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Oh Noes! El Nino Back!
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| guster |
| quote: | NEW YORK (Reuters) -- El Nino, an extreme warming of equatorial waters in the Pacific Ocean that wreaks havoc with world weather conditions, has formed and will last into 2007, the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Wednesday.
El Nino has already helped make the Atlantic hurricane season milder than expected, said a NOAA forecaster.
"The weak El Nino is helping to explain why the hurricane season is less than we expected. El Ninos tend to suppress hurricane activity in the Atlantic," said Gerry Bell, a hurricane forecaster for NOAA.
The NOAA's Climate Prediction Center said the El Nino probably will spur warmer-than-average temperatures this winter over western and central Canada and the western and northern United States.
It said El Nino also will cause wetter-than-average conditions in the U.S. Gulf Coast and Florida, and spark dry conditions in the Ohio valley, the Pacific Northwest and most U.S. islands in the tropical Pacific.
In Asia and South America, the last severe El Nino killed hundreds of people and caused billions of dollars in damage as crops shriveled across the Asia-Pacific basin. This El Nino has caused drier-than-average conditions across Indonesia, Malaysia and most of the Philippines.
Indonesia is the most populous Moslem country with over 200 million people, while the Philippines have nearly 90 million. Both are major importers of U.S. grains.
The CPC Web site said surface temperatures were substantially warmer than normal by early September in the Pacific. Scientists detect formation of El Ninos by monitoring sea surface temperatures with a system of buoys.
"Currently, weak El Nino conditions exist, but there is a potential for this event to strengthen into a moderate event by winter," Vernon Kousky, the chief El Nino expert at NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said in a statement.
"The latest ... predictions indicate El Nino conditions for the remainder of 2006 and into the northern hemisphere spring [of] 2007," the CPC Web site explained.
El Nino, which means "little boy" in Spanish, hits once every three years or so. Anchovy fishermen in South America noticed the phenomenon in the 19th century and named it for the Christ child since it appeared around Christmas, and it normally peaks late in the year.
El Nino hinders hurricanes
One immediate impact of the El Nino is during the current Atlantic hurricane season, which follows on the heels of the record 28 storms and 15 hurricanes which struck in 2005.
Last year's howlers included monsters like Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma. But this El Nino apparently has helped hinder storm formation in 2006. So far, there has only been seven tropical storms and two hurricanes halfway through the hurricane season, which begins June 1 and ends November 30.
Scientists said El Ninos disrupt storm formation because it allows wind shear to rip apart thunderstorms in the center of the hurricanes, reducing power and intensity as a result.
U.S. Northeast in for milder winter
An El Nino also usually leads to milder winter weather in the U.S. Northeast, the top heating oil market in the world.
Bell said scientists will have a better idea in the fall how long this El Nino will last. "There's no way to say at this time how strong it is going to be. It's too early," he said.
The last severe El Nino struck in 1997-1998. The weather phenomenon caused searing drought in Indonesia, Australia and the Philippines while causing rampant flooding in Ecuador and Chile, the world's top producer of copper. |
brace yoself! |
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| guster |
| might i add.. i just posted this story as an excuse to post the farley pic.. lol |
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| Ian |
el nino, magica magica
tune ;) |
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| Trance Nutter |
Last time it was around everyone started blaming everything on El Nino.
Hot weather - El Nino
Drought - El Nino
Floods - El Nino
Broke up with girlfriend - El Nino |
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| psiico111 |
| More proof that no one knows what they are talking about when it comes to the weather and global warming and all that crap. Every year they have an excuse for why whatever is happening is happening. My opinion is the world's weather is just too complicated a system to predict with any sort of certainty. I don't look at forecasts or pay attention to any of this El Nino crap either. If it's raining, it's raining. If it isn't, it isn't. That's as far as it goes for me. |
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| Aquarian |
| quote: | Originally posted by psiico111
More proof that no one knows what they are talking about when it comes to the weather and global warming and all that crap. Every year they have an excuse for why whatever is happening is happening. My opinion is the world's weather is just too complicated a system to predict with any sort of certainty. I don't look at forecasts or pay attention to any of this El Nino crap either. If it's raining, it's raining. If it isn't, it isn't. That's as far as it goes for me. |
So snowing is beyond your comprehension? |
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| yujie__ |
| wonder will she cause a cold stuff on north east USA and the world |
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| venomX |
| quote: | Originally posted by yujie__
wonder will she cause a cold stuff on north east USA and the world |
more like he :wtf: if it was la ninia then i would be f'ing scared, imagine it would give the weather pms |
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| psiico111 |
| quote: | Originally posted by Aquarian
So snowing is beyond your comprehension? |
No, living in Canada that would be a bad thing if it were.:) |
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| Cosmic Fur |
| quote: | Originally posted by Trance Nutter
Broke up with girlfriend - El Nino |
dude, you, my gf actually told me she was breaking up with me because of some nino. |
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| butterfly |
| so if there is el nino, does that mean we will get more or less snow in the mid-sierras? (lake tahoe) |
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