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atbell
Supreme tranceaddict

Registered: May 2007
Location: Toronto, Canada
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| quote: | Originally posted by Magnetonium
The economic collapse. Unless IMF/World Bank loans come in the picture - and even those arent guaranteed to stop the currency and economic slide. |
The IMF is essentally broke. It just blew it's last load this fall. Look to the Asian version of the IMF that the Chines, Japanes, and South Korean's are setting up to be a major player in any upcomming rescue packages. (especially because it's a convenient way for those countries to 'donate' thier US$ reserves without apearing to be selling off US$)
I don't know about 'outlasting' other countries but I'm certain that Russia isn't going to disapear. I place it tied for second in the BRIC countries, with China first and India last.
Most likely right now is that the world, in 5 years will be a multi-polar world with the EU, US, Russia, China, Brazil, and India in the dominant spots with a powerful second tier of countries like Japan, South Korea, Canada, Venuzuela, South Africa, Australia, Indonesia, and a few others.
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Jan-02-2009 15:53
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jerZ07002
Supreme tranceaddict
Registered: Dec 2006
Location:
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| quote: | Originally posted by atbell
Most likely right now is that the world, in 5 years will be a multi-polar world with the EU, US, Russia, China, Brazil, and India in the dominant spots with a powerful second tier of countries like Japan, South Korea, Canada, Venuzuela, South Africa, Australia, Indonesia, and a few others. |
The world will be dominated by the US, China, and the EU for the next century. China has huge internal social problems which could derail its global influence (although i highly doubt that is likely). Japan, Canada, India, Russia, and Australia will be influential, but the rest are essentially irrelevant. You give way too much credit to venezuela. Where did you come up with Indonesia? Large islamic population doesn't equal powerful.
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Jan-03-2009 04:25
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Lira
Ancient BassAddict

Registered: Nov 2001
Location: Brasilia, Brazil
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| quote: | Originally posted by jerZ07002
The world will be dominated by the US, China, and the EU for the next century. China has huge internal social problems which could derail its global influence (although i highly doubt that is likely). Japan, Canada, India, Russia, Brazil, and Australia will be influential, but the rest are essentially irrelevant. |
Fixed. Unless we manage to fail just like Argentina did in the 20th century (which I think is quite unlikely), I see no reason to discard any of the BRIC countries.
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Jan-03-2009 19:05
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