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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Obamanomics Is a Recipe for Recession
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Krypton
83.798 g/6.022x10^23



Registered: Nov 2003
Location: Texas

quote:
Originally posted by Kapedano
Moderation by being the most liberal senator on the current senate? I am no John McCain fan, but I think he has a proven record of being more of crossing the party line.


Occ probably provided the best answer. I believe Obama's advisers are everything McCain's and Bush's aren't. SENSIBLE. PRAGMATIC. Ideology takes a back seat, UNLIKE Mr. McCain's economics people. Phil Gramm. Does that ring a bell? The guy who deregulated the commodities trade and financial sector. The man was McCain's economic adviser! Hardcore laissez-faire capitalist! Yea yea, he resigns, but apparently, he still plays a HUGE role in McCain's campaign. That is simply not what this country needs.


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Old Post Jul-30-2008 05:26  Korea-Democratic Peoples Republic
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atbell
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: May 2007
Location: Toronto, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by Krypton
I think the capitalists have run amok. It's time for some moderation. I fully expect Obama to bring that moderation which is needed.


+6

I skipped the rest of the article after this quote:

"Yet despite his obvious general intelligence, and uplifting and motivational eloquence, Sen. Obama reveals this startling economic illiteracy in his policy proposals and economic pronouncements. From the property rights and rule of (contract) law foundations of a successful market economy to the specifics of tax, spending, energy, regulatory and trade policy, if the proposals espoused by candidate Obama ever became law, the American economy would suffer a serious setback."

Not only is it a hugely long sentance, but it says this:

"the American economy would suffer a serious setback."

Ah, set back? Does this writer not read anything? Haven't they noticed that the whole of the American capitalist system is falling in on it's self.

Note: American capitalist is not capitalist. Why? Because capitalisim is based on investing money into capital which then returns more money. In short hand this is the M - C - M1 cycle. American capitalisim seems to be based on investing money you don't have in assets that don't exist hopeing to sell them to the next person at a mark up. It falls apart when nobody wants the assets any more and all that's left is debt and an intangible.

I recently got in an argument with someone and they fell back on pointing to American management as an ideal. I was flabergasted, the past year has ripped apart American styled anything as a desired goal.

There's a reason "Change" has worked well as a hook.

Old Post Jul-31-2008 14:02  Canada
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atbell
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: May 2007
Location: Toronto, Canada

Ah, there's the problem, the source is the WSJ which is only a hair better then the Canadian National Post. At least it isn't to dangerously biased.

Does anyone have any links from "The Economist", "Financial Times", "New York Times", "BBC", "Al-Jazera", "Xinhua", or "Foreign Affairs" about Obama's economic policies?

Old Post Jul-31-2008 14:05  Canada
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atbell
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: May 2007
Location: Toronto, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by Kapedano
Moderation by being the most liberal senator on the current senate? I am no John McCain fan, but I think he has a proven record of being more of crossing the party line.


you mean flip-floping

Old Post Jul-31-2008 14:08  Canada
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atbell
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: May 2007
Location: Toronto, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by Krypton
Occ probably provided the best answer. I believe Obama's advisers are everything McCain's and Bush's aren't. SENSIBLE. PRAGMATIC. Ideology takes a back seat, UNLIKE Mr. McCain's economics people. Phil Gramm. Does that ring a bell? The guy who deregulated the commodities trade and financial sector. The man was McCain's economic adviser! Hardcore laissez-faire capitalist! Yea yea, he resigns, but apparently, he still plays a HUGE role in McCain's campaign. That is simply not what this country needs.


For me Obama is needed to re-integrate the United States into the world of nations. Good foreign standing eases business and trade. The US, and the world, needs to re-connect and part of that is admitting the failings of the US system and building on the things that have worked.

Some solid thinking about "what went wrong", "what went right", and "what can we learn from the people we hate the most?". Iran, China, India, Russia, and most of the Countries in Europe have some good points (SOME, not all) and they can easily be addapted to better the US system.

The strength of the United States has been it's flexibility, it's openness, and it's innovation. Makeing sure that these things are put to practice, which Obama will do, is essential.

A rigid conservative country will simply snap under pressure.

Last edited by atbell on Jul-31-2008 at 14:14

Old Post Jul-31-2008 14:09  Canada
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Fir3start3r
Armin Acolyte



Registered: Oct 2001
Location: Toronto, ON, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by atbell
The strength of the United States has been it's flexibility, it's openness, and it's innovation. Makeing sure that these things are put to practice, which Obama will do, is essential.


My understanding is that Obama is a protectionist when it comes to American business no?


___________________
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The grey rain-curtain of this world rolls back, and all change to silver glass...and then you see it...
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Old Post Jul-31-2008 14:36  Canada
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Clovis
techno jungle shit



Registered: Apr 2004
Location: Los Angeles

Hilarious how when occrider posts you all shut the fuck up.


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quote:
Originally posted by ********
Seplling don't demonstrate intelligence and educatoin - knowing does.

