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| quote: | Originally posted by George Smiley
Anyway, just to clear up the original point...
The more members al-Qaida gets, the more powerful it will become (making it easier to carry out attacks and will make it impossible, due to the nature of al-Qaida, to fight, let alone erradicate)
The more the West retaliates, the more al-Qaida's membership will grow...notice a problem with that? |
And to clear up my point:
I agree with you, the more members al Qaeda gets the more powerful it will beocome.
I just differ in you how it will get members.
If I was a fanatical Arab, and I saw Al Qaeda strikes blow fear into the hearts of the enemy to such an extend they would be scared to retaliate, I would say by Allah, this organization has got something to it. It's got the right policy, and it will grow, I better join up and help the cause.
Now if I was a fanatical Arab and I saw Al Qaeda members blown to smitherens around me, perhaps with my mom and pop blow away with them too, I'd be terrified and say wow they sure woke up a sleeping giant.
I'd most likely be mad as hell, but I would realize if I join that organizaiton only doom and death will come to me and all those around me. Plus, why would join a place where the life expectancy is a month.. I might just go try that alternative liberal democracy thing.. this fanatacisim an't all its cranked up to be.
And thats where my view point and your view point differ.
Its like that slapping analogy.
(1)If someone comes up to you and slaps you, you slap them back, right? I would.
(2)Now if someone comes up to you with a gun and slaps you, you wouldn't say shit right?
I wouldn't.
(3)Now if you see some stranger come up to another guy and slap him (without a gun) and the guy does nothing and then you see another stranger approach the guy and slap him and he still does nothing, and you see three other strabgers than go and slap the guy, still without being slapped back, you'd probably be like.. dude I gotta try this, and you go up the guy and slap him.
I sure would.
(4)Now if you see some stranger come up to another guy and slap him, and the guy shots and kills the stranger, would you then go up to the guy and slap him?
I sure wouldn't. I'd be like, dud do not mess with that guy he's psycho.
I mean from my perspective this is very basic human psychology.
As I understand it, you are implying approach #3. As Spain has just been slapped real hard, yet they are not going to slap back.
What your hoping is the pity will kick in for Al Qaeda and they will feel sorry for the guy that is always getting slapped around but not standing up for himself.
I think, just like in this analogy if he doesn't slap back, people are going to wonder, why didn't he slap back, and continue to prod and slap him till they are content they can do with im what they wish.
and I as you have guessed I advocate approach #4.
See we both essentially agree on the same premise: The more members al Qaeda gets the more powerful it will become.
We just differe in how we think that will happen. You think more people will join Al Q if Spain guns them down. I think more people will join Al Q if they do nothing.
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