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Hurricane for the Met people (pg. 2)
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| trancebrat |
| Actually they said it will be a category 3 by the time it hits Tampa. It isn't just Charley either...Bonnie & Charley are both present at the same time. |
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| trancebrat |
Aug 13, 12:35 AM EDT
Florida Warns 1 Million to Flee Hurricane
TAMPA, Fla. (AP) -- Officials warned about a million residents and tourists along Florida's Gulf Coast Thursday to get out of the way of Hurricane Charley, saying parts of Tampa's downtown and nearby areas could be submerged by the massive storm surge likely when the hurricane strikes on Friday.
"It does have the potential of devastating impact. ... This is a scary, scary thing," Gov. Jeb Bush said.
The evacuation zone stretched along Florida's west coast from Key West to north of Tampa.
Charley was expected to pass west of the Keys at Florida's tip early Friday before hitting the Tampa Bay area in the afternoon with winds up to 120 mph, heavy rain, tornadoes and the dangerous storm surge, said Hugh Cobb, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami. With winds that high, it would be a powerful Category 3 hurricane.
Radar showed the first rain bands hitting the lower Keys on Thursday night.
Residents of the Tampa Bay area, where the eye is projected to hit, southward to the Naples area were told to expect a storm surge of 10-13 feet. State meteorologist Ben Nelson said the surge could reach 16 feet in the Tampa area if Charley reaches 120 mph wind.
The bulk of the evacuations were in Hillsborough and Pinellas counties, which include Tampa and St. Petersburg, a city that sits on a peninsula.
All residents of MacDill Air Force Base, on another peninsula in Tampa Bay, were ordered out, with only essential personnel remaining. MacDill is home to U.S. Central Command, the nerve center of the war in Iraq.
"MacDill Air Force Base will probably be mostly underwater and parts of downtown Tampa could be underwater if we have a Category 3," Nelson said. "In a Category 3, you can almost get to the point where Pinellas County becomes an island."
"There will be a period of time where if you stay behind and you change your mind and you want to be rescued, no one can help you. We aren't going to go out on a suicide mission," Pinellas Emergency Management Chief Gary Vickers told people in the evacuation zone.
Heavy traffic flowed across the three Tampa Bay bridges linking Pinellas with Hillsborough and the mainland. Officials worried about traffic jams Friday morning.
"The highway system was never designed to move this many people this quickly," state emergency management director Craig Fugate said.
At 11 p.m., Charley was on the southern Cuba coast, 55 miles south of Havana. Forecasters said the storm had top sustained winds of about 105 mph. It was moving north-northwest at about 14 mph and was expected to strengthen, meteorologists said.
Hurricane force winds extended outward 30 miles from the eye; tropical storm force winds went out 125 miles.
The hurricane bore down after Tropical Storm Bonnie's disorganized center sloshed ashore Thursday morning on the central Florida Panhandle with winds estimated near 50 mph. Bonnie failed to produce any flooding rains, but some strong squalls were reported. It weakened into a depression and was no longer a threat as it moved into southern Georgia, Cobb said.
The one-two punch of tropical weather was highly unusual. Storms have not struck so close together in Florida since 1906.
About 6.5 million of Florida's 17 million residents were in Charlie's projected path, the U.S. Census Bureau reported.
The evacuation request was Florida's biggest since 1999, when Hurricane Floyd brushed the state's east coast and prompted officials to urge a record 1.3 million to evacuate. |
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| Mr. Pink |
Category 2?!
LMAO!
thats a hurricane
ive lived through so many hurricanes from living in Dominican Republic and PUerto Rico it's not even funny.
Category 5's:
Hurricane Hugo- 1989
Hurricane George- 1999 (i think)
Total DESTRUCTION!!!!!!!
I remember seeing completely fuked up. I was more than a MONTH without power and a running supply of water
so dont bitch about a category 2 and like....70mph winds lol
try 150, and waves the size of yo mama- ya damn neo nerds |
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| Eddie N MIAMI |
Im from Homestead Fl and I went through HURICANE ANDREW in 1992
nuff said
part of charley is on us right now.
