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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York
The State of the 2004 Euro Economy With Weekly Updates

I didn't go back to the beginning of the year as I did with the US ... too lazy for that. Should include some Aussie and Canuck data as well. I'm not sure how complete it is:




Week Ending Feb 15

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Belgium]: 11.1%
FIRST TAKE: Industrial activity unexpectedly rebounded in Belgium at the close of 2003, with a staggering year-over-year increase of 11.1%. In addition, the entire year’s estimates were revised upward as the overall index realized a 1.1% gain between 2002 and 2003.

RELEASE: GDP [Germany]: 0.2%
FIRST TAKE: GDP in Germany increased by 0.2% in the fourth quarter compared to the previous quarter after adjusting for seasonal and calendar effects. Without adjusting for the calendar, GDP would have been flat. For all of 2003, Europe’s largest economy contracted by 0.1%.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [France]: 0.3%
FIRST TAKE: Industrial production in France rose a weaker than expected 0.3% in December. Further, the November decline was increased to 0.6%. Year-over-year growth did accelerate to 1.6%. Energy, capital goods, and consumer goods led the gains in December.

RELEASE: GDP [Netherlands]: -0.5%
FIRST TAKE: According to the fourth quarter GDP figures released today by Statistics Netherlands, GDP fell 0.8% in 2003, the first yearly decline since 1982. In the fourth quarter alone, GDP was up 0.3% from the third quarter, although it fell 0.5% from the fourth quarter in 2002. As was the case last quarter, government consumption was the strongest component of GDP, showing the largest increase on a yearly basis.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Netherlands]: -2.9%
FIRST TAKE: December’s industrial production numbers were released today by the Netherlands Statistics Office. On a year-ago basis, top line manufacturing output declined 2.9%. Industrial production is down 2.3% from November.

RELEASE: Employment Situation [United Kingdom]: 2.9 % Unemployment
FIRST TAKE: The February U.K. labor market report was very strong. According to the Office of National Statistics, the U.K. claimant count unemployment rate fell to 2.9% in January from 3.0% during the previous month, as unemployment fell more than expected. Wage pressures are holding steady, which will allow the Bank of England to hold off on its next rate hike for a couple of months.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Sweden]: -2.0%
FIRST TAKE: Sweden’s industrial production slipped in December, falling 2.0% from the previous month. Moreover, activity on a year-to-year basis moved back into negative territory.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Turkey]: 21.1%
FIRST TAKE: Turkish industrial production growth jumped to 21.1% in December on a year-ago basis, up from 4.0% in November. On a monthly, nonseasonally adjusted basis, industrial production was up 12.4% from November.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [United Kingdom]: -0.1
FIRST TAKE: U.K. output data came in on the low side for the month of December. According to the Office for National Statistics, total U.K. production fell 0.1% during December from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis, which puts the year-ago growth rate at -0.8%. A rebound from the -0.9% monthly decline of November had been expected. Real manufacturing activity in the U.K. remains weak despite the improvement in business sentiment.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Hungary]: 12.5%
FIRST TAKE: The National Bank of Hungary left its two-week deposit rate unchanged at 12.5% today.

Week Ending Feb 8th

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Sweden]: 2.5%
FIRST TAKE: The Riksbank elected to cut the main repo rate by 25 basis points to 2.5% at its February monetary policy meeting.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Denmark]: -1.0%
FIRST TAKE: Industrial production slid 2.5% in December. Down for the third month in a row, the index closed the year 1.0% lower than the previous December and at its lowest level since October 2001.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Norway]: -1.0%
FIRST TAKE: Norway’s weak recovery sputtered again during December. According to Statistics Norway, total industrial output decreased 1.4% during December from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis, after losing 1.0% month to month in November. The decline puts year-to-year growth at -1%. Most of the weakness was concentrated in oil and gas extraction, as well as mining and utilities output. Still, manufacturing production was also lower during the month. Despite the depreciated krone and firmer external environment, Norway is struggling to establish solid footing.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Germany]: 0.6%
FIRST TAKE: The recovery in Germany’s manufacturing industry remained on track in December. Industrial production increased by 0.6% in December compared to the previous month.

