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TranceAddict Forums > Main Forums > Chill Out Room > DOW below 10,000 for the first time in 4 years
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Capitalizt
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Feb 2005
Location: USA

The price of gold just surpassed the S&P500.

Next stop DOW?

Old Post Oct-10-2008 13:23  United States
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Rasidel Slika
ominous



Registered: Mar 2002
Location: usa

opened below 8000.

Old Post Oct-10-2008 13:54 
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XaNaX
I <3 global warming



Registered: Jun 2004
Location: 1000 Miles too far North

Stock traders are overreacting in typical stock trader fashion. Bad news breeds more bad news, overreaction breeds more overreaction. People are selling off stocks in companies that are fiscally sound just because everyone around them is selling. The major issue right now is the credit markets. None of the $700 billion from the US Government has flowed into the markets yet. Personally, I feel that those in Congress who voted against the "bailout" initially for partasin reasons only to vote for it 5 days later were derelict in their duties and should be removed from office. Five days of inaction was five more days of uncertainty, five more days of delay in getting cash flowing, and has made the short term crisis many times worse.

However, I believe this is a short term crisis in the equities markets anyway. This is the time for smart investors to take advantage of the panic selling of idiots. I don't know if I would be dumping cash into bank stocks right now but there are plenty of bargins to be had and I would be surprised if the DOW and S&P haven't fully recovered from this crash within 1-2 years.

The money has to flow to the right places so banks can start lending again. That is the solution to this crisis.

Last edited by XaNaX on Oct-10-2008 at 14:02

Old Post Oct-10-2008 13:56  United States
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Realist
Suspended User



Registered: Oct 2008
Location:

GM and Ford are going under. GM's stock is at it's lowest level since 1950, and isn't stopping.
Much worse than any bank, seeing how they employ hundreds of thousands of people in America, let alone the world.

Iceland. Fucked.
Pakistan. Fucked.
South Korea. Fucked.

Riots are reported in China since October 7th.
http://www.rte.ie/news/2008/1008/hongkong.html

DON'T WORRY GUYS, IT'S JUST SOME MARKET CORRECTION. GO BACK TO SLEEP.**


**This Statement is Bullshit

Old Post Oct-10-2008 15:18  United States
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gehzumteufel
In your ass



Registered: Nov 2005
Location: so cal

quote:
Originally posted by Capitalizt
True. But a gold standard would never have allowed a multi-trillion dollar credit bubble to form in the first place. Companies and government would not have been to allowed to loan such a ridiculous multiple of their actual assets. The amount of "money" created over the past 10 years was an illusion..and now that the illusion has been shattered we are in for a world of pain.

Going to the gold standard now would be a disaster, I agree...but only because we have been addicted to an endless supply of paper for so long, and because the rest of the world is still clinging to the dream that this system can be saved. Governments and central banks are going to keep fighting the correction..keep intervening in the markets, nationalizing industries, printing, inflating, and praying that things will be ok (they won't).

A competitive devaluation of paper currencies is in the future for all of us. This means massive inflation. You may not want to believe it but I hope you will at least take some small steps to prepare for it.

You just supported what pkc said about reparations being the reason for hyper-inflation in Germany (something I was aware of long ago. It is single-handedly the most influential factor in Hitler coming to power), yet you then go on about how the gold standard is good.

Not only is the gold standard a disaster, it is unfeasible. There is not enough gold in the world to support ANY western or large economy.


___________________
quote:
Originally posted by bas
Dual exhaust tips on dual exhaust = QUAD EXHAUST = 300 gain in horsepower. Duh

quote:
Originally posted by bas
Undies with a dickhole aren't good for guys. Your balls can get caught in them. That's why I prefer to go over the gate instead of through the fence.

Last edited by gehzumteufel on Oct-10-2008 at 15:41

Old Post Oct-10-2008 15:30  Russia
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Capitalizt
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Feb 2005
Location: USA

quote:
Originally posted by gehzumteufel
You just supported what pkc said about gold standard being the reason for hyper-inflation in Germany


WTF buddy? The gold standard = hyper inflation? Germany went OFF the gold standard during the war and printed endless amounts of paper to fund their activities. This is what led to the collapse in Weimar and the nazi revolution. You've got some reading to do.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperi...nd_the_currency

Last edited by Capitalizt on Oct-10-2008 at 15:42

Old Post Oct-10-2008 15:37  United States
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gehzumteufel
In your ass



Registered: Nov 2005
Location: so cal

quote:
Originally posted by Capitalizt
WTF buddy? The gold standard = hyper inflation? Germany went OFF the gold standard during the war and printed endless amounts of paper to fund their activities. This is what led to the complete collapse in Weimar and the nazi revolution. You've got some reading to do.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperi...nd_the_currency

Holy fuck my brain got ahead of what I was typing. Oops lol

edit//fixed. I meant reparations.


