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Next big quake most likely to hit in LA, within 30 years
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| R!CH |
| quote: | Huge state quake predicted within 30 years
David Perlman, Chronicle Science Editor
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
A strong and deadly earthquake is virtually certain to strike on one of California's major seismic faults within the next 30 years, scientists said Monday in the first official forecast of statewide earthquake probabilities.
They calculated the probability at more than 99 percent that one or more of the major faults in the state will rupture and trigger a quake with a magnitude of at least 6.7.
An even more damaging quake with a magnitude of 7.5 or larger, the earthquake scientists said, is at least 46 percent likely to hit on one of California's active fault systems within the next three decades. It probably would strike in the southern part of the state, the scientists warned.
The report by the team of federal and state geologists, seismologists and geophysicists does not significantly change the probability estimates for future large quakes on the Bay Area's major faults that were calculated five years ago, but it does provide the first detailed forecasts for quakes in the Los Angeles area, specifically on the southern San Andreas Fault, the San Jacinto Fault and the Elsinore Fault.
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/artic.../MNGC104TGE.DTL
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i mean, i'd prefer it if hayward was levelled...cause that city blows. |
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| TSG |
| Looks like I'll be able to look out my window and see the ocean. WooHoo! Beach front property! :D |
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| nchs09 |
| Predicting earthquakes? lol |
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| R!CH |
| quote: | Originally posted by nchs09
Predicting earthquakes? lol |
earthquake predictions are only funny when they claim 0 or 100% probability or point to arbitrary dates. |
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| DaveT |
I think overall The Big One isn't what we should worry about...
It's Yellowstone we need to worry about....40,000 years over due or something like that....liquid hot MAGMA unlike anyone has seen on this planet in their life time....I feel bad for whichever generations of people it effects once it goes off.
The Big One will pail in comparison to anything Yellowstone will do... |
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| Miss Julia |
2012
:nervous: |
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| 72hrpartyanimal |
Oh great... you know what happens when any major event happens in LA
RIOTING!
| quote: | Originally posted by Miss Julia
2012
:nervous: |
thats funny b/c I believe the Mayan Calander predicts the end of the world in 2012. |
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| Rukes |
I predict a major earthquake will occur in california within the next million years!
<--- Nostradamus |
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| rizo |
| quote: | Originally posted by 72hrpartyanimal
thats funny b/c I believe the Mayan Calander predicts the end of the world in 2012. |
yep :nervous: |
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| TSG |
| For some reason, Anti-Christ comes to mind along with Obama. |
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| Clovis |
| quote: | Originally posted by DaveT
I think overall The Big One isn't what we should worry about...
It's Yellowstone we need to worry about....40,000 years over due or something like that....liquid hot MAGMA unlike anyone has seen on this planet in their life time....I feel bad for whichever generations of people it effects once it goes off.
The Big One will pail in comparison to anything Yellowstone will do... |
What?
:stongue:
And yeah, we're due for a quake, could be tomorrow, could be in 100 years could be 8 small quakes in succession...can haz moar speculashins? |
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