|
I’m logically following your definition of “assumption”. This did not entail that I concede your point in any way, rather, as I point out your definition of “assumption” goes to the point of absurdity.
| quote: | I see where you are coming and going with this. I'm not trying to take a "Chicken Little" sort of approach.
I disagree with you that the possibility of your scientific assumptions having a small possibility of invalidity. |
Why? Dating, for example, relies on a well known fact of chemistry –½ life. Are you now telling me that you do not trust known facts of chemistry? Or perhaps you do not trust the application of those facts of chemistry? If this is the case, do me a favor –
Do not take anymore medications from this point forward, OTC or prescription. You just can’t trust them.
Call some Hiroshima bomb relatives or remaining survivors and tell them it simply wasn’t possible that they died in the explosion.
God, or perhaps even Satan himself through a miraculous effort, must have done it instead.
Call every single chemist professor and tell them they’re full of doo-doo. Their life’s work is all for naught.
It’s just chemistry. Get over it already.
| quote: | | I agree with the rest of your statements on this matter, but they dodge the fact that the probability (in my mind) that they are invalid is indeed high. |
Have you taken a class on statistics yet? Do you even have an understanding as to what you are referring to here? Science relies quite heavily on stats., and to simply handwave reliability of certain tools and events away simply because you feel (in your mind) that they’re invalid simply won’t cut it with anyone. That’s patently absurd.
Dating methodology has been tested over and over again. Of course there are occasional discrepancies, which is why multiple testing methods are utilized, and often combined with non-dating methods. The combination of these techniques give a very high probability to a particular age of an object. Again, that’s just plain statistics, chemistry, and logic. Without explaining in huge detail the reliability of dating, here’s some links for you to read for yourself:
http://www.gate.net/~rwms/AgeEarth.html
http://gondwanaresearch.com/radiomet.htm
http://lordibelieve.org/time/age4.PDF
http://www.berkeley.edu/news/media/...cy/pompeii.html
(interesting link – gives the precise dating of the destruction of Pompei using Ar-Ar dating. Coincidence?)
http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/conte...t/277/5330/1279
(free registration)
And finally, one you should be very interested in – Radiometric Dating, a Christian perspective:
http://www.asa3.org/ASA/resources/Wiens.html
So what’s the problem?
| quote: | | Now you're getting the picture! Assumptions to prove assumptions. |
*blink*
You really don’t catch on very fast, do you?
By your definition of “assumptions” I can logically categorize literally every single event in life as an “assumption”. So we “assume” that the sun is going to come up, we “assume” that your computer is going to work, we “assume” that putting gas into your car it will run, hell we “assume” that a full tire will run more effectively than a flat tire.
So what differentiates weak “assumptions” from strong “assumptions” (keeping with your definition, mind you)? – You guessed it, it’s probability. The higher probability of an event occurring gives more strength to that “assumption”, does it not?
So we have one dating technique that gives us a date. With consistency of that particular technique we feel somewhat confident in it’s accuracy. But to increase the probability, we invoke another dating technique utilizing a different isotope. It gives a very similar date to that particular item with no significant differences. We’re really feeling pretty good about that, but to further strengthen our case, we invoke yet another dating method with a different isotope, and again it gives a very similar date with no significant differences. Damn, we’re feelin’ pretty good, but to be absolutely certain, we invoke a final method that does not involve dating at all – say stratigraphy. Sure enough it correlates exactly with our dating techniques.
This is the process that helps with discoveries every day. Again, it’s just chemistry, statistics, and logic. What’s the problem?
| quote: | | Until our beautiful science and technology invents a time machine, I'm afraid we're both out of luck. |
You seem pretty hellbent on this time machine concept. You are implying that if no one is around to witness an event, let alone write that event down, it never happened.
Do you not see the absurdity in such a ridiculous argument? This boils down to the old tree-falling-in-the-forest-but-no-one-around-to-hear-it-therefore-it-didn’t-happen scenario. You do understand the absurdity of this argument, right?
