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In my eyes they're digging their own graves not in the sense that civilians will turn away from them, but in the sense that a civil war will ensue. I envisage cooperation between the Shiites and the Kurds in isolating and cracking down on the Sunni population. I think this will lead to not only a lot of innocent Sunni deaths but insurgents as well. Really, I don't see how all the attacks can play out well for the insurgents. If civil war ensues they ultimately lose despite their desires to displace the government ...
It would only work if the insurgents were a majority of the population.
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