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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Who can stop the rise and rise of China? The communists, of course
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

I apologize for my late reply. Work has been a fucking drag as of late.

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
Do you think this is the motive behind the idea of bringing back the Lira?


Definitely.

quote:

I'm just not sure of the fairness of measuring the EU on the basis of problems inherent to member countries before the EU was formed -- neither are the economists.


Some of these problems weren’t inherent. They are deteriorating. And the fact that these countries don’t have any control over monetary policy means that they have one less tool to stimulate the economy and pull them out of a rut. This doesn’t mean economic collapse. It simply means stagnated growth. The Eurozone could be an effective economy if all the economies were more cohesive and interlinked. But instead of a dozen very similar economies with similar rules and regulations, you have a dozen very different economies with rigid labor markets and controls. This makes things very difficult for the ECB to manage. And as a result you have a situation such as this where half the Eurozone is doing well and the other half is doing poorly, and either the status quo is maintained or someone gets shafted.

quote:

Haven't the German banks been doing well lately? I seem to recall reading a few Economist articles to this effect in the last few months (but you obviously know more about it than I do).


Well if they have been, they aren’t having a tangible effect on the German economy as a whole. Just look at all the articles if you do a search for “germany economy” in bbc:

http://newssearch.bbc.co.uk/cgi-bin...DHcgABAA%40%40=

The slump has been going on for years.


quote:

True, but I understand this to be a fact of life in Europe since the EEC.


Heh, if this had been an ongoing trend since 1958, nobody would be employed in Germany and France. This has largely been a cyclical downard trend since around 2000 or so.

quote:

Oh gee, like me to name some?

Stop & Shop, Dunkin Donuts, Slim Fast, 7UP, Hawaiian Punch, Baby Ruth, Snapple, Dr. Pepper, Miller beer, A&W Root Beer, Taster's Choice Coffee, Captain Morgan's Rum, Ben & Jerry's Ice Cream, Archway Cookies, Power Bars, Bazooka Joe Gum, Hellmann's, Lean Cuisine, Mazola, Kool and Lucky Strike and Kent cigarettes, Penguin Books, Random House Books, The Financial Times, Chicago Sun Times, New York Post, First Boston National Bank, Ray Band sunglasses, Dial Soap, Britney Spear's label, Plymouth, Dodge, Chrysler, Case, Jeep-Wrangler, the LA Dodgers, the American Heritage Dictionary...

None of these are American -- my point was that many household products one thinks of as typically "American" are owned by Europeans. The primary market for the US and the EU are each other.





Yes you are correct that the primary market for the US and the EU are each other. The primary market for the US and the EU is the rest of the world. I'm glad you realise that since it saves me the time from listing the countless number of European products and subsidiaries owned by American companies. Back to your original point, this hardly constitutes having anything by the "balls" so to speak since every company is a profit maximizer and thus won't do anything stupid to screw up sales. This goes for American companies too. Thus parity is a more accurate description. Some say China has us by the balls with their fixed currency which allows the US to finance its deficits, however, once again it's a parity relationship. China is doing what it's doing for a reason ... for its own benefit. If it tried to seriously fuck up the US, it would be disastrous for China and the global economy as a whole. In this day and age, mutual success has replaced competitive malignment as the new mantra. This is why the markets in Europe react negatively to bad US economic data and vice-versa.

quote:

Never said they caused industrial revolution...

Sigh,
-Noble


Well you haven't said how exactly they've aided the industrial revolution with any tangible evidence soooo without any weight behind the alternative hypothesis, I revert back to the null hypothesis that them from playing a major role.


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 05:07  United States
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TheNobleEu
Senior tranceaddict



Registered: Jun 2005
Location: Toronto, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Back to your original point, this hardly constitutes having anything by the "balls" so to speak since every company is a profit maximizer and thus won't do anything stupid to screw up sales. This goes for American companies too. Thus parity is a more accurate description.


