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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?
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girllovingtvibe
on a happy vibe



Registered: Apr 2004
Location: Somewhere between the music and the waves
Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

"Four Bush biographers, Mark Lombardi, J.H. Hatfield, Danny Casalaro, and now Gary Webb--all "suicide" victims. What are the odds all of these people actually committing suicide?

Examining the male U.S.suicide rate for recent years
(http://www.suicidology.org/stats2001/1999datapage2.pdf), we can
extrapolate a conservative estimate of 17 male suicides per 100,000 people, or 0.017%. The odds of 4 specific, male biographers committing suicide would be the 4th power of 17/100000, or 8.3521 4.913 x 10^-17...roughly 1 chance 10,000,000,000,000,000. About as good a definition of impossible as you can get. A person would stand a better chance of playing the Canadian lottery 6/49 exactly twice in one's lifetime and winning ther grand jackpot BOTH TIMES! (That is, picking 6 numbers out of 49 possible numbers and matching all 6 numbers out of 6 random draws, on 2 separate occasions, and having only purchased two Canadian lottery tickets ever.) This calculation should be regarded as a conservative estimate: the actual odds against such a "coincidence" would be much greater. For example, if any of the biographers were female, the odds would be even greater."


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"For attractive lips, speak words of kindness. For lovely eyes, seek out the good in people."

Old Post Dec-13-2004 16:33 
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George Smiley
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Jan 2004
Location: 9 Bywater Street, Chelsea, London

They probably read the books after they'd finished

Old Post Dec-13-2004 16:45  England
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ogvh5150
Formula 1 Addict



Registered: Aug 2003
Location: F1 2008 Red Bull Racing/BMW Sauber

Kind of reminds me of the Clinton bodyguards.


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Old Post Dec-13-2004 17:14 
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Q5echo
asymetrical scepticism



Registered: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas
Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by girllovingtvibe
"Four Bush biographers, Mark Lombardi, J.H. Hatfield, Danny Casalaro, and now Gary Webb--all "suicide" victims. What are the odds all of these people actually committing suicide?

source?

Old Post Dec-13-2004 17:20  United States
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Petrogad
David & Carr



Registered: Aug 2004
Location: MNTA #17

quote:
Originally posted by ogvh5150
Kind of reminds me of the Clinton bodyguards.


Clinton bodyguards or everyone of Clinton's Friends who changed their minds about somthing......

lol


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David & Carr

Old Post Dec-13-2004 18:42  United States
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Zild
Ten City



Registered: Jun 2004
Location: San Antonio, US : TXTA #156

I'm not surprised thats how it goes down. People talk about not being able to talk down about Saddam Hussein but you better keep your damn mouth shut about Dubya too.

Old Post Dec-13-2004 18:54  United States
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girllovingtvibe
on a happy vibe



Registered: Apr 2004
Location: Somewhere between the music and the waves
Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by Q5echo
source?


not sure - will find out though - one of my buddies passed it along to me


___________________
"For attractive lips, speak words of kindness. For lovely eyes, seek out the good in people."

Old Post Dec-13-2004 22:39 
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jonSun
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Dec 2003
Location: Chicago CTA #77
Re: Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by girllovingtvibe
not sure - will find out though - one of my buddies passed it along to me


Fuck the source. post more pics of you if that is you in your avatar.





















jk source please.


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Old Post Dec-13-2004 23:17  United States
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ogvh5150
Formula 1 Addict



Registered: Aug 2003
Location: F1 2008 Red Bull Racing/BMW Sauber

quote:
Originally posted by Petrogad
Clinton bodyguards or everyone of Clinton's Friends who changed their minds about somthing......

lol


Them too. Also look at the dead microbiologists.


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Old Post Dec-14-2004 00:19 
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St_Andrew
I <3 NYC



Registered: May 2003
Location: Stockholm, Sweden
Re: Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by girllovingtvibe
not sure - will find out though - one of my buddies passed it along to me


haha, seems relieble

but its something if its true indeed.... IF

Old Post Dec-14-2004 02:46  Europe
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George Smiley
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Jan 2004
Location: 9 Bywater Street, Chelsea, London
Re: Re: Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by jonSun
Fuck the source. post more pics of you if that is you in your avatar.





















jk source please.

Isn't that a bloke with long hair in the avatar?!

Old Post Dec-14-2004 03:44  England
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Q5echo
asymetrical scepticism



Registered: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by George Smiley
Isn't that a bloke with long hair in the avatar?!

he's got real small shoulders then. i don't know, whatever.

Old Post Dec-14-2004 03:46  United States
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