Will Hurricane Rita be Another Katrina? (pg. 5)
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DaveSZ |
WTNT63 KNHC 212351
TCUAT3
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
650 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005
...RITA BECOMES THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE ON RECORD...
DROPSONDE DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT AT 623 PM CDT...2323Z...INDICATED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS
FALLEN TO BELOW 899 MB...OR 26.55 INCHES. THE DROPSONDE INSTRUMENT
MEASURED 32 KT/35 MPH WINDS AT THE SURFACE...WHICH MEANS IT LIKELY
DID NOT RECORD THE LOWEST PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF RITA. THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS PROBABLY AT LEAST AS LOW AS 898 MB...AND PERHAPS EVEN
LOWER. FOR OFFICIAL PURPOSES... A PRESSURE OF 898 MB IS ASSUMED...
WHICH NOW MAKES RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN. SOME ADDITIONAL DEEPENING AND
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.
RITA CURRENTLY RANKS BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT IN 1988 WITH 888 MB
AND THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE WITH 892 MB.
FORECASTER STEWART
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...AT3+shtml/21...
also link to 11:00 advisory
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres...AT3+shtml/22...
ALSO, from the Weather Channel
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/t...m=wxcenter_news
Hurricane Rita's rapid intensification cycle that began Tuesday afternoon continues. Top winds are up to 175 mph, now a category 5 hurricane. Rita's pressure has dramatically dropped to 897 millibars! Even as a large and extremely intense category 5 hurricane, further strengthening is possible as the atmosphere remains favorable for development over the next 24 hours.
Rita is forecast to continue on a westward track through the Gulf of Mexico over the next 24 hours. A gradual turn toward the northwest is anticipated Thursday night and Friday. If there is any good news at this point, it is the fact that it is very difficult for a hurricane to maintain category 5 status for an lengthy period of time. Near-perfect to perfect atmospheric conditions are necessary for a category 5 hurricane to exist and these "perfect" conditions are first - difficult to come by and second - do not remain in place for a long period of time. So although Rita is currently a category 5 hurricane, fluctuations in intensity is likely. That being said, it is almost a certainty that Rita will make landfall as a large, intense, major hurricane with impacts extending well away from the center. Hurricane force winds extend 70 miles away from the center and tropical storm force winds extend 175 miles from the center. Landfall is possible late Friday or early Saturday along the Texas coast. Residents and tourists in locations such as Corpus Christi, Aransas Pass, San Jose Island, Matagorda Island, Port Lavaca, Port O'Connor, Bay City, Lake Jackson, Freeport, Galveston, Texas City, Houston, and Port Author should ALL prepare for a very dangerous landfalling major hurricane.... |
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weymouth |
Is there such a thing as a category 6? |
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Mebot |
quote: | Originally posted by weymouth
Is there such a thing as a category 6? |
[Twister] "Finger of God" [/Twister] |
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prolikewhoa |
quote: | Originally posted by DaveSZ
I was just under the impression that Pro thinks Austin will be severely affected, which I doubt.
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no, evacuated families of SU students will be staying on campus, and i have close friends here whose families are in houston, galveston, and corpus christie. |
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Kurve |
Hmmm for those who say its not going to be close as strong as Katrina was. Lets see i think it has..... 175mph Strong CAT 5 897mb and saying that its gaining still. Galvaston better hope it weakens before it hits because this will distory the whole city WILL LEVEL it. Plus it will probably be a CAT 4 - 3 when it hits Houston as well so i wouldnt be suprised if there is some serious damage in that city as well. We Will see i guess |
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Nrg2Nfinit |
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DaveSZ |
quote: | Originally posted by prolikewhoa
no, evacuated families of SU students |
SU? What school is that?
quote: | Originally posted by Nrg2Nfinit
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LOL that bitch Rita.
Take that for singing, and that.
:whip: |
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tubularbills |
quote: | Originally posted by _Nut_
Here is some news to chew on. Looks like she is unofficially a Cat 5 now.
That is pretty big news. almost 200 MPH winds 400 feet up. That is a strong Cat5. On a plus note... she will degrade over the next few days and should only hit as a strong Cat3 to weak cat4.... |
That's what I want to do later on in life. after i've put in my 20 years of active duty, join the reservers and be a hurricane hunter.
ironically enough, i have the same last name as the guy you quoted too. no relation, but thought that was kinda cool.
on the subject tho, current conditions:
winds @ 170
pressure @ 907 [she weakened a bit]
moving WNW
looks like the tracking path has moved a little bit more eastward too, to include most of the western half of louisiana.
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placebo |
If you see a black family it says they are looting if you see a white family it says they are looking for food |
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Zewad |
reason alone to watch the weather channel... she's frickin smoking..
+ she has almost the exact same career path that i have/want..
minus the army part...and the workign for the weather channel..(meaning a BA in Geography at UofFlorida and a Meterology degree from FSU, although i want a masters at FSU not a 2nd BA, but i got the Geog thing at UF done...)

ok resume end of the world hurricane talk... |
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DaveSZ |
(the three cars going the wrong way into Houston)
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prolikewhoa |
quote: | Originally posted by DaveSZ
SU? What school is that?
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southwestern university |
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