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Excluding split decisions and fights against Ken Shamrock, Ortiz has precisely one win in the last eight years: a boring, lay-and-pray win over a bloated 205-lb Patrick Cote.
The best fight on this card should be Minotoro versus Banha. Cane is probably the better striker, and the fight should take place mostly on the feet which gives him an advantage. But his edge standing isn't necessarily huge, and I think Nogueira has the superior gas tank and a much better ground game. Overall, I see this fight as a toss up.
If Anthony Johnson lives up to the hype, his fight with Koscheck could be good as well, but I have a sneaking suspicion he'll be exposed badly on saturday, just like I felt he was when he fought Rich Clementi. Here's hoping I'm wrong there.
Saunders versus Davis should be good as well. The two are headed in opposite directions: Davis is 36 and doesn't seem to be showing much improvement anymore, whereas Saunders is a prospect. Still, Davis is probably a bit too much for Saunders at this point.
Uno-Camoes is likely to be a slow-paced technical grappling battle; as such, it's very unlikely to make the broadcast. Both guys have serious skills, though, so I'm looking forward to catching it later.
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