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| quote: | Originally posted by kush paintings
Shakka, this is by no means meant to be a challenge, as I have heard both sides of this arguement, but I side with a number of others who say the economy is going to softly land and then grow at a rate of about 3%. This slower rate of growth, so I have heard many say, would bring back the bulls, but of course not to the extent of the 90's. They site the resiliant consumer spending in the face of high gas and energy prices is good evidence of this. Anyways, I really think a lot rides on what the Fed does with interest rates comming up. I think if he raises them the markets will, of course, fall apart, then I believe a more defensive strategy is in place. However, if he doesn't we can be in for a nice rally. Really, nearly every analyst is on either side, so at this point its basically like gambling, but goddamn you gotta love the stakes. |
I certainly don't profess to know for a fact what is going to happen. I just have a feeling about things. There are so many things that could happen. Record debt levels, slowing consumer spending, new Fed chairman, slowing housing market, geopolitical uncertainty, sky-high energy prices, rising interest rates, inflation, record trade imbalance, weaker dollar, etc. It's anybody's guess how all of the indredients will come together and ultimately pan out, but it's best to be positioned for the worst while hoping for the best, IMO.
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