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MisterOpus1
Grumpy Old Fart



Registered: Dec 2001
Location: Kansas City
Iraq War present day tidbits

Welp, unfortunately the New Year comes in with a number of 3,000 U.S. servicemen killed in Iraq:

http://icasualties.org/oif/

Of course we also must not dismiss those casualties from Afghanistan, casualties from other countries serving in both wars, wounded and disabled soldiers from both wars (at least 10,000 or so, right?), let alone the psychological problems with PTSD, depression, anxieties, domestic issues and divorce rates skyrocketing for servicemen as well.

It's been a very bloody month:

quote:
Deadliest month for U.S. in Iraq in two years

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - December became the deadliest month for U.S. troops in Iraq in two years after the U.S. military reported six more combat deaths, leaving the tally just two short of the emotive 3,000 mark [...]

The latest deaths take the number of U.S. military deaths in Iraq since the invasion of March 2003 to 2,998, according to icasualties.org, a Web site that tracks U.S. deaths in Iraq and Afghanistan.

The number who died in December is now 109, three more than the previous high this year in October, and the highest since November 2004 when 137 U.S. servicemen and women died.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20061230...sa_marines_dc_2


The Military Times released a new poll that had some revealing facts about active duty U.S. personel. Some highlights:

quote:
– Only 35 percent said they approve of the way President Bush is handling the war, while 42 percent said they disapproved.

– 50 percent believe success in Iraq is likely, down from 83 percent in 2004.

– 38 percent believe the United States should send more troops to Iraq. 39 percent believe we should maintain current levels or reduce the number of troops, including 13 percent who support complete withdrawal.

– 72 percent believe the military is “stretched too thin to be effective.”

– 47 percent disagree with President Bush’s mantra that the war in Iraq is part of the war against terrorism, while the same percentage agree.

– Only 41 percent of the military said the U.S. should have gone to war in Iraq in the first place, down from 65 percent in 2003. That closely reflects the beliefs of the general population today — 45 percent agreed in a recent USA Today/Gallup poll.

– 52 percent approve of the overall job President Bush is doing, down from 71 percent in 2004.

– 63 percent say the senior military leadership has the best interests of the troops at heart. That number is lower from President Bush (48 percent) and lower still for civilian military leadership (32 percent) and Congress (23 percent).

http://www.militarycity.com/polls/2006_main.php


More can be found here at this blog:

http://www.thecarpetbaggerreport.com/archives/9481.html

Bush believes in fair trials like the one with Saddam:

quote:
Today, Saddam Hussein was executed after receiving a fair trial -- the kind of justice he denied the victims of his brutal regime.

Fair trials were unimaginable under Saddam Hussein's tyrannical rule. It is a testament to the Iraqi people's resolve to move forward after decades of oppression that, despite his terrible crimes against his own people, Saddam Hussein received a fair trial.

http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/rele...0061229-15.html


Funny, do as I say and not as I do seems to be quite the mantra for the little guy:

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/31/u...artner=homepage

Strange how we can continue to imprison and punish people without even a pretense of due process that Saddam had. Keep in mind that this power Bush holds extends not to just foreign nationals but to legal residents and citizens. Nevermind that they might be innocent:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dy...6121700700.html

Out of sight, out of mind. Oh, and we are not hypocrites.


___________________
Whence September dusk grows crisper still,
with leaves all crimson conquered,
I yearn to shout,
and dance about,
and stick pickles in my honker...

Old Post Dec-31-2006 21:23  United States
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Q5echo
asymetrical scepticism



Registered: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas

Rest in Peace Spc. Dustin R. Donica, 22, of Spring, Texas.

as for the opposition...

take them off the battlefield, fatten'em up, try them, send them on their way. if their country doesn't take care of them, we'll be sure to atone if they fall into our hands again.

welcome to the new "progressive" face of warfare.

Old Post Dec-31-2006 22:01  United States
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Fir3start3r
Armin Acolyte



Registered: Oct 2001
Location: Toronto, ON, Canada

quote:
Originally posted by Q5echo
Rest in Peace Spc. Dustin R. Donica, 22, of Spring, Texas.

as for the opposition...

take them off the battlefield, fatten'em up, try them, send them on their way. if their country doesn't take care of them, we'll be sure to atone if they fall into our hands again.

welcome to the new "progressive" face of warfare.


But we were humane though right?
Could we expect the same in return and not a scimitar? Doubtful...


___________________
"...End? No, the journey doesn't end here. Death is just another path...one that we all must take.
The grey rain-curtain of this world rolls back, and all change to silver glass...and then you see it...
...white shores...and beyond...the far green country under a swift sunrise."

