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| quote: | Originally posted by Renzo
What the fuck?
Have you considered a career in politics, Will? |
this is a common theme at most conferences, especially when talking about severe weather.
Example:
when you hear the phrase "50% chance of thunderstorms" what does that mean to you? 50% of your day will encompass a thunderstorm? 50% of the forecast area will experience a thunderstorm at some of the day?
when you watch the weather on the TV, you have to realize that they're talking about a large area of land...then think about how small a thunderstorm or even a tornado is in comparison.
likewise with temperatures. downtown of a city (Example Chicago) would say "high of 75F"...well, it'll be cooler along the lakefront, and warmer in the suburbs. so...if you experience 78F, do you consider your forecast to be wrong? what if you had 75, but your friend in the south side of town had 80... it was the same forecast, but would it be considered 50% wrong? for you, experiencing the 75, it was 100% right....right?
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