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Bluesky may have some initial momentum - making it a walled garden like early Facebook certainly gives it an exclusivity glimmer - but it'll be hard pressed to gain the cultural cache Twitter once had. Twitter was sort of a 'right place, right time' app, riding the crest of emergent Web 2.0 social media as everyone and their grandmothers was jacking in. In recent years though, its relevancy has waned, a huge percentage of accounts left derelict while the younger generations don't even bother with it. Twitter only seems important still because news journalists continue using it, even though all data shows their websites don't gain much traffic from it.
As Google+ showed, most regular folks can't be fussed to start whole new social media presence, which is why Meta/Insta's Threads app may have the most success in a post-Twitter world. It already has a massive built-in user base, and that all-important Gen Y/Z demographic on hand. The Fediverse seems to appeal more to Gen X types (*cough*), those weaned on Web 1.0 interface. Bluesky...? I really can't say. Again, maybe fine for those just looking for an escape hatch out of Twitter, but that may all it'll end up being, a refuge for industry insiders.
Though really, Bluesky's main reason for currently existing is to drain VC funds into the pockets of tech-bros.
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Everyone has an opinion. Mine just happens to be a little more informed than most.
Electronic Music Critic: Near-Daily Ruminations Of Music I Own, In Alphabetical Order!
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