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Cosmic Fur
Debbie Downer

Registered: Jan 2005
Location: Mississauga, Canada
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| quote: | Originally posted by infinity HiGH
I, for one, disagree. I dunno why but I just can't seem to convince myself into thinking that there isn't other intelligent life out there. Space is just too big for it.
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I agree. There has to be life out there somewhere, but:
1) It's one thing for a planet to be able to support any kind of living organisms at all.
2) It's another thing for those living organisms to be actually intelligent.
3) It's another thing for those living organisms to be intelligent enough to do more than just live on instincts like animals do.
4) It's another thing for those living organisms to be intelligent enough to conquer travelling faster than the speed of light (theoretically speaking).
5) And finally, it's a whole other thing for those living organisms to travel to Earth out of the billions of other planets in the universe.
The further down this list you go, the less likely it becomes, I'd say 1-3 are somewhat likely, but at point 4, the probability drops SIGNIFICANTLY, and at #5 it's minuscule. I mean like REALLY minuscule. Taking that into account, believing that in 40 years we had hundreds of occurrences that have absolutely minuscule probability of happening is a gigantic stretch of imagination.
Hey look, I developed an argument without making any gigantic assumptions or relying on the testimony of others. The best possible counter-argument has to be anecdotal testimony of others.
___________________
I'm the trouble starter, fuckin' instigator.
I'm the fear-addicted, danger illustrated.
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Aug-01-2008 14:44
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ChemEnhanced
ƒ¶ƒåƒÓƒÛƒnƒéƒßƒåƒnƒÚƒÕƒÞƒ

Registered: Mar 2005
Location: Milton, ON Canada
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| quote: | Originally posted by Cosmic Fur
I agree. There has to be life out there somewhere, but:
1) It's one thing for a planet to be able to support any kind of living organisms at all.
2) It's another thing for those living organisms to be actually intelligent.
3) It's another thing for those living organisms to be intelligent enough to do more than just live on instincts like animals do.
4) It's another thing for those living organisms to be intelligent enough to conquer travelling faster than the speed of light (theoretically speaking).
5) And finally, it's a whole other thing for those living organisms to travel to Earth out of the billions of other planets in the universe.
The further down this list you go, the less likely it becomes, I'd say 1-3 are somewhat likely, but at point 4, the probability drops SIGNIFICANTLY, and at #5 it's minuscule. I mean like REALLY minuscule. Taking that into account, believing that in 40 years we had hundreds of occurrences that have absolutely minuscule probability of happening is a gigantic stretch of imagination.
Hey look, I developed an argument without making any gigantic assumptions or relying on the testimony of others. The best possible counter-argument has to be anecdotal testimony of others. |
Probably the best statement in this entire thread.
___________________
| quote: | | Scott has been introduced to the rave scene, and Ecstasy, by Craig. The two of them go out on the weekends, with some of Craigs friends, and stay up all night, dancing in a drug-fueled trance. |
Last edited by Moral Hazard on Apr-26-2011 at 07:48
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Aug-01-2008 14:47
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beefy k
I Eat Beats

Registered: Aug 2006
Location: Toronto
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| quote: | Originally posted by DigiNut
Are people really this fucking stupid?
Oh, and they want to "get our attention" by flashing lights at us. Because that's so much more effective than, oh, I don't know, talking to us. Yes, that makes perfect sense. These hyperintelligent beings who crossed the galaxy to visit our pathetic primitive race simply haven't quite mastered the art of verbal or written communication, so instead they choose to communicate by playing pranks on drunks in trailer parks.
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Very well put.
I will always believe that the day the human race comes into contact with ET's is the day that we achieve deep space travel.
Way things are going, that ain't happening.
IF a species wants to fly around the universe at ridiculous speeds, they need to know better than fucking themselves over again and again with greed and lack of empathy. And if they grow to be that intelligent, other ET's would know not to make contact with them so they can figure out on their own, or else there would be no point.
___________________
Some dance to remember, some dance to forget.
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Aug-01-2008 16:33
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8Wonders
Arnej

Registered: Mar 2002
Location: Toronto, Canada
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Aug-01-2008 19:12
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DigiNut
You kids get off my lawn!

Registered: Dec 2002
Location: Toronto, Self-proclaimed Centre of the Universe
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| quote: | Originally posted by ChemEnhanced
Probably the best statement in this entire thread. |
OK, what!? I made that exact same argument earlier and actually considered all of the variables:
| quote: | Originally posted by DigiNut
There is a significant progression of claims between what you just said and aliens visiting our planet with UFOs:
- Life exists on other planets. (almost definite)
- Multi-cellular organisms exists on other planets. (very likely)
- Highly-organized beings exist on other planets. (probably)
- Sentient beings exist on other planets. (maybe)
- Sentient beings who are at a much more advanced stage of development than us exist on other planets. (ehhh...)
- Advanced sentient beings exist on distant planets and have (a) mastered faster-than-light travel, (b) found methods to halt the aging process, and/or (c) have natural lifespans of thousands of years. (ummm...)
- Hyper-advanced sentient beings capable of interstellar travel exist and are interested in and committed to searching for civilizations nowhere near their current stage of development (only on Star Trek).
- Hyper-advanced sentient beings have already mapped out most of the galaxy or universe and have somehow managed to find us and have taken an interest in us before falling victim to war or catastrophe (getting more than a little far-fetched now)
- Aforementioned beings have done all this and have chosen to make contact with us... by flashing lights in the sky and performing air stunts. (huh?)
Also, the probability argument ignores the time dimension. The universe is billions of years old; our civilization is nowhere near that, and it's entirely possible that there have been other advanced, sentient civilizations, or will be, but that they don't/won't exist during the period of human existence (face it, we won't be around forever). |
I hate to quote myself but come on... seriously.
___________________
My party schedule:
2009-02-21 - DJ Attention @ I'm So Popular
2009-06-18 - DJ Annoying @ People Need To Know Where I'll Be
2012-11-32 - DJ Insufferable ɸ Or At Least the Stalkers I Complain About
2048-06-66 - Spastic & Whocares ¶ Although I'm Actually Flattered
9999-45-81 - Tweaker Gimp ☼ I Probably Won't Even Go To This But I Have To Make Sure I Fill Up All The Available Space Here
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Aug-01-2008 20:28
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