 |
|
|
|
 |
occrider
Traveladdict

Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York
|
|
|
Sep-26-2003 14:13
|
|
|
 |
 |
Renegade
____________/

Registered: May 2001
Location: Prague, Czech Republic
|
|
|
Yeah, despite being a late entrant, Clark's looking like a pretty good chance to take this one out I think. He's doing quite well in the head to head poll, better than many of his rivals despite his smaller grass-root support:
| quote: | Sept. 22, 2003 | WASHINGTON (AP) -- Democrat Wesley Clark, in the presidential race for less than a week, is tied with President Bush in a head-to-head matchup, according to a poll that shows several Democratic candidates strongly challenging the Republican incumbent.
Clark, a retired Army general, garnered 49 percent support to Bush's 46 percent, which is essentially a tie given the poll's margin of error. The CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll was conducted Sept. 19-21, beginning two days after Clark announced he would become the 10th Democratic candidate for the party's nomination. |
http://www.salon.com/news/wire/2003...bush/index.html
In many ways, these head-to-head polls may well be some of the most important factors in determining who the Democrats decide to run in 2004.
___________________
http://eschatonnow.blogspot.com/
|
|
Sep-26-2003 14:17
|
|
|
 |
 |
MisterOpus1
Grumpy Old Fart

Registered: Dec 2001
Location: Kansas City
|
|
|
Re: Democratic Debate
| quote: | Originally posted by occrider
Did anyone watch it last night? Personally I thought that Clark came out ahead in those debates. He seemed to be above the petty squabbling and finger pointing going on between Kerry, Dean, and Gephardt and he emphasized his democratic values that I liked (with the exception of affirmative action). Anyway, after learnings about Dean's stance on several issues, I definetely do NOT want him to win the democratic ticket. Particularly with his stance on trade. Apparentely he wants to rework EVERY trade agreement with every country such that we would only deal with those countries who follow similar worker's rights/human rights/and labor standards as us! Is he insane???? Our ONLY trading partner would become Canada and Western Europe! Please tell me he has more economics sense than that??? I shudder to think about how much the price structure of goods would change and how fast our economy would tank ...
Anyway, go clark! He taught economics at west point, so one would envisage him having a good head on his shoulders. |
As much as I don't want to admit it, I'm starting to have doubts about Dean, my original first choice. It sucks that the man on top receives the most criticism and exposure to faults, and that he's got a bullseye on his back with the likes of every other candidate. But he's starting to look a little more wishy washy with his proposed policies. And I concur with your trade analysis - siding with NAFTA and WTO is never a good thing in my book (esp. NAFTA). He did mention that he would want those trade agreements revised, but as you pointed out he wanted those revised to our standards (which are definitely not universal, nor should they be).
Clark looks pretty good right now, but I am anxious to hear his specific policies instead of mere generalities. If his specifics are sound, he'll surely get my vote.
___________________
Whence September dusk grows crisper still,
with leaves all crimson conquered,
I yearn to shout,
and dance about,
and stick pickles in my honker...
|
|
Sep-26-2003 14:41
|
|
|
 |
 |
Renegade
____________/

Registered: May 2001
Location: Prague, Czech Republic
|
|
|
| quote: | Originally posted by occrider
I think that many moderates and conservatives who are sick with Bush would be a little too hesistant to put Dean into the white house. If it were a matchup between Dean and Bush I think Bush would win based upon the views that Dean is "too" liberal. However Clark, a distinguished General who would rebuild foreign relations while emphasizing homeland security seems like he would appeal to both sides of the political spectrum.
Anyway I hope he can keep his momentum up. If the democrats blow this one and give the wrong guy the democratic ticket I'm gonna be pissed! |
Good point, but I think the issue about Dean being "too liberal" has been overblown somewhat. Admittedly, being an Australian, I wouldn't understand the mindset of the average American voter as well as perhaps you or the average American political commentator would, but surely if we argue that Dean is going to lose votes for being "too liberal" we could also argue that Bush is likely to lose votes for being "too conservative"? Is there any reason the logic couldn't be applied both ways?
Having said that, I agree that Clark may be more likely to win the moderate/centrist votes than those to the left (Kucinich, Dean, etc.) and right (Lierberman, Gephardt, etc.) of him politically, but whether he can inspire people to turn-up and vote in the same way that someone with the charisma of Howard Dean may be able to is another issue all together. For instance, didn't the Gore/Bush election have one of the lowest voter turn-outs of all time? Gore may have been moderate enough to satisfy the criteria we may say are necessary to win the centrist swing votes you talk about, but if he doesn't inspire people to turn out and vote for him (this includes liberals, centrists and moderate rights) then these "moderate" policies may well count for nothing.
I know that Clark and Gore are different personalities, but the point is that the Democrats mustn't be so caught up in trying to win over these "swing" votes that they forget about the grass-root liberals (easy votes to pick up from the Greens and Independents if the candidate is right) or about selecting a leader who - quite apart from possessing policies that people may agree with - inspires the voters to turn up to the polling-booths. I don't know enough about Clark to say whether he is likely to possess this quality or not, but I thought it might be worth keeping in mind (as sadly, in elections, policies aren't always the most decisive factor).
___________________
http://eschatonnow.blogspot.com/
|
|
Sep-26-2003 14:55
|
|
|
 |
 |
occrider
Traveladdict

Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York
|
|
|
| quote: | Originally posted by Renegade
Good point, but I think the issue about Dean being "too liberal" has been overblown somewhat. Admittedly, being an Australian, I wouldn't understand the mindset of the average American voter as well as perhaps you or the average American political commentator would, but surely if we argue that Dean is going to lose votes for being "too liberal" we could also argue that Bush is likely to lose votes for being "too conservative"? Is there any reason the logic couldn't be applied both ways?
|
Well, under a normal set of circumstances I would probably tend to agree. However, in post 9/11 America I think a lot of people tend to associate "conservatives" as those who would take proactive steps in increasing security against additional attacks while they tend to look at "liberals" as those who would be too lax to enforce stringent security measures. I forget the poll that I saw this in, but I fear that many in America would erroneously label a candidate who is "too" liberal as one who would shirk their responsiblities in improving security. Personally I don't think Dean is too liberal at all. I would save that label for members of the green party and what not. If I considered him too liberal than I wouldn't even consider him a serious candidate. I do consider some of his policies as being "too" liberal however, (economic stance and his desire to roll back ALL tax cuts) and I'm afraid that many would be somewhat apprehensive at what else he would do. If Dean is the opposite of Bush, I think that many would be fearful of having swung one way for 4 years and then voting in a candidate who is going to completely swing the other way. I think many people would be far more comfortable with moderate steps in the other direction rather than a complete 180 degree turn. Therefore I think that many moderates/undecided would naturally swing to the conservative side when confronted with a candidate who is so different. So I guess he would be defined as radically liberal by conservatives who are used to Bush's conservativism.
| quote: |
Having said that, I agree that Clark may be more likely to win the moderate/centrist votes than those to the left (Kucinich, Dean, etc.) and right (Lierberman, Gephardt, etc.) of him politically, but whether he can inspire people to turn-up and vote in the same way that someone with the charisma of Howard Dean may be able to is another issue all together. For instance, didn't the Gore/Bush election have one of the lowest voter turn-outs of all time? Gore may have been moderate enough to satisfy the criteria we may say are necessary to win the centrist swing votes you talk about, but if he doesn't inspire people to turn out and vote for him (this includes liberals, centrists and moderate rights) then these "moderate" policies may well count for nothing.
I know that Clark and Gore are different personalities, but the point is that the Democrats mustn't be so caught up in trying to win over these "swing" votes that they forget about the grass-root liberals (easy votes to pick up from the Greens and Independents if the candidate is right) or about selecting a leader who - quite apart from possessing policies that people may agree with - inspires the voters to turn up to the polling-booths. I don't know enough about Clark to say whether he is likely to possess this quality or not, but I thought it might be worth keeping in mind (as sadly, in elections, policies aren't always the most decisive factor). |
Well I agree somewhat that the democrat party should appeal to its own supporters and inspire people to come out to vote, but I really don't see that becoming a problem in this election. I think that the disatisfaction with Bush ALONE will compel liberal voters to come out in droves. That being said, are there enough liberals to counterbalance the number of conservatives in the country? Plus are extremist liberal votes going to be wasted on the green/independant parties? But at any rate, I think Clark could capture not only a lot of liberal votes but conservative votes as well. But I'm hedging my bets on the moderate/undecided vote making the difference in this election, and I think that Clark would have enough support from nearly all sides to win the election. Oh well, we'll see. Should be an exciting election race.
___________________
Retro ...
Last edited by occrider on Sep-26-2003 at 15:56
|
|
Sep-26-2003 15:44
|
|
|
 |
 |
|  |
All times are GMT. The time now is 16:46.
Forum Rules:
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not edit your posts
|
HTML code is ON
vB code is ON
[IMG] code is ON
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contact Us - return to tranceaddict
Powered by: Trance Music & vBulletin Forums
Copyright ©2000-2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Privacy Statement / DMCA
|