I’m going to go out on a limb and guess that, since you are a Christian (pretty close to fundamentalist at that), that you believe in the death penalty. Now let me be clear, I am in no way categorizing all Christians with this belief, but let me indulge for a moment. Even if you do not believe in the death penalty, it is the law of many states and those citizens must abide by it. Now my point:
We have successfully prosecuted many individuals over the years throughout history, and successfully convicted those individuals on a preponderance of evidence that supports their guilt, even without any surviving witnesses or folks that write such an event down or record it in any way. Why have we allowed such individuals to be put to death without any witnesses or recorded events that occurred?
| quote: | | Well, I'll make sure all the scientists are available for the next Fall of Man or Flood. We'd get some serious data-farming there. |
Funny how many times the Christians threaten that the end of the world is so near. It really is a shame to your believers just how often this prophesy goes unfulfilled. Either God is lying to his believers, or Satan must be tricking everyone. I assume you’ll probably fall for the latter:
http://www.abhota.info/end1.htm
Here’s a lovely list from just 2000:
http://2think.org/hundredsheep/skep...edictions.shtml
I used to hold my breath and pray for the end days to come. I got over that little morbid thought long ago. Jesus thought it was in his generation – didn’t happen. The only end days that I foresee will either be our own complete stupidity through our political leaders, a runaway virulent virus/bacterial strain, or a giant meteor (without that God-awful Armageddon themesong from Aerosmith, hopefully) . Neither involves God very much, if at all.
| quote: | | I agree that science has been constantly working at trying to understand our world and how it came to be. The problem IS the assumptions however - and not having the open-minds to try and view the world without evolutionary-biased thinking. |
There you go with “assumptions” again. As stated, an “assumption” no longer becomes an “assumption” with reliability. Again, it’s just basic statistics, logic, and chemistry.
Many scientists need not involve evolutionary-based thinking to view the age of the earth. In fact, the geological record involving the examination of rock strata predates any evolutionary idea. The evolutionary theory only strengthened the dating of a much older earth. Problems with that – talk to a geologist. You do realize that you’re completely insulting a great many scientists by simply handwaving their life’s work away as a consequence to your unsupportable incredulity, don’t you?
| quote: | Well, you did hit the weak spot of creation science (astronomy) - but look above for the Apple-Orange-Coconut analogy and I think it's a viable solution in a well-neglected field.
http://www.icr.org/pubs/imp/imp-113.htm - Radiometric dating using isochrones |
I giggled out loud when you said that astronomy was a creation science weak spot. As of yet you have given no positive, verifiable, tested, rested, and falsifiable evidence for creation science. Seriously, how much weaker can you get?
Pardon me for saying, but Akridge’s essay here is an unbelievable pile of crap! The real life scenario in this case is patently flawed with regards to mixing. Here’s an article that explains much better than I could about mixing:
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/iso...ing.html#mixing
Considering Akridge’s ridiculous arguments on a shrinking-sun, I have a difficult time believing he knows anything worthwhile on dating:
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/hovind/howgood-yea.html
Morris is quite famous for misquoting, blatantly misleading, and being flat-out wrong so many times I really don’t even know where to start. Here’s a couple off the top of my head:
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/quotes/
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/icr-whoppers.html
Really now, don’t you tend to find it strange that folks like Morris begin with a conclusion like the earth is only a few thousand yrs. old, then try to find evidence to fit their conclusions? What’s worse, they distort evidence, twist it around, and do whatever they can to fit their conclusion? Is that really a scientific process of observing first, then hypothesizing on those observations, testing that hypothesis and collect data, AND THEN DRAW A CONCLUSION based on those observations?
Which one is really more appropriate to explain observed phenomena? Are you so bent on your conclusion of a faulty Biblical historical account that you are willing to do anything necessary to fit your conclusion? How logical is that process really?
| quote: | Since these decay rates are now very stable, this has seemed to be a reasonable assumption. However, there are several clues that past rates have changed, or that some other process dominated.
