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Re: Palestinian Women (SFW)
| quote: | Originally posted by Dopey
Women don't have that much power in the Arab world right? Does this lead to war?
I think so and this is why...
The primal instinct of any human (and many non-human) female is to protect her offspring. If women were respected as they are in Western society, no child would ever fight, simply because the mothers would not let them. Also, no father would be able to preach violence to a child, simply because the mother would not let them. This preaching and direct involvement leads to a shorter average life-span obviously, if the females had some power, they would not let this happen.
So, in conclusion, feminism ftw
Discuss. |
I don't agree. I believe more in the Youth Bulge Theory. DISCUSSION BELOW...
| quote: | | In his fictional book Nineteen-Eighty-Four, George Orwell talks about a state of constant war being used as one of many ways to distract people. War inspires fear and hate among the people of a nation, and gives them a "legitimate" enemy upon whom they can focus this fear and hate. Thus the people are prevented from seeing that their true enemy is in fact their own repressive government. By this theory war is another "opiate of the masses" by which a state controls its people and prevents revolution. |
Two Demographic Theories: Malthusian & Youth Bulge
Malthusian
| quote: | | Malthusian theories see a misproportion of expanding population and scarce food as a source of violent conflict. Youth Bulge theory differs in that it identifies a disproportion between the number of well educated, well fed angry "fighting age" young males and the number of positions available to them in society as a primary source of different forms of social unrest (including war). According to this view, "people beg for food, for positions they shoot". |
Youth Bulge
| quote: | Samuel Huntington has modified his Clash of Civilizations theory by using youth bulge theory as its foundation:
"I don’t think Islam is any more violent than any other religions, and I suspect if you added it all up, more people have been slaughtered by Christians over the centuries than by Muslims. But the key factor is the demographic factor. Generally speaking, the people who go out and kill other people are males between the ages of 16 and 30".
According to Heinsohn, who has proposed the theory in its most generalized form, a youth bulge occurs when 30 to 40 percent of the males of a nation belong to the "fighting age" cohorts from 15 to 29 years of age. It will follow periods with average birth rates as high as 4-8 children per woman with a 15-29 year delay. If an average birth rate of 2,1 represents a situation of in which the son will replace the father, the daughter the mother, 4-8 children per mother imply 2-4 sons. Consequently, one father has to leave not 1, but 2 to 4 social positions (jobs) to give all his sons a perspective for life, which is usually hard to achieve. Since respectable positions cannot be increased at the same speed as food, textbooks and vaccines, many "angry young men" find themselves in a situation that tends to escalate their adolescent anger into violence: they are
(1) demographically superfluous,
(2) might be out of work or stuck in a mean job, and
(3) often have no access to a legal sex life before a career can earn them enough to provide for a family.
The combination of these stress factors according to Heinsohn[9] usually heads for six different exits:
(1) Emigration ("non violent colonization")
(2) Violent Crime
(3) Rebellion or putsch
(4) Civil war and/or revolution
(5) Genocide (to take over the positions of the slaughtered)
(6) Conquest (violent colonization, frequently including genocide abroad).
Religions and ideologies are seen as secondary factors that are being used to legitimate violence, but will not lead to violence by itself if no youth bulge is present. Consequently, youth bulge theorists see both past "Christianist" European colonialism / imperialism and today´s "Islamist" civil unrest / terrorism as results of high birth rates producing youth bulges.
Youth Bulge theory has been subjected to statistical analysis by the World Bank, Population Action International, and the Berlin Institute for Population and Development.[13] It has been criticized for promoting racial, gender and age discrimination. |
Iranian Situation
| quote: | Stubborn, double-digit, unemployment is currently the Islamic Republic’s most acute single economic concern. Providing gainful, even if not equally productive, jobs for millions of job seekers now tops the list of the theocratic oligarchy's unrelenting headaches. The challenge is formidable not only because of unemployment’s debilitating impact on the economy, but also due to its dire political, social, and even cultural consequences for the regime's stability and staying power. While shortages of job opportunities have been a structural phenomenon in Iran for some time, the acceleration in the growth of labor force since the late 1990s has now reached a critical mass – defying all attempted solutions.
Unemployment has shown a tendency to fluctuate, and with a strong upward trend, reaching significant proportions. A current population of 63 million gives a labour force of 19 million. About 16 percent of this labour force are unemployed which is about 2.3 million people. Youth unemployment is the highest, 50 percent for the age cohort between 15-24 years. Educated unemployment is also very high, and university level unemployment again is the highest despite the high literacy rate of 93 percent for those aged 6-29. The official figure for child labour in 1992 was 286,000 of which 62 percent are girls. Most child labourers are working in the carpet industry.
Estimates and trends in poverty differ, but nevertheless point to significantly high levels. The Management Planning Organization (MPO) estimates absolute poverty to have dropped in the last decade, but to be still high at the level of 20 percent. A rural poverty line of R365,000 per month gives a rural poverty headcount of 21.7 percent, while an urban poverty line of R460,000 gives an urban poverty headcount of 18.7 percent. Inequality in the economy has remained at a high level. The high levels of unemployment and poverty, and low growth are considered to be potentially destabilizing, and therefore constitute priority problems for any management regime. The Third Development Plan now aims to bring down this very high unemployment rate of nearly 16 percent, to a range of 10.5 percent -12.5 percent by the end of the plan period. To lower unemployment down to 10.5 percent will require the generation of approximately 750,000 jobs per year, to match a near equivalent labour supply, compared to a current rate of generation of only 285,000 jobs per year, and a past best of 350,000 jobs.
Since the Islamic Revolution, Iran has had a religious police that punishes offenders relentlessly. Jamal Karimi-Rad, in 2006, has vowed to work with other governmental organizations and continue the prosecution of "social vice" or "moral corruption". The Islamic officials use words like "Western" and "un-Islamic" as their talking points to justify such arrests. The Islamic government's obsession with the people's behavior and dress even reached a point when it would employ female religious police who "with a razor took off the lipstick from the lips" of other female citizens.
The religious police is extremely disliked by some Iranian teenagers and youths.[citation needed] Video of Iranian village youth explaining how Basijis arrested him while he was hanging out with his friends.
Iran's Unemployment Crisis
Iran: Coping With The World's Highest Rate Of Brain Drain
Ahmadinejad: Wipe Israel off map
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