No, it really isn't -- I think you're still missing the point:

The EU regulations are five times as stringent as the US's; the laws that shackle the US in the EU, simply not being present in the States, gives the EU free reign to dominate the US market while the US cannot do the same in the EU.

The EU can and already has slapped the US with billions in fines and corporate loses.

This is why I chuckled at the notion that 'the EU has to observe US antitrust equally,' quite true in theory, a farsical notion in practice. That's like going from the MLB to the minor A and then asserting one can compare the two on equal footing.

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Some say China has us by the balls with their fixed currency which allows the US to finance its deficits, however, once again it's a parity relationship. China is doing what it's doing for a reason ... for its own benefit. If it tried to seriously fuck up the US, it would be disastrous for China and the global economy as a whole.


Wait for it:

http://www.economist.com/displaysto...25%23P%23%3C%0A



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Well you haven't said how exactly they've aided the industrial revolution with any tangible evidence soooo without any weight behind the alternative hypothesis, I revert back to the null hypothesis that them from playing a major role.


Sigh. You're catching the disinformation bug.

Never mind.

Cheers,
-Noble


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 15:03  Canada
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TheNobleEu
Senior tranceaddict



Registered: Jun 2005
Location: Toronto, Canada

whups!


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 15:05  Canada
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Yoepus
Neo-condimist



Registered: Jan 2002
Location: Ketchup fields, Texas

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.


EU 'anti-trust' law (but I'd say the commission really) is one of the most farsical, corrupt, purely anti-anything-European, despicable, money-grubbing institutions I have ever encountered.

But thats just me


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 16:14  Israel
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shaolin_Z
Hei Hu Quan



Registered: Nov 2004
Location: Austin, Texas, USA: TXTA #102

hey Noble, check your PM


___________________
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"First they came for the communists, and I did not speak out— because I was not a communist;
Then they came for the socialists, and I did not speak out— because I was not a socialist;
Then they came for the trade unionists, and I did not speak out— because I was not a trade unionist;
Then they came for the Jews, and I did not speak out— because I was not a Jew;
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Old Post Jun-21-2005 16:16  United States
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
No, it really isn't -- I think you're still missing the point:

The EU regulations are five times as stringent as the US's; the laws that shackle the US in the EU, simply not being present in the States, gives the EU free reign to dominate the US market while the US cannot do the same in the EU.

The EU can and already has slapped the US with billions in fines and corporate loses.

This is why I chuckled at the notion that 'the EU has to observe US antitrust equally,' quite true in theory, a farsical notion in practice. That's like going from the MLB to the minor A and then asserting one can compare the two on equal footing.

The USA simply doesn't possess the political will (re: state of and political influence of corporate enviroments) to "catch up" with EU antitrust law.


Huh? Ok point to some tangible losses US companies are facing in the EU asides from Microsoft (which both the US and EU prosecuted and fined mind you). What other US companies are withering away in the face of such disparity? You think that strict regulatory controls are aiding EU companies? Hmmm yea that might explain why 7 of the 10 largest companies in the world are US based:

http://www.forbes.com/lists/results...olumnClick=true

Yup, these companies will be going down now .

As a matter of fact, the biggest complaining about adhereing to regulatory requirements comes from the EU over the Sarbanes-Oxley requirements:

quote:

Europeans complain over Sarbanes Oxley costs and to SEC over U.S. listing requirements
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted by London on Feb 12, 2004, 20:24


European companies, worried about the costs and restrictions of complying with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act, are mounting a drive to make it easier for them to stop complying with U.S. securities laws.

In a letter to William Donaldson, the chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, 11 organizations of companies - saying they represented 100,000 European companies including more than 100 whose securities are traded in the United States, asked for changes that would make it easier for them to stop being registered with the SEC. The letter was made public Wednesday.