Old Post Dec-31-2006 22:04  Canada
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Q5echo
asymetrical scepticism



Registered: Feb 2004
Location: Dallas
Re: Iraq War present day tidbits

quote:
Originally posted by MisterOpus1
Bush believes in fair trials like the one with Saddam:

Funny, do as I say and not as I do seems to be quite the mantra for the little guy:

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/31/u...artner=homepage

Strange how we can continue to imprison and punish people without even a pretense of due process that Saddam had. Keep in mind that this power Bush holds extends not to just foreign nationals but to legal residents and citizens. Nevermind that they might be innocent:


boy am i glad someone with half a brain keeps an eye on the NYT. about the editorial you posted

quote:
"It's hard to quantify how inaccurate (and, one is compelled to conclude, disingenuous) this is.

First, the law that governs these detainees is not the Military Commissions Act that President Bush signed in October. As that act makes clear, the review of Combatant Status Review Tribunals is actually governed by a law the president signed a year earlier, the Detainee Treatment Act of 2005 — specifically, Section 1005 of that law.

Second, by definition, a federal appeals court is not only a federal court; it is also a higher federal court than the single district court to which U.S. citizens must petition for a writ of habeas corpus. Leaving aside, moreover, that it is unprecedented in the history of the United States for enemy prisoners to have access to our courts during wartime to challenge their status as enemy prisoners, the al Qaeda detainees at issue here have actually been given access to the United States Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, which, aside from being superior to all district courts, is often regarded as second only to the Supreme Court in our judicial hierarchy.

Third, it is simply not true that the D.C. Circuit is limited to examining whether the military's combatant status review tribunals "followed the military's own procedures in reviewing their status as 'enemy combatants.'" To the contrary, in addition to determining whether the military followed its own procedures, Section 1005(e)(2) expressly calls on the court to consider "to the extent the Constitution and laws of the United States are applicable, whether the use of such standards and procedures to make the determination is consistent with the Constitution and laws of the United States." (Emphasis added.)

To be clear, I believe the alleged combatants — aliens with no U.S. immigration status held by the military outside the jurisdiction of the federal courts during wartime — have no rights under the Constitution, and have rights under federal statutes only to the limited, if any, extent Congress has expressly made those statutes applicable outside our borders. Whether I am right or wrong about that, however, the detainees are still fully entitled to claim that the military's standards and procedures are inconsistent with federal law. They are not, as the Times asserts, limited to challenging whether the military's standards and procedures have been followed.

Fourth, the essence of habeas corpus is the right to claim that one's detention flouts fundamental rights under the Constitution and laws of the United States. While the detainees access to the D.C. Circuit is not called "habeas corpus," the Detainee Treatment Act precisely allows them to claim that their detention is in violation of their fundamental rights under U.S. law. Thus, although aliens held outside the U.S. are not constitutionally entitled to habeas review in the federal courts, Congress has substantially given it to them anyway.

Other than that, the Times really did a bang up job on this one.

Last edited by Q5echo on Jan-01-2007 at 06:34

Old Post Jan-01-2007 06:26  United States
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MisterOpus1
Grumpy Old Fart



Registered: Dec 2001
Location: Kansas City
Re: Re: Iraq War present day tidbits

quote:
Originally posted by Q5echo
boy am i glad someone with half a brain keeps an eye on the NYT. about the editorial you posted


This wasn't an editorial in the opinion page - it was an investigative report. I'd like to take a closer look at your blogger's response (BTW - what blog did you get this from?):

quote:
First, the law that governs these detainees is not the Military Commissions Act that President Bush signed in October. As that act makes clear, the review of Combatant Status Review Tribunals is actually governed by a law the president signed a year earlier, the Detainee Treatment Act of 2005 — specifically, Section 1005 of that law.


That is true, however the article referred to the lack of Habeus Corpus given to the combatatants here:

quote:
Under a law passed by Congress and signed by President Bush in October, this double-wide trailer may be as close to a courtroom as most Guantánamo prisoners ever get. The law prohibits them from challenging their detention or treatment by writs of habeas corpus in the federal courts. Instead, they may only petition a single federal appeals court to examine whether the review boards followed the military’s own procedures in reviewing their status as “enemy combatants.”


The sentence highlighted refers to the law signed by Bush in October. While the following sentence could be more specific to the DTA of 05, that does not change the point made.

Nor does this really counter what I said earlier about the hypocricy of Bush giving a right to a fair trial for Hussein while refusing it to others locked up for endless years to come. Did you actually read the article?

quote:
Second, by definition, a federal appeals court is not only a federal court; it is also a higher federal court than the single district court to which U.S. citizens must petition for a writ of habeas corpus. Leaving aside, moreover, that it is unprecedented in the history of the United States for enemy prisoners to have access to our courts during wartime to challenge their status as enemy prisoners, the al Qaeda detainees at issue here have actually been given access to the United States Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, which, aside from being superior to all district courts, is often regarded as second only to the Supreme Court in our judicial hierarchy.