RELEASE: Labor Force Survey [Canada]: 7.4 % Unemployment
FIRST TAKE: After four consecutive months of strong growth, employment rose by a more modest 14,900 positions in January. This was somewhat below consensus expectations for a gain of 20,000 positions. Although growth did slow this month, the employment picture in Canada remains healthy.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence [France] (-22)
FIRST TAKE: French consumer confidence improved to -22 in January from -25 in December. The survey underwent major revisions and comparable data are only available beginning last November.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Spain] (0.8%)
FIRST TAKE: December industrial production for the Spanish economy has improved modestly from one year ago. On the whole, however, the past year marked a notable increase for the nation’s production industries.

RELEASE: Employment Situation [Germany] (-81,000)
FIRST TAKE: The number of seasonally adjusted jobless fell by 81,000 in January compared to December. However, far from signaling a turnaround in Germany’s labor market, the number is due to changes in the methodology used to count the unemployed. Unemployment in Germany remains stubbornly high.

RELEASE: Retail Trade [Euro Zone] (-1.9)
FIRST TAKE: Euro-zone retail sales came in much worse than expected in November, plunging 1.9%. Notably, all countries reporting November data showed a monthly decline in sales.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [United Kingdom] (4.00%)
FIRST TAKE: The Bank of England acted to withdraw monetary stimulus today. At the conclusion of its monetary policy meeting, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee voted to raise its target for the repo rate—the central bank’s monetary policy instrument—by 25 basis points to 4.0%. The bank expects U.K. growth to be above trend over the medium term, which will push service inflation higher. The current action, then, is a preemptive move to drain liquidity from the economy.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Euro Zone] (2.00%)
FIRST TAKE: In a widely expected move, the ECB held monetary policy constant today. At the conclusion of its two-day meeting, the Governing Council of the European Central Bank decided that the minimum bid rate on main refinancing operations (repo rate), the central bank’s main policy instrument, would be held constant at 2.0%. The euro-zone economy is slowly recovering, and inflation is trending at the central bank’s target ceiling. Monetary policy is unlikely to change anytime soon.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Australia] (No change)
FIRST TAKE: The RBA decided to take a breather in its push to return Australian rates to "a more neutral setting." The cash rate remained unchanged at 5.25%.

RELEASE: Reuters Euro-Zone Services PMI [Euro Zone] (57.3)
FIRST TAKE: Service activity in the euro zone picked up during January after moderating in December. According to the Reuters service-sector PMI report, the headline business service activity index decreased to 57.3 in January from 56.6 in December. Growth in new orders held roughly constant, although the pace of contraction in service-sector employment hastened from that seen in December. The service report is similar to the manufacturing PMI report in that activity is increasing, even though job creation is still scarce.

RELEASE: Reuters Euro-Zone Manufacturing PMI [Euro Zone] (52.5)
FIRST TAKE: The two-track recovery in manufacturing continues in the euro zone. According to the Reuters, PMI data for the month of January showed gains in output and new orders, though manufacturing employment continues to contract. The overall index improved to 52.5 from 52.4.

Week Ending Feb 1st

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Portugal] (2.1%)
FIRST TAKE: Production bounced back in Portugal during December, though not by much, and not where it counts. According to the National Institute of Statistics, the Portuguese statistical agency, total output increased by 0.9% during December from November on a seasonally adjusted basis, which puts the year-ago growth rate at 2%. Energy output accounted for a sizeable amount of the monthly gain. Production of capital equipment and industrial materials is still very weak, however.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Greece] (-0.4%)
FIRST TAKE: Aside from continued growth in energy output, industrial production is now falling in Greece. Manufacturing production during August was 5.3% lower than a year ago, with production levels down sharply for most basic materials.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Finland] (0.3%)
FIRST TAKE: Finnish industrial production edged up by 0.3% in December from the previous month due to gains in manufacturing and mining production. Finland’s economy is improving modestly.