.
While some European companies are "quite satisfied with their experience in the U.S. market," others have concluded that the costs are not worth the benefits, said the letter, signed by business leaders including Alain Joly, the president of the European Association for Listed Companies and the chairman of the supervisory board of Air Liquide.
.
"There is a feeling of, 'Why do you want to have a U.S. listing,'" said Edward Greene, a partner in the London office of Cleary, Gottlieb, Steen Hamilton, who prepared a proposal for changes in U.S. rules for the European companies. "The costs of Sarbanes-Oxley have been substantial. The hidden sleeper has been the upcoming attestation of internal controls. It really is a substantial effect on costs and audit fees."

The rule he referred to, whose implementation was delayed until 2005 for foreign companies, requires corporate executives to certify that internal financial controls are adequate, and requires outside auditors to certify that the management's conclusions are accurate. Companies have complained that will raise audit fees substantially.

Greene, a former SEC general counsel, said many companies were also concerned about bars on company loans to executives. They were included in Sarbanes-Oxley when it was passed in 2001, in the aftermath of the Enron and WorldCom scandals, both of which involved loans to executives.

Under current law, a company that wants to sell securities to the public in the United States, or to list securities on a U.S. market, must reconcile its financial statements to U.S. accounting rules and comply with American securities laws, including Sarbanes-Oxley.

A company that no longer values a U.S. listing can easily delist from the exchange, Greene said. But it remains subject to the securities laws unless it can show that it has fewer than 300 American investors. To do that, it must conduct research to determine its actual shareholders, regardless of whether those holders bought the shares in America or overseas. That is a difficult standard to meet, and even if it is met the company might have to resume complying with the U.S. rules in a later year if the number goes back above 300.
.
The companies proposed that European concerns should be able to drop their registration if they delisted and showed that less than 5 percent of their share volume was in the United States. That would cover many prominent companies, including some that trade in substantial volume in New York. For example, hundreds of thousands of shares of Deutsche Telekom, the German telephone company, are traded each day on the Big Board. But that volume is dwarfed by its volume in Germany.
.
The European companies' proposal would not apply to Japanese or other overseas companies because it assumes the European companies would follow new International Accounting standards, as they are expected to do beginning in 2005, although some European companies are resisting the international rule on accounting for derivatives.
.
An SEC spokesman in Washington declined to comment on the letter. But the proposal is likely to run into some opposition in America, since it would be seen as a step on the road to acceptance of international standards as being equivalent to American ones.
.
European companies that listed in the United States did so in some cases to be able to use stock to acquire U.S. companies, or to gain access to American capital markets. But many have found that American institutional investors are willing to buy shares overseas, wherever the most liquidity is. And companies that are not listed in the United States can sell securities there in private offerings, under an SEC rule known as 144A, so long as the buyers are institutional investors.
.
"As a result," said the letter, "many of our member companies with U.S. listed securities find that they have no greater access to the U.S. market than other companies whose securities are listed only in Europe."
http://www.srimedia.com/artman/publish/article_753.shtml


quote:

Wait for it:

http://www.economist.com/displaysto...25%23P%23%3C%0A


Wait for what? That article didn’t address any of my points. The US is the largest net importer of Chinese goods. Where else do you think those goods are going to go? For christ’s sake, did you get any higher level education in economics? Do you not understand how markets work?? How the global economy works??

quote:

Sigh. You're catching the disinformation bug.

Never mind.

Cheers,
-Noble


No let’s not never mind. You’ve been cherry picking which arguments you respond to after I come back with evidence to support my claims, and that’s fine. But it’s utterly fucking ridiculous for you to accuse me of being misinformed when you’ve provided no evidence whatsoever to support your claims other than baseless, hypothetical conjecture on your part. My original claim was this:

quote:

occrider: Did Great Britain undergo its industrial revolution due to a war? No it was fueled by resources, technology, labor, etc., the same as America.

to which you replied this:

quote:

Noble: Hmm, and the Crimean and Boer Wars?


