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| quote: | Originally posted by BTG
can you explain it to me? |
Risk is priced in the markets. Political instability increases the risk in investing in oil markets, especially instability in the Middle East. When there is elevated risk, investors require a higher rate of return to compensate them for the risk they take on in investing. So, prices rise to satisfy the "risk premium" investors want for their risk.
Risk and their premiums have absolutely nothing to do with supply or demand, but is a function of human psychology. It really boggles my mind. About 30% of current oil prices are PURELY risk premiums investors require because of instability in Nigeria, Iran, Iraq, and now Pakistan.
It just goes to show; the law of supply and demand does not rule the market all the time.
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