RELEASE: Employment Situation [France] (9.7 % Unemployment)
FIRST TAKE: The French unemployment rate unexpectedly rose back to 9.7% in December as the number of unemployed rose 11,000, reversing most of the declines in the prior two months.

RELEASE: Balance of Payments [Euro Zone] (4.4 billion euros)
FIRST TAKE: The euro zone recorded a seasonally adjusted current account surplus of 1.7 billion euros in November, compared with a surplus of 8.0 billion euros last month, and 7.8 billion euros one year ago. The surpluses on goods and services both fell during the month, despite stronger growth in foreign markets. The euro zone external accounts are struggling against a euro appreciation.

RELEASE: Retail Sales [Germany] (94.6)
FIRST TAKE: Retail sales in Germany contracted sharply in December both compared to November and to one year ago. Germany’s sclerotic labor market and depressed consumer confidence continued to take their toll.

RELEASE: Business and Consumer Survey [Euro Zone] (95.8)
FIRST TAKE: Business and consumer sentiment in the euro zone resumed its ascent in January after a brief retrenchment in December. Improvements in industrial and retailer confidence drove sentiment up. Consumer confidence remained unchanged.

RELEASE: GDP [Ireland] (-0.1%)
FIRST TAKE: Growth in Ireland slowed further in the third quarter, turning negative for the first time in over five years. Falling investment and exports continue to weigh down recovery.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence [United Kingdom] (0.0)
FIRST TAKE: Sentiment among U.K. consumers improved again in January. According to research carried out by Martin Hamblin GfK on behalf of the European Commission, the headline consumer sentiment index for the U.K. increased to 0 in January from -5 in December. January marks the first month since November 2002 that the index rose above negative territory. In particular, consumers were optimistic about expectations for a general economic recovery, and that this was a good time to buy major purchases.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [New Zealand] (5.25%)
FIRST TAKE: The RBNZ responded to latent inflation pressure and lifted its official interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%.

RELEASE: Business Survey [France] (102)
FIRST TAKE: French business confidence rose for the sixth consecutive month, to a 32 month high of 102 in January. Rising output and improvements in the general outlook boosted confidence. Export orders slipped, though they remained strong.

RELEASE: Nationwide Housing Price Index [United Kingdom] (14.3%)
FIRST TAKE: House price growth decelerated in the U.K. during January. According to the Nationwide survey of house prices, the price of the average U.K. property rose 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis in January, which puts the year-on-year change at 14.3%. The January turnout is the lowest rate of growth since March 2002.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Czech Republic] (2.00%)
FIRST TAKE: The Czech National Bank opted to leave all three of its monetary policy instruments unchanged at the conclusion of today’s meeting.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence [United Kingdom] (0.0)
FIRST TAKE: Sentiment among U.K. consumers improved again in January. According to research carried out by Martin Hamblin GfK on behalf of the European Commission, the headline consumer sentiment index for the U.K. increased to 0 in January from -5 in December. January marks the first month since November 2002 that the index rose above negative territory. In particular, consumers were optimistic about expectations for a general economic recovery, and that this was a good time to buy major purchases.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [New Zealand] (5.25%)
FIRST TAKE: The RBNZ responded to latent inflation pressure and lifted its official interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%.

RELEASE: Business Survey [France] (102)
FIRST TAKE: French business confidence rose for the sixth consecutive month, to a 32 month high of 102 in January. Rising output and improvements in the general outlook boosted confidence. Export orders slipped, though they remained strong.