Third, it is simply not true that the D.C. Circuit is limited to examining whether the military's combatant status review tribunals "followed the military's own procedures in reviewing their status as 'enemy combatants.'" To the contrary, in addition to determining whether the military followed its own procedures, Section 1005(e)(2) expressly calls on the court to consider "to the extent the Constitution and laws of the United States are applicable, whether the use of such standards and procedures to make the determination is consistent with the Constitution and laws of the United States." (Emphasis added.)

To be clear, I believe the alleged combatants — aliens with no U.S. immigration status held by the military outside the jurisdiction of the federal courts during wartime — have no rights under the Constitution, and have rights under federal statutes only to the limited, if any, extent Congress has expressly made those statutes applicable outside our borders. Whether I am right or wrong about that, however, the detainees are still fully entitled to claim that the military's standards and procedures are inconsistent with federal law. They are not, as the Times asserts, limited to challenging whether the military's standards and procedures have been followed.

Fourth, the essence of habeas corpus is the right to claim that one's detention flouts fundamental rights under the Constitution and laws of the United States. While the detainees access to the D.C. Circuit is not called "habeas corpus," the Detainee Treatment Act precisely allows them to claim that their detention is in violation of their fundamental rights under U.S. law. Thus, although aliens held outside the U.S. are not constitutionally entitled to habeas review in the federal courts, Congress has substantially given it to them anyway.


First a quick review of Rasul v Bush 2004 is in order:

http://supct.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/03-334.ZO.html

This case held that the statute that provides Habeas jurisdiction to federal courts (28 U.S.C. 2241) states that not only are petitions filed by U.S. citizens upheld, but also petitions filed by aliens as well. It also applies to aliens detained in areas over which the U.S. has "complete jurisdiction and control" even if not total sovereignty (i.e. Gitmo).

The DTA does not go into detail about this, and it was the Military Commissions Act of 2006 that, in fact, overturns this, NOT the DTA.

In fact, Judge Robertson, a Clinton appointee and the FISA judge who resigned his post in protest to Bush's illegal wiretaps recently ruled in favor of Bush based on MCA of 06 here against Ramdan:

http://www.dcd.uscourts.gov/opinion...1-12132006a.pdf

Secondly, the blogger you posted attempts to skew the fact that DTA still allows them Habeas in a round-about-way at the end of his post. That may be true, but MCA of 06 signed in October shuts ALL doors on that idea. Conveniently left out, perhaps? Do you want me to draw up the specifics of MCA that directly demonstrates this?

Now, whether or not Congress lays down the foundation of stripping Habeas from alien detainees with no connections to the U.S. is an interesting question to pose, but it's also evident with the Rasul case that we now have precedent that aliens can be given those rights and such laws enacted by our Congress can be rightly overturned.

It is also interesting to note this dichotomy between citizens and non-citizens being given Habeas. I do not believe our Founders made any distinction between U.S. citizens and noncitizens when creating and discussing Habeas, and those Scalia-type Constructionists should take note to things like that. Habeaus is the most critical doctrine given against tyranny from the Executive branch, and here we see that anyone, ANYONE SUBJECTIVELY LABELLED an "enemy combatant" by the Executive thanks to the MCA signed in October can now be stripped of that essential right, INCLUDING U.S. citizens. It should also be noted that Habeaus was the very first doctrine ever enacted by the U.S. which bestowed jurisdiction to the federal courts. Stripping that away from the courts is nothing shy of an abomination to the very essence to which the Founders believed this country's principles lie.

As Rasul explained:

quote:
Congress has granted federal district courts, “within their respective jurisdictions,” the authority to hear applications for habeas corpus by any person who claims to be held “in custody in violation of the Constitution or laws or treaties of the United States.” 28 U.S.C. § 2241(a), (c)(3). The statute traces its ancestry to the first grant of federal court jurisdiction: Section 14 of the Judiciary Act of 1789 authorized federal courts to issue the writ of habeas corpus to prisoners “in custody, under or by colour of the authority of the United States, or committed for trial before some court of the same.” Act of Sept. 24, 1789, ch. 20, §14, 1 Stat. 82.

In 1867, Congress extended the protections of the writ to “all cases where any person may be restrained of his or her liberty in violation of the constitution, or of any treaty or law of the United States.” Act of Feb. 5, 1867, ch. 28, 14 Stat. 385. See Felker v. Turpin, 518 U.S. 651, 659—660 (1996). . . . As it has evolved over the past two centuries, the habeas statute clearly has expanded habeas corpus “beyond the limits that obtained during the 17th and 18th centuries.” Swain v. Pressley, 430 U.S. 372, 380, n. 13 (1977).


MCA completely wipes out this 210 year trend. Nice, huh? Want to know something else rather frightening? This power invested solely in Bush given him sole right to arbitrarily determine who is an enemy combatant and thus severely limit/destroy Habeas given to them is a power not even the British King possessed.. Really nice, huh?

If you do not understand or at least admit just how devestating imprisoning individuals with essentially little to no rights to a FAIR trial is, then perhaps you could take a gander at this injustice:

quote:
The federal government agreed to pay $2 million Wednesday to an Oregon lawyer wrongly jailed in connection with the 2004 terrorist bombings in Madrid, and it issued a formal apology to him and his family.

