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groovedaddy21
Supreme tranceaddict
Registered: Sep 2004
Location: Lost Vegas
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The term of the mortgage is irrelevant as most people sell their home on average within 7 years. This long term loan allows more ppl to get into their first home in costly areas such as LA and SF. If however you plan to stay the entire 40-50 years, u can pass down the home/mortgage to the next generation.
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Feb-15-2006 18:52
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djGT
pho dac biet xe lua

Registered: Oct 2003
Location: The OC, USA
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Feb-15-2006 20:08
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KarenLuvs2Party
Max Graham's #1 Fan
Registered: Nov 2003
Location: LATA #32 |Orange County, Cali!
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$886,534
bah... and i'm not even at the coastal part of huntington beach!!
___________________
"living life one party at a time..."
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Feb-16-2006 08:19
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ninetyninej
Supreme tranceaddict

Registered: Mar 2003
Location: Sacramento, California
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being that this site uses title records of comparable sales and automatically averages the value its highly innacurate. The house I'm in now it says is worth 471K and with the market in california completely levelling off its much closer to 425K.
Plus to give you an example I just had a loan sign 2 days ago in Covelo, CA (Near Eureka, CA in Mendecino County) and it said the value was 148K and it got appraised for 220K.
Deffinitely an interesting site and I like that they give you a satellite mapping of the housing like terraserver.microsoft.com or google earth but the values are generated by a program and are deffinitely not reliable. I use property valuation service sites such as www.sitex.com and others to pull title info on homes to get an idea of value and the sites I use are pay sites that charge our business account per property we check. So thats pretty cool they opening a similar basic service to the public.
But its basically a tool to market real estate services they offer as well as advertisements. But having said that it does give the average home owner a broad range of what their home is worth. In most cases its going to be quite higher then reality.
As for 50yr term loans (in Japan they have 60yr term loans) I haven't heard any lender actually except it and I'd be shocked to see them so early since we've only been doing 40yr term loans for 1 year. Either way when/if it comes, its just another 'creative financing' option to sustain a healthy market. Other creative financing options like interest only, pay option arms/negam loans, and 40yr term loans just put off the inevitable. The 50yr will in no way boost home prices because they are completely bloated and this inflation will and has already began to flatten out. Not to mention Greenspan stepped down out of the Federal Reserve on 1/31/06 and the new head Ben Bernanke raised the prime rate from 7.25 to 7.50. And is planning to slowly and staggerdly raise the rates each Federal Reserve meeting. That means in the next 12-24 months we will all see the entire US market flatten (in some areas its decreased such as SD & LA which some homes during January went down 5 - 10%, with the national median home price going down 2% in January). Now this flattening and in some areas decreasing is typical of winter and it will bounce back a very small amount during this summer but when you combine an over inflated market, increasing fed rates, and the median income can't support purchasing homes at these prices at higher rates then its time for the wave to come down (and already has in some areas, hell some places like Detroit, MI the wave came down last year and I was having homes appraised that were 5% lower than they were in 2003 due to lack of sales and people defaulting on their loans and subsequent foreclosures). Now the bubble is bursting but the feds will make sure its a slow leak that will take quite some time.
As far as booming home prices and appreciation we've seen post 9/11, that is a thing of the past. The only reason we've all witnessed the impressive and over the top appreciation and jumps in home equity in the last 4+ years is because we've had a healthy economy and the feds dropped the rates to record lows after 9/11 to sustain our economy. Those incredible fed rates had lenders offering 4% fixed rates, 3% adjustable rates, and 1% negam loans so immediately that opened up the market to countless qualified borrowers. And sales drive the market value so homes in CA were going up 20% to even 50% a year in some parts. Now after all this activity and record home prices we are seeing the affects of inflation and the feds are upping the rates to slow it down and eventually level it off and bring some balance finally to home prices. Infact a lot of fellow brokers/friends of mine are waiting to buy a home till 2007 or later when things level off and in some areas decrease to a stable level.
/broker rant
___________________
Last edited by ninetyninej on Feb-16-2006 at 10:57
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Feb-16-2006 10:21
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ivanbee
Supreme tranceaddict
Registered: Aug 2005
Location: -
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| quote: | Originally posted by ninetyninej
being that this site uses title records of comparable sales and automatically averages the value its highly innacurate. The house I'm in now it says is worth 471K and with the market in california completely levelling off its much closer to 425K.
Plus to give you an example I just had a loan sign 2 days ago in Covelo, CA (Near Eureka, CA in Mendecino County) and it said the value was 148K and it got appraised for 220K.
Deffinitely an interesting site and I like that they give you a satellite mapping of the housing like terraserver.microsoft.com or google earth but the values are generated by a program and are deffinitely not reliable. I use property valuation service sites such as www.sitex.com and others to pull title info on homes to get an idea of value and the sites I use are pay sites that charge our business account per property we check. So thats pretty cool they opening a similar basic service to the public.
But its basically a tool to market real estate services they offer as well as advertisements. But having said that it does give the average home owner a broad range of what their home is worth. In most cases its going to be quite higher then reality.
As for 50yr term loans (in Japan they have 60yr term loans) I haven't heard any lender actually except it and I'd be shocked to see them so early since we've only been doing 40yr term loans for 1 year. Either way when/if it comes, its just another 'creative financing' option to sustain a healthy market. Other creative financing options like interest only, pay option arms/negam loans, and 40yr term loans just put off the inevitable. The 50yr will in no way boost home prices because they are completely bloated and this inflation will and has already began to flatten out. Not to mention Greenspan stepped down out of the Federal Reserve on 1/31/06 and the new head Ben Bernanke raised the prime rate from 7.25 to 7.50. And is planning to slowly and staggerdly raise the rates each Federal Reserve meeting. That means in the next 12-24 months we will all see the entire US market flatten (in some areas its decreased such as SD & LA which some homes during January went down 5 - 10%, with the national median home price going down 2% in January). Now this flattening and in some areas decreasing is typical of winter and it will bounce back a very small amount during this summer but when you combine an over inflated market, increasing fed rates, and the median income can't support purchasing homes at these prices at higher rates then its time for the wave to come down (and already has in some areas, hell some places like Detroit, MI the wave came down last year and I was having homes appraised that were 5% lower than they were in 2003 due to lack of sales and people defaulting on their loans and subsequent foreclosures). Now the bubble is bursting but the feds will make sure its a slow leak that will take quite some time.
As far as booming home prices and appreciation we've seen post 9/11, that is a thing of the past. The only reason we've all witnessed the impressive and over the top appreciation and jumps in home equity in the last 4+ years is because we've had a healthy economy and the feds dropped the rates to record lows after 9/11 to sustain our economy. Those incredible fed rates had lenders offering 4% fixed rates, 3% adjustable rates, and 1% negam loans so immediately that opened up the market to countless qualified borrowers. And sales drive the market value so homes in CA were going up 20% to even 50% a year in some parts. Now after all this activity and record home prices we are seeing the affects of inflation and the feds are upping the rates to slow it down and eventually level it off and bring some balance finally to home prices. Infact a lot of fellow brokers/friends of mine are waiting to buy a home till 2007 or later when things level off and in some areas decrease to a stable level.
/broker rant |
zzzzzzzzzz
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Feb-16-2006 13:02
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sweetcandy girl
Coldharbour addict

Registered: Jun 2004
Location:
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Feb-16-2006 15:31
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DjWoody
Chingon

Registered: May 2003
Location: Los Angeles (OC) / Mexicali
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Feb-16-2006 18:40
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