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Sly_Guy
Scene Missing

Registered: Jun 2004
Location: On one of Peterman's adventures
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| quote: | Originally posted by Moral Hazard
It's only cost prohibitive based on a very narrow view... the cost for fosil fuels is only going to rise as demand increases and supply stays finite. It would be a far better long term strategy to employ alternates where they are available thus protecting the resources for uses for which there are not presently alternates rather then face truly prohibitive costs when the fosil fuels (particularly oil) reach scarcity. Besides, investing in new technologies creates wealth in the long run as new technologies = new industries = new jobs. I won't even bother to get into the potential social costs that continued abuse of fosil fuels may cause.
Alternate sorces of energy aren't enough to satisfy our need now; however, that can be corrected with adequate investment in research and development, implementation and conservation. Let's face it... we waste way too much energy, thus our demand is beyond what our real requirement is.
Nuk power would fall into the catagory of an alternative to fosil fuels... and I'm in full support of it. |
I don't disagree with your assessment, but with big business, they usually are remarkably short sighted when it comes to long term sustainability. There is still profit to be had in fossil fuel, so it's the avenue to persue. In their eyes, they have all the infrastructure up and running, working fine from an economic perspective, so why take on an additional cost? This is where responsible government's role is to step in an force industry's hand at changing. To represent the people in the greater economy, but I think it's becoming very apparent that the government is failing us in doing so.
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Not Everyone Understands House Music, It's a Spiritual Thing, a Body Thing, a Soul Thing
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Jun-26-2008 18:32
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DigiNut
You kids get off my lawn!

Registered: Dec 2002
Location: Toronto, Self-proclaimed Centre of the Universe
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| quote: | Originally posted by Dave Akermanis
You are a complete and utter moron if you believe there is even the slightest bit of scientific doubt when it comes to the whole climate change issue. |
Thank you for proving my point. It's impossible to have a rational debate with a person who takes this attitude.
| quote: |  |
To address your point and your charts - the first chart is about atmospheric CO2 levels, and yes, it's quite clear that they've gone up and almost certainly as a result of human action. Although I'd like to note for the record the scale of those graphs, which exaggerate the difference a great deal.
In any event, carbon dioxide levels are not what scientists debate about, and not what I'm debating about, so that chart is essentially a red herring. Moving on...
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The second chart is just a more colourful version of the infamous "hockey stick" which has been so thoroughly debunked and admitted as misleading by even the most dedicated environmental scientists (except perhaps for David Suzuki). Some food for thought:
1. Once again, the scale exaggerates the magnitude, which is actually not statistically significant (the margin of error on modeled vs. real is almost as large as the actual temperature difference from year to year).
2. The chart begins at 1900 in spite of the fact that we actually have some temperature data dating back much farther. In particular, it ignores the well-documented Medieval Warm period which ended in the 15th century, followed by the Little Ice Age which ended in 1850. It's therefore no surprise that temperatures have gone up drastically because they had already gone down drastically. We're now in the warming part of the cycle. It's also worth pointing out that there was a transient period around the 1970s where temperatures were starting to drop heavily (remember scientists freaking out about a new ice age back then?), so again, it makes sense that in the past 30 years specifically, temperatures would have increased more than usual.
3. The chart ends at 1990. Which is very convenient, because the warming trend has not continued at all during the past 5-10 years.
4. The apparent correlation with CO2 emissions (which again, does not correlate so well during the past 5-10 years) is of course interesting and worth looking into - which we have been doing - but does not in and of itself prove causation. If it can be proven that the current warming is part of a natural cycle (and it has been - the current scientific debate focuses on the extent of the cycle and whether or not it fully accounts for the rise), then the correlation is effectively meaningless.
5. The average global temperature is in and of itself a questionable figure. Claiming that the average "global" temperature is rising faster than it should be is very much akin to claiming that the average length of people's first names is increasing too fast. Temperature and climate by their very nature aren't global, they are extremely localized, and if you're going to aggregate them into a single number then you have to be damn sure you're accounting for local phenomena (such as the heat island effect, which the hockey stick totally ignores), as well as the statistical uncertainty that results from aggregating data from many statistically-variant sources.
I could go on of course, but I don't think there's any point. I'll just end with this: you claim that one would have to be a moron to doubt that there's a scientific consensus, so I present you this petition, signed by 31,072 scientists, urging reconsideration of Kyoto citing a lack of scientific evidence.
But I'm sure they're all just right-wing industry shills. Anyone can get a Ph.D nowadays!
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My party schedule:
2009-02-21 - DJ Attention @ I'm So Popular
2009-06-18 - DJ Annoying @ People Need To Know Where I'll Be
2012-11-32 - DJ Insufferable ɸ Or At Least the Stalkers I Complain About
2048-06-66 - Spastic & Whocares ¶ Although I'm Actually Flattered
9999-45-81 - Tweaker Gimp ☼ I Probably Won't Even Go To This But I Have To Make Sure I Fill Up All The Available Space Here
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Jun-26-2008 22:39
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