The unusual settlement caps a two-and-a-half-year ordeal that saw the lawyer, Brandon Mayfield, go from being a suspected terrorist operative to a symbol, in the eyes of his supporters, of government overzealousness in the war on terrorism.

.....“The days, weeks and months following my arrest,” he said, “were some of the darkest we have had to endure. I personally was subject to lockdown, strip searches, sleep deprivation, unsanitary living conditions, shackles and chains, threats, physical pain and humiliation.”

Despite doubts from Spanish officials about the validity of the fingerprint match, American officials began an aggressive high-level investigation into Mr. Mayfield in the weeks after the bombings. . . .

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/11/30/us/30settle.html


Fun to detain and torture people whom are only SUSPECTED of crimes indefinitely, ain't it? Of course that stop a slew of your winger bloggers from endless accusation before ever hearing or seeing how wrongful detainment this truly was.



Again the MCA:

quote:

Immigrants arrested in the United States may be held indefinitely on suspicion of terrorism and may not challenge their imprisonment in civilian courts, the Bush administration said Monday, opening a new legal front in the fight over the rights of detainees.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20061114...nees_lawsuits_9


To which don't tell this individual al-Marri, a citizen of Qatar, was in the United States legally, on a student visa. In 2001, he was detained as a material witness mostly relating to false statements the FBI claimed he made as part of the 9/11 investigation. He denied those charges, and was set to go to court in July of 2003. One month before his court date, Bush declared him an "enemy combatant":

http://www.cnn.com/2003/LAW/06/23/qatar.combatant/

And his rights to trial were stripped indefinitely. Criminal charges were dismissed, and now he cannot contest any charges or his indefinite detention. He is in solitary confinement, cannot even have access to his lawyers, not charged with any crimes, and cannot prove his innocence. He was not detained on a battlefield, or even overseas, and he was NOT in our country illegally.

We could also discuss Jose Padilla, a U.S. citizen detained indefinitely and tortured horribly:

http://select.nytimes.com/search/re...DA80994DD404482

Or we could talk about illegal rendition cases such as Mustafa Osama Nasr:

http://www.cnn.com/2005/WORLD/europ...ests/index.html

Or a pulitzer prize-winning AP photographer detained by the U.S. military in Iraq back in April and continues to remain in U.S. custody without any crime being charged to him:

http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2006...er_Detained.php

The U.S. military vaguely claims he has close ties to the insurgents but refuses to specify in detail:

http://www.firstamendmentcenter.org/news.aspx?id=17542

Of course, complaints by Bush-boot lickers months before probably had nothing to do with his detention:

http://www.google.com/url?sa=D&q=ht...ntry=13508&only
http://www.google.com/url?sa=D&q=ht...ntry=17764&only
http://michellemalkin.com/archives/001999.htm
http://sirhumphreys.blogspot.com/20...pher-bilal.html
http://powerlineblog.com/archives/010066.php#010066

Because his photos were labelled "anti-American" and suggestive of support for the insurgents. Nevermind that many of Malkin and other wingers' "factual" claims against that photographer were outright false:

http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/?entry=22636
http://littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/?entry=22603

Journalists, citizens, non-citizens, it doesn't matter. If Bush feels you're an "enemy combatant" - rights to a fair trial and avoidance of indefinite detention and torture are gone.

And my point of the ultimate irony of supposedly giving such "fair" trials to Saddam while completely denying such fairness by our own ridiculous laws such as DTA and MCA remain.


___________________
Whence September dusk grows crisper still,
with leaves all crimson conquered,
I yearn to shout,
and dance about,
and stick pickles in my honker...

Old Post Jan-02-2007 21:32  United States
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MisterOpus1
Grumpy Old Fart



Registered: Dec 2001
Location: Kansas City

Since Q loves the NYTimes, I thought another article outlining how Bush's war plan last year went to hell is worth noting:

quote:
Chaos Overran Iraq Plan in ’06, Bush Team Says
By DAVID E. SANGER, MICHAEL R. GORDON and JOHN F. BURNS

WASHINGTON, Dec. 31 — President Bush began 2006 assuring the country that he had a “strategy for victory in Iraq.” He ended the year closeted with his war cabinet on his ranch trying to devise a new strategy, because the existing one had collapsed.

The original plan, championed by Gen. George W. Casey Jr., the top commander in Baghdad, and backed by Donald H. Rumsfeld, then the defense secretary, called for turning over responsibility for security to the Iraqis, shrinking the number of American bases and beginning the gradual withdrawal of American troops. But the plan collided with Iraq’s ferocious unraveling, which took most of Mr. Bush’s war council by surprise.