Clearly indicating that Great Britain underwent the industrial revolution due to the Crimean and Boer War, obtuse to the fact that both these wars occurred 30 and 50 years after the industrial revolution started. So now you’re arguing that both these had a major influence on the industrial revolution ... fine. Well, what influence did they have??? Would the industrial revolution sputtered out and died without these wars? Would output have been twice as less? Would Great Britain be playing American football without these wars? You clearly haven’t done any research into this at all so far, because you haven’t provided any evidence whatsoever to support your [b]baseless[./b] claims. And then you accuse me of being guilty of being misinformed because you haven’t provided any iota of evidence to convince me that you know anything about what you’re talking about???


___________________
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Last edited by occrider on Jun-21-2005 at 16:43

Old Post Jun-21-2005 16:26  United States
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Yoepus
Neo-condimist



Registered: Jan 2002
Location: Ketchup fields, Texas

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Huh? Ok point to some tangible losses US companies are facing in the EU asides from Microsoft (which both the US and EU prosecuted and fined mind you). What other US companies are withering away in the face of such disparity? You think that strict regulatory controls are aiding EU companies? Hmmm yea that might explain why 7 of the 10 largest companies in the world are US based:

http://www.forbes.com/lists/results...olumnClick=true

Yup, these companies will be going down now .


Actually its more then just Microsoft (and the case regarding Microsoft was regarding Windows Media player -- which you can uninstall if you want - not IE. Aside from the fact that the 'punishment' for including media player in Windows was rididiclous).

But there are several other notable ones:
GE / Honeywell (probably the most rididiclous decission by the commission)
Timewarner / AOL
Vivendi / Universal

And undoubtedly I'm forgetting a couple.


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 16:59  Israel
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
Actually its more then just Microsoft (and the case regarding Microsoft was regarding Windows Media player -- which you can uninstall if you want - not IE. Aside from the fact that the 'punishment' for including media player in Windows was rididiclous).

But there are several other notable ones:
GE / Honeywell (probably the most rididiclous decission by the commission)
Timewarner / AOL
Vivendi / Universal

And undoubtedly I'm forgetting a couple.


Ok, these are rejections of mergers and acquisitions. Not anti-trust fines. Therefore, in what way are US companies being disadvantaged such that there is arbitrage for European companies?


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 17:28  United States
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TheNobleEu
Senior tranceaddict



Registered: Jun 2005
Location: Toronto, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Huh? Ok point to some tangible losses US companies are facing in the EU...


LOL Go ask Jack Welch.

EDIT: You would probably be very interested in this: Winning by Jack Welch. He speaks with quite conciliatory, but grudging, tone about the EU's blocking the merger of GE and Honeywell (a multi-billion dollar loss, with some 15 million in [futile] legal fees alone).



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Wait for what? That article didn’t address any of my points.


Then you obviously didn't read it.



quote:
Originally posted by occrider
No let’s not never mind. You’ve been cherry picking which arguments you respond to after I come back with evidence to support my claims, and that’s fine. But it’s utterly fucking ridiculous for you to accuse me of being misinformed


Ok, let's not.

And to think you've been the most rational so far...

I never claimed you were misinformed about this. I claimed you "were catching the disinformation bug," i.e., you were misrepresenting what I said, and you still are.

My asking you your opinion on *how* the Crimean and Boer campaigns contributed to industrialization (especially the peak of the 1890s in the case of the latter) *in no way* = a claim on my part that these conflicts *started an event 50 years previous!*

That's called an anachronism, and it was you that pointed out that it would be. It was *you* that assumed there was a connection there, where none was stated -- observe your own citations!



Re: cherry picking, I refer you back to the statements made earlier that I usually won't respond when you or anyone else are having a conversation with yourself by forcing words into my mouth, e.g., the above.

If you're going to do that, why do you need me?


EDIT: you're obviously a smart guy, and you'll note that I've admitted when I don't know something and have asked your opinion. When I'm unsure what you mean, you'll also note in several instances I've asked clarification. Just don't assume, misrepresent, and then fly off the handle, ok? It's not worth getting annoyed over. I'm don't mean to come off as condescending, but I refuse to take up some opinion thrust upon me as my own, and neither will I get upset or dwell over a forum.

Shaolin: check your PMs.

