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Chryz707
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Sep 2004
Location: Here and there

I would pay money to see that happen. I hope Hillary does get it. She is the better choice in my opinion and really is the only one who can beat McCain. I think the Republicans have some things brewing if they have to deal with Obama to bury him and win it.

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade I will personally tattoo "McCain '08" onto my chest and sell my car to see that I can do everything in my financial power to stop her becoming president.


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Old Post Mar-05-2008 12:49  Europe
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Lebezniatnikov
Stupidity Annoys Me



Registered: Feb 2004
Location: DC

quote:
Originally posted by Renegade


The Republicans must be loving this circus right now.



Actually, they're not.

The Democratic primary hasn't gone this far into the season in a long, long time, and there have been some huge gains in organizational infrastructure made by the Democratic party in places like Texas and Ohio - battleground states that will be huge in November.

In Texas turnout in the Democratic primary was 3.8 million. That's a staggering number considering John Kerry only received 2.4 million votes in the general election in '04. The infrastructure of the party, if not the public face of it, has improved dramatically.


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Old Post Mar-05-2008 14:19  United Nations
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Renegade
____________/



Registered: May 2001
Location: Prague, Czech Republic

quote:
Originally posted by Q5echo
not necessarily. youve presumed the "Messiah" has already been annointed. it may seem that way to you supporters of course but lets be honest, right?...he's not.

the race is now, going forward (b/c it's not over yet), for Obama to lose. which is completely plausible.


From here, barring some unimaginable fuck-up, Obama really can't lose the pledged delegate count or the popular vote. He is leading her by 10 points in national polls. If all this holds - and there is little reason to suspect it won't - Hillary can't expect to win this without usurping the direct will of the people.

This is an email from the Obama team:

quote:
Projections show the most likely outcome of yesterday's elections will be that Hillary Clinton gained 187 delegates, and we gained 183.

That's a net gain of 4 delegates out of more than 370 delegates available from all the states that voted.

For comparison, that's less than half our net gain of 9 delegates from the District of Columbia alone. It's also less than our net gain of 8 from Nebraska, or 12 from Washington State. And it's considerably less than our net gain of 33 delegates from Georgia.

The task for the Clinton campaign yesterday was clear. In order to have a plausible path to the nomination, they needed to score huge delegate victories and cut into our lead.

They failed.

[...]

The chatter among pundits may have gotten better for the Clinton campaign after last night, but by failing to cut into our lead, the math -- and their chances of winning -- got considerably worse.

Today, we still have a lead of more than 150 delegates, and there are only 611 pledged delegates left to win in the upcoming contests.

By a week from today, we will have competed in Wyoming and Mississippi. Two more states and 45 more delegates will be off the table.


It's over. She's finished. Making this go all the way to the convention is only going to tear the party in half. I know that Hillary isn't particularly concerned about that, but Dean and the rest of the DLC should be. Like Opus said, if the Democrats are going to win in November, the superdelegates should start throwing their weight behind Obama and the DLC should be having a word in Clinton's ear right now. A protracted, spiteful contest from here isn't going to benefit anyone, not even Hillary.

quote:
if he manages to err enough, forced or unforced, we'll quickly see a tipping of the super-delegate scales and won't in any way be an illegitimate victory like youre suggesting. i'm not saying it won't be spun that way (i wouldn't expect anything less from the Messiah friendly press) but it would be a reflection or referendum on the Democrat party structure itself, not an abuse of it.


Of course, but if Hillary were to win in such a way there would still be riots in the streets, whether it's within the rules of the Democratic primary system or not. If the Democrats want to lose in November, all they have to do is completely ignore the will of their supporters. That's what a Hillary win will necessarily amount to.

quote:
she'll also try her damnedest to get those votes counted in Flo-ri-da and Michigan in which again was a consequence of the Party structure and policy.


I don't think any Obama supporters would begrudge Hillary a "do-over" in those states, but there is no way that she can expect to be given delegates from those contests when, you know, she was the only candidate on the fucking ballot.

You know what Q? I think I finally understand why you Republicans hate her so much...


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Old Post Mar-05-2008 22:48  Australia
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Renegade
____________/



Registered: May 2001
Location: Prague, Czech Republic

quote:
Originally posted by Lebezniatnikov
Actually, they're not.

The Democratic primary hasn't gone this far into the season in a long, long time, and there have been some huge gains in organizational infrastructure made by the Democratic party in places like Texas and Ohio - battleground states that will be huge in November.

In Texas turnout in the Democratic primary was 3.8 million. That's a staggering number considering John Kerry only received 2.4 million votes in the general election in '04. The infrastructure of the party, if not the public face of it, has improved dramatically.


Well there's that, and there's also the advantage of having Hillary and Obama get all the press for the next three months while McCain fades out of the spotlight. But I don't think that these benefits in themselves outweigh the negatives of a protracted, spiteful, divisive campaign. Hillary has been rewarded once for going "sink and all" with the negatives, there's no reason to think she won't keep it up from here.

I fail to see any positives in that for the party.


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Old Post Mar-05-2008 22:53  Australia
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Magnetonium
Dubstep = Douchestep



Registered: Sep 2001
Location: Port Burwell, Ontario, Canada



This could be the first time ever that I picked an incorrect candidate to win in US elections. I picked Clinton to win democratic nomination even as early as 3 years ago, when Clinton made a serious move towards her long-term political career. As long as the voting machines are on her side *cough cough*, she'll continue kicking.

Its funny how in 2000 I was telling all my friends that Bush was gonna win, and all my friends were laughing, like am I for real or what. But I knew that the forces of evil are powerful. As charismatic and womanly Hillary can be, I don't think she as feminist and as transparent as she wants us to see her.


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Old Post Mar-06-2008 02:39  Canada
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