In interviews in Washington and Baghdad, senior officials said the White House, the Pentagon and the State Department had also failed to take seriously warnings, including some from its own ambassador in Baghdad, that sectarian violence could rip the country apart and turn Mr. Bush’s promise to “clear, hold and build” Iraqi neighborhoods and towns into an empty slogan.

This left the president and his advisers constantly lagging a step or two behind events on the ground.

“We could not clear and hold,” Stephen J. Hadley, the president’s national security adviser, acknowledged in a recent interview, in a frank admission of how American strategy had crumbled. “Iraqi forces were not able to hold neighborhoods, and the effort to build did not show up. The sectarian violence continued to mount, so we did not make the progress on security we had hoped. We did not bring the moderate Sunnis off the fence, as we had hoped. The Shia lost patience, and began to see the militias as their protectors.”

Over the past 12 months, as optimism collided with reality, Mr. Bush increasingly found himself uneasy with General Casey’s strategy. And now, as the image of Saddam Hussein at the gallows recedes, Mr. Bush seems all but certain not only to reverse the strategy that General Casey championed, but also to accelerate the general’s departure from Iraq, according to senior military officials.

General Casey repeatedly argued that his plan offered the best prospect for reducing the perception that the United States remained an occupier — and it was a path he thought matched Mr. Bush’s wishes. Earlier in the year, it had.

But as Baghdad spun further out of control, some of the president’s advisers now say, Mr. Bush grew concerned that General Casey, among others, had become more fixated on withdrawal than victory.

Now, having ousted Mr. Rumsfeld, Mr. Bush sees a chance to bring in a new commander as he announces a new strategy, senior military officials say. General Casey was scheduled to shift out of Iraq in the summer. But now it appears that it may happen in February or March.

By mid-September, Mr. Bush was disappointed with the results in Iraq and signed off on a complete review of Iraq strategy — a review centered in Washington, not in Baghdad. Whatever form the new strategy takes, it seems almost certain to include a “surge” in forces, something that General Casey insisted earlier this year he did not need and which might even be counterproductive.

In a telephone interview on Friday, General Casey continued to caution against a lengthy expansion in the American military role. “The longer we in the U.S. forces continue to bear the main burden of Iraq’s security, it lengthens the time that the government of Iraq has to take the hard decisions about reconciliation and dealing with the militias,” he said. “And the other thing is that they can continue to blame us for all of Iraq’s problems, which are at base their problems.”

Yet if Mr. Bush does send in more American forces, historians may well ask why it took him so long. Some Bush officials argue that the administration erred by refusing to send in a bigger force in 2003, or by sufficiently bolstering it when the insurgency began to take hold.

This year, decisions on a new strategy were clearly slowed by political calculations. Many of Mr. Bush’s advisers say their timetable for completing an Iraq review had been based in part on a judgment that for Mr. Bush to have voiced doubts about his strategy before the midterm elections in November would have been politically catastrophic.

Mr. Bush came to worry that it was not just his critics and Democrats in Congress who were looking for what he dismissed last month as a strategy of “graceful exit.” Visiting the Pentagon a few weeks ago for a classified briefing on Iraq with his generals, Mr. Bush made it clear that he was not interested in any ideas that would simply allow American forces to stabilize the violence. Gen. James T. Conway, the Marine commandant, later told marines about the president’s message.

“What I want to hear from you is how we’re going to win,” he quoted the president as warning his commanders, “not how we’re going to leave.”

Sectarian Killings Escalate

When 2006 began, the United States military did not have a systematic means of tabulating sectarian attacks in Iraq. The Sunni-led insurgency was the focus of Mr. Bush’s statements, and its destruction the focus of American military strategy.

The Bush administration was jolted on Feb. 22 when Al Qaeda blew up the Askariya Mosque in Samarra, a carefully plotted effort to fan sectarian passions, prompt Shiite retaliation and make Iraq ungovernable.

The day of the explosion, Shiites in Sadr City poured into the streets carrying banners and flags. Men, some dressed in black, the traditional dress for the Shiite militia in the area, piled into open back trucks, carrying weapons and shouting slogans of loyalty to Shiite saints. In Baghdad, Zalmay Khalilzad, the American ambassador to Iraq, went to Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari to insist that the Iraqi government impose a 24-hour nationwide curfew. Mr. Jaafari, a member of the Shiite Dawa Party, was not persuaded.

“You’ve been here six months, and all of a sudden you know my country better than I do,” Mr. Jaafari replied, according to an official who witnessed the exchange. But even some Iraqi leaders, including the current national security adviser, Mowaffak al-Rubaie, echoed Mr. Khalilzad’s advice. “I remember saying to him: ‘this is going to be the trigger of an all-out civil war,’ ” Mr. Rubaie said.

Mr. Jaafari insisted that he had a plan, which involved closing the Sunni television stations in the country, though as the violence grew he belatedly imposed a curfew that evening. It was the beginning of a debilitating pattern. The Shiite-dominated government did too little to protect Sunni citizens. Shiite militias took matters into their own hands. And the American military struggled to hold the city together with overstretched units.