RELEASE: Nationwide Housing Price Index [United Kingdom] (14.3%)
FIRST TAKE: House price growth decelerated in the U.K. during January. According to the Nationwide survey of house prices, the price of the average U.K. property rose 0.7% on a seasonally adjusted basis in January, which puts the year-on-year change at 14.3%. The January turnout is the lowest rate of growth since March 2002.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Czech Republic] (2.00%)
FIRST TAKE: The Czech National Bank opted to leave all three of its monetary policy instruments unchanged at the conclusion of today’s meeting.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Norway] (2.0%)
FIRST TAKE: At the conclusion of its monetary policy meeting, the Executive Board at Norges Bank decided to reduce the target for its monetary policy instrument—the sight deposit rate—by twenty-five basis points to 2.0%. The economy is in a recovery stage, though price trends are well below the central bank’s target of 2.5%, providing ample room for more stimulus to cement the recovery.

RELEASE: IFO Business Climate Index [Germany] (97.4)
FIRST TAKE: The IFO Business Climate Index recorded its ninth consecutive gain in January. The index increased above expectations, marking its highest level in three years.


___________________
Retro ...

Old Post Feb-13-2004 17:26  United States
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Izzy
Virtue & Vice



Registered: Apr 2001
Location: TX TA #5

damn, look at turkey go!

the GDP of most european countries looks dissapointing but im sure they'll bounce back pretty strongly since the US already seems to be going in that direction... it should carry along the world for the ride


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Old Post Feb-13-2004 17:48 
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St_Andrew
I <3 NYC



Registered: May 2003
Location: Stockholm, Sweden

thanks a lot occ

quite depressing figures though i didn't know about irelands problem, thought they had more (only) problems with inflation and such..

"RELEASE: Nationwide Housing Price Index [United Kingdom] (14.3%)" is written twice?

Old Post Feb-13-2004 18:08  Europe
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

Week Ending Feb 22

RELEASE: GDP [France]: 0.5%
FIRST TAKE: French GDP rose 0.5% in the fourth quarter and 0.2% for the year as a whole in line with last week’s flash estimate, according to preliminary figures. Government spending and inventory accumulation led growth, while growth was restrained by strong imports.

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [Canada]: 0.1%
FIRST TAKE: Canada’s consumer price index rose by 0.1% in January, with year-over-year growth decelerating to 1.2%. The Bank of Canada’s measure of core inflation fell to 1.5% this month. Inflation pressure remains dormant in Canada, thanks largely to the strong Canadian dollar. The low rate of inflation supports the case for an additional interest rate cut at the Bank of Canada’s next policy announcement.

RELEASE: Retail Sales [United Kingdom]: 6.3%
FIRST TAKE: Retail spending data continue to come in strong in the U.K. According to the Office of National Statistics, real retail sales increased 0.6% during January from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis. Trend growth continues to accelerate, and retail drivers portend stronger growth in the near term.

RELEASE: Foreign Trade [Euro Zone]: 5.7 billion euros
FIRST TAKE: The euro-zone trade balance improved during December. According to Eurostat, the European Union statistical agency, exports increased marginally and imports fell during the month to drive a 1.5 billion euro improvement in the monthly trade surplus.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Euro Zone]: 0.20%
FIRST TAKE: Industrial production in the euro zone rose by 0.2% in December, while the previous month’s increase was revised lower. This was below consensus expectations of a gain of 0.4%. Although growth was modest this month, this report provides further evidence that the euro-zone’s economy is slowly improving.

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [Germany]: 1.2%
FIRST TAKE: Inflation remains subdued in Germany. The Consumer Price Index increased by 1.2% in January compared to one year ago. Risks in Europe’s largest economy remain on the side of economic weakness.

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [United Kingdom]: 1.4%
FIRST TAKE: Inflation crept up in January to 1.4%, up from 1.3% in December, but still below the target rate of 2%. The uptick in inflation is in line with the central bank’s expectation of rising inflation through most of this and next year.

