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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?
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George Smiley
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Jan 2004
Location: 9 Bywater Street, Chelsea, London
Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by Q5echo
he's got real small shoulders then. i don't know, whatever.

He/She may just be thin...and considering they probably dont wanna talk to us anymore we'll probly never find out!

Old Post Dec-14-2004 05:17  England
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girllovingtvibe
on a happy vibe



Registered: Apr 2004
Location: Somewhere between the music and the waves
Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by jonSun
Fuck the source. post more pics of you if that is you in your avatar.

jk source please.




nice - click here for more of that (shameless self promotion):
http://www.lovejoy.ca/penny_hayward_vocals.htm




FOR THE SOURCE CLICK HERE:
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&...her+%2B+suicide

or type any one of these into google:
"George W. Bush" + biographer + suicide + Hatfield
"George W. Bush" + biographer + suicide + Gary Webb

cheers!


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"For attractive lips, speak words of kindness. For lovely eyes, seek out the good in people."

Old Post Dec-14-2004 15:23 
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

Hmmm ok so if I look at UNC, which had 6 suicides recently, or NYU, which had 6 suicides in the past year alone:

http://www.cavalierdaily.com/CVArti...=20695&pid=1189

I can perform similar statistical analyses to determine that the probability of this happening through random chance alone is the 6th power of 17/100000 which is 2.4 x 10 ^ -23? Therefore, I can assume that UNC and NYU (or maybe the CIA) are secretely, yet actively assassinating their students? Why … it’s so simple! No wait, it’s needlessly complicated.

First off, the statistics are completely incorrect. Completely. If you want to compare a sample group against a population mean to determine statistical significant difference you do a t-test. Second of all, there are so many statistical causality errors that you can’t even do a proper t-test with the sample you have. It’s as if I were to test for microbial life of a rock sample from Mars and my petri dish is an eviscerated cow. For example, Webb wasn’t even a Bush biographer, he reported on CIA collusion with Contras in 1996. Some of the others died before Bush even took office. Furthermore, even if it was found that this sample group was statistically different from the population mean, the statistics would not infer a conclusion of "it was the government" that’s analogous to concluding that “God is the explanation” for every scientific hypothesis that is rejected.


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Retro ...

Last edited by occrider on Dec-14-2004 at 17:10

Old Post Dec-14-2004 16:26  United States
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ogvh5150
Formula 1 Addict



Registered: Aug 2003
Location: F1 2008 Red Bull Racing/BMW Sauber
Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

This is where girllovingtvibe most likely got it from:
4 Bush Biographers--All Suicided

quote:
Originally posted by girllovingtvibe
"Four Bush biographers, Mark Lombardi, J.H. Hatfield, Danny Casalaro, and now Gary Webb--all "suicide" victims. What are the odds all of these people actually committing suicide?

Examining the male U.S.suicide rate for recent years
(http://www.suicidology.org/stats2001/1999datapage2.pdf), we can
extrapolate a conservative estimate of 17 male suicides per 100,000 people, or 0.017%. The odds of 4 specific, male biographers committing suicide would be the 4th power of 17/100000, or 8.3521 4.913 x 10^-17...roughly 1 chance 10,000,000,000,000,000. About as good a definition of impossible as you can get. A person would stand a better chance of playing the Canadian lottery 6/49 exactly twice in one's lifetime and winning ther grand jackpot BOTH TIMES! (That is, picking 6 numbers out of 49 possible numbers and matching all 6 numbers out of 6 random draws, on 2 separate occasions, and having only purchased two Canadian lottery tickets ever.) This calculation should be regarded as a conservative estimate: the actual odds against such a "coincidence" would be much greater. For example, if any of the biographers were female, the odds would be even greater."


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Old Post Dec-15-2004 22:03 
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Fir3start3r
Armin Acolyte



Registered: Oct 2001
Location: Toronto, ON, Canada
Read This! HUH?

Suicided ??


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Old Post Dec-16-2004 11:21  Canada
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ogvh5150
Formula 1 Addict



Registered: Aug 2003
Location: F1 2008 Red Bull Racing/BMW Sauber

Suicided. adjective

It's a term used in the lunatic fringe (politically correct words are now conspiracy theorists) to denote some sort of "assisted" suicide.

Common examples of suicided persons are such as those that are thrown out of a window. With a suicide note left behind when the person had shown no signs of previous depression or mental illness. A suicide victim that does not want to commit suicicde but is made to look like a suicide did happen.

Examples of suicided victims include James Forrestal and Vincent Foster.

A word that is a combination of suicide and killed.

The word suicided has been used in news reports to denote a past tense event.


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Old Post Dec-16-2004 20:55 
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Q5echo
asymetrical scepticism



Registered: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas
Re: Re: Odds of 4 Bush Biographers Committing Suicide?

quote:
Originally posted by ogvh5150
This is where girllovingtvibe most likely got it from:
4 Bush Biographers--All Suicided

wait...did he just plagerize this thread? or is that him on the other forum?

Old Post Dec-16-2004 21:01  United States
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ogvh5150
Formula 1 Addict



Registered: Aug 2003
Location: F1 2008 Red Bull Racing/BMW Sauber

girllovingtvibe has to answer for that.


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Old Post Dec-16-2004 21:31 
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