It was clear that the retaliation was highly organized. Sunnis in the eastern portion of Baghdad, in an area called Rusafa, reported that Shiites in SUV’s were pulling up, knocking on doors, and seeking specific people. Bodies surfaced in sewers and garbage heaps days later.

When the killing abated, President Bush and his top aides declared that the worst had passed. Both Sunnis and Shiites had “looked into the abyss and did not like what they saw,” the president said.

Renegade militias were a concern but “not a major long-term problem as long as the Iraqi armed forces and the Iraqi police continue to be loyal to the central government, as they have been,” Gen. Peter Pace, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said in a March 5 appearance on the NBC News program “Meet the Press.”

Sectarian-inspired executions, however, rose from almost 200 in January to more than 700 in March, and continued upward, according to the Pentagon.

Even as the violence grew, General Casey, the top American commander in Iraq, appeared confident. He had served as a senior aide for the Joint Chiefs of Staff at the Pentagon, where he gained the confidence of Mr. Rumsfeld before being sent to Baghdad in 2004. At 58, the four-star general reported directly to the defense secretary.

Mr. Rumsfeld had mused publicly that history showed that it could take a decade or so to defeat an insurgency. He was eager to turn over responsibility for the war to the Iraqis and to reduce the American footprint in Iraq as quickly as possible.

General Casey and Gen. John P. Abizaid, head of the United States Central Command, appeared to be like-minded. During the summer of 2005, General Casey had forecast “fairly significant reductions” in American troops by the summer of 2006, an assessment that the commander said reflected “feelers” from Sunni insurgents that they might be willing to negotiate and lay down their arms.

Some of General Casey’s aides have said that in developing troop withdrawal plans they were cognizant that the Bush administration had not taken any steps to expand the American military presence despite a persistent insurgency, and seemed to have little appetite for substantially expanding the war effort.

No Wish to Stay Indefinitely

For his part, General Casey said that his plan was aimed at showing Iraqis that the United States did not want to perpetuate its role as an occupier indefinitely, and stressed that he was following a strategy to match the “convoluted” political and military situation in Iraq, and not seeking to advance his career with plans that suited the Bush administration’s political agenda.

“I have worked very hard to ask for what I need, for what I thought I needed to accomplish the mission,” he said Friday. “It’s always been my view that a heavy and sustained American military presence was not going to solve the problems in Iraq over the long term.”

By late 2005, the White House accepted the main tenets of the hand-over strategy. “Casey and Abizaid had what seemed like a plausible plan at the time,” Mr. Hadley recalled. “It was well thought out, and after the elections in January looked like the direction we were headed in.”

President Bush promoted the strategy in a speech to cheering midshipmen at the United States Naval Academy in Annapolis, Md., on Nov. 30, 2005: “We will continue to shift from providing security and conducting operations against the enemy nationwide to conducting more specialized operations targeted at the most dangerous terrorists. We will increasingly move out of Iraqi cities, reduce the number of bases from which we operate, and conduct fewer patrols and convoys.”

Yet not everybody at the Pentagon shared General’s Casey’s confidence. The Defense Intelligence Agency had briefed the White House in early 2006 that the insurgency was winning in Iraq, according to a former military officer. The briefing, which chronicled the steady rise in the number of attacks, prompted a counter-briefing from General Casey’s intelligence chief, who prepared an analysis tracing the positive trends in Iraq.

Data gathered by General Casey’s own command, which showed a steady increase in weekly attacks and civilian casualties, lent support to the Defense Intelligence Agency assessment.

At the State Department, skepticism about General Casey’s strategy ran deep. Philip D. Zelikow, the counselor to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice until he resigned in December, went to Iraq in late 2005, and returned with a recommendation that the first part of 2006 be devoted to a big push — military, economic and political — to boost the soon-to-be-formed Iraqi government. His approach contradicted the commitment to reductions.

Still, the general was reluctant to abandon his basic strategy. According to a senior administration official, General Casey told the White House in April, May and June of 2006 that the American military was having success against Al Qaeda of Mesopotamia and the Sunni-based insurgency, and that sectarian violence could be managed.

Calls for a Review of Strategy

By May 2006, uneasy officials at the State Department and the National Security Council argued for a review of Iraq strategy. A meeting was convened at Camp David to consider those approaches, according to participants in the session, but Mr. Bush left early for a secret visit to Baghdad, where he reviewed the war plans with General Casey and Mr. Maliki, and met with the American pilot whose plane’s missiles killed Iraq’s Al Qaeda leader, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. He returned to Washington in a buoyant mood.

The visit meant that the reconsideration of strategy was not as thorough as some officials hoped.

Later in June, General Casey flew to Washington to give briefings on the latest version of his troop reduction plan at the Pentagon and White House. The number of American combat brigades, which then totaled 14, would be reduced by two in September and might shrink to 10 by December, if conditions allowed. If the Iraqis continued to assume more responsibility for their security, there would be only five or six combat brigades in Iraq by December 2007.