RELEASE: ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment [Germany]: 69.9
FIRST TAKE: The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment fell for the second consecutive month in February. Moreover, February’s decline was more pronounced than the previous one. Thus, while expectations remain favorable, the outlook has become less optimistic as new doubts regarding the sustainability of the turnaround in Europe’s largest economy have emerged.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Czech Republic]: 6.5%
FIRST TAKE: According to the Czech Statistical Office, industrial output adjusted for work days increased by a robust 6.5% in December on a year-ago basis. Production was down 1.3% on a seasonally adjusted month-to-month basis.

RELEASE: Survey of Business Confidence: 173.6
FIRST TAKE: Global business confidence remains high. Manufacturers and high-tech companies are particularly upbeat. Businesses continue to report stronger sales and firmer pricing, and most businesses are increasingly positive about their investment and hiring intentions. Confidence is off from its late 2003 peak, however. Asian confidence has slipped the most. Business services, financial services and real estate firms are also less positive.


___________________
Retro ...

Old Post Feb-20-2004 22:29  United States
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

Week Ending Feb 29

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Finland]: -2.7%
FIRST TAKE: Finnish industrial production declined in January, by 2.7% from the previous month. Mining output fell sharply and manufacturing production was down by 3.3%. Finland’s economy is struggling to gain traction, as exports remain lackluster.

RELEASE: Employment Situation [France]: 9.6 % Unemployment
FIRST TAKE: The French unemployment rate unexpectedly fell back to 9.6% in January as the number of unemployed fell 23,000, more than reversing January’s gain. However, INSEE indicated that the data is subject to upward revision due to a change in administrative procedures.

RELEASE: GDP [Finland]: 0.3%
FIRST TAKE: The final quarter of 2003 proved disappointing for Finland. Finland’s economy grew by 0.3% in the fourth quarter on a quarter-to-quarter basis. Exports declined and investment was flat. Consumption was the strongest portion of GDP. Finland’s economy will remain restrained until export growth picks up substantially.

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [Euro Zone]: 1.9
FIRST TAKE: Euro-zone inflation decelerated during January. According to Eurostat, the E.U. statistical agency, consumer prices fell 0.2% during January from December, which puts the year-ago rate of inflation at 1.9%. Inflation is expected to decelerate further in February, which will stoke speculation of an ECB rate cut.

RELEASE: Business and Consumer Survey [Euro Zone]: 96.0
FIRST TAKE: Business and consumer sentiment in the euro zone held steady in February, doing slightly better than expected. Construction and retailer confidence weakened, which was made up for by an improvement in consumer confidence. Industrial sentiment remained unchanged. Europe’s recovery continues at a tepid, uninspiring pace.


RELEASE: GDP [Canada]: 3.8%
FIRST TAKE: The Canadian economy ended 2003 on a stronger note, with real GDP advancing at a sturdy 3.8% annualized pace in the fourth quarter. Stronger exports, primarily to the firming U.S., were a key source of growth. The gain was less than impressive than the top-line number suggests, however, as inventory accumulation also added to growth and consumer spending barely held its own.


RELEASE: Consumer Confidence [United Kingdom]: -2.0
FIRST TAKE: U.K. consumer sentiment disappointed during February. According to research carried out by Martin Hamblin GfK on behalf of the European Commission, the headline consumer sentiment index for the U.K. fell to -2 during February from a reading of zero in January. Consumers are responding to the Bank of England’s 25 basis point increase in interest rates at the last monetary policy meeting. Despite the decline in sentiment, the index levels are consistent with healthy consumer spending this year.


RELEASE: Business Survey [France]: 103
FIRST TAKE: French business confidence rose for the seventh consecutive month, to a 33 month high of 103 in February. Rising output and lower inventories boosted confidence while order levels and views on the outlook deteriorated.

