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occrider
Traveladdict

Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York
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| quote: | Originally posted by anuneventrade
The real question is, IMO,
Who would shoot off the first Nuclear bomb?
Good post Occ btw |
Thanks . Yes the nuclear bomb issue would be the iffy of the situation. My last post completely disregarded nuclear weapons for obvious reasons ... it's virtually impossible to predict a "victory" with their use. If nuclear weapons were to be used two questions must be asked:
A) Is it going to be a strategic nuclear war?
B) Is it going to be a tactical only nuclear war?
In a strategic nuclear war China would only "win" if they initiated a first strike. The US would lose in the sense that the loss of 15-30 large US cities would be relatively unacceptable to the US despite the complete obliteration of China. If the US were to initiate a first strike China would have no chance at all. Simply put, the US strategic arsenal is so much more adept at first strike scenarios (it was designed to defeat russia) than China could ever hope to match. What makes the US arsenal so lethal? The 12-14 or so Ohio class SSBNs submarines that carry a whopping 50% of the US's strategic arsenal of nuclear weapons. Each submarine carries 24 trident missiles whereby EACH MISSILE contains 5 MIRV (Multiple Independantly Targetable Reentry Vehicle) warheads ... therefore each submarine contains up to a 120 100 kiloton nuclear warheads. One submarine, launching off the coast of China ... its warheads would probably make landfall in 5-10 minutes, relegating the 24 or so Chinese long range ICBMS to radioactive dust.
Second scenario ... a tactical only nuclear exchange. Again I would say the US would "win" such an exchange. The reason I say this is because, once again, the US posseses a far superior arsenal of tactical nuclear weapons. The US possesses thousands of tactical weapons: tomohawk or standoff attack missiles, bombs, artillery, shit there are even nuclear torpedoes. Compared to China's approximately 300 tactical nuclear weapons and there's no competition. Additionally bear in mind that the US nuclear weapons delivery systems are significantly better than the Chinese. Just about the only chinese warheads that stand a chance of getting through are its missile launched warheads ... all of which are quite succeptible by attack from the air. Anyway further info on US/Chinese weapons systems can be found at:
http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/index.html
A good analysis of Chinese military modernization compared to US modernization can be found at:
http://www.cato.org/pubs/pas/pa465.pdf
Yea sorry for babbling ... I'm a huge study of military technology.
___________________
Retro ...
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Nov-12-2003 06:17
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Alccode
teksetter!
Registered: Apr 2002
Location: toronto
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Why is this even being discussed?
Do you people want a war?
In today's world, war is unacceptable. Why are we still fighting each other? Don't people realize we're all one species? Why can't we live together? This is ridiculous ... we're even speculating about a war that, if it came to pass, would be incredibly tragic and devastating.
| quote: |
therefore each submarine contains up to a 120 100 kiloton nuclear warheads.
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This is disgusting. Why do nuclear weapons still exist? Even setting aside one's very humanity and sense of compassion towards one's fellow man, why can't a rational person see that there is no good out of a nuclear weapon? You destroy your target and you irradiate the atmosphere and the planet. Doing that is like chasing a thief out of your house, and setting it on fire at the same time.
Why do some people find war speculation and studying military technology so fascinating? I wonder how fascinating that technology would be, if they were in the shoes of the receiving end of the plethora of killing machines.
This is not meant as an insult to anyone, and I *do* understand the fascination with technology, especially military as it is the technology that is being developed the most today (and often the "coolest"). But remember, the ONE and ONLY purpose of that technology is to kill other human beings. If it was up to me, I would destroy every last tank, gun, fighter, bomber, missile, ship, submarine, and military satellite in the world today without a second thought.
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Nov-12-2003 18:42
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Alccode
teksetter!
Registered: Apr 2002
Location: toronto
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| quote: | Originally posted by biznology
Hmmm a China supporter have we...
yes, China has experienced growth nearing the double digits for the last ten years, and may continue to do so. But the massive peasant population and unbelieveable environmental damage among many other things will surely impede 'the future of the world's economy'
yah, we already stated its unlikely too. we are just guessing| |
Why does this perceived "competition" with China exist? Thinking like this can ONLY lead to a war! Don't you see? Especially with today's nuclear weapons ... war is out of the question!
Is everyone insane or am I? (Yes, you are. Har har.)
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Nov-12-2003 18:46
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