Old Post Jul-31-2008 17:57  France
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Shakka
Supreme tranceaddict



Registered: Feb 2003
Location:

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
What draws me about Obama is that he his economic team is comprised of some extremely smart advisers. He's attracted Warren Buffet, Robert Rubin, however, more importantly he's attracted Volker (who else is better during this time of scareflation???) and former bush administration officials such as Paul O'Neill and William Donaldson. Has McCain been "crossing the party line" in this respect?


And we know Volcker ain't afraid to cause a recession in order to get the house back in order, regardless of what it might do to Obama's rep. That said, he's only an adviser at this point.

Old Post Jul-31-2008 19:22  United States
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The17sss
C.R.E.A.M.



Registered: May 2008
Location: Charlotte, NC

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Heh a recipe for recession? You mean like what we're going through now?

What I want to know is, are there THAT many people on tranceaddict that make more than $250,000 a year?? Because unless I'm mistaken that's the only group that will see any tax increase under Obama's plan.


Note on the recession comment (don't kill the messenger... this is from today):
"The Bureau of Economic Analysis produced its second-quarter report, and it will surprise a few of the doom-and-gloom crowd. While certainly not spectacular, it shows that the economy continues to grow, improving on a weak first quarter to bounce up to 1.9% growth. The revised forecast for 2007’s final quarter reveals a retreat:"
quote:
Real gross domestic product — the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — increased at an annual rate of 1.9 percent in the second quarter of 2008 (that is, from the first quarter to the second quarter), according to advance estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP increased 0.9 percent. The increase in real GDP in the second quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from exports, personal consumption expenditures (PCE), nonresidential structures, federal government spending, and state and local government spending that were partly offset by negative contributions from private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, and equipment and software. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.
The acceleration in real GDP growth in the second quarter primarily reflected a larger decrease in imports, an acceleration in exports, a smaller decrease in residential fixed investment, and an
acceleration in PCE that were partly offset by a larger decrease in inventory investment.
"The BEA will issue its final look at Q2 at the end of August. They revised 2007Q4 downwards, showing it as the first quarter of negative GDP movement in at least four years. The GDP had previously been rated as a positive 0.6%, but now has been calculated at -0.2%. Overall GDP growth in 2007 went down a full point from 4.8% to 3.8%, still healthy but not as robust as earlier thought.
At the current rate, Q2 is the strongest quarter in the past three, showing growth despite a fuel-price crisis and a housing downturn. Thanks to a weak dollar, exports increased and the fall in imports accelerated over Q1. Housing continued to suffer but actually improved over Q1, and despite all of the talk of a recession in the air, consumer spending increased as well." Issuing hyperbolic, unrealistic statements about the American economy intends to panic Americans into bad policy. The economy does not need a lot of top-down management, and in fact a great deal of what ails us now originates in government meddling, such as with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and mandates on lending practices.

As for the other comment, it's been discussed on here before. It is a myth that only people making more than $250K will be subject to a tax break. If the capital gains tax doubles, over 100 million americans with stock and/or 401K's will be affected- where their taxes are deferred and they pay ordinary income taxes when they finally cash out. And if you think the spending under this administration was awful (which it was), Obama plans on spending $1 trillion over that... where's that going to come from, the top earning 1% of Americans?

Old Post Jul-31-2008 23:00  United States
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Krypton
83.798 g/6.022x10^23



Registered: Nov 2003
Location: Texas

quote:
Originally posted by The17sss

As for the other comment, it's been discussed on here before. It is a myth that only people making more than $250K will be subject to a tax break. If the capital gains tax doubles, over 100 million americans with stock and/or 401K's will be affected- where their taxes are deferred and they pay ordinary income taxes when they finally cash out. And if you think the spending under this administration was awful (which it was), Obama plans on spending $1 trillion over that... where's that going to come from, the top earning 1% of Americans?


Most employees retirement is in a 401k or IRA, which are tax-deferred investments. Additionally, if one never sells their investment, they pay no capital gains tax. If they sell after 1 year, the capital gains tax is reduced substantially. The ones most affected by a rise in capital gains will not be the middle class. It will be those who are constantly buying and selling securities. Those are the banks, institutional, and day traders. And they are by no means middle class!

Not that I don't believe you, but where did you read Obama wants to spend $1 trillion more than the Bush Administration?


___________________

Old Post Jul-31-2008 23:11  Korea-Democratic Peoples Republic
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The17sss
C.R.E.A.M.



Registered: May 2008
Location: Charlotte, NC

quote:
Originally posted by Krypton
Not that I don't believe you, but where did you read Obama wants to spend $1 trillion more than the Bush Administration?


http://www.usnews.com/blogs/capital...nding-plan.html

Old Post Aug-01-2008 00:11  United States
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Krypton
83.798 g/6.022x10^23



Registered: Nov 2003
Location: Texas

quote:
Originally posted by The17sss
http://www.usnews.com/blogs/capital...nding-plan.html


I don't trust it. First off, it's a blog. Second, it's got little reference/sources apart from the opinion of the blog poster. That is no different than me taking someone at their word here in the PDD. How can I verify the figures given by this guy? How does he know that letting the Bush tax cuts will add only $50 billion. He gives no sources to back that assessment up.


___________________

Old Post Aug-01-2008 00:22  Korea-Democratic Peoples Republic
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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Obamanomics Is a Recipe for Recession
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