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There have already been a few times when Bin Laden threatened to strike but didn't go through with it. I think his announcements are just a method of producing panic, because he's definitely not so stupid that he'd announce when he's about to attack. He'll probably wait until the situation calms down a bit and strike then.
Funny thing is that when Bin Laden said that although Iraqi government is made up of non-believers, it should still be supported because it is fighting against the US, Bush concluded that it is a clear indication of Iraqi connections with Al Quaeda.
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