___________________
quote:
Originally posted by bas
Dual exhaust tips on dual exhaust = QUAD EXHAUST = 300 gain in horsepower. Duh

quote:
Originally posted by bas
Undies with a dickhole aren't good for guys. Your balls can get caught in them. That's why I prefer to go over the gate instead of through the fence.

Old Post Oct-10-2008 15:40  Russia
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XaNaX
I <3 global warming



Registered: Jun 2004
Location: 1000 Miles too far North

quote:
Originally posted by Realist
GM and Ford are going under. GM's stock is at it's lowest level since 1950, and isn't stopping.
Much worse than any bank, seeing how they employ hundreds of thousands of people in America, let alone the world.

Iceland. Fucked.
Pakistan. Fucked.
South Korea. Fucked.

Riots are reported in China since October 7th.
http://www.rte.ie/news/2008/1008/hongkong.html

DON'T WORRY GUYS, IT'S JUST SOME MARKET CORRECTION. GO BACK TO SLEEP.**


**This Statement is Bullshit


Stock price has nothing to do with GM going under or not. Even if the company had to file for bankruptcy it would not cease to operate. This is the kind of flawed thinking causing the panic selling on Wall Street right now.

GM has the same issue as any other company does, it cannot raise capital for its short term needs. Get the credit markets flowing again and the problem goes away.

Old Post Oct-10-2008 16:37  United States
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gehzumteufel
In your ass



Registered: Nov 2005
Location: so cal

quote:
Originally posted by XaNaX
Stock price has nothing to do with GM going under or not. Even if the company had to file for bankruptcy it would not cease to operate. This is the kind of flawed thinking causing the panic selling on Wall Street right now.

GM has the same issue as any other company does, it cannot raise capital for its short term needs. Get the credit markets flowing again and the problem goes away.

Unfortunately the problem for GM and Ford is not the credit issue. It is the fact that they mostly have a stale product offering, depend on SUV and truck sales too much, don't bring over models that are small, affordable, fuel-efficient vehicles that over seas sell like hotcakes in the US. Minimal engineering changes would need to take place, and can be quite cost effective to bring over the pond.


___________________
quote:
Originally posted by bas
Dual exhaust tips on dual exhaust = QUAD EXHAUST = 300 gain in horsepower. Duh

quote:
Originally posted by bas
Undies with a dickhole aren't good for guys. Your balls can get caught in them. That's why I prefer to go over the gate instead of through the fence.

Old Post Oct-10-2008 16:41  Russia
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XaNaX
I <3 global warming



Registered: Jun 2004
Location: 1000 Miles too far North

quote:
Originally posted by gehzumteufel
Unfortunately the problem for GM and Ford is not the credit issue. It is the fact that they mostly have a stale product offering, depend on SUV and truck sales too much, don't bring over models that are small, affordable, fuel-efficient vehicles that over seas sell like hotcakes in the US. Minimal engineering changes would need to take place, and can be quite cost effective to bring over the pond.


Yes I agree, their long term problem is that in a rather short period of time the type of vehicle desired by the world's largest auto market shifted rapidly from large trucks and SUVs to smaller, fuel efficient cars. Ford and GM both have challenges ahead of them in retooling their product lines to what the customer wants today.

The issues impacting them right now and the reason their stocks are taking a beating is their inability to raise short term capital due to frozen credit markets as well as their inability to sell cars and trucks because customers can't get loans for them (also because of frozen credit markets). Fix the credit markets and the short term problems go away so they can start working on the long term ones.

How would you like to be an auto dealer right now sitting on a stale inventory of a couple hundred cars they can't sell with floorplan loans coming due and no access to credit to extend those loans. Things are bad all over in the automotive industry.

Old Post Oct-10-2008 17:00  United States
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bas
Stronger Lover



Registered: Jul 2004
Location: Here I Am Baby

Gentlemen:

http://brokershandsontheirfacesblog.tumblr.com/

edit // I would also like to point out that the failing stock markets aren't affecting me whatsoever (my 401k I suppose, but I'm only 24 I got a good while till I have to look at it 'seriously'). Working in sports entertainment rocks. Suck it financial industry.


___________________

Old Post Oct-10-2008 17:04  Egypt
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Ygrene
Dr. Stinkburger Deluxe



Registered: Nov 2003
Location: Totergefuttert

quote:
Originally posted by bas
Gentlemen:

http://brokershandsontheirfacesblog.tumblr.com/

edit // I would also like to point out that the failing stock markets aren't affecting me whatsoever (my 401k I suppose, but I'm only 24 I got a good while till I have to look at it 'seriously'). Working in sports entertainment rocks. Suck it financial industry.


My 401K has been a'tumbling. Sucks.


___________________

Old Post Oct-10-2008 17:10  United States
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