For example, the existence of short half-life polonium halos in rock have been used by many to argue for rapid formation (i.e., creation) of host rocks. Even evolutionists admit that the halos are a mystery. Yet nearby a full uranium halo might be found which would take a long period of time to form. These two 'mutually-exclusive' facts convince one that something has been overlooked. |
Umm, Gentry’s arguments on Polonium halos were inherently flawed, and it would do you credit not to continue regurgitating Morris’ quotes such as these. Here’s more info. on that “mystery”:
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/po-halos/violences.html
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/po-halos/gentry.html
Now I pointed out the different cross-checking methods of showing how radioisotope decay has been constant earlier. To refute that you can up with a very old, dated polonium halo creationist argument? Evolutionists or geologists are not extrapolating or assuming when we say that radioactive decay rates are constant; we are stating a conclusion based on a wide variety of physical and theoretical evidence. Every published paper uses the same decay constant to reflect the most recent atomic decay research. It isn't geologists that are creating these decay rates, it is physicists working with atomic theory. So the burden is on you to show me any data (not rhetoric) that shows how decay rates can drastically change in an Earth like environment.
| quote: | | We know of many ways in which the materials can be made mobile, most particularly through ground water leaching. But even when questionable specimens are rejected, many results are still unusable, and explained away by contamination. |
Mr. Morris, what does that have to do with parent or daughter material being added or taken away from the specimen?
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/iso...g.html#isowrong
| quote: | | Furthermore, since the dynamic Flood of Noah's day covered the entire globe, what rock could have escaped its effects? |
Give me evidence to support the notion of a worldwide flood, and perhaps we should all consider the possibility.
| quote: | Only rocks and minerals which formerly were in a hot molten condition (like lava) can be dated. But what if the original melt already had some radiogenic lead? The resulting rock would inherit a deceivingly "old" date. In recent years, the "isochron" method has been derived to differentiate between inherited material and true daughter material. Unfortunately, even this has now come into disfavor. Many "pseudo-isochrons" have now been published which yield bizarre, useless dates.
This assumption actually denies the possibility of creation, for God may have created an array of radioisotopes which, if analyzed with false assumptions, could be misinterpreted as age. |
Jesus man, if you’re going to use a quote from Morris, at least have the respect of tagging his weblink:
http://www.icr.org/pubs/btg-b/btg-104b.htm
Anyways, that somewhat resembles this question, does it not?
http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CD/CD014_1.html
Or this:
http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CD/CD013.html
As well as some criticisms here:
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/icr-science.html
Since we’re so apt at giving answers from other sources, perhaps you could indulge me by specifically refuting any of the information from those websites I gave you that refute your arguments against dating.
| quote: | Yep - the Debil did it!
I don't see a diabolical scheme here, same as you. |
No, but you’re clearly sold on creationist propaganda that distorts and misleads their readers right to their faulty conclusions which is based on no supporting evidence.
Honestly, this is nothing new from a creationist.
| quote: | | Do the geologists really care if said oil is 4000 or 400 million years old? Is oil like wine, better with age? The system, the science, works for the system they apply it to. |
No, but I think you’ll be hard pressed to find a geologist who would utilize ANY Noachian theory to find oil. If you find any, please let me know. Until then, I’d say the oil industry is pretty satisfied with finding oil by utilizing modern-day biostratigraphy. If they dug down to an 4000 yr. approximation of the earth, I hardly think they’d find a consistent oil bed. But hey, don’t take my word for it, challenge the industry on your own and see what they have to say.
| quote: | | The evidence you stated for this scene does not accurately portray evidence toward evolution, in my opinion. |
Your opinion holds little support.
| quote: | Let me edit to be more of a evolution vs. creation type evidence.
The crime happened a really long time ago.
The evidence at the scene seems to point toward the husband.
100 people saw you commit the crime and wrote a book about it. Millions have read it. It states that the husband came in and tried to stop you, in the process leaving blood and other incriminating evidence at the crime scene.
Ignoring the book, isn't it easy to convict the husband? Without the book, it seems to make sense. Add personal witness in there, and a book written about the said events, and it makes a lot more sense. |
I see, so what people write down in books therefore supercede valid forensic evidence collection?
Added to my list of careers I hope you do not pursue: anything involved with crime.
If we rely on books so much, why are we still not worshipping Zeus?
If we rely on books so much, why does everyone worship so many different gods across the world? Is there ever an absolute truth in it, and if so, please support evidence to show it. Be specific.
Your handwaving of forensic evidence that supports one theory just so you can believe a flawed, unsupported storybook does not cut it here. Try again.
| quote: | | Well, that's one way to not have to follow rules. |
What rules? Explain in detail.
| quote: | | I don't dismiss them. I'm not intimately familiar with them. I also happen to believe my current one. Educate me on some of them, or perhaps I will, but I think we have enough fuel for the fire on this one currently. |
Hypocrite.
