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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Federal deficit expected to approach $500 billion next year
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LiquidX
It's All OvA!



Registered: Mar 2001
Location: In Ur Mind

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Actually rising prices are good. We're more in danger of encountering deflation rather than inflation. At any rate I wouldn't place that much emphasis on energy prices as an indicator of the consumer price index. Energy prices are typically extremely volatile and undergo short term price shocks all the time.


But as gas/energy prices goes up, the impact on the economy is pretty seginificant, affecting relatively everything. From the food you eat to the cloth you buy. Meaning.. a rise of price, meaning, less people buying, meaning, less spending, meaning.. oh oh oh oh... economy in a struggle. Isnt it?.. Its a chain reaction.


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Old Post Aug-26-2003 20:30  Chile
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

quote:
Originally posted by LiquidX
But as gas/energy prices goes up, the impact on the economy is pretty seginificant, affecting relatively everything. From the food you eat to the cloth you buy. Meaning.. a rise of price, meaning, less people buying, meaning, less spending, meaning.. oh oh oh oh... economy in a struggle. Isnt it?.. Its a chain reaction.


Certainly they can have an effect on consumer spending, however, they are temporary shocks with wide variability and are therefore not included in the core cpi ... along with food prices. And believe it or not, Bush has had very little to do with the recent increases in energy prices. They are largely influenced by consumer demand, and the prices set by OPEC.

quote:

New York, August 18, 1999 - While rising gasoline prices are causing consternation for U.S. consumers, they are helping to revive corporate lending to the oil & gas industry, according to Loan Pricing Corporation (LPC), which tracks and analyzes the global loan and high-yield bond markets.

Lending to U.S.-based oil and gas companies topped $16 billion during the second quarter of 1999, an 86% increase over a slower first quarter of the year, according to LPC.

Much of this increase is a direct result of the reduced supply of oil (brought about by unprecedented compliance among OPEC members regarding production cuts) and increased demand world-wide (prompted in part by the summer vacation/travel season and the recovering Asian economies). Companies are taking advantage of the situation.

http://about.reuters.com/newsreleas...-1999_id201.asp


Additionally, if you remember back to that little power outtage we had, the closing of US oil refineries for several days certainly did not help gas prices.

quote:

Several U.S. oil refineries were closed on Friday, which sent gasoline prices sharply higher and added to worries over already low fuel inventories. If energy prices climb in a sustained way, they could act as a tax on the U.S. consumer, the backbone of the U.S. economy.
http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle....storyID=3286911


At either rate, if gas prices get too high, OPEC will likely step in to reduce prices.


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Old Post Aug-26-2003 21:00  United States
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NYGblue
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Apr 2003
Location: Spain from Jan. to July

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Certainly they can have an effect on consumer spending, however, they are temporary shocks with wide variability and are therefore not included in the core cpi ... along with food prices. And believe it or not, Bush has had very little to do with the recent increases in energy prices. They are largely influenced by consumer demand, and the prices set by OPEC.



Additionally, if you remember back to that little power outtage we had, the closing of US oil refineries for several days certainly did not help gas prices.



At either rate, if gas prices get too high, OPEC will likely step in to reduce prices.
Who cares.. Buzz is back @ Nation!


THREAD-JACK!


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Old Post Aug-26-2003 21:40  Dominican Republic
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

quote:
Originally posted by NYGblue
Who cares.. Buzz is back @ Nation!


THREAD-JACK!


Are they really??? How the hell did they manage that? Any decent headliners coming soon?


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Old Post Aug-26-2003 22:43  United States
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NYGblue
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Apr 2003
Location: Spain from Jan. to July

check under USA on TA, I posted the Buzzboard link. they are officially returning 9/12/2003.


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Old Post Aug-26-2003 23:49  Dominican Republic
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Renegade
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Registered: May 2001
Location: Prague, Czech Republic

CBO: Government Faces 8 More Years of Deficits:

quote:
WASHINGTON - The federal government is in store for at least eight more years of budget deficits, including a record $480 billion shortfall in 2004, congressional budget analysts said Tuesday.

The Congressional Budget Office also warned that the numbers will become more dire if the White House gets its way on tax cuts and Congress fails to rein in spending.


They said the budget outlook "has worsened substantially" since its last review in March, when it put next year's deficit at $200 billion. Much of that is the result of subsequent acts of Congress to cut taxes and increase spending for defense and the war in Iraq, it said.


The CBO, a nonpartisan group, said the budget will edge back into the black in 2012 and 2013, but will record an accumulated deficit of almost $1.4 trillion in the 2004-2013 period.


http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tm...federal_deficit

This is one issue that someone like Howard Dean (as a man who oversaw several consecutive balanced budgets in his time in Vermont) could really capitalise on if he gets the ticket in the 2004 elections. The Bush administration is not fiscally responsible, and if these predictions are true then people may more responsive to a more fiscally restrained candidate like Dean than the "spend-now worry-later" lunatics in the Whitehouse right now.


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Old Post Aug-27-2003 16:12  Australia
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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Federal deficit expected to approach $500 billion next year
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