The storm isnt gonna be anything compared to Andrew but I can see why you guys are nervous , that area of florida hasnt seen a hurricaane this strong in like 50 years.Just keep cool and ride it out,itll be ok. |
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| citric_acid |
| quote: | Originally posted by Zewad
Tampa hasnt had a direct hit since 1925,.. Andrew wasnt so bad 12 years ago,.. but we've had our fair share through the years but nothign as severe as this one... 600,000 people have been ordered to evacuate so far,... and ive been told that the weather people in Tampa said that this is Tampa's worst case scenerio |
i was in andrew, i was just a lil kid but i remember it well they were tryin 2 get me 2 the hospital but couldnt because of it so i suffered for awhile til they could get me 2 one, yeah i remmeber it even though i was 3 or 4 |
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| _Nut_ |
What meteorologist doesnt like to see vaginormous storms unleash fury across areas?
Anywho...
I love to watch and study storms, but my latest focus has been on duracho's....
About Charley (not my bonnie lies over the ocean..) It does look like Char is getting stronger, winds have jumped 20mph (i think) since 8am and the latest dropsondes show that the core pressure is dropping as well. I remember when I visited my brother after a tropical storm his Hurlburt AFB. Driving down the beach roads in an air conditioned car... I got confused. It looked like chicago (plus palm trees and such) after a snow storm. White sands that looked like they had been plowed.... wow. mind if you were from chicago. Anyway
Here is a close look at todays path. Sorry for the crude mock up, but I havent loaded any of the newer shape files for my GIS prog. This is the projected path and relative location for the next 36 hours. The storm is deepening. 2 of the biggest factors to keep a hurricane in development and maintain its strength are warm sea surface temperatures (0 to 80m down) and low wind shear:
AS you can see in the gulf, there is plenty of warm water and low wind shear (Virtually none where the storm is progged to crash through).
Shear can help to blow apart a hurricane but unfortunately for FL, there is low wind shear and the storm will continue to grow. Currently the winds are sustained at an estimated 105 MPH. When the winds get to 111 MPH it will become a cat 3. Im tired and have to work in 6 hours, so I am going to crash and watch where the storm goes and what she does tomorrow. Hope this reply was helpful to some non-MET weenies. |
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| citric_acid |
| ^^^ musta spent a lot of time on that |
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| Eddie N MIAMI |
| quote: | Originally posted by citric_acid
i was in andrew, i was just a lil kid but i remember it well they were tryin 2 get me 2 the hospital but couldnt because of it so i suffered for awhile til they could get me 2 one, yeah i remmeber it even though i was 3 or 4 |
I was 10 when Andrew hit us,its one of those things that you can never forget and also be proud of that we survived that monster of a storm |
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| La5eR |
-=-=-=-=- http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ -=-=-=-=-
Tropical Storm bonnie seemed to have fizzled out but Hurrican Charlie is packin quite a punch. |
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| XaNaX |
| quote: | Originally posted by Ang ' ela_ie
Its only a CAT2... enough to cause some damage but its not going to be as extensive. The damage is going to be from the smaller tornadic storms that its producing. |
Its not the winds that get you, its the flooding from the storm surge. My relatives live on Sanibel but they are out of town. Probably a 50/50 shot that their house will still be there when they return. |
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| _Nut_ |
| quote: | Originally posted by Mr. Pink
Category 2?!
LMAO!
thats a hurricane
ive lived through so many hurricanes from living in Dominican Republic and PUerto Rico it's not even funny.
Category 5's:
Hurricane Hugo- 1989
Hurricane George- 1999 (i think)
Total DESTRUCTION!!!!!!!
I remember seeing completely fuked up. I was more than a MONTH without power and a running supply of water
so dont bitch about a category 2 and like....70mph winds lol
try 150, and waves the size of yo mama- ya damn neo nerds |
George was a cat 4, winds peaking around 150.
The next advisory is due out in a half an hour, so we will see the latest on Charley. |
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| Ang ' ela_ie |
| quote: | Originally posted by _Nut_
George was a cat 4, winds peaking around 150.
The next advisory is due out in a half an hour, so we will see the latest on Charley. |
Hey Sam lets take a drive down there, whaddaya say? |
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