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new Harvard study finds mp3's affect on CD sales to be NEGLIGABLE
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| beema |
Hope this hasn't been posted already :o
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Downloads have an effect on sales which is statistically indistinguishable from zero, despite rather precise estimates. Moreover, these estimates are of moderate economic significance and are inconsistent with claims that file sharing is the primary reason for the recent decline in music sales.
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I heard about this on NPR, here is a link to the first google hit (tech news website) about it: http://www.corante.com/copyfight/archives/002742.html |
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| trancepixie17 |
**Yes, so far Germany and Italy are being pressed with mp3 downloads. Also canada was hit, but their lovely judge ruled it "not illegal" and you are able to download. While downloading places such as kazaa and all those other ones are out there, there will be infinit of mp3 downloads.
**Too lazy to get link so hit : delawareonline.com and the main page has a nice mid-lengthy article;) |
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| Galapidate |
| In case you don't know, studies have shown that downloading mp3s does not hurt CD sales period. In fact, for the past two years it has encouraged it. In 2002, the most downloaded album was Eminem's "The Eminem Show." However, it was also the best-selling album of the year. Tell that to the RIAA.:p |
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| Dmatrox |
theres no real answer really. Studies show both because depending on the study, what questions are asked and what hypothesis is used, statistics will prove anything. 'Mp3s affecting CD sales' is inconclusive due to factors such as statistics, economic downturns, popularity of records being released during a period of investigation.
conclusion: inconclusive studies |
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| Galapidate |
| quote: | Originally posted by Dmatrox
theres no real answer really. Studies show both because depending on the study, what questions are asked and what hypothesis is used, statistics will prove anything. 'Mp3s affecting CD sales' is inconclusive due to factors such as statistics, economic downturns, popularity of records being released during a period of investigation.
conclusion: inconclusive studies |
Even if CD sales are down, it doesn't mean mp3 downloads is the cause. I did a research paper and found other probable causes for CD sale decline. One is that, because of a rise in video game sales, people don't have the time to listen to music, and they just buy video games because they are fun and the technology has become significantly better over the years. |
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| Dmatrox |
| quote: | Originally posted by Galapidate
Even if CD sales are down, it doesn't mean mp3 downloads is the cause. I did a research paper and found other probable causes for CD sale decline. One is that, because of a rise in video game sales, people don't have the time to listen to music, and they just buy video games because they are fun and the technology has become significantly better over the years. |
yes there are many factors that contribute to declining sales.
the entire issue is still inconclusive. you can find evidence for both sides. |
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| Bondor |
| quote: | Originally posted by Dmatrox
yes there are many factors that contribute to declining sales.
the entire issue is still inconclusive. you can find evidence for both sides. |
but upon close examination of the evidence that says mp3's are bad you will also find that some of the studies didnt even try to find a direct coralation between mp3's and cd sales... "well look at this: cd sales down 25% and mp3 trading up 250%, I SMELL A CORALATION."
furthermore record company restructuring/reorganizing due to recent laws has lead to the lack of development for new artist, not taking the risk of getting new tallent, and not investing in undergrownd genre fads. This all leads to the market getting bombarded with the exact same thing, leaving the public bored and unwilling or uninterested in buying CDs
also, in the 80's when CDs became popular, people had the desire to rebuy their vinyl back cataloge in CD form. This was a strong source of income untill 1999 when people jsut stopped buying back their old favorites. And like BAM!!! the record industry is in a slump.
the future looks good though, complete online distribution will be the next big thing, which i think is great becasue it will assist in lessening the importance of an artists "image" and quality tunes will rull over S-H-I-T-T-Y ones (ie TRANCE! will end up on top! wahoo!)
my thoughts at least ... sorry about the spelling |
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| Heinz |
ACTUALLY, since they started the RIAA lawsuits here in the USA, i have stopped sharing my files. i am always disconnected from kazaa, unless i have a specific song i want to download. and the effect of that is, i have started to buy lots of cds, whereas before, when i was file sharing hundreds of files a day, and dling of people, i never bought any cd's.
i still am very dissatisfied that a cd, which may contain only 12 songs on it, cost 18.99 . but if its to support me fav. dj's ill buy it. another factor is that i got the blaster worm a few months back, and i think it may have come from kazaa..:happy2: |
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| Bondor |
| quote: | Originally posted by Heinz
ACTUALLY, since they started the RIAA lawsuits here in the USA, i have stopped sharing my files. i am always disconnected from kazaa, unless i have a specific song i want to download. and the effect of that is, i have started to buy lots of cds, whereas before, when i was file sharing hundreds of files a day, and dling of people, i never bought any cd's.
i still am very dissatisfied that a cd, which may contain only 12 songs on it, cost 18.99 . but if its to support me fav. dj's ill buy it. another factor is that i got the blaster worm a few months back, and i think it may have come from kazaa..:happy2: |
i think (and some studies might prove this) that you are an anomily(sp). in my own case i wouldnt even know trance existed if it wasnt for Mp3's and, furthermore, i wouldnt have bought 50+ electronica CDs(not that thats alot). People are going away from CDs altogether, and in the future dont expect that they will even have many(if any). I remember a guy from Sony who was working on their new DLing service said, during an intereview, that when he asked his neice of 12 years about buying CDs she said "CDs are somethign my parents listen to". :whip: i think that just sucks if it is the case for the majority of 12 year olds.
Right now you can downlaod your 12 song 'CD' online for $12.99.... that is ... if its not 'electronica' becasue no one has electronica in their cateloge. which is kinda ironic 'techno' being computer music and all... but its getting better i guess...
:rolleyes: |
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| Boomer187 |
hehe, there is no single cause of cd sale drop.
I think the only conclusive way you could even get at hwo much of an effect downlaoding has on cd sales is to find all factors of cd buying, get data on all of those, then put it through multiple regression, that way you can see effect size.
obviously if you have no money downloading is not gonna effect your cd buying...and there are millions of others reasons. The reasons correlations are useless here is there is no way you can infer causality, since there are many other variables at play.
so unless I actually read this article, I don't even believe this one, even though it supports my view. |
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| nchs09 |
i think i foured out why cd sales have droped dramatically
THEY ARE TOO ING EXPENSIVE |
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