Bibi,
-Noble


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Last edited by TheNobleEu on Jun-21-2005 at 18:37

Old Post Jun-21-2005 18:10  Canada
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Yoepus
Neo-condimist



Registered: Jan 2002
Location: Ketchup fields, Texas

quote:
Originally posted by occrider
Ok, these are rejections of mergers and acquisitions. Not anti-trust fines. Therefore, in what way are US companies being disadvantaged such that there is arbitrage for European companies?


The above stated rejection of mergers were all based (rejected) on anti-trust grounds.


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 18:58  Israel
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occrider
Traveladdict



Registered: Oct 2000
Location: New York

quote:
Originally posted by TheNobleEu
LOL Go ask Jack Welch.


Yes and as I mentioned to Yoepus, it prevented a merger. It didn’t create an arbitrage opportunity for European companies. I could use similar fallacious reasoning to argue that the US has EU businesses “by the balls” with Sarbanes-Oxley and other SEC regulatory compliance laws … except for the fact that it doesn’t create arbitrage for US companies.

quote:

Then you obviously didn't read it.


Oh ok. Then please point out the salient points of the article that addresses or refutes my statement:

Some say China has us by the balls with their fixed currency which allows the US to finance its deficits, however, once again it's a parity relationship. China is doing what it's doing for a reason ... for its own benefit. If it tried to seriously fuck up the US, it would be disastrous for China and the global economy as a whole.

quote:

Ok, let's not.

And to think you've been the most rational so far...

I never claimed you were misinformed about this. I claimed you "were catching the disinformation bug," i.e., you were misrepresenting what I said, and you still are.


Ok well here’s a rational thought … did you ever think that the reason why this “disinformation bug” seems to be following you around so prevalently is because you may be vaguely communicating your arguments such that it easily allows for an interpretation that is inconsistent with your intent? For example:

quote:

My asking you your opinion on *how* the Crimean and Boer campaigns contributed to industrialization (especially the peak of the 1890s in the case of the latter) *in no way* = a claim on my part that these conflicts *started an event 50 years previous!*

That's called an anachronism, and it was you that pointed out that it would be. It was *you* that assumed there was a connection there, where none was stated -- observe your own citations!




If you re-read my original post, I stated that the Britain did not undergo the industrial revolution due to war. To which you replied with: “Hmm, and the Crimean and Boer Wars?” Now that you are clarifying that you posed a question for my opinion, it looks to be that. But it is vague enough such that it could just as easily pass for a rebuttal. For example:

Me: The US has never pre-emptively gone to war.
You: Hmmm, and the war in Iraq?

It certainly seemed like a rebuttal question since your original argument was that the US achieved its wealth/power status due to wars. Which I disagreed with, and pointed to the US industrial revolution as my point of reference. However, I concede that I may have misrepresented your argument because the nature of the forum is argumentative and debate … a response to a quoted text is typically a rebuttal.

quote:


EDIT: you're obviously a smart guy, and you'll note that I've admitted when I don't know something and have asked your opinion. When I'm unsure what you mean, you'll also note in several instances I've asked clarification. Just don't assume, misrepresent, and then get mad, ok? It's not worth getting annoyed over. I'm don't mean to come off as condescending, but I refuse to take up some opion thrust at me, and neither will I get upset or dwell over a forum.



Well it doesn’t help when you make condescending statements such as:

quote:

Are you being deliberately obtuse?


Or make assumptions such as:

quote:

If you have acutally read said think-tanks, and not just googled them,


Or

quote:
Then you obviously didn't read it.


Or accuse me of suffering from disinformation without expounding on all your points.


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Old Post Jun-21-2005 19:16  United States
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St_Andrew
I <3 NYC



Registered: May 2003
Location: Stockholm, Sweden

quote:
Originally posted by Yoepus
The above stated rejection of mergers were all based (rejected) on anti-trust grounds.


and the bad things is?

Old Post Jun-21-2005 20:18  Europe
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TranceAddict Forums > Other > Political Discussion / Debate > Who can stop the rise and rise of China? The communists, of course
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