RELEASE: Nationwide Housing Price Index [United Kingdom]: 17.1%
FIRST TAKE: U.K. house price growth rebounded during February. According to the Nationwide survey of house prices, the price of the average U.K. property rose 3.1% on a seasonally adjusted basis in February, which puts the year-on-year change at 17.1%. Supply constraints and expedited buying ahead of expected interest rate rises are driving house prices.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Czech Republic]: 2.00%
FIRST TAKE: The Czech National Bank left all three of its monetary policy instruments unchanged at the conclusion of today’s meeting.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Poland]: 5.25%
FIRST TAKE: As expected, the Polish central bank elected to leave the reference rate, its key monetary policy instrument, unchanged at 5.25%. Monetary policy officials have left interest rates untouched for the last eight meetings, satisfied that the Polish economy is growing at a satisfactory rate without risk of significant inflation.

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [France]: 2.0%
FIRST TAKE: Annual CPI inflation in France fell to 2.0% in January from 2.2% in December. Falling apparel, transportation and communication, and healthcare prices offset increases in tobacco, fresh food and energy prices. Harmonized inflation decelerated to 2.2%.

RELEASE: Balance of Payments [Euro Zone]: 5.0 billion euros
FIRST TAKE: The euro zone recorded a seasonally adjusted current account surplus of 2.5 billion euros in December, compared with a revised surplus of 2.1 billion euros last month, and an average of 3.1 billion euros during the previous six months. The surplus on goods increased as growth in exports outpaced imports. The financial account recorded a net outflow in combined portfolio and foreign direct investment.

RELEASE: IFO Business Climate Index [Germany]: 96.4
FIRST TAKE: The LIFO Business Climate Index showed a small downward correction in February pointing to some uncertainty regarding the sustainability of the recovery in Europe’s largest economy.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Hungary]: 12.5%
FIRST TAKE: The National Bank of Hungary left its two-week deposit rate unchanged at 12.5% today.


___________________
Retro ...

Old Post Feb-27-2004 23:11  United States
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

Better late than never eh?

Anyway, as in the US post, there is no data for last friday. And whilst I was willing to look up the data manually for my fellow compatriots, I simply lack the motivational effort to look it up for all you Eurotrash .

Week Ending Mar 7

RELEASE: Employment Situation [Germany]: 26,000
FIRST TAKE: Unemployment continued to rise in Germany in February. The increase in the number of jobless by a seasonally adjusted 26,000 compared to January exceeded expectations. Thus, stubbornly high unemployment continues to weigh on economic prospects, in particular consumer confidence and spending.

RELEASE: GDP [Euro Zone]: 0.6%
FIRST TAKE: According to Eurostat, the European Union statistical agency, real GDP increased by 0.3% during the fourth quarter from the previous quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis. This follows 0.4% growth in the third quarter.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [United Kingdom]: 4.00%
FIRST TAKE: As expected, the Bank of England held interest rates steady at 4% in March following the 0.25% hike in February. Despite rebounding growth, the central bank remains concerned with rising household debt burdens. Further interest rate hikes in the next six months are likely.



RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Euro Zone]: 2.00%
FIRST TAKE: The ECB opted to keep interest rates unchanged at the close of its monetary policy meeting. The decision, in line with market expectations, leaves the key minimum bid rate on main refinancing operations at 2% - an all-time low. The euro-zone economy is slowly recovering, and inflation is well contained in the region. Monetary policy is unlikely to change anytime soon.

RELEASE: Reuters Euro-Zone Services PMI [Euro Zone]: 56.2
FIRST TAKE: The expansion in the euro zone’s service sector continued in February, but at a slower pace than in the previous month. According to the Reuters service-sector PMI report, the headline business activity index fell to 56.2 in February from 57.3 in January.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence [France]: -23
FIRST TAKE: French consumer confidence fell to -23 in February from -22 in January. However, the reliability of the data remains weakened by the change in methodology implemented in January.

RELEASE: Retail Sales [Germany]: 97.4
FIRST TAKE: According to the Statistics Office, retail sales declined in January compared to the same month one year ago. However, retail sales increased compared to December. The weak labor market continues to take a toll on consumer confidence and spending.