Yet already President Bush was signaling to top aides that he wanted to re-evaluate how to keep stability before proceeding with troop withdrawals. His caution matched a growing unease among American field commanders in Iraq, and officers on the streets of Baghdad, who said they were surprised by General Casey’s continued advocacy of withdrawals and consolidating bases. They said that American forces should be focusing on a greater counterinsurgency effort, which would require that a substantial number of troops be dispersed to protect that population against insurgent and militia attacks.

Events overtook the White House. In early August, the United States was forced to reverse course and add troops in Baghdad. On reflection, Mr. Hadley said, “Finally the patience of the Shia had worn thin,” and, “By the time the unity government took over the cycle of sectarian violence had begun. And they and we have not been able to get ahead of it .”

The administration’s summer strategy seemed simple: American and Iraqi forces would clear selected neighborhoods of insurgents and militia leaders, hold them with the Iraqi police, and win over the population with job-creating reconstruction programs.

But carrying out the strategy proved maddeningly difficult. The American troop commitment was modest at best. With the addition of roughly 7,000 troops the American military force assigned to carry out the operation in Baghdad was brought to some 15,000. (During one discussion of the operation in August, President Bush asked General Casey whether he had sufficient troops to secure Baghdad; the general assured him that he did.)

The Iraqis never delivered four of the six Iraqi Army battalions that they had committed to the effort. Some of the Iraqi police units proved to be so infiltrated by Shiite militias that they had to be pulled off duty for retraining.

Weaknesses in the Iraqi Forces

In the Sunni stronghold of Dora, in southwestern Baghdad, American troops were forced to clear thousands of homes twice: the Iraqi security forces who moved in behind them were too few, and too little dedicated to the task, to keep the insurgents from returning.

In neighborhoods like Baya, the Shiite-dominated Iraqi National Police set up menacing checkpoints on the routes Sunnis used to seek medical attention or buy fuel.

“They were trying to dominate the Sunni population and terrorize them to the point that they would leave Baghdad or leave the neighborhood,” recalled Lt. Col. James Danna, who had led the Second Battalion, Sixth Infantry Regiment, which oversaw those areas. He said that like the first Baghdad security operation, the second also failed. As the American elections approached, White House officials say, they believed it would amount to political suicide to announce a broad reassessment of Iraq strategy. But they recognized that unless they began such a review, they would be forced to accept the conclusions of the final report of the Iraq Study Group — headed by James A. Baker III, the former Republican secretary of state, and Lee H. Hamilton, the former Democratic congressman.

The effort started in September, around the time Mr. Bush decided to oust Mr. Rumsfeld. In the days before the election, Mr. Bush suggested during an interview that Mr. Rumsfeld could stay until the end of his term — a deliberately misleading statement that Mr. Bush said later was necessitated by the political season. Similarly, it was days after the election that the White House revealed that a major Iraq review was under way.

In public, Mr. Bush continues to insist that he and Mr. Maliki share the same vision. In private, one of his former aides said, “he questions whether Maliki has the will or the power” to make good on any commitments.

American military officers have also wondered if the Shiite-dominated Iraqi government and the Americans share the same vision. Were the Iraqis not pulling their weight because they did not have the capability to provide security and proceed with reconstruction? Or did the Iraqi authorities have a sectarian agenda?

As security efforts in Baghdad faltered, a confidential briefing on possible “end states” in Iraq was prepared by officials under the command of Lt. Gen. Peter W. Chiarielli, who until a few weeks ago led the day-to-day operations in Iraq. It suggested the dark vision of a divided nation that haunts the administration.

Unless the United States persuaded the Iraqi government to change course, those who prepared the briefing foresaw an Iraq run by a relatively weak central government, which would include a largely autonomous nine-province Shiite region in the south and a Shiite-dominated Baghdad. The Kurds would retain their autonomy in the north. The Sunnis would essentially be relegated to the western Anbar Province and other enclaves.

The briefing posed a question: was this an outcome the United States could live with? If so, what could the United States do to minimize the bloodshed? If not, what should be done to alter this course?

Mr. Bush still insists on talking about victory, even if his own advisers differ about how to define it. “It’s a word the American people understand,” he told members of the Iraq Study Group who came to see him at the White House in November, according to two commission members who attended. “And if I start to change it, it will look like I’m beginning to change my policy.”

David E. Sanger and Michael R. Gordon reported from Washington, and John F. Burns from Cambridge, England, and Baghdad. Reporting was contributed by James Glanz, Sabrina Tavernise and Abdul Razzaq al-Saiedi from Baghdad.
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/02/w...artner=homepage


___________________
Whence September dusk grows crisper still,
with leaves all crimson conquered,
I yearn to shout,
and dance about,
and stick pickles in my honker...

