily assign a value to such a thing, so I’ll only use the actual $ costs. Since $200 billion is a meaningless number to this new breed of spend and spend conservatives in the Bush administration, let’s look at it in a different way that might possibly put things in perspective …
If we look at social welfare expenditures in a year, the total amount spent is approximately $1,505 billion. However, that figure is all social welfare expenditure. If we subtract social insurance (which is not exactly an entitlement since you pay premiums out of every paycheck) and education (since that’s not entirely what we would traditionally consider as an entitlement), the total spending on entitlements such as welfare, hospital medical care, Medicaid, food programs, etc., comes to $434 billion. That figure is actually inflated by several other factors that aren’t necessarily “entitlements” such as medical research, however, let’s stick with that figure. Therefore doing the simple math, the Iraq war is equivalent to a 54% increase in entitlement programs. Can you imagine some democrat trying to pass that in congress? A 54% increase, all for an unlikely suitcase of “sarin” and assurances that Iraq won’t develop WMDs when, coincidentally, it wasn’t making much progress in doing just that under the status quo pre-invasion.
My social welfare expenditure data comes from here by the way:
http://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/stat...upplement/2000/
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