You believe in your own story of creation without knowing or even giving other stories a chance to explain it?
And who continues to ask me if I could at least accept the possibility of an alternative version of events?
Why haven’t you educated yourself on other possibilities?
| quote: | | There isn't a well documented account of it throughout history. |
True, but there isn’t a very well documented, verifiable account of Biblical events either. Much of it is very controversial. So what’s the difference?
| quote: | | I challenge you to give me postitive, verifiable evidence of evolution (I think they've all been refuted, haven't they?) - don't some of the creationist guys offer like a half a million dollars for one anyway? Just because a lot of people believe something doesn't mean it's right. That could go for both of our causes, couldn't it? |
*blink*
You did not just say that, did you?
Dating methodology, paleontological evidence, cell, molecular, and genetic evidence, the geologic record, all correspond with an old earth and a long process of life evolving over hundreds of millions/billions of years. All have utilized scientific methodology (that is, positive, tested, retested, verified, and falsified) to come up with the supporting results.
You do understand scientific methodology, don’t you?
I assume you are referring to Walt Brown’s Debate offer. Read more about it here:
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/homs/wbdebateoffer.html
http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/homs/wbrown2.html
http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CA/CA342.html
http://www.talkorigins.org/indexcc/CA/CA340.html
Joe Meert has accepted Walt Brown’s offer, but to this day Brown has backed down. I wonder why?
| quote: | | Once again, ignoring the fact that you are making assumptions about the past. I don't doubt the ability of modern scientists - I doubt their logic by not considering the simple fact of Creation. Call it a .0000001% chance if you will, I call it a 100% chance. |
*sigh*
Once again, scientists have long considered creationism – but do not fault science for not accepting it. Creationism tried to play by the same rules as science by utilizing scientific methodology, and it failed miserably. It’s reduced now to misquoting, misleading, and downright lying in order to convince those who want to believe in an unsubstantiated young earth story.
Enough with the “assumptions” already. I believe I pointed out that your definition is quite absurd once those “assumptions” are tested and cross-referenced. Perhaps we can use the word “premises” now?
| quote: | | Carbon-14 fluxations in the atmosphere, magnetic field weakening, speed of light being faster when first measured - the list goes on and on - some that you yourself have mentioned. Science thought the earth was flat and that the earth was the center of the universe once - is it that unplausible that some scientific constants will be disproven before the end of our lifetimes? |
With the exception of the magnetic field (which admittedly I know very little about), none of these rates ever changed. Rather, our ability to measure these events have advanced over time.
You have a problem with the advancement of measurements? Excellent, I believe I found a group to meet your standards:
http://www.flat-earth.org/
Enjoy.
| quote: | | You should have been a meteorologist - understand enough of the system and you'll be able to predict it for sure, right? |
Thank you for reiterating my point.
| quote: | | The only difference between me and you is that I strive to live by it, and you use it for a tale of morals and ethics. Not that far off, I guess. |
Off topic. N/R.
| quote: | There are three types of lies; a lie, a damned lie, and a statistic.
-- "Mark Twain" |
I would venture to guess Mr. Twain would think differently in modern day times. I would also venture to guess that Twain was not referring to the field of statistics, but rather A given statistic (like morbidity rates, etc.). Quite a difference of reference, if this is the case.
| quote: | | Those ingorant of the past will be ignorant of the future, as well. |
Couldn’t agree more. Who were you referring to again?
| quote: | | Go back up and look at your first comment. You admitted it there, whether you wanted to or not, that you take belief on faith. |
A highly tested and consistent premise becomes reliable. What’s your problem with that?
| quote: | | So, Father Opus, Preacher of Evolution, our eternal battle continues. I do look forward to your next reply. |
Christ man, what’s up with this “Father Opus” crap? I know I’m 30 for God’s sake, and that may be pretty damn old by Tranceaddict standards, but damn, do I have to be reminded so damn often?
You still have not presented any positive, tested, retested, verifiable evidence for creation. Please do so now.
___________________
Whence September dusk grows crisper still,
with leaves all crimson conquered,
I yearn to shout,
and dance about,
and stick pickles in my honker...
Last edited by MisterOpus1 on Jul-28-2004 at 19:28
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