Old Post Jan-02-2007 22:02  United States
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MisterOpus1
Grumpy Old Fart



Registered: Dec 2001
Location: Kansas City

An interesting part to note in the above article:

quote:
Over the past 12 months, as optimism collided with reality, Mr. Bush increasingly found himself uneasy with General Casey’s strategy. And now, as the image of Saddam Hussein at the gallows recedes, Mr. Bush seems all but certain not only to reverse the strategy that General Casey championed, but also to accelerate the general’s departure from Iraq, according to senior military officials.

General Casey repeatedly argued that his plan offered the best prospect for reducing the perception that the United States remained an occupier — and it was a path he thought matched Mr. Bush’s wishes. Earlier in the year, it had.

But as Baghdad spun further out of control, some of the president’s advisers now say, Mr. Bush grew concerned that General Casey, among others, had become more fixated on withdrawal than victory.


So Casey's being shown the door now too for wanting to withdraw troops. The Baker Commission has been given it's due consideration as Bush uses it for toilet paper.

Casey also stated this in an interview last Friday:

quote:
The longer we in the U.S. forces continue to bear the main burden of Iraq’s security, it lengthens the time that the government of Iraq has to take the hard decisions about reconciliation and dealing with the militias. And the other thing is that they can continue to blame us for all of Iraq’s problems, which are at base their problems. … It’s always been my view that a heavy and sustained American military presence was not going to solve the problems in Iraq over the long term.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/01/02/washington/02war.html


Bah, rubbish Bush says.

And speaking of sending more troops let's keep in mind who's against it - pretty much everyone. Including the Joint Chiefs of Staff:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dy...6121801477.html

Foreign Relations committee chairman Richard Lugar (R-IN):

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/9d3e56c6-99...00779e2340.html

outgoing Judiciary committee chairman Arlen Specter (R-PA):

http://thinkprogress.org/2006/12/31...ify-escalation/

Bush-puppet Rep. Heather Wilson (R-NM):

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/011749.php

Some military folks believed Bush was trying to bribe them into going along with his already pre-conceived notion of escalating troops:

http://thinkprogress.org/2006/12/21...-iraq-kerosene/

His plan is reported to already be set in stone:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/6223923.stm

At a time when our troops aren't too happy with how things are going:

http://www.militarycity.com/polls/2006_main.php

And the American public has rejected Bush's foreign policies:

http://www.worldpublicopinion.org/p...nt=295&lb=hmpg1

But the little Jr. won't listen. He just wants you to clap louder.

More about Republicans hesitant to support Bush on this one here:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dy...av=rss_politics

And the Prince of Darkness, Bob Novak, who admittedly has some pretty good insight in Washington Republican Beltway circles has this to say:

quote:
I checked with prominent Republicans around the country and found them confused and disturbed about the surge. They incorrectly assumed that the presence of Republican stalwart James Baker as co-chairman of the Iraq Study Group meant it was Bush-inspired (when it really was a bipartisan creation of Congress). Why, they ask, is the president casting aside the commission's recommendations and calling for more troops?

Even in Mississippi, the reddest of red states, where Bush's approval rating has just inched above 50 percent, Republicans see no public support for more troops. What is happening inside the president's party is reflected by defection from support for his war policy after November's election by two Republican senators who face an uphill race for reelection in 2008: Gordon Smith of Oregon and Norm Coleman of Minnesota. Coleman announced his opposition to the idea after returning from a trip to Iraq that preceded McCain's.

Among Democrats, Lieberman stands alone. Delaware Sen. Joseph Biden, as Foreign Relations Committee chairman, will lead the rest of the Democrats not only to oppose a surge but to block it. Bush enters a new world of a Democratic majority where he must share the stage.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dy...6123100931.html


Now let's keep something in mind, a change in Iraqi policy is exactly what Americans want, and it's what we voted for in November. Bush simply refuses to listen. He cannot and will not bring himself to endorse anything other than the vacuous "victory" or "win" phrases in Iraq:

quote:
Mr. Bush came to worry that it was not just his critics and Democrats in Congress who were looking for what he dismissed last month as a strategy of “graceful exit.” Visiting the Pentagon a few weeks ago for a classified briefing on Iraq with his generals, Mr. Bush made it clear that he was not interested in any ideas that would simply allow American forces to stabilize the violence. Gen. James T. Conway, the Marine commandant, later told marines about the president’s message.

“What I want to hear from you is how we’re going to win,” he quoted the president as warning his commanders, “not how we’re going to leave.”


He is paralyzed by a desire to salvage his own historical legacy, while at the same time incredibly invested in a failed strategy he is so engrossed in. He doesn't want to leave Iraq - fine. Let him be alone along with McCain and Lieberman while the Republicans flee a sinking ship. What sucks is everyone else in our country is floating around in the water watching the ship go down as well.


___________________
Whence September dusk grows crisper still,
with leaves all crimson conquered,
I yearn to shout,
and dance about,
and stick pickles in my honker...

Old Post Jan-02-2007 22:31  United States
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