RELEASE: Unemployment Rate [Euro Zone]: 8.8 % Unemployment
FIRST TAKE: The euro-zone rate of unemployment held steady in January. According to Eurostat, the European Union statistical agency, the unemployment rate for the month registered 8.8%, a 46-month high. The euro-zone economy is growing again, but unemployment is a lagging variable, and flows into the pool of unemployment will continue through the short-term.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Canada]: 2.25%
FIRST TAKE: As expected, the Bank of Canada (BOC) lowered its key overnight rate by 25 basis points today, reducing it to 2.25%. This marks the second rate cut this year.

RELEASE: Reuters Euro-Zone Manufacturing PMI [Euro Zone]: 52.5
FIRST TAKE: The manufacturing recovery held constant in the euro zone during the month of February. The Reuters purchasing managers’ index held steady at a level of 52.5 in February. Growth in output and new orders decelerated slightly due to the strong euro. The attrition in manufacturing employment accelerated.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Hungary]: 12.5%
FIRST TAKE: The National Bank of Hungary left its two-week deposit rate unchanged at 12.5% today.


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Retro ...

Old Post Mar-10-2004 17:58  United States
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DJ Sarah H
Louboutin's Bitch



Registered: Nov 2000
Location: London UK Baby



Thread stickied by request


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Old Post Mar-10-2004 18:15  United Kingdom
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St_Andrew
I <3 NYC



Registered: May 2003
Location: Stockholm, Sweden

quote:
Originally posted by Wicked Neo


Thread stickied by request


way to go neo and thanks again occrider

Old Post Mar-10-2004 18:17  Europe
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Yoepus
Neo-condimist



Registered: Jan 2002
Location: Ketchup fields, Texas

ahh damn, now that this thread is stickied I'll never be able to follow the updates


congrats occ


Now I say we make an Israel/Pal sticky where all Israel Pal debates can run wild, I say it gets to 200p in 2 weeks.


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Old Post Mar-10-2004 20:50  Israel
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Izzy
Virtue & Vice



Registered: Apr 2001
Location: TX TA #5

quote:
Originally posted by Wicked Neo


Thread stickied by request


yes, thanks a lot neo

occrider, i hope you're not dissapointed by me asking to make this a sticky cause i know you'll feel bad if you dont keep updating it since its sticky'ed now

regardless i just wanted to say the posts are enjoyed, thanks occ


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Old Post Mar-10-2004 21:21 
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

It got stickied??? Nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
ooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!

This is how you all repay me???????? WHHHYYYYYY OHHHH WHYYYYY??? Oh cruel world!!!! What have I done for life to treat me as such!???


Hehe no it's cool. No thanks necessary on the updates. It's nice to be able to see the archived trend in data rather than looking at it from day to day as I used to do


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Old Post Mar-10-2004 21:43  United States
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

Week Ending Mar 14

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [Germany]: 0.8%
FIRST TAKE: Already subdued inflation decelerated further in February. The strong euro and lackluster demand continue to keep inflation in check. The risks for Europe’s largest economy remain on the side of economic weakness.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [France]: -0.5%
FIRST TAKE: Industrial production in France unexpectedly fell in January, its second decline in three months. Further, the December increase was revised down slightly. Energy, automotive and consumer goods led the declines.

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index [France]: 1.8%
FIRST TAKE: Annual CPI inflation in France continued to decline, dipping to 1.8% in February from 2.0% in January. Food, tobacco and energy prices led the moderation. However, the monthly price change was 0.5%, higher than expected, led by rising tobacco and apparel prices. Annual harmonized inflation decelerated to 1.9%.

RELEASE: Labor Force Survey [Canada]: 7.4 % Unemployment
FIRST TAKE: As expected, the employment picture in Canada changed very little from January. The February release showed that new jobs declined by 21,000, and the unemployment rate remained at 7.4%. This recent pause in employment growth, attributable to weakness in part-time work, follows strong increases in full-time employment over the previous five months.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Belgium]: 1.6%
FIRST TAKE: Belgium's industrial production index started 2004 on a positive note, increasing by 1.6% from last January. December's initial estimate was revised downward to 5.4%, but the estimates continue to show a marked rebound in Belgium's goods-producing industries.


RELEASE: Industrial Production [Czech Republic]: 5.9%
FIRST TAKE: According to the Czech Statistical Office, industrial output adjusted for work days increased 5.9% in January on a year-ago basis.

RELEASE: GDP [Norway]: 0.6%
FIRST TAKE: GDP growth came in strong for Norway during the final quarter of 2003. According to Statistics Norway, real GDP advanced by 0.6% during the fourth quarter from Q3 on a seasonally adjusted basis, which put growth at 0.5% year to year. The mainland tally was even stronger. Household spending and foreign sales were strong, and business spending recovered from recent weakness.

RELEASE: Monetary Policy [Norway]: 1.75%
FIRST TAKE: As expected, the Norges Bank added additional monetary stimulus today. At the conclusion of its monetary policy meeting, the Executive Board at Norges Bank decided to reduce the target for its monetary policy instrument—the sight deposit rate—by 25 basis points to 1.75%. The economy is in a recovery stage, although price trends are well below the central bank’s two-year ahead target of 2.5%, providing room for the additional stimulus to cement the recovery.

RELEASE: GDP [Czech Republic]: 3.2%
FIRST TAKE: According to the Czech Republic Statistical Office, the Czech economy expanded by 3.2% on a year ago basis during the final quarter of 2003. Third quarter GDP was revised higher by 0.2% to 3.3%. Full year growth came in at a respectable 2.9%.

RELEASE: GDP [Italy]: -0.0%
FIRST TAKE: Italy’s economy took a disconcerting step back in the fourth quarter. Real GDP was flat, in line with last month’s flash estimate, after growing 0.4% in the third quarter.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Netherlands]: 0.5%
FIRST TAKE: The new year has apparently brought a degree of recovery to the Netherlands manufacturing industry. According to data released by the Netherlands Statistics Office today, industrial production in January was up 0.5% on a year-ago basis, after fourteen consecutive months of year over year decline. Manufacturing output increased on a monthly basis as well, up 3.0% from December.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Sweden]: 3.3%
FIRST TAKE: Sweden’s industrial production surged in January, rising 3.3% from the previous month. Moreover, activity on a year-to-year basis pushed back into positive territory.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [United Kingdom]: 0.1
FIRST TAKE: The U.K. industrial recovery continues to plod along in an unspectacular manner. According to the Office for National Statistics, total U.K. production gained 0.1% during January from the previous month on a seasonally adjusted basis, which puts the year-ago growth rate at 0.4%. The previous month’s decline in output was revised up to a 0.1% gain. Manufacturing output was a bit higher than the total, mainly due to stronger activity in the pharmaceuticals and transportation industries.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Germany]: -0.1%
FIRST TAKE: The expansion in German manufacturing stalled in January. While industrial production increased by 1.3% compared to one year ago, it fell by 0.1% compared to December. Weak domestic demand and the strong euro are to blame.

RELEASE: GDP [Sweden]: 0.6%
FIRST TAKE: Fourth quarter GDP growth for Sweden indicates the continuation of slow but steady progress for the country’s economy. According to Statistics Sweden, GDP rose 0.6% from the previous quarter.

RELEASE: Industrial Production [Turkey]: 6.5%
FIRST TAKE: Turkish industrial production growth was 6.5% in January on a year-ago basis, down from 21.1% growth in December. On a monthly, nonseasonally adjusted basis, industrial production was down 12.1% from December.


RELEASE: Survey of Business Confidence: 174.8
FIRST TAKE: Confidence remains strong, although it has not changed measurably since mid-January and it is down from its late 2003 peak. Strong sales are supporting confidence. Hiring and investment plans have improved in response. Confidence is strongest in North America and among high-tech and manufacturing companies. It remains weakest in Latin America and among business services, financial services, and real estate firms.


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